Jaume Sastre-Garriga

Do oligoclonal bands add information to MRI in first attacks of multiple sclerosis

Background: To evaluate whether oligoclonal bands (OB) add information to MRI in predicting both a second attack and development of disability in patients with clinically isolated syndromes (CIS). Methods: From 1995 to 2006, 572 patients with CIS were included in a prospective study. Patients underwent brain MRI and determination of OB within 3 months of first attack. The number and location of lesions and presence of OB were studied. We analyzed time to second attack and to Expanded Disability Status Scale 3.0 according to number of Barkhof criteria (BC) and the presence or absence of OB. Results: We studied 415 (73%) patients with CIS with both baseline MRI and determination of OB. Patients were followed for a mean of 50 months (SD 31). Compared to the reference group with 0 BC at baseline MRI, patients with one to two BC showed a hazard ratio (HR) for conversion to CDMS of 3.8 (2.0 to 7.2) and patients with three to four BC of 8.9 (4.8 to 16.4). Of the total cohort, OB were positive in 61% of the patients. However, broken down by MRI group, OB were positive in 31% of those with no BC; 69% of those with one to two BC; and 85% of those with three or four BC. The presence of OB increased the risk of a second relapse (HR 1.7; 1.1 to −2.7) independently of baseline MRI but did not modify the development of disability. Conclusions: Presence of oligoclonal bands doubles the risk for having a second attack, independently of MRI, but does not seem to influence the development of disability. GLOSSARY: BC = Barkhof criteria; CDMS = clinically definite multiple sclerosis; CIS = clinically isolated syndromes; EDSS = Expanded Disability Status Scale; HR = hazard ratio; MS = multiple sclerosis; OB = oligoclonal bands.

Baseline MRI predicts future attacks and disability in clinically isolated syndromes

Objective: To determine the relation between baseline MRI and both conversion to multiple sclerosis (MS) and development of disability in a cohort of patients with clinically isolated syndromes (CIS). Methods: From 1995 to 1998, 175 consecutive patients with CIS underwent brain MRI within 3 months of their first attack and again 12 months and 5 years later. We studied the number and location of lesions at baseline and development of new T2 lesions. We also analyzed conversion to MS and development of disability (Expanded Disability Status Scale [EDSS] ≥ 3.0). Results: We included 156 patients with CIS followed for a median of 7 years. Compared to the reference group with 0 Barkhof criteria at baseline MRI, patients with one or two Barkhof criteria showed an adjusted hazard ratio (HR) of 6.1 (2.2 to 16.6) and patients with three to four Barkhof criteria of 17.0 (6.7 to 43) for conversion to MS and differentiated patients with low, medium, and high conversion risk. EDSS at year 5 correlated with baseline number of Barkhof criteria (r = 0.46, p < 0.0001). When categorizing by number of baseline lesions, similar results were seen. Patients with a baseline MRI with three to four Barkhof criteria had an adjusted HR of 3.9 (1.1 to 13.6) for reaching EDSS ≥ 3.0. Only 10% of the latter had disability at year 5, but 40% reached this at 8 years. Conclusions: Baseline MRI determines the risk for converting to clinically definite multiple sclerosis and correlates with disability at 5 years. The proportion of patients developing disability is low during the first 5 years but rapidly increases shortly after.

New diagnostic criteria for multiple sclerosis Application in first demyelinating episode

Background: Recently developed diagnostic criteria for MS (McDonald criteria) indicate that in patients with a single demyelinating episode (clinically isolated syndromes [CIS]), evidence for dissemination in space and time, essential for diagnosis, may be provided by MRI. Objective: To assess the usefulness of these new criteria in patients with CIS suggestive of MS. Methods: A total of 139 patients with CIS followed for a median of 3 years underwent brain MRI within 3 months of their first attack and again 12 months later. The number and location of lesions at baseline, the development of new lesions at follow-up, and the results of CSF examination (which, if positive, requires fewer MR abnormalities for diagnosis) were analyzed. The new McDonald criteria (incorporating MRI) were compared to the existing Poser diagnostic criteria and their accuracy was evaluated. Results: At 12 months, 11% had clinically definite MS according to the Poser criteria compared to 37% with the McDonald criteria. Eighty percent of patients fulfilling these new criteria developed a second clinical episode within a mean follow-up of 49 months. The new criteria showed a sensitivity of 74%, specificity of 86%, and accuracy of 80% in predicting conversion to clinically definite MS. Conclusion: One year after symptom onset, more than three times as many patients with CIS were diagnosed with MS using new diagnostic criteria incorporating MRI results compared to older criteria. However, the proposed MRI criteria require further prospective studies to optimize sensitivity and specificity.

