Francisco Carlos da Cunha Cassuce

Determinantes dos investimentos diretos estrangeiros no Brasil, 1980-2004

Este trabalho teve o objetivo de investigar em que medidas o ingresso dos Investimentos Diretos Estrangeiros (IDE) no Brasil respondeu as mudancas nos niveis de seus principais determinantes no periodo de 1980 a 2004. Apos identificar que as series estudadas eram nao estacionarias, optou-se pela utilizacao do conceito de co-integracao, sendo estimado um Modelo de Correcao de Erros Vetorial (Vec Model). Os coeficientes estimados foram estatisticamente significativos e apresentaram os sinais esperados. Constatou-se que as variaveis as quais o ingresso de IDE apresentou maior sensibilidade sao o risco-Brasil, o grau de abertura comercial da economia e a taxa de inflacao brasileira.

A influência das regiões de fronteira e de variáveis socioeconômicas na criminalidade no estado do Paraná

This paper aimed to present the crimes determinants in Parana State, in 2000 and 2005. Crime has been a major concern of Brazilians in recent years. The search for solutions for these socialxa0problems increase as the crime evolves. In Parana, the situation is aggravated by the fact that this state is located in the region that makes border with Paraguay and Argentina, admittedly problematic, increasing the effects of socioeconomic variables. Through an econometric analysis, it could be noticed that increases in levels of education reduced crime rates in both years studied, 2000 and 2005. The income variable was positively related to the increase of crime rates in 2000. In 2005 this variable did not affect crime. The municipalities bordering Paraguay had, on average, crime rates higher than other ones in Parana in both years studied, proving the negative influence of this frontier area to combat crime in the state. Key words: crime, education, income, frontier region.