John Anthony Gear

Harvesting a logistic population in a slowly varying environment

The classic problem for a logistically evolving single species population being harvested involves three parameters: rate constant, carrying capacity and harvesting rate, which are taken to be positive constants. However, in real world situations, these parameters may vary with time. This paper considers the situation where these vary on a time scale much longer than that intrinsic to the population evolution itself. Application of a multiple time scale approach gives approximate explicit closed form expressions for the changing population, that compare favorably with those generated from numerical solutions.

Numerical simulation of atherosclerotic plaque growth using two-way fluid-structural interaction

This paper presents a numerical investigation of plaque growth in a diseased artery using the two-way fluid–structural interaction (FSI) technique. An axis-asymmetric 45% stenosis model is used as the base model to start the plaque growth approximation. The blood is modelled as a non-Newtonian fluid described by the Casson model. The artery tissue is assumed to be a nonlinear material. The two-way FSI simulation is carried out in a way that mimics the unsteady blood flow through a diseased artery by using a pulsatile flow condition. After each flow velocity cycle, the numerical results are extracted and used to modify the stenosis geometry based upon critical wall shear stress (WSS) values and an accepted relationship between the concentration of low density lipoprotein and WSS. The simulation procedure is repeated until the growthupdated stenosis morphology reaches 79% severity. The behaviour of the flow velocity is analysed at each growth stage, together with the WSS, to determine the change of plaque morphology due to growth. The effects of WSS and pressure on the artery wall at the final stage (79% severity) of the plaque growth model are also compared with results from the authors’ previous work, to demonstrate the importance of the morphology change in plaque growth modelling. 2010 Mathematics subject classification: primary 76Z05; secondary 65Z05.

Survival to extinction in a slowly varying harvested logistic population model

This work considers a harvested logistic population for which birth rate, carrying capacity and harvesting rate all vary slowly with time. Asymptotic results from earlier work, obtained using a multiscaling technique, are combined to construct approximate expressions for the evolving population for the situation where the population initially survives to a slowly varying limiting state, but then, due to increasing harvesting, is reduced to extinction in finite time. These results are shown to give very good agreement with those obtained from numerical computation.