Hiromitsu Kanno

ヤマセ風(東北日本に吹走する低温の北東風)の気塊の鉛直構造に基づいた分類

The Yamase wind -a cold northeasterly wind which produces cool weather in summer over northeastern Japan- was classified by using upper-air meteorological data. A cluster analysis was performed of the vertical structures of the Yamase air masses, which were divided into seven clusters. The mean features of the Yamase air mass in each cluster are investigated. The surface low temperature area is in proportion to the Yamase air mass height but the air mass height does not always correspond to the height of the easterly wind. In the case of the Yamase air mass and easterly wind being both high (over about 800 hPa), the surface easterly wind blows over northeastern Japan and an extremely low temperature area spreads over the Pacific side (Clusters 2 and 6). In the case of the easterly wind being high (over about 800 hPa) but the Yamase air mass being low (below about 800 hPa), the surface easterly wind blows over northeastern Japan but the surface temperature is not extremely low, and the cold air is effectively blocked by the mountain range (Clusters 3 and 5). In the case of the easterly wind and Yamase air mass heights being both low, the surface easterly wind and low temperature area are restricted to the Pacific side (Clusters 1, 4 and 7). The Yamase wind appearances in each cluster show a seasonal dependence; the Yamase wind included in Clusters 6 and 7 blows only in June, that in Clusters 2 and 4 appears mainly in the Baiu season, in Clusters 1 and 3 it blows from late Baiu to summer, and in Cluster 5 blows in the summer season. Also the surface pressure pattern, front distribution, and the mean 500 hPa geopotential height field have the unique characteristics in each cluster. The Yamase-wind appearances in each year indicate that the severe cool summer years (1980, 1988, 1993) are induced by the Yamase winds classified in Clusters 2, 3, and 4; however, the Yamase wind in C!uster 2 having a thick and cold air mass plays an especially important role in causing a cool summer.

An Application of a Physical Vegetation Model to Estimate Climate Change Impacts on Rice Leaf Wetness

AbstractA physical vegetation model [the Two-Layer Model (2LM)] was applied to estimate the climate change impacts on rice leaf wetness (LW) as a potential indicator of rice blast occurrence. Japan was used as an example. Dynamically downscaled data at 20-km-mesh resolution from three global climate models (CCSM4, MIROC5, and MRI-CGCM3) were utilized for present (1981–2000) and future (2081–2100) climates under the representative concentration pathway 4.5 scenario. To evaluate the performance of the 2LM, the LW and other meteorological variables were observed for 108 days during the summer of 2013 at three sites on the Pacific Ocean side of Japan. The derived correct estimation rate was 77.4%, which is similar to that observed in previous studies. Using the downscaled dataset, the changes in several precipitation indices were calculated. The regionally averaged ensemble mean precipitation increased by 6%, although large intermodel differences were found. By defining a wet day as any day in which the daily...