Guy Launoy

Cancer incidence and mortality in France over the period 1980-2005.

BACKGROUND The objective of this study was to provide updated estimates of national trends in cancer incidence and mortality for France for 1980-2005. METHODS Twenty-five cancer sites were analysed. Incidence data over the 1975-2003 period were collected from 17 registries working at the department level, covering 16% of the French population. Mortality data for 1975-2004 were provided by the Inserm. National incidence estimates were based on the use of mortality as a correlate of incidence, mortality being available at both department and national levels. Observed incidence and mortality data were modelled using an age-cohort approach, including an interaction term. Short-term predictions from that model gave estimates of new cancer cases and cancer deaths in 2005 for France. RESULTS The number of new cancer cases in 2005 was approximately 320,000. This corresponds to an 89% increase since 1980. Demographic changes were responsible for almost half of that increase. The remainder was largely explained by increases in prostate cancer incidence in men and breast cancer incidence in women. The relative increase in the world age-standardised incidence rate was 39%. The number of deaths from cancer increased from 130,000 to 146,000. This 13% increase was much lower than anticipated on the basis of demographic changes (37%). The relative decrease in the age-standardised mortality rate was 22%. This decrease was steeper over the 2000-2005 period in both men and women. Alcohol-related cancer incidence and mortality continued to decrease in men. The increasing trend of lung cancer incidence and mortality among women continued; this cancer was the second cause of cancer death among women. Breast cancer incidence increased regularly, whereas mortality has decreased slowly since the end of the 1990s. CONCLUSION This study confirmed the divergence of cancer incidence and mortality trends in France over the 1980-2005 period. This divergence can be explained by the combined effects of a decrease in the incidence of the most aggressive cancers and an increase in the incidence of less aggressive cancers, partly due to changes in medical practices leading to earlier diagnoses.

Comparison of a guaiac based and an immunochemical faecal occult blood test in screening for colorectal cancer in a general average risk population

Background: The guaiac faecal occult blood test (G-FOBT) is recommended as a screening test for colorectal cancer but its low sensitivity has prevented its use throughout the world. Methods: We compared the performances of the reference G-FOBT (non-rehydrated Hemoccult II test) and the immunochemical faecal occult blood test (I-FOBT) using different positivity cut-off values in an average risk population sample of 10 673 patients who completed the two tests. Patients with at least one test positive were asked to undergo colonoscopy. Results: Using the usual cut-off point of 20 ng/ml haemoglobin, the gain in sensitivity associated with the use of I-FOBT (50% increase for cancer and 256% increase for high risk adenoma) was balanced by a decrease in specificity. The number of extra false positive results associated with the detection of one extra advanced neoplasia (cancer or high risk adenoma) was 2.17 (95% confidence interval 1.65–2.85). With a threshold of 50 ng/ml, I-FOBT detected more than twice as many advanced neoplasias as the G-FOBT (ratio of sensitivity = 2.33) without any loss in specificity (ratio of false positive rate = 0.99). With a threshold of 75 ng/ml, associated with a similar positivity rate to G-FOBT (2.4%), the use of I-FOBT allowed a gain in sensitivity of 90% and a decrease in the false positive rate of 33% for advanced neoplasia. Conclusions: Evidence in favour of the substitution of G-FOBT by I-FOBT is increasing, the gain being more important for high risk adenomas than for cancers. The automated reading technology allows choice of the positivity rate associated with an ideal balance between sensitivity and specificity.

The French National Mesothelioma Surveillance Program

Objectives: The French National Mesothelioma Surveillance Program (NMSP) was established in 1998 by the National Institute for Health Surveillance (InVS). Its objectives are to estimate the trends in mesothelioma incidence and the proportion attributable to occupational asbestos exposure, to help improve its pathology diagnosis, to assess its compensation as an occupational disease, and to contribute to research. Methods: The NMSP records incident pleural tumours in 21 French districts that cover a population of approximately 16 million people (a quarter of the French population). A standardised procedure of pathological and clinical diagnosis ascertainment is used. Lifetime exposure to asbestos and to other factors (man made mineral fibres, ionising radiation, SV40 virus) is reconstructed, and a case-control study was also conducted. The proportion of mesothelioma compensated as an occupational disease was assessed. Results: Depending on the hypothesis, the estimated number of incident cases in 1998 ranged from 660 to 761 (women: 127 to 146; men: 533 to 615). Among men, the industries with the highest risks of mesothelioma are construction and ship repair, asbestos industry, and manufacture of metal construction materials; the occupations at highest risk are plumbers, pipe-fitters, and sheet-metal workers. The attributable risk fraction for occupational asbestos exposure in men was 83.2% (95% CI 76.8 to 89.6). The initial pathologist’s diagnosis was confirmed in 67% of cases, ruled out in 13%, and left uncertain in the others; for half of the latter, the clinical findings supported a mesothelioma diagnosis. In all, 62% applied for designation of an occupational disease, and 91% of these were receiving workers’ compensation. Conclusions: The NMSP is a large scale epidemiological surveillance system with several original aspects, providing important information to improve the knowledge of malignant pleural mesothelioma, such as monitoring the evolution of its incidence, of high risk occupations and economic sectors, and improving pathology techniques.

