Howard Mackey

Inhibition of the hedgehog pathway in advanced basal-cell carcinoma.

BACKGROUND Mutations in hedgehog pathway genes, primarily genes encoding patched homologue 1 (PTCH1) and smoothened homologue (SMO), occur in basal-cell carcinoma. In a phase 1 clinical trial, we assessed the safety and pharmacokinetics of GDC-0449, a small-molecule inhibitor of SMO, and responses of metastatic or locally advanced basal-cell carcinoma to the drug. METHODS We selected 33 patients with metastatic or locally advanced basal-cell carcinoma to receive oral GDC-0449 at one of three doses; 17 patients received 150 mg per day, 15 patients received 270 mg per day, and 1 patient received 540 mg per day. We assessed tumor responses with the use of Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (RECIST), physical examination, or both. Molecular aspects of the tumors were examined. RESULTS The median duration of the study treatment was 9.8 months. Of the 33 patients, 18 had an objective response to GDC-0449, according to assessment on imaging (7 patients), physical examination (10 patients), or both (1 patient). Of the patients who had a response, 2 had a complete response and 16 had a partial response. The other 15 patients had either stable disease (11 patients) or progressive disease (4 patients). Eight grade 3 adverse events that were deemed to be possibly related to the study drug were reported in six patients, including four with fatigue, two with hyponatremia, one with muscle spasm, and one with atrial fibrillation. One grade 4 event, asymptomatic hyponatremia, was judged to be unrelated to GDC-0449. One patient withdrew from the study because of adverse events. We found evidence of hedgehog signaling in tumors that responded to the treatment. CONCLUSIONS GDC-0449, an orally active small molecule that targets the hedgehog pathway, appears to have antitumor activity in locally advanced or metastatic basal-cell carcinoma. (ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT00607724.)

Efficacy and Safety of Vismodegib in Advanced Basal-Cell Carcinoma

BACKGROUND Alterations in hedgehog signaling are implicated in the pathogenesis of basal-cell carcinoma. Although most basal-cell carcinomas are treated surgically, no effective therapy exists for locally advanced or metastatic basal-cell carcinoma. A phase 1 study of vismodegib (GDC-0449), a first-in-class, small-molecule inhibitor of the hedgehog pathway, showed a 58% response rate among patients with advanced basal-cell carcinoma. METHODS In this multicenter, international, two-cohort, nonrandomized study, we enrolled patients with metastatic basal-cell carcinoma and those with locally advanced basal-cell carcinoma who had inoperable disease or for whom surgery was inappropriate (because of multiple recurrences and a low likelihood of surgical cure, or substantial anticipated disfigurement). All patients received 150 mg of oral vismodegib daily. The primary end point was the independently assessed objective response rate; the primary hypotheses were that the response rate would be greater than 20% for patients with locally advanced basal-cell carcinoma and greater than 10% for those with metastatic basal-cell carcinoma. RESULTS In 33 patients with metastatic basal-cell carcinoma, the independently assessed response rate was 30% (95% confidence interval [CI], 16 to 48; P=0.001). In 63 patients with locally advanced basal-cell carcinoma, the independently assessed response rate was 43% (95% CI, 31 to 56; P<0.001), with complete responses in 13 patients (21%). The median duration of response was 7.6 months in both cohorts. Adverse events occurring in more than 30% of patients were muscle spasms, alopecia, dysgeusia (taste disturbance), weight loss, and fatigue. Serious adverse events were reported in 25% of patients; seven deaths due to adverse events were noted. CONCLUSIONS Vismodegib is associated with tumor responses in patients with locally advanced or metastatic basal-cell carcinoma. (Funded by Genentech; Erivance BCC ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT00833417.).

A randomized phase II trial of vismodegib versus placebo with FOLFOX or FOLFIRI and bevacizumab in patients with previously untreated metastatic colorectal cancer.

Purpose: Vismodegib, a Hedgehog pathway inhibitor, has preclinical activity in colorectal cancer (CRC) models. This trial assessed the efficacy, safety, and pharmacokinetics of adding vismodegib to first-line treatment for metastatic CRC (mCRC). Experimental design: Patients were randomized to receive vismodegib (150 mg/day orally) or placebo, in combination with FOLFOX or FOLFIRI chemotherapy plus bevacizumab (5 mg/kg) every 2 weeks until disease progression or intolerable toxicity. The primary endpoint was progression-free survival (PFS). Key secondary objectives included evaluation of predictive biomarkers and pharmacokinetic drug interactions. Results: A total of 199 patients with mCRC were treated on protocol (124 FOLFOX, 75 FOLFIRI). The median PFS hazard ratio (HR) for vismodegib treatment compared with placebo was 1.25 (90% CI: 0.89–1.76; P = 0.28). The overall response rates for placebo-treated and vismodegib-treated patients were 51% (90% CI: 43–60) and 46% (90% CI: 37–55), respectively. No vismodegib-associated benefit was observed in combination with either FOLFOX or FOLFIRI. Increased tumor tissue Hedgehog expression did not predict clinical benefit. Grade 3 to 5 adverse events reported for more than 5% of patients that occurred more frequently in the vismodegib-treated group were fatigue, nausea, asthenia, mucositis, peripheral sensory neuropathy, weight loss, decreased appetite, and dehydration. Vismodegib did not alter the pharmacokinetics of FOLFOX, FOLFIRI, or bevacizumab. Conclusions: Vismodegib does not add to the efficacy of standard therapy for mCRC. Compared with placebo, treatment intensity was lower for all regimen components in vismodegib-treated patients, suggesting that combined toxicity may have contributed to lack of efficacy. Clin Cancer Res; 19(1); 258–67. ©2012 AACR.

