Gudmundur V. Einarsson

Genome-wide association study identifies a second prostate cancer susceptibility variant at 8q24

Prostate cancer is the most prevalent noncutaneous cancer in males in developed regions, with African American men having among the highest worldwide incidence and mortality rates. Here we report a second genetic variant in the 8q24 region that, in conjunction with another variant we recently discovered, accounts for about 11%–13% of prostate cancer cases in individuals of European descent and 31% of cases in African Americans. We made the current discovery through a genome-wide association scan of 1,453 affected Icelandic individuals and 3,064 controls using the Illumina HumanHap300 BeadChip followed by four replication studies. A key step in the discovery was the construction of a 14-SNP haplotype that efficiently tags a relatively uncommon (2%–4%) susceptibility variant in individuals of European descent that happens to be very common (∼42%) in African Americans. The newly identified variant shows a stronger association with affected individuals who have an earlier age at diagnosis.

A common variant associated with prostate cancer in European and African populations

With the increasing incidence of prostate cancer, identifying common genetic variants that confer risk of the disease is important. Here we report such a variant on chromosome 8q24, a region initially identified through a study of Icelandic families. Allele −8 of the microsatellite DG8S737 was associated with prostate cancer in three case-control series of European ancestry from Iceland, Sweden and the US. The estimated odds ratio (OR) of the allele is 1.62 (P = 2.7 × 10−11). About 19% of affected men and 13% of the general population carry at least one copy, yielding a population attributable risk (PAR) of ∼8%. The association was also replicated in an African American case-control group with a similar OR, in which 41% of affected individuals and 30% of the population are carriers. This leads to a greater estimated PAR (16%) that may contribute to higher incidence of prostate cancer in African American men than in men of European ancestry.

Two variants on chromosome 17 confer prostate cancer risk, and the one in TCF2 protects against type 2 diabetes

We performed a genome-wide association scan to search for sequence variants conferring risk of prostate cancer using 1,501 Icelandic men with prostate cancer and 11,290 controls. Follow-up studies involving three additional case-control groups replicated an association of two variants on chromosome 17 with the disease. These two variants, 33 Mb apart, fall within a region previously implicated by family-based linkage studies on prostate cancer. The risks conferred by these variants are moderate individually (allele odds ratio of about 1.20), but because they are common, their joint population attributable risk is substantial. One of the variants is in TCF2 (HNF1β), a gene known to be mutated in individuals with maturity-onset diabetes of the young type 5. Results from eight case-control groups, including one West African and one Chinese, demonstrate that this variant confers protection against type 2 diabetes.

Sequence variants at the TERT-CLPTM1L locus associate with many cancer types

The common sequence variants that have recently been associated with cancer risk are particular to a single cancer type or at most two. Following up on our genome-wide scan of basal cell carcinoma, we found that rs401681[C] on chromosome 5p15.33 satisfied our threshold for genome-wide significance (OR = 1.25, P = 3.7 × 10−12). We tested rs401681 for association with 16 additional cancer types in over 30,000 cancer cases and 45,000 controls and found association with lung cancer (OR = 1.15, P = 7.2 × 10−8) and urinary bladder, prostate and cervix cancer (ORs = 1.07−1.31, all P < 4 × 10−4). However, rs401681[C] seems to confer protection against cutaneous melanoma (OR = 0.88, P = 8.0 × 10−4). Notably, most of these cancer types have a strong environmental component to their risk. Investigation of the region led us to rs2736098[A], which showed stronger association with some cancer types. However, neither variant could fully account for the association of the other. rs2736098 corresponds to A305A in the telomerase reverse transcriptase (TERT) protein and rs401681 is in an intron of the CLPTM1L gene.

Common sequence variants on 2p15 and Xp11.22 confer susceptibility to prostate cancer

We conducted a genome-wide SNP association study on prostate cancer on over 23,000 Icelanders, followed by a replication study including over 15,500 individuals from Europe and the United States. Two newly identified variants were shown to be associated with prostate cancer: rs5945572 on Xp11.22 and rs721048 on 2p15 (odds ratios (OR) = 1.23 and 1.15; P = 3.9 × 10−13 and 7.7 × 10−9, respectively). The 2p15 variant shows a significantly stronger association with more aggressive, rather than less aggressive, forms of the disease.

