Erik Tuenter

The response of the African summer monsoon to remote and local forcing due to precession and obliquity

In this paper, we examine the orbital signal in Earth’s climate with a coupled model of intermediate complexity (ECBilt). The orbital influence on climate is studied by isolating the obliquity and precession signal in several time-slice experiments. Focus is on monsoonal systems with emphasis on the African summer monsoon. The model shows that both the precession and the obliquity signal in the African summer monsoon consists of an intensified precipitation maximum and further northward extension during minimum precession and maximum obliquity than during maximum precession and minimum obliquity. In contrast to obliquity, precession also influences the seasonal timing of the occurrence of the maximum precipitation. The response of the African monsoon to orbital-induced insolation forcing can be divided into a response to insolation forcing at high northern latitudes and a response to insolation forcing at low latitudes, whereby the former dominates. The results also indicate that the amplitude of the precipitation response to obliquity depends on precession, while the precipitation response to precession is independent of obliquity. Our model experiments provide an explanation for the precession and obliquity signals in sedimentary records of the Mediterranean (e.g., Lourens et al. [Paleoceanography 11 (1996) 391, Nature 409 (2001) 1029]), through monsoon-induced variations in Nile river outflow and northern Africa aridity. D 2003 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.

The mid‐Cretaceous North Atlantic nutrient trap: Black shales and OAEs

Organic-rich sediments are the salient marine sedimentation product in the mid-Cretaceous of the ocean basins formed in the Mesozoic. Oceanic anoxic events (OAEs) are discrete and particularly organic-rich intervals within these mid-Cretaceous organic-rich sequences and are defined by pronounced carbon isotope excursions. Marine productivity during OAEs appears to have been enhanced by the increased availability of biolimiting nutrients in seawater due to hydrothermal alteration of submarine basalts in the Pacific and proto-Indian oceans. The exact mechanisms behind the deposition of organic-rich sediments in the mid-Cretaceous are still a matter of discussion, but a hypothesis which is often put forward is that their deposition was a consequence of the coupling of a particular paleogeography with changes in ocean circulation and nutrient supply. In this study, we used a global coupled climate model to investigate oceanic processes that affect the interbasinal exchange of nutrients as well as their spatial distribution and bioavailability. We conclude that the mid-Cretaceous North Atlantic was a nutrient trap as a consequence of an estuarine circulation with respect to the Pacific. Organic-rich sediments in the North Atlantic were deposited below regions of intense upwelling. We suggest that enhanced productivity during OAEs was a consequence of upwelling of Pacific-derived nutrient-rich seawater associated with submarine igneous events.

Cenozoic global ice-volume and temperature simulations with 1-D ice-sheet models forced by benthic delta O-18 records

Abstract Variations in global ice volume and temperature over the Cenozoic era have been investigated with a set of one-dimensional (1-D) ice-sheet models. Simulations include three ice sheets representing glaciation in the Northern Hemisphere, i.e. in Eurasia, North America and Greenland, and two separate ice sheets for Antarctic glaciation. The continental mean Northern Hemisphere surface-air temperature has been derived through an inverse procedure from observed benthic δ18O records. These data have yielded a mutually consistent and continuous record of temperature, global ice volume and benthic δ18O over the past 35 Ma. The simple 1-D model shows good agreement with a comprehensive 3-D ice-sheet model for the past 3 Ma. On average, differences are only 1.0˚C for temperature and 6.2 m for sea level. Most notably, over the 35 Ma period, the reconstructed ice volume–temperature sensitivity shows a transition from a climate controlled by Southern Hemisphere ice sheets to one controlled by Northern Hemisphere ice sheets. Although the transient behaviour is important, equilibrium experiments show that the relationship between temperature and sea level is linear and symmetric, providing limited evidence for hysteresis. Furthermore, the results show a good comparison with other simulations of Antarctic ice volume and observed sea level.

Precession phasing offset between Indian summer monsoon and Arabian Sea productivity linked to changes in Atlantic overturning circulation

Results from transient climate modeling experiments indicate an in-phase relationship between insolation forcing and Indian summer monsoonal precipitation. This is in contrast to high-resolution radioisotopically dated speleothem oxygen isotope (δ18O) records of China, which showed that East Asian Monsoon maxima lag Northern Hemisphere peak summer insolation by ∼2,700 years, while an approximately 8,000-year time lag was derived from late Pleistocene records of Arabian Sea sediments. Here, we evaluate the precession phase of the Arabian Sea signal by comparing a new high-resolution productivity and oxygen minimum zone (OMZ) intensity record from the Arabian Sea over the past 450,000 years with the results of a transient climate modeling experiment that includes glacial-bound ice volume variations. The well established tuning technique between radioisotopically dated North Atlantic cold events and the occurrence of deep-dwelling planktonic foraminifera in the Arabian Sea for the last glacial cycle was used to extend the Arabian Sea chronology, independent of orbital tuning. Cross-spectral analysis over the last 224,000 years reveals that Arabian Sea productivity maxima lag precession minima by ∼6,900 ± 200 years, i.e., in close agreement with previous reconstructions. Also our climate modeling simulations are in accord with previous studies indicating an in-phase relationship between precession minima and maximum summer monsoon intensity. We argue that the summer monsoon is most likely not the main driver of changes in Arabian Sea biological productivity and OMZ intensity at the precession frequency band, but that changes in the intensity of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) have played the prominent role in controlling the nutrient delivery into the euphotic layer of the northern Indian Ocean, and hence the amount of primary productivity and intensity of the oxygen minimum zone in the Arabian Sea. Such a mechanism explains the large precession-related time lag between minimum precession and maximum productivity and OMZ conditions in the Arabian Sea, since intensified AMOC occurred during precession maxima.

