Jean B. deKernion

Comparison of Digital Rectal Examination and Serum Prostate Specific Antigen in the Early Detection of Prostate Cancer: Results of a Multicenter Clinical Trial of 6,630 Men

&NA; To compare the efficacy of digital rectal examination and serum prostate specific antigen (PSA) in the early detection of prostate cancer, we conducted a prospective clinical trial at 6 university centers of 6,630 male volunteers 50 years old or older who underwent PSA determination (Hybritech Tandom‐E or Tandem‐R assays) and digital rectal examination. Quadrant biopsies were performed if the PSA level was greater than 4 &mgr;g./l. or digital rectal examination was suspicious, even if transrectal ultrasonography revealed no areas suspicious for cancer. The results showed that 15% of the men had a PSA level of greater than 4 &mgr;g./l., 15% had a suspicious digital rectal examination and 26% had suspicious findings on either or both tests. Of 1,167 biopsies performed cancer was detected in 264. PSA detected significantly more tumors (82%, 216 of 264 cancers) than digital rectal examination (55%, 146 of 264, p = 0.001). The cancer detection rate was 3.2% for digital rectal examination, 4.6% for PSA and 5.8% for the 2 methods combined. Positive predictive value was 32% for PSA and 21% for digital rectal examination. Of 160 patients who underwent radical prostatectomy and pathological staging 114 (71%) had organ confined cancer: PSA detected 85 (75%) and digital rectal examination detected 64 (56%, p = 0.003). Use of the 2 methods in combination increased detection of organ confined disease by 78% (50 of 64 cases) over digital rectal examination alone. If the performance of a biopsy would have required suspicious transrectal ultrasonography findings, nearly 40% of the tumors would have been missed. We conclude that the use of PSA in conjunction with digital rectal examination enhances early prostate cancer detection. Prostatic biopsy should be considered if either the PSA level is greater than 4 &mgr;g./l. or digital rectal examination is suspicious for cancer, even in the absence of abnormal transrectal ultrasonography findings.

Risk Group Assessment and Clinical Outcome Algorithm to Predict the Natural History of Patients With Surgically Resected Renal Cell Carcinoma

PURPOSE To create a comprehensive algorithm that can predict postoperative renal cell carcinoma (RCC) patient outcomes and response to therapy. PATIENTS AND METHODS A prospective cohort study was performed with outcome assessment on the basis of chart review of 814 patients who underwent nephrectomy between 1989 and 2000. At diagnosis, M1 or N1/N2M0 metastatic disease (M) was present in 346 patients (43%), whereas 468 patients had no metastatic disease (NM) (N0M0). On the basis of UCLA Integrated Staging System category and the presence of metastases, patients were divided into low-risk (LR), intermediate-risk (IR), and high-risk (HR) groups. Decision boxes integrating tumor-node-metastasis staging, tumor grade, and performance status were compiled for determining a patients risk group. RESULTS NM-LR patients had 91% disease-specific survival at 5 years, lower recurrence rate, and better disease-free survival compared with NM-IR and HR patients. Disease progressed in 50% of NM-HR patients. Disease-specific survival of NM-HR patients who received immunotherapy (IMT) for recurrent disease was similar to that of M-LR patients treated with cytoreductive nephrectomy and adjuvant IMT. Time from recurrence to death for NM-HR patients was inferior to that for M-LR patients. After IMT, approximately 25% of M-LR and 12% of M-IR patients had long-term progression-free survival. M-HR patients did poorly despite IMT. CONCLUSION Stratifying RCC patients into high-, intermediate-, and low-risk subgroups provides a clinically useful system for predicting outcome and provides a unique tool for risk assignment and outcome analysis. Subclassifying RCC into well-defined risk groups should allow better patient counseling and identification of both NM-HR subgroups that need adjuvant treatment and nonresponders who need alternative therapies.

PROGNOSTIC INDICATORS FOR RENAL CELL CARCINOMA: A MULTIVARIATE ANALYSIS OF 643 PATIENTS USING THE REVISED 1997 TNM STAGING CRITERIA