Genome-wide association and replication studies identify four variants associated with prostate cancer susceptibility

We report a prostate cancer genome-wide association follow-on study. We discovered four variants associated with susceptibility to prostate cancer in several European populations: rs10934853[A] (OR = 1.12, P = 2.9 × 10−10) on 3q21.3; two moderately correlated (r2 = 0.07) variants, rs16902094[G] (OR = 1.21, P = 6.2 × 10−15) and rs445114[T] (OR = 1.14, P = 4.7 × 10−10), on 8q24.21; and rs8102476[C] (OR = 1.12, P = 1.6 × 10−11) on 19q13.2. We also refined a previous association signal on 11q13 with the SNP rs11228565[A] (OR = 1.23, P = 6.7 × 10−12). In a multivariate analysis using 22 prostate cancer risk variants typed in the Icelandic population, we estimated that carriers in the top 1.3% of the risk distribution are at a 2.5 times greater risk of developing the disease than members of the general population.

A study based on whole-genome sequencing yields a rare variant at 8q24 associated with prostate cancer

In Western countries, prostate cancer is the most prevalent cancer of men and one of the leading causes of cancer-related death in men. Several genome-wide association studies have yielded numerous common variants conferring risk of prostate cancer. Here, we analyzed 32.5 million variants discovered by whole-genome sequencing 1,795 Icelanders. We identified a new low-frequency variant at 8q24 associated with prostate cancer in European populations, rs188140481[A] (odds ratio (OR) = 2.90; Pcombined = 6.2 × 10−34), with an average risk allele frequency in controls of 0.54%. This variant is only very weakly correlated (r2 ≤ 0.06) with previously reported risk variants at 8q24, and its association remains significant after adjustment for all known risk-associated variants. Carriers of rs188140481[A] were diagnosed with prostate cancer 1.26 years younger than non-carriers (P = 0.0059). We also report results for a previously described HOXB13 variant (rs138213197[T]), confirming it as a prostate cancer risk variant in populations from across Europe.

Genetic correction of PSA values using sequence variants associated with PSA levels.

Sequence variants in the human genome are associated with serum levels of prostate-specific antigen. SNPping Away at Prostate Cancer Measuring prostate-specific antigen (PSA) in serum is the only diagnostic test for prostate cancer and is used as a screening tool for deciding whether to perform a biopsy. Yet, this diagnostic test is far from ideal, with more than a third of men with serum PSA levels of 10 ng/ml or greater having no evidence of prostate cancer at biopsy, and some men with very low PSA levels (less than the lower threshold of 2.5 ng/ml), who are not given a biopsy but yet end up having prostate cancer. The lack of specificity and sensitivity of the PSA test and the many confounding factors that influence the test result, including medications, inflammation, and, of course, genotype, have reduced the value of this screening tool. As with most cancers, early detection of prostate cancer leads to a greatly improved chance of survival, so improving the predictive accuracy of this test is of paramount importance. In an effort to investigate whether genome sequence variants can be used to make the PSA test more sensitive, Gudmundsson and colleagues have undertaken a genome-wide association study in 15,757 Icelandic men and 454 British men not yet diagnosed with prostate cancer to see whether they can tie sequence variants [single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs)] to serum PSA levels. The authors identify six loci with SNPs that correlate with PSA levels. They then probed these data more deeply. They looked at these loci in 3834 men who underwent subsequent biopsy of the prostate and demonstrate that three of these loci (10q26, 12q24, and 19q13.33) are associated not only with higher PSA levels but also with a higher probability of a negative biopsy result. The authors suggest that this genotype information should be used to calculate a personalized “cutoff” value for serum PSA levels in each individual to improve the predictive accuracy of the test and to ensure that only men who need a prostate biopsy are subjected to this procedure. Measuring serum levels of the prostate-specific antigen (PSA) is the most common screening method for prostate cancer. However, PSA levels are affected by a number of factors apart from neoplasia. Notably, around 40% of the variability of PSA levels in the general population is accounted for by inherited factors, suggesting that it may be possible to improve both sensitivity and specificity by adjusting test results for genetic effects. To search for sequence variants that associate with PSA levels, we performed a genome-wide association study and follow-up analysis using PSA information from 15,757 Icelandic and 454 British men not diagnosed with prostate cancer. Overall, we detected a genome-wide significant association between PSA levels and single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) at six loci: 5p15.33 (rs2736098), 10q11 (rs10993994), 10q26 (rs10788160), 12q24 (rs11067228), 17q12 (rs4430796), and 19q13.33 [rs17632542 (KLK3: I179T)], each with Pcombined <3 × 10−10. Among 3834 men who underwent a biopsy of the prostate, the 10q26, 12q24, and 19q13.33 alleles that associate with high PSA levels are associated with higher probability of a negative biopsy (odds ratio between 1.15 and 1.27). Assessment of association between the six loci and prostate cancer risk in 5325 cases and 41,417 controls from Iceland, the Netherlands, Spain, Romania, and the United States showed that the SNPs at 10q26 and 12q24 were exclusively associated with PSA levels, whereas the other four loci also were associated with prostate cancer risk. We propose that a personalized PSA cutoff value, based on genotype, should be used when deciding to perform a prostate biopsy.

