Devan V. Mehrotra

Efficacy assessment of a cell-mediated immunity HIV-1 vaccine (the Step Study): a double-blind, randomised, placebo-controlled, test-of-concept trial.

BACKGROUND Observational data and non-human primate challenge studies suggest that cell-mediated immune responses might provide control of HIV replication. The Step Study directly assessed the efficacy of a cell-mediated immunity vaccine to protect against HIV-1 infection or change in early plasma HIV-1 levels. METHODS We undertook a double-blind, phase II, test-of-concept study at 34 sites in North America, the Caribbean, South America, and Australia. We randomly assigned 3000 HIV-1-seronegative participants by computer-generated assignments to receive three injections of MRKAd5 HIV-1 gag/pol/nef vaccine (n=1494) or placebo (n=1506). Randomisation was prestratified by sex, adenovirus type 5 (Ad5) antibody titre at baseline, and study site. Primary objective was a reduction in HIV-1 acquisition rates (tested every 6 months) or a decrease in HIV-1 viral-load setpoint (early plasma HIV-1 RNA measured 3 months after HIV-1 diagnosis). Analyses were per protocol and modified intention to treat. The study was stopped early because it unexpectedly met the prespecified futility boundaries at the first interim analysis. This study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT00095576. FINDINGS In a prespecified interim analysis in participants with baseline Ad5 antibody titre 200 or less, 24 (3%) of 741 vaccine recipients became HIV-1 infected versus 21 (3%) of 762 placebo recipients (hazard ratio [HR] 1.2 [95% CI 0.6-2.2]). All but one infection occurred in men. The corresponding geometric mean plasma HIV-1 RNA was comparable in infected male vaccine and placebo recipients (4.61 vs 4.41 log(10) copies per mL, one tailed p value for potential benefit 0.66). The vaccine elicited interferon-gamma ELISPOT responses in 75% (267) of the 25% random sample of all vaccine recipients (including both low and high Ad5 antibody titres) on whose specimens this testing was done (n=354). In exploratory analyses of all study volunteers, irrespective of baseline Ad5 antibody titre, the HR of HIV-1 infection between vaccine and placebo recipients was higher in Ad5 seropositive men (HR 2.3 [95% CI 1.2-4.3]) and uncircumcised men (3.8 [1.5-9.3]), but was not increased in Ad5 seronegative (1.0 [0.5-1.9]) or circumcised (1.0 [0.6-1.7]) men. INTERPRETATION This cell-mediated immunity vaccine did not prevent HIV-1 infection or reduce early viral level. Mechanisms for insufficient efficacy of the vaccine and the increased HIV-1 infection rates in subgroups of vaccine recipients are being explored.

HIV-1 vaccine-induced immunity in the test-of-concept Step Study: a case–cohort analysis

BACKGROUND In the Step Study, the MRKAd5 HIV-1 gag/pol/nef vaccine did not reduce plasma viraemia after infection, and HIV-1 incidence was higher in vaccine-treated than in placebo-treated men with pre-existing adenovirus serotype 5 (Ad5) immunity. We assessed vaccine-induced immunity and its potential contributions to infection risk. METHODS To assess immunogenicity, we characterised HIV-specific T cells ex vivo with validated interferon-gamma ELISPOT and intracellular cytokine staining assays, using a case-cohort design. To establish effects of vaccine and pre-existing Ad5 immunity on infection risk, we undertook flow cytometric studies to measure Ad5-specific T cells and circulating activated (Ki-67+/BcL-2(lo)) CD4+ T cells expressing CCR5. FINDINGS We detected interferon-gamma-secreting HIV-specific T cells (range 163/10(6) to 686/10(6) peripheral blood mononuclear cells) ex vivo by ELISPOT in 77% (258/354) of people receiving vaccine; 218 of 354 (62%) recognised two to three HIV proteins. We identified HIV-specific CD4+ T cells by intracellular cytokine staining in 58 of 142 (41%) people. In those with reactive CD4+ T cells, the median percentage of CD4+ T cells expressing interleukin 2 was 88%, and the median co-expression of interferon gamma or tumor necrosis factor alpha (TNFalpha), or both, was 72%. We noted HIV-specific CD8+ T cells (range 0.4-1.0%) in 117 of 160 (73%) participants, expressing predominantly either interferon gamma alone or with TNFalpha. Vaccine-induced HIV-specific immunity, including response rate, magnitude, and cytokine profile, did not differ between vaccinated male cases (before infection) and non-cases. Ad5-specific T cells were lower in cases than in non-cases in several subgroup analyses. The percentage of circulating Ki-67+BcL-2(lo)/CCR5+CD4+ T cells did not differ between cases and non-cases. INTERPRETATION Consistent with previous trials, the MRKAd5 HIV-1 gag/pol/nef vaccine was highly immunogenic for inducing HIV-specific CD8+ T cells. Our findings suggest that future candidate vaccines have to elicit responses that either exceed in magnitude or differ in breadth or function from those recorded in this trial.