Stratigraphic continuity and fragmentary sedimentation: the success of cyclostratigraphy as part of integrated stratigraphy

Abstract The Milankovitch theory of climate change is widely accepted, but the registration of the climate changes in the stratigraphic record and their use in building high-resolution astronomically tuned timescales has been disputed due to the complex and fragmentary nature of the stratigraphic record. However, results of time series analysis and consistency with independent magnetobiostratigraphic and/or radio-isotopic age models show that Milankovitch cycles are recorded not only in deep marine and lacustrine successions, but also in ice cores and speleothems, and in eolian and fluvial successions. Integrated stratigraphic studies further provide evidence for continuous sedimentation at Milankovitch time scales (104 years up to 106 years). This combined approach also shows that strict application of statistical confidence limits in spectral analysis to verify astronomical forcing in climate proxy records is not fully justified and may lead to false negatives. This is in contrast to recent claims that failure to apply strict statistical standards can lead to false positives in the search for periodic signals. Finally, and contrary to the argument that changes in insolation are too small to effect significant climate change, seasonal insolation variations resulting from orbital extremes can be significant (20% and more) and, as shown by climate modelling, generate large climate changes that can be expected to leave a marked imprint in the stratigraphic record. The tuning of long and continuous cyclic successions now underlies the standard geological time scale for much of the Cenozoic and also for extended intervals of the Mesozoic. Such successions have to be taken into account to fully comprehend the (cyclic) nature of the stratigraphic record.

Response of the North African summer monsoon to precession and obliquity forcings in the EC-Earth GCM

AbstractWe investigate, for the first time, the response of the North African summer monsoon to separate precession and obliquity forcings using a high-resolution state-of-the-art coupled general circulation model, EC-Earth. Our aim is to better understand the mechanisms underlying the astronomical forcing of this low-latitude climate system in detail. The North African monsoon is strengthened when northern hemisphere summer insolation is higher, as is the case in the minimum precession and maximum obliquity experiments. In these experiments, the low surface pressure areas over the Sahara are intensified and located farther north, and the meridional pressure gradient is further enhanced by a stronger South Atlantic high pressure area. As a result, the southwesterly monsoon winds are stronger and bring more moisture into the monsoon region from both the northern and southern tropical Atlantic. The monsoon winds, precipitation and convection also extend farther north into North Africa. The precession-induced changes are much larger than those induced by obliquity, but the latter are remarkable because obliquity-induced changes in summer insolation over the tropics are nearly zero. Our results provide a different explanation than previously proposed for mechanisms underlying the precession- and, especially, obliquity-related signals in paleoclimate proxy records of the North African monsoon. The EC-Earth experiments reveal that, instead of higher latitude mechanisms, increased moisture transport from both the northern and southern tropical Atlantic is responsible for the precession and obliquity signals in the North African monsoon. This increased moisture transport results from both increased insolation and an increased tropical insolation gradient.

Modeled Influence of Land Ice and CO2 on Polar Amplification and Paleoclimate Sensitivity During the Past 5 Million Years

Polar amplification and paleoclimate sensitivity (S) have been the subject of many paleoclimate studies. While earlier studies inferred them as single constant parameters of the climate system, there are now indications that both are conditioned by the type of forcing. Moreover, they might be affected by fast feedback mechanisms that have different strengths depending on the background climate. Here we use the intermediate complexity climate model CLIMBER-2 to study the influence of land ice and CO2 on polar amplification and S. We perform transient 5-Myr simulations, forced by different combinations of insolation, land ice, and CO2. Our results provide evidence that land ice and CO2 changes have different effects on temperature, both on the global mean and the meridional distribution. Land ice changes are mainly manifested in the high latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere. They lead to higher northern polar amplification, lower southern polar amplification, and lower S than more homogeneously distributed CO2 forcing in CLIMBER-2. Furthermore, toward colder climates northern polar amplification increases and consequently southern polar amplification decreases, due to the albedo-temperature feedback. As an effect, a global average temperature change calculated from high-latitude temperatures by using a constant polar amplification would lead to substantial errors in our model setup. We conclude that to constrain feedback strengths and climate sensitivity by paleoclimate data, the underlying forcing mechanisms and background climate states have to be taken into consideration.

The Role of Variations of the Earth's Orbital Characteristics in Climate Change

Publisher Summary The climate of the Earth is characterized by trends, aberrations and quasi-periodic oscillations varying over a broad range of time-scales. The trends are largely controlled by plate tectonics, and thus tend to change gradually on a million year (Ma) time scale. Aberrations occur when certain thresholds are passed and are manifested in the geological record as unusually rapid or extreme changes in climate. The quasi-periodic oscillations are mostly astronomically paced; they are driven by astronomical perturbations that affect the Earths orbit around the Sun and the orientation of the Earths rotation axis with respect to its orbital plane. These perturbations are described by three main astronomical cycles: eccentricity, precession, and obliquity, which together determine the spatial and seasonal pattern of insolation received by the Earth, eventually resulting in climatic oscillations of tens to hundreds of thousands of years. The expression of these astronomical-induced climate oscillations is found in geological archives of widely different ages and environments. The role of orbital forcing in climate change has been unequivocally shown by their characteristic patterns in sedimentary archives, ice cores and proxy records. Although the knowledge of orbital forcing is concerned with long-term natural climate cycles, it is of fundamental importance to assess and remediate global climate change problems on short-term periods. In particular, the integration of climate modeling experiments with geological observations will provide these insights required for a better understanding of climate change in the past and near future. Considerable challenges are needed to be addressed before the full spectrum of orbital-induced climatic variability has been unraveled, including the phase behavior of different parts of the climate system, feedback mechanisms and the impact on ecosystem dynamics.