Diet and squamous-cell cancer of the oesophagus: a French multicentre case-control study.

An increasing number of reports suggest that diet has an impact on oesophageal cancer risk in Western countries, where alcohol and tobacco are held to be the major determinants of the risk. The aim of our study was to identify dietary factors influencing the risk of oesophageal cancer in France and to determine whether certain of these could explain some of the geographical variations. We conducted a multicentre case‐control study in 3 regions expected to have different diet and drinking habits (Normandy, Burgundy and Midi Pyrénées). Two hundred eight cases and 399 controls, all males, were interviewed about their eating, drinking and smoking habits. After proper adjustment for drinking and smoking, high consumption of butter and low consumption of fresh fish, vegetables and fruits were associated strongly and indepedently with an increase in oesophageal‐cancer risk. Consistently, cholesterol appeared as a risk factor and vitamin E, vitamin D and phosphorus as independent protective factors. The protective effect of citrus and other fresh fruits (vitamin C) was confined strictly to heavy drinkers. Our findings suggest that more than one‐third of the high incidence of oesophageal cancer in northwest France could be explained by the local excess in butter consumption, whereas geographical variations in consumption of dietary protective factors could explain no more than 10% of it. Overall, a large proportion (57%) of the excess incidence of oesophageal cancer in northwest France could be explained by local dietary habits, e.g., drinking hot Calvados liquor and excessive consumption of butter. Int. J. Cancer 76:7–12, 1998.© 1998 Wiley‐Liss, Inc.

Lymph node harvest reporting in patients with carcinoma of the large bowel

In patients with resected colorectal carcinoma, lymph node involvement has particular importance for patient prognosis and adjuvant therapy. The network of French cancer registries (FRANCIM) established a study aimed at analyzing the validity of lymph node harvest reporting in a population‐based sample.

Incidence of gastrointestinal cancers in France

AIM Monitoring cancer incidence and time trends is essential for cancer research and health care planning. The aim of the study was to compare the incidence of gastrointestinal cancers in twelve administrative area in France to estimate the national cancer incidence during 2000 compared with the preceding 20 years. METHODS Incidence data was provided by cancer registries and mortality data by the French national medical research institute (INSERM). The two data sets were modeled separately over the period 1988-1997 using age-cohort models. The incidence/mortality ratio obtained from these models was applied to the mortality rates of an age-cohort model of the entire population. RESULTS The estimated number of new cases of gastrointestinal cancer was 61,465 in 2000. Colorectal cancer was the leading localization with 36,257 cases. The incidence of gastrointestinal cancers was slightly higher in northern than in southern area. Incidence of esophageal cancer was three times that of liver cancer. Variations in incidence were less marked for other localizations. The incidence of gastric and esophageal cancer in the male population decreased between 1980 and 2000, on average by slightly more than 2% per year. Incidence of other cancers increased. The number of new cases of colorectal cancer increased by 50%. The rise in the incidence of liver cancer was particularly striking, with an increase from 2000 incident cases in 1980 to nearly 6000 in 2000. CONCLUSION For most localizations, incidence of gastrointestinal cancers displays few geographical differences in France, but there has been a striking change in incidence trends over the past 20 years.

Alcohol, tobacco and oesophageal cancer: effects of the duration of consumption, mean intake and current and former consumption.

Numerous epidemiological studies have shown that alcohol and tobacco consumption are the main risk factors for oesophageal cancer in Western countries. In these studies, the consumption of both alcohol and tobacco has almost always been measured as current mean intake. The present case-control study investigates the association between alcohol and tobacco consumption and the risk of oesophageal cancer by assessing exposure as total lifetime intake, mean weekly intake, duration of consumption and former and current consumption. Between 1991 and 1994, 208 cases and 399 control subjects were selected from three French university hospitals (Caen, Dijon and Toulouse). Eligible cases were men aged less than 85 years admitted to one of these hospitals with histologically proven squamous cell carcinoma of the oesophagus. During the interview, complete tobacco and alcohol consumption histories were recorded. Our findings suggest that alcohol consumption and tobacco consumption influence the risk of oesophageal cancer in different ways. In the case of alcohol, the relationship between the odds ratio and mean weekly intake was linear, the risk depending solely on mean weekly intake, with former and current consumption having similar effects. With regard to tobacco, the relationship between the odds ratio and mean weekly intake was log-linear; the risk depended mainly on the duration of consumption and former consumption had a lesser effect than current consumption. Our study suggests that total lifetime intake is not a correct measure of exposure for either alcohol or tobacco: for a given lifetime consumption of tobacco, a moderate intake during a long period carries a higher risk than a high intake during a shorter period and, conversely, for a given lifetime consumption of alcohol, a high intake during a shorter period carries a higher risk than a moderate intake during a longer period. Our results confirm the very low risk associated with a low alcohol intake, even over long periods. In contrast, there is a steep increase in the risk associated with smoking at even low mean intakes if these are continued over long periods. Our findings also suggest that even heavy smokers may benefit from quitting.