Safety and Immunogenicity of a Replication-Incompetent Adenovirus Type 5 HIV-1 Clade B gag/pol/nef Vaccine in Healthy Adults

BACKGROUND The safety and immunogenicity of the MRK adenovirus type 5 human immunodeficiency virus type 1 clade B gag/pol/nef vaccine, a replication-incompetent adenovirus type 5-vectored vaccine designed to elicit cell-mediated immunity against conserved human immunodeficiency virus proteins, was assessed in a phase 1 trial. METHODS Healthy adults not infected with human immunodeficiency virus were enrolled in a multicenter, dose-escalating, blind, placebo-controlled study to evaluate a 3-dose homologous prime-boost regimen of the trivalent MRK adenovirus type 5 human immunodeficiency virus type 1 vaccine containing from 3 x 10(6) to 1 x 10(11) viral particles per 1-mL dose administered on day 1, during week 4 and during week 26. Adverse events were recorded for 29 days after each intradeltoid injection. The primary immunogenicity end point was the proportion of study participants with a positive unfractionated Gag-, Pol-, or Nef-specific interferon-gamma enzyme-linked immunosorbent spot response measured 4 weeks after administration of the last dose. RESULTS Of 259 randomized individuals, 257 (99%) received > or = 1 dose of vaccine or placebo and were included in the safety analyses. Enzyme-linked immunosorbent spot results were available for 217 study participants (84%) at week 30. No serious vaccine-related adverse events occurred. No study participant discontinued participation because of vaccine-related adverse events. The frequency of injection-site reactions was dose dependent. Vaccine doses of > or = 3 x 10(9) viral particles elicited positive enzyme-linked immunosorbent spot responses to > or = 1 vaccine component in > 60% of recipients. High baseline antibody titers against adenovirus type 5 diminished enzyme-linked immunosorbent spot responses at all doses except the 3 x 10(10) viral particle dose. CONCLUSIONS The vaccine was generally well tolerated and induced cell-mediated immune responses against human immunodeficiency virus type 1 peptides in most healthy adults. Despite these findings, vaccination in a proof-of-concept trial with use of this vaccine was discontinued because of lack of efficacy.

Cross-Reactivity of Anti–HIV-1 T Cell Immune Responses among the Major HIV-1 Clades in HIV-1–Positive Individuals from 4 Continents

BACKGROUND The genetic diversity of human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) raises the question of whether vaccines that include a component to elicit antiviral T cell immunity based on a single viral genetic clade could provide cellular immune protection against divergent HIV-1 clades. Therefore, we quantified the cross-clade reactivity, among unvaccinated individuals, of anti-HIV-1 T cell responses to the infecting HIV-1 clade relative to other major circulating clades. METHODS Cellular immune responses to HIV-1 clades A, B, and C were compared by standardized interferon- gamma enzyme-linked immunospot assays among 250 unvaccinated individuals, infected with diverse HIV-1 clades, from Brazil, Malawi, South Africa, Thailand, and the United States. Cross-clade reactivity was evaluated by use of the ratio of responses to heterologous versus homologous (infecting) clades of HIV-1. RESULTS Cellular immune responses were predominantly focused on viral Gag and Nef proteins. Cross-clade reactivity of cellular immune responses to HIV-1 clade A, B, and C proteins was substantial for Nef proteins (ratio, 0.97 [95% confidence interval, 0.89-1.05]) and lower for Gag proteins (ratio, 0.67 [95% confidence interval, 0.62-0.73]). The difference in cross-clade reactivity to Nef and Gag proteins was significant (P<.0001). CONCLUSIONS Cross-clade reactivity of cellular immune responses can be substantial but varies by viral protein.

