Florence Sylvestre

Hydrological Variability in South America Below the Tropic of Capricorn (Pampas and Patagonia, Argentina) During the Last 13.0 Ka

New limnogeological results (Laguna Mar Chiquita, 30°S) at the middle latitudes in the subtropical Pampean plains of Southern South America are used to establish comparisons with records spanning Late Glacial times and the Holocene covering the Northern Andean Patagonia and the Extra Andean Southern Patagonia. Historical and archaeological data were also used to enlarge existing environmental reconstructions in the central plains of Southern South America. Two groups of climate records – at both sides of the Arid Diagonal- can be distinguished according to their hydrological response during dominant warm or cold climatic phases. The first group includes records from the Pampean region and allows to reconstruct the past activity of the South America Monsoonal System. The second group includes archives of the Patagonian climate, as well as the Salinas del Bebedero, and provides a record of past changes in the strength and latitudinal position of the Southern Westerlies.

IR Laser Extraction Technique Applied to Oxygen Isotope Analysis of Small Biogenic Silica Samples

An IR-laser fluorination technique is reported here for analyzing the oxygen isotope composition (delta18O) of microscopic biogenic silica grains (phytoliths and diatoms). Performed after a controlled isotopic exchanged (CIE) procedure, the laser fluorination technique that allows one to visually check the success of the fluorination reaction is faster than the conventional fluorination technique and allows analyzing delta18O of small to minute samples (1.6-0.3 mg) as required for high-resolution paleoenvironmental reconstructions. The long-term reproducibility achieved with the IR laser-heating fluorination/O2 delta18O analysis is lower than or equal to +/-0.26 per thousand (1 SD; n = 99) for phytoliths and +/-0.17 per thousand (1 SD; n = 47) for diatoms. When several CIE are taken into account in the SD calculation, the resulting reproducibility is lower than or equal to +/-0.51 per thousand for phytoliths (1 SD; n = 99; CIE > 5) and +/-0.54 per thousand (1 SD; n = 47; CIE = 13) for diatoms. A minimum reproducibility of +/-0.5 per thousand leads to an estimated uncertainty on delta18Osilica close to +/-0.5 per thousand. Resulting uncertainties on reconstructed temperature and delta18Oforming water are, respectively, +/-2 degrees C and +/-0.5 per thousand and fit in the precisions required for intertropical paleoenvironmental reconstructions. Several methodological points such as optimal extraction protocols and the necessity or not of performing two CIE prior to oxygen extraction are assessed.

Moisture Pattern During the Last Glacial Maximum in South America

The Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) is still an exciting period of time for investigating ecosystem responses to climate changes since it corresponds to a steady state in a glacial world with maximum global expansion of ice-sheets, CO2 concentrations half those of today, temperatures up to 5°C cooler in the tropical lowlands, and precipitation regimes differed from today. South America is an ideal place to study these changes since climatic conditions during the LGM remain a matter of debate. There is general agreement that the temperature was cooler than today, but there is no consensus about moisture conditions, especially over tropical latitudes. This paper reviews terrestrial and near-shore marine records from South America between 10°N and 50°S during the LGM. Records are selected for their chronological control, their continuity around the LGM and their regional representativeness.

High-resolution paleolimnology opens new management perspectives for lakes adaptation to climate warming

Varved lake sediments provide opportunities for high-resolution paleolimnological investigations that may extend monitoring surveys in order to target priority management actions under climate warming. This paper provides the synthesis of an international research program relying on >150 years-long, varved records for three managed perialpine lakes in Europe (Lakes Geneva, Annecy and Bourget). The dynamics of the dominant, local human pressures, as well as the ecological responses in the pelagic, benthic and littoral habitats were reconstructed using classical and newly developed paleo-proxies. Statistical modelling achieved the hierarchization of the drivers of their ecological trajectories. All three lakes underwent different levels of eutrophication in the first half of the XXth century, followed by re-oligotrophication. Climate warming came along with a 2°C increase in air temperature over the last century, to which lakes were unequally thermally vulnerable. Unsurprisingly, phosphorous concentration has been the dominant ecological driver over the last century. Yet, other human-influenced, local environmental drivers (fisheries management practices, river regulations) have also significantly inflected ecological trajectories. Climate change has been impacting all habitats at rates that, in some cases, exceeded those of local factors. The amplitude and ecological responses to similar climate change varied between lakes, but, at least for pelagic habitats, rather depended on the intensity of local human pressures than on the thermal effect of climate change. Deep habitats yet showed higher sensitivity to climate change but substantial influence of river flows. As a consequence, adapted local management strategies, fully integrating nutrient inputs, fisheries management and hydrological regulations, may enable mitigating the deleterious consequences of ongoing climate change on these ecosystems.