PURPOSE We determine independent prognostic indicators for renal cell carcinoma using the revised 1997 TNM staging criteria. MATERIALS AND METHODS The records of 643 consecutive patients undergoing partial or radical nephrectomy at our institution between 1987 and 1998 were reviewed. Preoperative evaluation of functional status using the Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) criteria was performed in all cases. Renal cell carcinoma grade and stage were evaluated using the 1997 American Joint Committee on Cancer grading and TNM staging criteria, respectively. Patients were followed for a mean plus or minus standard deviation of 47+/-40 months (median 87). Kaplan-Meier survival curves were used to determine 5-year cancer specific survival for all patient groups. Univariate analysis using log rank sum tests was performed to evaluate the prognostic significance of overall TNM stage, tumor stage, disease grade and ECOG status. Multivariate analysis was performed to determine which factors had an independent impact on survival of patients with renal cell carcinoma. RESULTS The 5-year cancer specific survival rate was 91%, 74%, 67% and 32% for TNM stages I, II, III and IV lesions, respectively (p<0.001). Analysis demonstrated a survival rate of 83% for stage T1, 57% for stage T2, 42% for stage T3 and 28% for stage T4 disease (p<0.001), and 89% for grade 1, 65% for grade 2, and 46% for grades 3 and 4 (p<0.001). Multivariate analysis revealed that overall TNM stage and grade of disease were the most important prognostic indicators for renal cell carcinoma (p<0.001). ECOG classification was a less significant predictor (p = 0.031) and tumor stage was not shown to have any independent impact on patient survival (p = 0.138). CONCLUSIONS Better survival rates of patients with localized and advanced renal cell carcinoma can be demonstrated with recent advances in diagnosis and treatment. The revised 1997 TNM criteria manifest an appropriate adjustment in staging renal cell carcinoma based on these improvements, with overall stage correlating with cancer specific survival. In contrast, while effectively predicting survival, tumor stage did not demonstrate an independent impact on renal cell carcinoma prognosis under multivariate analysis. Instead, other factors, such as ECOG status and more importantly grade of disease, appeared to affect survival significantly as independent elements. Based on our recent experience with patients treated for renal cell carcinoma in the era of enhanced technology and improved survival, tumor grade and molecular markers may serve as useful adjuncts to TNM staging in guiding treatment and predicting survival outcomes.

Prognostic factors in metastatic renal carcinoma.

We reviewed 181 cases of metastatic renal carcinoma treated from 1973 to 1982 to characterize the factors associated with prolonged survival. Cumulative survival from the date of first known metastasis was analyzed with respect to the patient age, sex, interval free of disease, performance status, site of metastasis and nephrectomy. Survival for the entire group was 73 per cent at 6 months, 48 per cent at 1 year and 9 per cent at 5 years. Age and sex did not influence survival. Improved survival was correlated with long interval free of disease between nephrectomy and discovery of metastases, normal performance status, metastases limited to the lung parenchyma and removal of the primary tumor. The effect of nephrectomy on survival was not separable from effects of patient selection. The subgroup of patients with the favorable characteristics had longer survival than was reported previously for advanced renal carcinoma (50 per cent at 3 years, median 24 months). These patients may be appropriate candidates for more aggressive therapy. These factors should be considered in the analysis of results of future clinical trials on metastatic renal carcinoma.

Efficacy of Nephron-Sparing Surgery for Renal Cell Carcinoma: Analysis Based on the New 1997 Tumor-Node-Metastasis Staging System

PURPOSE To analyze the experience with nephron-sparing surgery as a treatment modality for renal cell carcinoma (RCC). PATIENTS AND METHODS Between 1980 and 1997, 146 patients underwent partial nephrectomy at the University of California-Los Angeles Medical Center. A matched group of 125 patients who underwent radical nephrectomy at the same institution between 1986 and 1997 were selected for comparison. Patients were monitored for an average period of 57 months. Patients were staged according to both the 1997 and 1987 tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) staging criteria. Survival data were calculated in terms of both staging criteria. RESULTS When comparing cancer-specific survival rates for patients with T1 lesions under both the 1987 and 1997 TNM staging criteria, no statistically significant difference in survival was noted (P =.53), although most of the tumors in our series measured < or = 4 cm. Patients with T2 lesions (1997 TNM) demonstrated a significant decrease in survival (66%) when compared with patients with T1 lesions (100%; P <.001). No statistically significant difference in survival for patients with T1 RCC treated with either radical or partial nephrectomy was noted (P =.219). Survival rates of partial and radical nephrectomies for patients with unilateral T1 RCC and a normal contralateral kidney also were not significantly different (P =.53). In contrast, for patients with lesions greater than T1, survival rates were significantly higher with radical versus partial nephrectomy (P =.001). CONCLUSION Partial nephrectomy has become an effective method of treating T1 RCC lesions as categorized by both the 1987 and the revised 1997 TNM staging criteria. Selected patients with localized unilateral RCC lesions less than 7 cm (ideally, < 4 cm) and a normal contralateral kidney will benefit from partial nephrectomy.