Use of the false discovery rate for evaluating clinical safety data

Clinical adverse experience (AE) data are routinely evaluated using between group P values for every AE encountered within each of several body systems. If the P values are reported and interpreted without multiplicity considerations, there is a potential for an excess of false positive findings. Procedures based on confidence interval estimates of treatment effects have the same potential for false positive findings as P value methods. Excess false positive findings can needlessly complicate the safety profile of a safe drug or vaccine. Accordingly, we propose a novel method for addressing multiplicity in the evaluation of adverse experience data arising in clinical trial settings. The method involves a two-step application of adjusted P values based on the Benjamini and Hochberg1 false discovery rate (FDR). Data from three moderate to large vaccine trials are used to illustrate our proposed ‘Double FDR’ approach, and to reinforce the potential impact of failing to account for multiplicity. This work was in collaboration with the late Professor John W. Tukey who coined the term ‘Double FDR’.

Detection of HIV vaccine-induced cell-mediated immunity in HIV-seronegative clinical trial participants using an optimized and validated enzyme-linked immunospot assay.

An effective vaccine for HIV is likely to require induction of T-cell-mediated immune responses, and the interferon-γ (IFNγ) enzyme-linked immunospot (ELISPOT) assay has become the most commonly used assay for measuring these responses in vaccine trials. We optimized and validated the HIV ELISPOT assay using an empirical method to establish positivity criteria that results in a ≤1% false-positive rate. Using this assay, we detected a broad range of HIV-specific ELISPOT responses to peptide pools of overlapping 20mers, 15mers, or 9mers in study volunteers receiving DNA- or adenovirus vector-based HIV vaccines and in HIV-seropositive donors. We found that 15mers generally had higher response magnitudes than 20mers and lower false-positive rates than 9mers. These studies show that our validated ELISPOT assay using 15mer peptide pools and the positivity criteria of ≥55 spots per 106 cells and ≥4-fold over mock (negative control) is a sensitive and specific assay for the detection of HIV vaccine-induced cell-mediated immunity.

Should baseline be a covariate or dependent variable in analyses of change from baseline in clinical trials

In randomized clinical trials, a pre-treatment measurement is often taken at baseline, and post-treatment effects are measured at several time points post-baseline, say t=1, ..., T. At the end of the trial, it is of interest to assess the treatment effect based on the mean change from baseline at the last time point T. We consider statistical methods for (i) a point estimate and 95 per cent confidence interval for the mean change from baseline at time T for each treatment group, and (ii) a p-value and 95 per cent confidence interval for the between-group difference in the mean change from baseline. The manner in which the baseline responses are used in the analysis influences both the accuracy and the efficiency of items (i) and (ii). In this paper, we will consider the ANCOVA approach with change from baseline as a dependent variable and compare that with a constrained longitudinal data analysis (cLDA) model proposed by Liang and Zeger (Sankhya: Indian J. Stat. (Ser B) 2000; 62:134-148), in which the baseline is modeled as a dependent variable in conjunction with the constraint of a common baseline mean across the treatment groups. Some drawbacks of the ANCOVA model and potential advantages of the cLDA approach are discussed and illustrated using numerical simulations.