Construction of an adaptable European transnational ecological deprivation index: the French version

Background Studying social disparities in health implies the ability to measure them accurately, to compare them between different areas or countries and to follow trends over time. This study proposes a method for constructing a French European deprivation index, which will be replicable in several European countries and is related to an individual deprivation indicator constructed from a European survey specifically designed to study deprivation. Methods and Results Using individual data from the European Union Statistics on Income and Living Conditions survey, goods/services indicated by individuals as being fundamental needs, the lack of which reflect deprivation, were selected. From this definition, which is specific to a cultural context, an individual deprivation indicator was constructed by selecting fundamental needs associated both with objective and subjective poverty. Next, the authors selected among variables available both in the European Union Statistics on Income and Living Conditions survey and French national census those best reflecting individual experience of deprivation using multivariate logistic regression. An ecological measure of deprivation was provided for all the smallest French geographical units. Preliminary validation showed a higher association between the French European Deprivation Index (EDI) score and both income and education than the Townsend index, partly ensuring its ability to measure individual socioeconomic status. Conclusion This index, which is specific to a particular cultural and social policy context, could be replicated in 25 other European countries, thereby allowing European comparisons. EDI could also be reproducible over time. EDI could prove to be a relevant tool in evidence-based policy-making for measuring and reducing social disparities in health issues and even outside the medical domain.

Evaluation of an immunochemical fecal occult blood test with automated reading in screening for colorectal cancer in a general average-risk population.

Colorectal cancer screening is a high public health priority in all industrialized countries. However, the low sensitivity of the common guaiac screening test (HemoccultII) makes practitioners and public health decision makers reluctant to set up a national screening program. In recent years, immunochemical tests based on the use of a specific antibody have been found to be more sensitive than the HemoccultII test. However, for screening purposes, any gain in sensitivity is of interest only if specificity and positive predictive value are satisfactory. Our aim was to assess the performance of an immunochemical test with an automated reading technique (Magstream 1000) for different hemoglobin content cut‐off points. The study was carried out in the general population aged 50–74 years in the geographic area of Cotentin (Normandy, France). From 1 January 2001 to 31 December 2002, 7,421 one‐time screening tests (Magstream) were administered by general practitioners and occupational physicians to patients at the end of regular consultations. Colonoscopy was proposed to the 434 people with a positive test. All cancers occurring in the study population between 1 January 2001 and 31 December 2003 were collected by general practitioners, gastroenterologists and the local registry. At the usual positivity threshold (20 ng hemoglobin/ml), screening sensitivity and specificity at 2 years of follow‐up with 95% CIs were, respectively, 0.85 (0.72–0.98) and 0.94 (0.94–0.95). If the hemoglobin content cut‐off point had been set at 50 ng/ml instead of the usual cut‐off, positivity would have been 3.1% and positive predictive value for a cancer or a large adenoma would have been 0.49, with sensitivity of 0.68–0.83 and specificity of 0.97. Our results suggest that use of an immunochemical test with an automated reading technique could improve the prospects for mass‐screening for colorectal cancer since it offers a promising alternative to guaiac tests.

Descriptive epidemiology of upper aerodigestive tract cancers in France: Incidence over 1980–2005 and projection to 2010

Over the 1998-2002 period, some French Départements have been shown to have the worlds highest incidence of upper aerodigestive tract (UADT) cancers in men. The objectives were to describe the changes in UADT cancer incidence in France over the 1980-2005 period, present projections for 2010, and describe the anatomical and histological characteristics of these tumours. The trend of cancer-incidence over 1980-2005 and projection up to 2010 were obtained using age-period-cohort models (data from eleven cancer registries) and incidence/mortality ratios in the area covered by these registries. The description of UADT cancers by anatomical and histological characteristics concerned data collected between 1980 and 2004 in eleven cancer registries. In men, cancer incidence decreased in all cancer sites and the world-standardized incidence rates decreased by 42.9% for lip-oral cavity-pharynx (LOCP) cancers and 50.4% for larynx cancer. In women, the world-standardized incidence rates increased by 48.6% for LOCP cancers and 66.7% for larynx cancer. Incidence increased the most for oropharynx, palate, and hypopharynx cancers. Incidence analysis by one-year cohorts revealed a progressive shift of the incidence peak towards younger and younger generations, with no change as yet in the mean age at diagnosis. In France, the incidence of these cancers is still higher than in other European and North American countries. This urges actions towards reducing the major risk factors for those cancers, namely alcohol and tobacco consumption, especially among young people, and reducing exposure to risk factors due to social inequalities.