MRI criteria for the diagnosis of multiple sclerosis: MAGNIMS consensus guidelines

Summary In patients presenting with a clinically isolated syndrome (CIS), magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) can support and substitute clinical information for multiple sclerosis (MS) diagnosis demonstrating disease dissemination in space (DIS) and time (DIT) and helping to rule out other conditions that can mimic MS. From their inclusion in the diagnostic work-up for MS in 2001, several modifications of MRI diagnostic criteria have been proposed, in the attempt to simplify lesion-count models for demonstrating DIS, change the timing of MRI scanning for demonstrating DIT, and increase the value of spinal cord imaging. Since the last update of these criteria, new data regarding the application of MRI for demonstrating DIS and DIT have become available and improvement in MRI technology has occurred. State-of-the-art MRI findings in these patients were discussed in a MAGNIMS workshop, the goal of which was to provide an evidence-based and expert-opinion consensus on diagnostic MRI criteria modifications.

Measures in the first year of therapy predict the response to interferon β in MS

Background and objective Several criteria for treatment response to interferon beta (IFNβ) have been proposed, although there is no consensus among different investigators. Hence, the aim of this study was to investigate magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and clinical predictors of response during the first 12 months of therapy. Methods This is a prospective and longitudinal study of relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) patients treated with IFNβ. Patients were classified based on the presence of new lesions on MRI, relapses, confirmed disability increase, or combinations of all these variables after 1 year of therapy. Regression analysis was performed in order to identify variables of response after a follow-up of 3 years. Results We included 222 RRMS patients. The logistic model demonstrated that only the combination of new active lesions on MRI with the presence of relapses (OR 4.4; 95% CI 1.6–12.5) or disability progression (Odds Ratio (OR) 7.1; 95% Confidence Interval (CI) 1.6–33.9), or both (OR 6.5; 95% CI 1.9–23.4) achieved significant values to identify those patients with a poor outcome. Conclusions In RRMS patients treated with IFNβ, the combination of measures of disease activity and the presence of new active lesions on MRI may have a prognostic value for identifying patients with disease activity in the second and third year of therapy.

Gray and white matter volume changes in early RRMS : A 2-year longitudinal study

Background: Brain atrophy, in excess of that seen with normal aging, has been observed early in the clinical course of relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS). Previous work has suggested that at this stage of the disease, gray matter (GM) atrophy progresses more rapidly than the white matter (WM) atrophy. Objectives: To characterize the evolution of GM and WM volumes over 2 years, and their associations with lesion loads in a cohort of patients with clinically early RRMS. Methods: Twenty-one patients with RRMS (mean age 37.5 years, mean disease duration from symptom onset 2.1 years) and 10 healthy control subjects (mean age 37.1 years) were studied. Tissue volumes, as fractions of total intracranial volumes, were estimated at baseline and 1- and 2-year follow-up. Brain parenchymal fractions (BPF), GM fractions (GMF), and WM fractions (WMF) were estimated. In subjects with MS, brain lesion loads were determined on conventional T2-weighted along with pre- and post-gadolinium (Gd) enhanced T1-weighted images at each timepoint. Results: A decrease in GMF was observed in subjects with MS vs normal controls over the 2 years of the study (mean −2.1% vs −1.0%, p = 0.044), while no change was seen in WMF over the same period (mean −0.09% vs +0.09%, p = 0.812). However, when the MS cohort was divided in half, dependent upon change in Gd-enhancing lesion load over 2 years (n = 20), a decrease in WMF was seen in the group (n = 10) with the largest decline in Gd volume, whereas WMF increased in the other half (n = 10) concurrent with a net increase in volume of Gd-enhancing lesions (difference between groups: p = 0.034). Conclusions: Increasing gray matter but not white matter (WM) atrophy was observed early in the clinical course of relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis. Fluctuations in inflammatory WM lesions appear to be related to volume changes in WM over this time period.