Evidence of moist niches in the Bolivian Andes during the mid-Holocene arid period

To examine the climate of the mid-Holocene and early human settings in the Andes when the Altiplano was recording the most arid phase of the Holocene, we analyzed plant-related proxies (pollen, phytoliths, diatoms, stable isotopes) from a sediment core sampled at high elevation in the Eastern Cordillera of Bolivia. Our study was carried out in the wetland of Tiquimani (16°12′06.8″S; 68°3′51.5″W; 3760 m), on a well-known pathway between Amazonia and Altiplano. The 7000-year old record shows a two-step mid-Holocene with a dry climate between 6800 and 5800, followed by a wetter period that lasted until 3200 cal. yr BP. In the Central Andes of Bolivia, a widespread aridity was observed on the Altiplano during the mid-Holocene. However, here, we show that moisture was maintained locally by convective activity from the Amazon lowlands. During the arid interval between 5000 and 4000 yr BP, these niches of moisture produced specific grasslands that may have enabled the survival of an archaic culture of hunter–gatherers on the Puna. This development occurred 2000 years before expansion of quinoa cultivation on the Puna.

5000 years of lacustrine ecosystem changes from Lake Petit (Southern Alps, 2200 m a.s.l.): Regime shift and resilience of algal communities

Sediments from Lake Petit (2200 m a.s.l., Southern Alps) are particularly relevant for analysis of coupled landscape palaeoecology and palaeolimnology. Diatom assemblages, organic matter composition of sediments (total nitrogen and organic carbon) and Pediastrum boryanum concentrations were obtained from a 144-cm-long core, enabling the reconstruction of the aquatic ecosystem over nearly the last 5000 cal. BP. From 4800 to 4300 cal. BP, Lake Petit was a stable diatom-productive water body dominated by alkaliphilous diatoms (Staurosirella pinnata). During this period, nutrients and cations were supplied by the chemical weathering of podzols that developed under conifer woodlands. This overall stability was suddenly interrupted at 4200 cal. BP by a major detrital pulse that was probably climate linked (4200 cal. BP event) and that triggered a drop in diatom productivity and diversity. From 4100 to 2400 cal. BP, diatom productivity progressively decreased, whereas Pediastrum developed. Diatom assemblages were more diversified (predominance of Pseudostaurosira robusta, P. brevistriata and P. pseudoconstruens) and reflected a regime of continuous erosion, whereas slopes were colonised by grazed grasslands. Finally, from 2400 cal. BP to the present day, diatom assemblages reveal a slight acidification and nutrient enrichment of waters concomitant with increasing human pressure in the catchment. These results demonstrate the close links between ecosystems and the ready propagation of disturbances throughout watersheds that might lead to abrupt regime shifts in such alpine environments.

A complete hydro-climate model chain to investigate the influence of sea surface temperature on recent hydroclimatic variability in subtropical South America (Laguna Mar Chiquita, Argentina)

Abstract During the 1970s, Laguna Mar Chiquita (Argentina) experienced a dramatic hydroclimatic anomaly, with a substantial rise in its level. Precipitations are the dominant driving factor in lake level fluctuations. The present study investigates the potential role of remote forcing through global sea surface temperature (SST) fields in modulating recent hydroclimatic variability in Southeastern South America and especially over the Laguna Mar Chiquita region. Daily precipitation and temperature are extracted from a multi-member LMDz atmospheric general circulation model (AGCM) ensemble of simulations forced by HadISST1 observed time-varying global SST and sea-ice boundary conditions from 1950 to 2005. The various members of the ensemble are only different in their atmospheric initial conditions. Statistical downscaling (SD) is used to adjust precipitation and temperature from LMDz ensemble mean at the station scale over the basin. A coupled basin-lake hydrological model (cpHM) is then using the LMDz-downscaled (LMDz-SD) climate variables as input to simulate the lake behavior. The results indicate that the long-term lake level trend is fairly well depicted by the LMDz-SD-cpHM simulations. The 1970s level rise and high-level conditions are generally well captured in timing and in magnitude when SST-forced AGCM-SD variables are used to drive the cpHM. As the LMDz simulations are forced solely with the observed sea surface conditions, the global SST seems to have an influence on the lake level variations of Laguna Mar Chiquita. As well, this study shows that the AGCM-SD-cpHM model chain is a useful approach for evaluating long-term lake level fluctuations in response to the projected climate changes.