A population-based familial aggregation analysis indicates genetic contribution in a majority of renal cell carcinomas.

The etiology of RCC is incompletely understood and the inherited genetic contribution uncertain. Although there are rare mendelian forms of RCC stemming from inherited mutations, most cases are thought to be sporadic. We sought to determine the extent of familial aggregation among Icelandic RCC patients in general. Medical and pathologic records for all patients diagnosed with RCC in Iceland between 1955 and 1999 were reviewed. This included a total of 1,078 RCC cases, 660 males and 418 females. With the use of an extensive computerized database containing genealogic information on 630,000 people in Iceland during the past 11 centuries, several analyses were conducted to determine whether the patients were more related to each other than members drawn at random from the population. Patients with RCC were significantly more related to each other than were subjects in matched groups of controls. This relatedness extended beyond the nuclear family. RRs were significantly greater than 1.0 for siblings, parents and cousins of probands. RRs were 2–3 for first‐degree relatives and 1.6 for third‐degree relatives. The risk of RCC is significantly higher for members of the extended family of an affected individual, as well as the nuclear family. Our results indicate that germline mutations are significantly involved in what has been defined as sporadic RCC.

Incidental Detection of Renal Cell Carcinoma is an Independent Prognostic Marker: Results of a Long-Term, Whole Population Study

PURPOSE The true effect of incidental detection on the survival of patients with renal cell carcinoma has been debated. We used centralized databases in Iceland to study prognostic factors of survival, focusing on the effect of incidental detection. MATERIALS AND METHODS This retrospective study included all living patients diagnosed with renal cell carcinoma in Iceland from 1971 to 2005. Hospital charts and histology were reviewed. Incidentally diagnosed renal cell carcinomas were compared to symptomatic tumors and prognostic factors were evaluated using Cox multivariate analysis. RESULTS Of the 910 patients 254 (27.9%) were diagnosed incidentally, most often by abdominal ultrasound (29.5%) or computerized tomography (28.3%). The incidental detection rate increased from 11.1% in 1971 through 1975 to 39.2% in 2001 through 2005 (p <0.001). During the same period the incidence increased significantly in males but in females only during the last 5 study years. Mortality remained unchanged for each gender. Incidentally detected tumors were an average of 2.6 cm smaller and diagnosed at lower stage and lower grade than symptomatic tumors. Age and histology were similar in each group. TNM stage was by far the strongest independent prognostic factor of survival but age, calendar year of diagnosis and ESR were also significant. After correcting for confounders patients with symptomatic renal cell carcinoma had worse survival than those diagnosed incidentally. CONCLUSIONS With increased incidence and unchanged mortality the survival of patients with renal cell carcinoma has improved. This is mainly related to a steep increase in incidental detection. Incidental detection affects survival favorably and to a greater extent than can be explained by lower stage compared to the survival of patients diagnosed with symptoms.