Brain atrophy and lesion load predict long term disability in multiple sclerosis

Objective To determine whether brain atrophy and lesion volumes predict subsequent 10 year clinical evolution in multiple sclerosis (MS). Design From eight MAGNIMS (MAGNetic resonance Imaging in MS) centres, we retrospectively included 261 MS patients with MR imaging at baseline and after 1–2 years, and Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) scoring at baseline and after 10 years. Annualised whole brain atrophy, central brain atrophy rates and T2 lesion volumes were calculated. Patients were categorised by baseline diagnosis as primary progressive MS (n=77), clinically isolated syndromes (n=18), relapsing–remitting MS (n=97) and secondary progressive MS (n=69). Relapse onset patients were classified as minimally impaired (EDSS=0–3.5, n=111) or moderately impaired (EDSS=4–6, n=55) according to their baseline disability (and regardless of disease type). Linear regression models tested whether whole brain and central atrophy, lesion volumes at baseline, follow-up and lesion volume change predicted 10 year EDSS and MS Severity Scale scores. Results In the whole patient group, whole brain and central atrophy predicted EDSS at 10 years, corrected for imaging protocol, baseline EDSS and disease modifying treatment. The combined model with central atrophy and lesion volume change as MRI predictors predicted 10 year EDSS with R2=0.74 in the whole group and R2=0.72 in the relapse onset group. In subgroups, central atrophy was predictive in the minimally impaired relapse onset patients (R2=0.68), lesion volumes in moderately impaired relapse onset patients (R2=0.21) and whole brain atrophy in primary progressive MS (R2=0.34). Conclusions This large multicentre study points to the complementary predictive value of atrophy and lesion volumes for predicting long term disability in MS.

Defining high, medium and low impact prognostic factors for developing multiple sclerosis.

Natural history studies have identified factors that predict evolution to multiple sclerosis or risk of disability accumulation over time. Although these studies are based on large multicentre cohorts with long follow-ups, they have limitations such as lack of standardized protocols, a retrospective data collection or lack of a systematic magnetic resonance imaging acquisition and analysis protocol, often resulting in failure to take magnetic resonance and oligoclonal bands into account as joint covariates in the prediction models. To overcome some of these limitations, the aim of our study was to identify and stratify baseline demographic, clinical, radiological and biological characteristics that might predict multiple sclerosis development and disability accumulation using a multivariate approach based on a large prospective cohort of patients with clinically isolated syndromes. From 1995 to 2013, 1058 patients with clinically isolated syndromes were included. We evaluated the influence of baseline prognostic factors on the risk for developing clinically definite multiple sclerosis, McDonald multiple sclerosis, and disability accumulation (Expanded Disability Status Scale score of 3.0) based on univariate (hazard ratio with 95% confidence intervals) and multivariate (adjusted hazard ratio with 95% confidence intervals) Cox regression models. We ultimately included 1015 patients followed for a mean of 81 (standard deviation = 57) months. Female/male ratio was 2.1. Females exhibited a similar risk of conversion to multiple sclerosis and of disability accumulation compared to males. Each younger decade at onset was associated with a greater risk of conversion to multiple sclerosis and with a protective effect on disability. Patients with optic neuritis had a lower risk of clinically definite multiple sclerosis [hazard ratio 0.6 (0.5-0.8)] and disability progression [hazard ratio 0.5 (0.3-0.8)]; however, this protective effect remained marginal only for disability [adjusted hazard ratio 0.6 (0.4-1.0)] in adjusted models. The presence of oligoclonal bands increased the risk of clinically definite multiple sclerosis [adjusted hazard ratio 1.3 (1.0-1.8)] and of disability [adjusted hazard ratio 2.0 (1.2-3.6)] independently of other factors. The presence of 10 or more brain lesions on magnetic resonance increased the risk of clinically definite multiple sclerosis [adjusted hazard ratio 11.3 (6.7-19.3)] and disability [adjusted hazard ratio 2.9 (1.4-6.0)]. Disease-modifying treatment before the second attack reduced the risk of McDonald multiple sclerosis [adjusted hazard ratio 0.6 (0.4-0.9)] and disability accumulation [adjusted hazard ratio 0.5 (0.3-0.9)]. We conclude that the demographic and topographic characteristics are low-impact prognostic factors, the presence of oligoclonal bands is a medium-impact prognostic factor, and the number of lesions on brain magnetic resonance is a high-impact prognostic factor.