RENAL CELL CARCINOMA: PROGNOSTIC SIGNIFICANCE OF INCIDENTALLY DETECTED TUMORS

PURPOSE We determined the prognostic significance of incidentally discovered renal cell carcinoma in the era of increased incidental detection. MATERIALS AND METHODS We reviewed the records of 633 consecutive patients who underwent radical or partial nephrectomy for renal cell carcinoma at our institution between 1987 and 1998. Patients were divided into those who were asymptomatic and tumor was diagnosed incidentally and those diagnosed after presenting with any of the classic symptoms of renal cell carcinoma or subsequent metastasis. All renal cell carcinoma lesions were assigned a stage and grade according to 1997 TNM criteria. All patients were followed postoperatively to assess survival rates, and monitor recurrence and metastasis. RESULTS Of the 633 patients 95 (15%) were treated for incidentally discovered renal cell carcinoma and 538 (85%) presented with symptoms secondary to renal cell carcinoma at diagnosis. Patient age and sex distribution were similar in the 2 groups. Stage I lesions were observed in 62.1% of patients with incidental renal cell carcinoma and in 23% with symptomatic renal cell carcinoma. In contrast, stage IV lesions were present in 27.4% of patients with incidental versus 54% with symptomatic renal cell carcinoma. Thus, incidental lesions were of significantly lower stage than those causing symptoms (p <0.001). Similarly 15.8% of incidental but 42.4% of symptomatic lesions were grade 3 or 4 (p = 0.006). Patients were followed postoperatively for a mean of 47 months plus or minus 40 months. The 5-year cancer specific survival rate was significantly higher for incidental than for symptomatic tumors (85.3% versus 62.5%). Likewise, the local and distal recurrence rates were higher for symptomatic lesions. When adjusted for stage, no difference in survival was noted in the 2 groups for stages I to III disease and a minimally significant difference was noted for stage IV cancer. Multivariate analysis of stage and grade attributed the survival difference in stage IV disease to the significantly higher grade of symptomatic lesions. CONCLUSIONS At presentation incidental tumors are of significantly lower stage and grade than tumors producing symptoms. Subsequently these clinically and histologically less aggressive lesions lead to better patient survival and decreased recurrence. Thus, the detection of renal cell carcinoma before symptom onset enables treatment of less aggressive tumors and provides a better prognosis for patients. Given these data efforts should be directed toward the development of a screening protocol to detect these lesions early, so that they may be prevented from progressing to the point when symptoms are apparent and prognosis becomes worse. In addition, the significant correlation of tumor grade with survival in our study further demonstrates the prognostic value of tumor grade and molecular markers for the future evaluation and treatment of renal cell carcinoma.

RECURRENCE PATTERNS AFTER RADICAL RETROPUBIC PROSTATECTOMY: CLINICAL USEFULNESS OF PROSTATE SPECIFIC ANTIGEN DOUBLING TIMES AND LOG SLOPE PROSTATE SPECIFIC ANTIGEN

PURPOSE We studied the correlation between prostate specific antigen (PSA) doubling time or, equivalently, log slope PSA and clinical recurrence in patients with detectable PSA after radical retropubic prostatectomy who were followed expectantly. MATERIALS AND METHODS In patients with PSA recurrence after radical retropubic prostatectomy log slope PSA was determined from the difference in the 2 log PSA values divided by the time between readings in months. For a given slope the corresponding PSA doubling time was calculated as log x 2 divided by the slope of the log PSA line. When the initial PSA value was considerably greater than 0.4 ng./ml., the log slope PSA plot was extrapolated to determine the time point at which PSA would have become detectable (0.4 ng./ml.). The relationship between these values, and the time and pattern of clinical recurrence were studied. RESULTS In this series of 77 patients 80% with PSA doubling time of 6 months or greater remained clinically disease-free compared to 64% with PSA doubling time less than 6 months. PSA doubling time had better correlation with time to clinical recurrence after PSA became detectable (p <0.001 Cox proportional hazards model) than Gleason sum, pathological stage or margin status. Biochemical recurrence within 3 months was associated with early clinical recurrence (p <0.002). In addition, short PSA doubling time, that is a high log slope, regardless of the time at which PSA became positive was strongly associated with clinical recurrence (p <0.001). Distant recurrence was invariably associated with short PSA doubling time. Conversely, local recurrence reliably correlated with long PSA doubling time, that is a low log slope. CONCLUSIONS After PSA became detectable PSA doubling time or, equivalently, log slope PSA, was a better indicator of the risk and time to clinical recurrence after radical retropubic prostatectomy than preoperative PSA, specimen Gleason sum or pathological stage. Hormone treatment may be targeted to patients at high risk for early metastatic clinical recurrence, appropriately timed radiation can be offered for proved local recurrence in those with long PSA doubling time and expectant treatment may be proposed for those with long PSA doubling time who remain clinically disease-free. Frequent and expensive imaging does not appear to be cost-effective in this latter group.

Selection of optimal prostate specific antigen cutoffs for early detection of prostate cancer: receiver operating characteristic curves.

