Edward T. Olsen

AIRS: Improving Weather Forecasting and Providing New Data on Greenhouse Gases

Abstract The Atmospheric Infrared Sounder (AIRS) and its two companion microwave sounders, AMSU and HSB were launched into polar orbit onboard the NASA Aqua Satellite in May 2002. NASA required the sounding system to provide high-quality research data for climate studies and to meet NOAAs requirements for improving operational weather forecasting. The NOAA requirement translated into global retrieval of temperature and humidity profiles with accuracies approaching those of radiosondes. AIRS also provides new measurements of several greenhouse gases, such as CO2, CO, CH4, O3, SO2, and aerosols. The assimilation of AIRS data into operational weather forecasting has already demonstrated significant improvements in global forecast skill. At NOAA/NCEP, the improvement in the forecast skill achieved at 6 days is equivalent to gaining an extension of forecast capability of six hours. This improvement is quite significant when compared to other forecast improvements over the last decade. In addition to NCEP, ECM...

Satellite remote sounding of mid-tropospheric CO2

Human activity has increased the concentration of the earths atmospheric carbon dioxide, which plays a direct role in contributing to global warming. Mid-tropospheric CO_2 retrieved by the Atmospheric Infrared Sounder shows a substantial spatiotemporal variability that is supported by in situ aircraft measurements. The distribution of middle tropospheric CO_2 is strongly influenced by surface sources and large-scale circulations such as the mid-latitude jet streams and by synoptic weather systems, most notably in the summer hemisphere. In addition, the effects of stratosphere-troposphere exchange are observed during a final stratospheric warming event. The results provide the means to understand the sources and sinks and the lifting of CO_2 from surface layers into the free troposphere and its subsequent transport around the globe. These processes are not adequately represented in three chemistry-transport models that have been used to study carbon budgets.

Evidence for the depletion of ammonia in the Uranus atmosphere

Abstract The theoretical disk brightness temperature spectra for Uranus are computed and compared with the observed microwave spectrum. It is shown that the emission observed at short centimeter wavelengths originates deep below the region where ammonia would ordinarily begin to condense. We demonstrate that this result is inconsistent with a wide range of atmospheric models in which the partial pressure of NH 3 is given by the vapor-pressure equation in the upper atmosphere. It is estimated that the ammonia mixing ratio must be less than 10 −6 in the 150 to 200°K temperature range. This is two orders of magnitude less than the expected mixing ratio based on solar abundances. The evidence for this depletion and a possible explanation are discussed.

Interannual variability of mid‐tropospheric CO2 from Atmospheric Infrared Sounder

Atmospheric Infrared Sounder (AIRS) offers a unique opportunity to investigate the variability of mid-tropospheric CO_2 over the entire globe. In this paper, we use AIRS data to examine the interannual variability of CO_2 and find significant correlations between AIRS mid-tropospheric CO_2 and large-scale atmospheric dynamics. During El Nino events, mid-tropospheric CO_2 over the central Pacific Ocean is enhanced whereas it is reduced over the western Pacific Ocean as a result of the change in the Walker circulation. The variation of AIRS CO_2 in the high latitudes of the northern hemisphere is closely related to the strength of the northern hemispheric annular mode. These results contribute to a better understanding of the influence of large-scale dynamics on tracer distributions.

Venus. I - Carbon monoxide distribution and molecular-line searches

Abstract An observational program to study variations of the vertical distribution of CO in the Venus atmosphere is presented. Measurements of the J = 0 → 1 absorption line at 2.6 mm wavelength are reported for two phase angles in 1977, one near eastern elongation (Feb.) and the other near inferior conjunction (Apr.). The two spectra are significantly different, with the April absorption line being narrower and deeper. The results of numerical inversion calculations show that the CO mixing ratio increases a factor of ∼ 100 between 78 and 100 km and that the CO abundance above ∼ 100 km is greatest on the night-side hemisphere. These conclusions are in qualitative agreement with theoretical models. In addition to the CO observations, a search for other molecules was made to provide further information on the composition of the Venus middle atmosphere. The J = 0 → 1 transition of 13 CO was detected and upper limits were derived for nine other molecules.