A Single, Early Magnetic Resonance Imaging Study in the Diagnosis of Multiple Sclerosis

BACKGROUND A diagnosis of multiple sclerosis in patients who present for the first time with a clinically isolated syndrome (CIS) can be established with brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) if the MRI demonstrates demyelinating lesions with dissemination in space (DIS) and dissemination in time (DIT). OBJECTIVE To investigate the diagnostic performance of a single MRI study obtained within the first 3 months after symptom onset in a cohort of patients with a CIS suggestive of multiple sclerosis at presentation. DESIGN Multicenter inception cohort with a follow-up of at least 24 months. SETTING Referral hospitals. Patients Patients with CIS onset between April 1, 1995, and September 30, 2004, who fulfilled the following criteria were included: (1) age of 14 to 50 years and (2) clinical follow-up for at least 24 months after CIS onset or until development of clinically definite multiple sclerosis (CDMS), if this occurred within 2 years. Main Outcome Measure All patients underwent 2 comparable brain MRI examinations, the first within 3 months (early) and the second between 3 and 12 months (delayed) after CIS onset. We defined DIS using several existing MRI criteria, and DIT was inferred when there were simultaneous gadolinium-enhancing and nonenhancing lesions on a single MRI. RESULTS Two hundred fifty patients were included in the study. The comparison of the diagnostic performance of various MRI criteria for identifying early converters to CDMS showed similar sensitivity and specificity between early and delayed MRIs. In addition, the use of less stringent criteria for DIS yielded better sensitivity and similar specificity, particularly when assessed in the first weeks after CIS onset. CONCLUSION A single brain MRI study that demonstrates DIS and shows both gadolinium-enhancing and nonenhancing lesions that suggest DIT is highly specific for predicting the early development of CDMS, even when the MRI is performed within the first 3 months after the onset of a CIS.

Brainstem lesions in clinically isolated syndromes

Background: Number of baseline lesions has been shown to predict future attacks and disability in clinically isolated syndromes (CIS). Objective: To investigate the role of baseline infratentorial lesions in long-term prognosis. Methods: Subjects were included in a prospective cohort of patients with CIS. Patients underwent brain MRI within 3 months after CIS onset. Number and location of lesions at baseline were prospectively studied. Retrospective scan analysis was conducted to specifically look at number and location of infratentorial lesions. We analyzed the time to a second attack and to reach EDSS 3.0. Results: We included 246 patients with CIS followed for a median of 7.7 years. Patients with infratentorial lesions had both a higher risk of conversion (71.4% vs 29.6%; hazard ratio [HR] 3.3; 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.2–4.8; p < 0.001) and of developing disability (32.5% vs 12.4%; HR 2.4; 95% CI 1.3–4.3; p = 0.003). Presence of at least one cerebellar lesion was associated with an increased risk of conversion (HR 2.4; 95% CI 1.3–4.5; p = 0.007). Presence of at least one brainstem lesion increased both the risk of conversion (HR 2.9; 95% CI 1.7–5.0; p < 0.001) and disability (HR 2.5; 95% CI 1.1–5.4; p = 0.026). Broken down into number of lesions, the presence of infratentorial lesions increased both the risk of conversion (83% vs 61%) (HR 22.3; 95% CI 9.7–51.1; p < 0.001) and of reaching EDSS 3.0 (40% vs 19%) (HR 3.2; 95% CI 1.3–7.4; p = 0.008) only in patients with 9 or more lesions. Conclusions: Presence of infratentorial lesions increases the risk for disability. Brainstem rather than cerebellar lesions may be responsible for poor prognosis.