Effects of Controlled-Onset Extended-Release Verapamil on Nocturnal Blood Pressure (Dippers Versus Nondippers)

Approximately 1 in 4 patients with systemic hypertension have a 24-hour blood pressure (BP) profile characterized by a blunted or absent nocturnal decline in pressure. We evaluated the effects of a chronotherapeutic delivery system of controlled-onset extended-release (COER) verapamil hydrochloride and placebo in 257 hypertensive patients according to their circadian BP pattern in an 8-week prospective, multicenter, randomized, and double-blind clinical trial. Patients were stratified into 193 dippers (>10% decline in BP during the period of 10 P.M. to 5 A.M. compared with the hours of 5 A.M. to 10 P.M.) and 64 nondippers (<10% decline in BP during nighttime). During daytime, placebo-subtracted BP was similarly decreased in dippers and nondippers by COER verapamil. During nighttime, the placebo increased nocturnal BP in dippers (baseline nocturnal BP, 133/78 mm Hg) by 3/3 +/- 2/2 mm Hg and reduced BP by -5/-3 +/- 2/2 mm Hg in nondippers (baseline nocturnal BP, 152/94 mm Hg) (p = NS between groups). After controlling for age, gender, ethnicity, and the regression to the mean observed on placebo for all doses, COER verapamil reduced nocturnal BP more in nondippers than dippers -5.8/-2.4 mm Hg, p <0.0001 for systolic BP and p = 0.09 for diastolic BP). Additionally, a significant dose-related reduction in systolic and diastolic nocturnal BP (r = 0.56, p <0.0001 for systolic BP and r = 0.62, p <0.0001 for diastolic BP) was observed with COER verapamil after controlling for baseline covariates. These data demonstrate that nocturnal BP is decreased by a greater extent in nondipper hypertensives than in dipper hypertensives following treatment with COER verapamil HCL.

Estimating the benefit of an HIV-1 vaccine that reduces viral load set point

Vaccines designed to induce cell-mediated immune responses against human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-1 are being developed. Such vaccines are unlikely to provide sterilizing immunity but may be associated with reduced viral set points after infection. We modeled the potential impact of a vaccine that reduces viral set point after infection, using natural history data from 311 HIV-1 seroconverters. Log-normal parametric regression models were used to estimate the log median time to events of interest. Relative times were estimated for those with viral load set points of 30,000 copies/mL (reference group) versus those with lower viral set points. The time to key clinical events in the course of HIV-1 disease progression was significantly extended for those with viral set points 0.5-1.25 log(10) copies/mL lower than the reference group. By quantifying the anticipated clinical benefits associated with a reduction in viral set point, these findings support the use of virologic end points in HIV-1 vaccine trials.

AIDS Clinical Trials Group 5197: A Placebo-Controlled Trial of Immunization of HIV-1-Infected Persons with a Replication-Deficient Adenovirus Type 5 Vaccine Expressing the HIV-1 Core Protein

BACKGROUND Human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1)-specific cellular immunity contributes to the control of HIV-1 replication. HIV-1-infected volunteers who were receiving antiretroviral therapy were given a replication-defective adenovirus type 5 HIV-1 gag vaccine in a randomized, blinded therapeutic vaccination study. METHODS HIV-1-infected vaccine or placebo recipients underwent analytical treatment interruption (ATI) for 16 weeks. The log(10) HIV-1 RNA load at the ATI set point and the time-averaged area under the curve served as co-primary end points. Immune responses were measured by intracellular cytokine staining and carboxyfluorescein succinimidyl ester dye dilution. RESULTS Vaccine benefit trends were seen for both primary end points, but they did not reach a prespecified significance level of P < or = 25. The estimated shifts in the time-averaged area under the curve and the ATI set point were 0.24 (P=.04, unadjusted) and 0.26 (P=.07, unadjusted) log(10) copies lower, respectively, in the vaccine arm than in the placebo arm. HIV-1 gag-specific CD4(+) cells producing interferon-gamma were an immunologic correlate of viral control. CONCLUSION The vaccine was generally safe and well tolerated. Despite a trend favoring viral suppression among vaccine recipients, differences in HIV-1 RNA levels did not meet the prespecified level of significance. Induction of HIV-1 gag-specific CD4 cells correlated with control of viral replication in vivo. Future immunogenicity studies should require a substantially higher immunogenicity threshold before an ATI is contemplated.