Sample size and threshold estimation for clinical trials with predictive biomarkers

With the increasing availability of newly discovered biomarkers personalized drug development is becoming more commonplace. Unless evidence of the dependence of clinical benefit on biomarker classification is a priori unequivocal, personalized drug development needs to jointly investigate treatments and biomarkers in clinical trials. Motivated by the development of contemporary cancer treatments, we propose targeting three main questions sequentially in order to determine (1) whether a drug is efficacious, (2) whether a biomarker can personalize treatment, and (3) how to define personalization. For time-to-event data satisfying the Cox proportional hazards model, we show that (1) and (2) may not directly involve the variance of an interaction term but of a contrast with smaller variance. An asymptotically exact covariance matrix for the parameter vector in the CPH model is derived to construct sample size formulae and an inference approach for thresholds of continuous biomarkers. The covariance matrix also reveals strategies for greater efficiency in trial design, for example, when the biomarker is binary or does not modulate the effect of treatment in the control arm. We motivate our approach by studying the outcome of a contemporary cancer study.

Some Notable Properties of the Standard Oncology Phase I Design

We identify three properties of the standard oncology Phase I trial design or 3 + 3 design. We show that the standard design implicitly uses isotonic regression to estimate a maximum tolerated dose. We next illustrate the relationship between the standard design and a Bayesian design proposed by Ji et al. (2007). A slight modification to this Bayesian design, under a particular model specification, would assign treatments in a manner identical to the standard design. We finally present calculations revealing the behavior of the standard design in a worst case scenario and compare its behavior with other 3 + 3-like designs.

The incidence of metastatic basal cell carcinoma (mBCC) in Denmark, 1997–2010

BackgroundFew data exist on the occurrence of metastatic basal cell carcinoma (mBCC).ObjectiveTo identify all cases of mBCC in Denmark over a 14-year period.MethodsWe searched the Danish National Patient Registry covering all Danish hospitals, the Danish Cancer Registry, the National Pathology Registry and the Causes of Death Registry during the period 1997 to 2010 for potential cases of mBCC registered according to the International classification of diseases ICD-10 and the International Systemized Nomenclature of Medicine (SNOMED).ResultsWe identified 126,627 patients with a history of primary basal cell carcinoma (BCC) in the registries during the 14-year study period. Using case identifications from the four registries, a total of 170 potential mBCC cases were identified. However, after a pathology review, only five cases could be confirmed, of which three were basosquamous carcinomas. The 14-year cumulative incidence proportion of mBCC was 0.0039% (95% CI 0.0016–0.0083) among individuals with a history of previousBCC(n = 126,627) and 0.0001% (95% CI 0.0000–0.0002) in the general population.ConclusionMBCCis a rare disease and only a small proportion of potential cases identified in automated clinical databases or registries can be confirmed by pathology and medical record review.

Abstract B001: Development of a PD-L1 companion diagnostic IHC assay (SP142) for atezolizumab