Coupling statistically downscaled GCM outputs with a basin-lake hydrological model in subtropical South America: evaluation of the influence of large-scale precipitation changes on regional hydroclimate variability

We explore the reliability of large-scale climate variables, namely precipitation and temperature, as inputs for a basin-lake hydrological model in central Argentina. We used data from two regions in NCEP/NCAR reanalyses and three regions from LMDZ model simulations forced with observed sea surface temperature (HadISST) for the last 50 years. Reanalyses data cover part of the geographical area of the Sali-Dulce Basin (region A) and a zone at lower latitudes (region B). The LMDZ selected regions represent the geographical area of the Sali-Dulce Basin (box A), and two areas outside of the basin at lower latitudes (boxes B and C). A statistical downscaling method is used to connect the large-scale climate variables inferred from LMDZ and the reanalyses, with the hydrological Soil Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model in order to simulate the Rio Sali-Dulce discharge during 1950-2005. The SWAT simulations are then used to force the water balance of Laguna Mar Chiquita, which experienced an abrupt level rise in the 1970s attributed to the increase in Rio Sali-Dulce discharge. Despite that the lowstand in the 1970s is not well reproduced in either simulation, the key hydrological cycles in the lake level are accurately captured. Even though satisfying results are obtained with the SWAT simulations using downscaled reanalyses, the lake level are more realistically simulated with the SWAT simulations using downscaled LMDZ data in boxes B and C, showing a strong climate influence from the tropics on lake level fluctuations. Our results highlight the ability of downscaled climatic data to reproduce regional climate features. Laguna Mar Chiquita can therefore be considered as an integrator of large-scale climate changes since the forcing scenarios giving best results are those relying on global climate simulations forced with observed sea surface temperature. This climate-basin-lake model is a promising approach for understanding and simulating long-term lake level variations.

Unraveling the hydrological budget of isolated and seasonally contrasted sub-tropical lakes

Complete understanding of the hydrological functioning of large scale intertropical watersheds such as the Lake Chad Basin is becoming a high priority in the prospect of near-future climate change and increasing demographic pressure. This requires integrated studies of all surface water and groundwater bodies and of their quite complex interconnections. We present here a simple method for estimating the annual mean water balance of sub-Sahelian lakes subject to high seasonal contrast and located in isolated regions with no road access during the rainy season, a situation which precludes continuous 5 monitoring of in-situ hydrological data. Our study focuses for the first time on two lakes, Iro and Fitri, located in the eastern basin of Lake Chad. We also test the approach on Lake Ihotry in Madagascar, used as a benchmark site that has previously been extensively studied by our group. We combine the δO and δH data that we measured during the dry season with altimetry data from the SARAL satellite mission in order to model the seasonal variation of lake volume and isotopic composition. The annual water budget is then 10 estimated from mass balance equations using the Craig-Gordon model for evaporation. We first show that the closed-system behavior of Lake Ihotry (i.e. precipitation equal to evaporation) is well simulated by the model. For lakes Iro and Fitri, we calculate Evaporation to Influx ratios (E/I) of 0.6 ± 0.3 and 0.4 ± 0.2, respectively. In the case of the endorheic Lake Fitri, the estimated output flux corresponds to the infiltration of surface water toward the surface aquifer that regulates the chemistry of the lake. These results constitute a first-order assessment of the water-budget of these lakes, in regions where direct hydrologi15 cal and meteorological observations are very scarce or altogether lacking. Finally, we discuss the implications of our data on the hydro-climatic budget at the scale of the catchment basins. We observe that the Local Evaporation Lines obtained on both lake-aquifer systems are slightly offset from the average rainfall isotopic composition monitored by IAEA at N’Djamena (Chad), and we show that this difference may reflect the impact of vegetation transpiration on the basin water budget. Based on the discussion of the mass balance budget we conclude that, while being 20 broadly consistent with the idea that transpiration is on the same order of magnitude as evaporation in those basins, we cannot derive a more precise estimate of the partition between these two fluxes, owing to the large uncertainties of the different end-