A prospective clinical trial of prostate cancer screening was conducted at 6 university centers including 6,630 men 50 years old or older who underwent a serum prostate specific antigen (PSA) determination and digital rectal examination. Biopsies were performed if the PSA level was greater than 4.0 ng./ml. (Hybritech Tandem assay) or digital rectal examination was suspicious for cancer. We evaluated the effect on biopsy rate and cancer detection if the cutoff value was shifted from 4.0 to age-specific reference ranges recommended in the literature. In men 50 to 59 years old with normal digital rectal examination findings a decrease from 4.0 to 3.5 ng./ml. would have resulted in a 45% increase in the number of biopsies (39 of 87) and a projected 15% increase in cancer detection. An increase from 4.0 to 4.5 ng./ml. in men 60 to 69 years old would result in 15% fewer biopsies (35 of 238) and would miss 8% of the organ confined tumors (2 of 25). Increasing the cutoff to 6.5 ng./ml. in men 70 years old or older would result in 44% fewer biopsies (70 of 159) and would miss 47% of the organ confined cancers (7 of 15). The number of biopsies performed for each cancer detected with a PSA level of greater than 4.0 ng./ml. remains constant across age groupings, which suggests that the cutoff of 4.0 ng./ml. does not need to be altered in the older men, since it is apparently unaffected by the simultaneously increasing prevalence of benign prostatic hyperplasia and cancer with age. We conclude that a serum PSA concentration of 4.0 ng./ml. should be used as a general guideline for biopsy in all age groups.

Comparison of Prostate Specific Antigen Concentration Versus Prostate Specific Antigen Density in the Early Detection of Prostate Cancer: Receiver Operating Characteristic Curves

We present the results of a prospective multicenter clinical trial of nearly 5,000 men in which prostate specific antigen (PSA) density was compared to the serum PSA concentration alone for early detection of prostate cancer. All men were evaluated with PSA and digital rectal examination. If PSA was elevated (greater than 4 ng./ml., Hybritech Tandem assay) or digital rectal examination was suspicious, transrectal ultrasound guided biopsies were recommended. Prostate volume was estimated by transrectal ultrasound measurements using a prolate ellipse volume calculation and PSA density was calculated by dividing serum PSA concentration by gland volume. Using a PSA density cutoff of 0.15 as recommended in the literature enhanced specificity but at the cost of missing half of the tumors. Of the organ confined neoplasms 47% were detected by a PSA of greater than 4.0 ng./ml. but they were missed by a PSA density of more than 0.15. PSA density may not be predictive for cancer because accurate estimation of transrectal ultrasound volume is difficult (r = 0.61 for estimated transrectal ultrasound volume versus pathological prostate weight). However, a relationship does exist among transrectal ultrasound volume, PSA and positive predictive value for cancer. PSA concentrations of less than 4.0 ng./ml. did not indicate a need for biopsy (positive predictive value 12 to 17%) unless the digital rectal examination findings were suspicious for cancer. A high percentage of patients with a PSA of more than 10 ng./ml. had cancer (30 to 75%), regardless of gland size. Patients with intermediate PSA concentrations (4.1 to 9.9 ng./ml.) and a gland size of 50 cc or less had a 35 to 51% positive predictive value, while those with intermediate PSA concentrations and a large gland (more than 50 cc) had a 15% positive predictive value. We conclude that in men with a PSA level of 4.1 to 9.9 ng./ml., and normal digital rectal examination and transrectal ultrasound findings, the use of a PSA density cutoff of more than 0.15 for biopsy results in half of the tumors being missed. Thus, we recommend that men in this group undergo biopsy based upon serum PSA concentration rather than PSA density.

Prostate Specific Antigen Levels After Radical Prostatectomy in Patients with Organ Confined and Locally Extensive Prostate Cancer

A total of 230 patients with localized prostate cancer underwent radical retropubic prostatectomy at UCLA (pathological stage T1-3 N0, M0). Classification into groups included 115 patients with organ confined disease (group 1), 82 with invasion into or through the capsule (group 2) and 33 with seminal vesicle involvement (group 3). Median followup was 48 months. The 10-year, cause-specific survival was 96%, 90% and 63%, and 5-year, clinical, disease-free survival was 91%, 79% and 58% for the 3 groups, respectively. Recent prostate specific antigen (PSA) levels were measured in most patients, even those operated upon many years ago. Of the patients 41 had detectable (0.4 ng./ml. or greater) PSA levels without any other clinical evidence of progression and 15 with clinical evidence of progression had PSA levels in the detectable range at the time of clinical progression. When isolated detectable PSA was also considered an indicator of progression the 5-year and 10-year, disease-free rates were 61% and 41%, respectively. These data show that radical prostatectomy performed in patients with even microscopic invasion into the capsule, positive margins and seminal vesicle involvement is associated with a higher clinical progression rate than organ confined disease. If isolated detectable PSA is also considered an indicator of recurrence the disease-free survival after radical prostatectomy might be less than indicated by previous studies. The relationship among survival, local tumor extension and PSA must be carefully examined.