Background: Understanding of immune tolerance mechanisms of cancer has prompted the development of cancer immunotherapies such as atezolizumab (anti-PD-L1, MPDL3280A). Robust, durable responses have been observed, leading to Breakthrough status designation by the FDA for atezolizumab for previously treated NSCLC and bladder cancer (UBC) patients. Roche/Ventana have developed a companion diagnostic (CDx) for atezoliziumab using a robust immunohistochemistry (IHC) assay and antibody clone (SP142), optimized to detect PD-L1 expression in both tumor cells (TC) and tumor-infiltrating immune cells (IC). Here we describe the characteristics of the SP142 assay, PD-L1 expression patterns observed by immunohistochemistry in TC and IC compartments, and their association with clinical efficacy for NSCLC and UBC patients. Methods: The anti-human PD-L1 rabbit monoclonal antibody SP142 was optimized for detection of both TC and IC expression of PD-L1 with the Ventana OptiView DAB IHC Detection Kit on the automated BenchMark ULTRA platform. The VENTANA PD-L1 (SP142) CDx assay was validated for use in formalin-fixed, paraffin-embedded samples of NSCLC and UBC in a series of studies addressing sensitivity, specificity, robustness, and precision. Formalin fixed, paraffin embedded tumor specimens were obtained from patients prescreened and/or enrolled into Genentech Ph I study PCD4989g, and PD-L1 expression was measured using the SP142 assay and PCR gene expression assays. Results: The SP142 assay met pre-defined acceptance criteria for TC and IC assessment of PD-L1 expression in NSCLC and UBC tumors, including >90% inter-reader concordance between pathologist readers. Rapid and durable responses were observed in the Ph I study (PCD4989g), and correlated with PD-L1 expression patterns observed by immunohistochemistry in TC and IC. In the same Ph I study (PCD4989g), PD-L1 expression as measured by PCR did not demonstrate the same predictive value as observed for IHC. Conclusions: The PD-L1 IHC (SP142) CDx is a robust assay to measure PD-L1 expression in both IC and TC. Further, the high reproducibility of results between pathologists shows that the scoring algorithms in UBC and NSCLC are precise, reproducible, and practical in the diagnostic setting. The results indicate that favorable atezolizumab efficacy for UBC is strongly associated with higher IC levels as assessed by the sensitive and specific PD-L1 IHC (SP142) CDx assay. In NSCLC, favorable atezolizumab efficacy is associated with tumors expressing either high TC or high IC levels by the PD-L1 IHC (SP142) CDx assay. These data support the predictive value of tumor PD-L1 levels by IHC for NSCLC and UBC patients receiving atezoliziumab. Citation Format: Zachary S. Boyd, Dustin Smith, Brian Baker, Bharathi Vennapusa, Hartmut Koeppen, Marcin Kowanetz, Sanjeev Mariathasan, Jean-Marie Bruey, Howard Mackey, Gregg Fine, Simonetta Mocci, Priti Hegde, J. Andrew Williams, Ian McCaffery. Development of a PD-L1 companion diagnostic IHC assay (SP142) for atezolizumab. [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the CRI-CIMT-EATI-AACR Inaugural International Cancer Immunotherapy Conference: Translating Science into Survival; September 16-19, 2015; New York, NY. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Immunol Res 2016;4(1 Suppl):Abstract nr B001.

An industry statistician's perspective on PHC drug development

In the past decade, the cost of drug development has increased significantly. The estimates vary widely but frequently quoted numbers are staggering-it takes 10-15 years and billions of dollars to bring a drug to patients. To a large extent this is due to many long, expensive and ultimately unsuccessful drug trials. While one approach to combat the low yield on investment could be to continue searching for new blockbusters, an alternative method would lead us to focus on testing new targeted treatments that have a strong underlying scientific rationale and are more likely to provide enhanced clinical benefit in population subsets defined by molecular diagnostics. Development of these new treatments, however, cannot follow the usual established path; new strategies and approaches are required for the co-development of novel therapeutics and the diagnostic. In this paper we will review, from the point of view of industry, the approaches to, and challenges of drug development strategies incorporating predictive biomarkers into clinical programs. We will outline the basic concepts behind co-development with predictive biomarkers and summarize the current regulatory paradigm. We will present guiding principles of personalized health care (PHC) development and review the statistical, strategic, regulatory and operational challenges that statisticians regularly encounter on development programs with a PHC component. Some practical recommendations for team statisticians involved in PHC drug development are included. The majority of the examples and recommendations are drawn from oncology but broader concepts apply across all therapeutic areas.

The Alzheimer's Prevention Initiative Autosomal-Dominant Alzheimer's Disease Trial: A study of crenezumab versus placebo in preclinical PSEN1 E280A mutation carriers to evaluate efficacy and safety in the treatment of autosomal-dominant Alzheimer's disease, including a placebo-treated noncarrier cohort

Autosomal‐dominant Alzheimers disease (ADAD) represents a crucial population for identifying prevention strategies that might modify disease course for cognitively unimpaired individuals at high imminent risk for developing symptoms due to Alzheimers disease (AD), that is, who have “preclinical” AD. Crenezumab is an antiamyloid monoclonal antibody that binds monomeric and aggregated forms of amyloid β, with highest affinity for oligomers; it is in development for early stages of sporadic AD and for ADAD.

The incidence of metastatic basal cell carcinoma (mBCC) in Denmark, 1997-2010 Incidence of metastatic BCC

BackgroundFew data exist on the occurrence of metastatic basal cell carcinoma (mBCC).ObjectiveTo identify all cases of mBCC in Denmark over a 14-year period.MethodsWe searched the Danish National Patient Registry covering all Danish hospitals, the Danish Cancer Registry, the National Pathology Registry and the Causes of Death Registry during the period 1997 to 2010 for potential cases of mBCC registered according to the International classification of diseases ICD-10 and the International Systemized Nomenclature of Medicine (SNOMED).ResultsWe identified 126,627 patients with a history of primary basal cell carcinoma (BCC) in the registries during the 14-year study period. Using case identifications from the four registries, a total of 170 potential mBCC cases were identified. However, after a pathology review, only five cases could be confirmed, of which three were basosquamous carcinomas. The 14-year cumulative incidence proportion of mBCC was 0.0039% (95% CI 0.0016–0.0083) among individuals with a history of previousBCC(n = 126,627) and 0.0001% (95% CI 0.0000–0.0002) in the general population.ConclusionMBCCis a rare disease and only a small proportion of potential cases identified in automated clinical databases or registries can be confirmed by pathology and medical record review.