Donald E. Schulz

Mexico faces the 21st century

Preface Abbreviations Crisis or Transformation? The Struggle for the Soul of Mexico by Donald E. Schulz and Edward J. Williams Striving for Mexican Democracy: The PRI and the Opposition by Rod Camp Mexicos Political Transition: The Emergence of Civil Society by Isidro Sepulveda The Mexican Military Approaches the 21st Century: Coping with a New World Order by Stephen J. Wager State-Labor Relations in Mexico: Old Tendencies and New Trends by Maria Lorena Cook Mexicos New Environmental Policy: An Assessment by Stephen P. Mumme Free Trade with Mexico and U.S. National Security by Al Perez The NAFTA and Beyond: The United States-Mexican Borderlands in Transition by Edward J. Williams Mexican Modernizations Consequences for Mexican Undocumented Labor Migration by Jesus Tamayo The Zapatista Revolt and Its Implications for Civil-Military Relations and the Future of Mexico by Stephen J. Wager and Donald E. Schulz Through a Glass Darkly: On the Challenges and Enigmas of Mexicos Future by Donald E. Schulz Selected Bibliography Index

War and peace in Colombia

Colombia is a nation trapped in a downward spiral of disintegration. But why should the United States care? Already Colombias problems are spreading beyond its borders endangering both its immediate neighbors and some more distant.

The United States and Latin America: Shaping an Elusive Future

This article presents a regional overview of US‐Latin American security relations, focusing on those countries where US national security interests are most likely to be endangered over the next two decades. The author examines the current US strategy of ‘shaping’ the Latin security environment, with a view to assessing the strength and weaknesses of this approach. The article presents some policy recommendations, including the recommendation that the US do more to redress the historical imbalance in Latin American civil‐military relations by strengthening civilian institutions. It also argues that at the regional level a major effort be made to recapture momentum toward the creation of a Free Trade Association of the Americas.

The Challenge of Haiti's Future,

Abstract : The authors address three issues: social and economic advances in Haiti, achieving democracy and the rule of law, and the role of the United States and the international community in Haiti. They analyze the continuing need for reforms, the need to manage Haitian and foreign expectations in the area, the need to assist Haiti to formulate more effective political and economic decisionmaking processes, and the need for organized and integrated involvement of outside actors and support for sustainable development of the country. The authors set forth observations and policy recommendations.

MEXICO IN CRISIS

Abstract : The author examines the development of the current crisis and the prospects for the future. While some substantive reforms have been made, there are serious doubts as to how far President Zedillo will go in challenging the power and perquisites of the PRI elite and the narcotraffickers. Though the economy may pick up in a year or so, and significant advances in democratization may occur, political violence and social turmoil will continue, posing serious problems for the United States, especially in the areas of illegal immigration and drug trafficking.

The United States and Cuba: From a Strategy of Conflict to Constructive Engagement

Abstract : The author discusses the potential explosiveness of the present Cuban situation and the possibility that it might lead to U.S. military involvement. The crisis of the Cuban Revolution has once again raised a number of security issues for the United States, along with important questions about the effectiveness and wisdom of the three-decade-old U.S. policy of containment and punishment. In particular, we need a better understanding of those forces promoting political stability and instability as well as the impact of U.S. policy. If, as the author suggests, American policy may actually be strengthening the Castro regime in the short run, while building up tension which may lead to a violent explosion in the longer run, then a strong case can be made for a change to a strategy better suited to fostering a peaceful transition. The author details the components of such a policy.... Containment and punishment, Castro regime, Constructive engagement, Threat reduction, Radio marti, U.S. Embargo, Torricelli Law