Impact of increased water vapor on precipitation efficiency over northern Eurasia

This study investigates the relationships among water vapor, precipitation efficiency, precipitation amount, and air temperature anomalies on monthly time scales over northern Eurasia for winter and summer 2003–2010. Daily precipitation and temperature records at 505 historical stations, and atmospheric total precipitable water vapor and relative humidity data from Atmospheric Infrared Sounders, are used for analysis. Results show that higher atmospheric precipitable water associated with warmer temperature directly contributes to winter precipitation amount but has little impact on winter precipitation efficiency. However, accelerated decreasing relative humidity associated with higher temperature is the primary factor in the reduction of precipitation efficiency and precipitation amount regardless of higher precipitable water in summer. This study suggests that there are evident seasonal differences in precipitation trend associated with air temperature changes over the study region. Air temperature modifies a key atmospheric water variable that directly controls precipitation for that particular season.

Simulation of upper tropospheric CO2 from chemistry and transport models

The California Institute of Technology/Jet Propulsion Laboratory two-dimensional (2-D), three-dimensional (3-D) GEOS-Chem, and 3-D MOZART-2 chemistry and transport models (CTMs), driven respectively by NCEP2, GEOS-4, and NCEP1 reanalysis data, have been used to simulate upper tropospheric CO2 from 2000 to 2004. Model results of CO2 mixing ratios agree well with monthly mean aircraft observations at altitudes between 8 and 13 km (Matsueda et al., 2002) in the tropics. The upper tropospheric CO2 seasonal cycle phases are well captured by the CTMs. Model results have smaller seasonal cycle amplitudes in the Southern Hemisphere compared with those in the Northern Hemisphere, which are consistent with the aircraft data. Some discrepancies are evident between the model and aircraft data in the midlatitudes, where models tend to underestimate the amplitude of CO2 seasonal cycle. Comparison of the simulated vertical profiles of CO2 between the different models reveals that the convection in the 3-D models is likely too weak in boreal winter and spring. Model sensitivity studies suggest that convection mass flux is important for the correct simulation of upper tropospheric CO2.

CO2 semiannual oscillation in the middle troposphere and at the surface

Using in situ measurements, we find a semiannual oscillation (SAO) in the midtropospheric and surface CO_2. Chemistry transport models (2-D Caltech/JPL model, 3-D GEOS-Chem, and 3-D MOZART-2) are used to investigate possible sources for the SAO signal in the midtropospheric and surface CO_2. From model sensitivity studies, it is revealed that the SAO signal in the midtropospheric CO_2 originates mainly from surface CO_2 with a small contribution from transport fields. It is also found that the source for the SAO signal in surface CO_2 is mostly related to the CO_2 exchange between the biosphere and the atmosphere. By comparing model CO_2 with in situ CO_2 measurements at the surface, we find that models are able to capture both annual and semiannual cycles well at the surface. Model simulations of the annual and semiannual cycles of CO_2 in the tropical middle troposphere agree reasonably well with aircraft measurements.

The recycling rate of atmospheric moisture over the past two decades (1988?2009)

Numerical models predict that the recycling rate of atmospheric moisture decreases with time at the global scale, in response to global warming. A recent observational study (Wentz et al 2007 Science 317 233–5) did not agree with the results from numerical models. Here, we examine the recycling rate by using the latest data sets for precipitation and water vapor, and suggest a consistent view of the global recycling rate of atmospheric moisture between numerical models and observations. Our analyses show that the recycling rate of atmospheric moisture has also decreased over the global oceans during the past two decades. In addition, we find different temporal variations of the recycling rate in different regions when exploring the spatial pattern of the recycling rate. In particular, the recycling rate has increased in the high-precipitation region around the equator (i.e., the intertropical convergence zone) and decreased in the low-precipitation region located either side of the equator over the past two decades. Further exploration suggests that the temporal variation of precipitation is stronger than that of water vapor, which results in the positive trend of the recycling rate in the high-precipitation region and the negative trend of the recycling rate in the low-precipitation region.

A measurement of the brightness temperature of Saturn's rings at 8-mm wavelength

Abstract We have measured the brightness temperature of Saturns rings at 8-mm wavelength using the millimeter-wavelength interferometer at the Jet Propulsion Laboratorys Table Mountain Observatory. We obtain for the ring brightness temperature T R = 12.7 ± 2°K, with the assumption that the rings are of uniform brightness and the region of emission coincides with the visible A and B rings. This result is higher than comparable results obtained at centimeter wavelengths and may indicate a small increase in the thermal emission from the rings at 8 mm. The low brightness temperature places significant constraints on the nature of the ring particles, and implies that they must be either highly metallic or of limited size and composed of a low-loss dielectric material such as water ice.