John W. Krebs

Epidemiology of Human Rabies in the United States, 1980 to 1996

One of the oldest recognized zoonotic diseases, rabies continues to plague humankind and causes more than 35 000 deaths annually [1]. These potentially preventable deaths occur primarily in Asia, Africa, and Latin America, where animal control, vaccination programs, and effective human postexposure prophylaxis are not widely available. In contrast, in the United States, deaths in humans caused by rabies totaled 99 in the 1950s, 15 in the 1960s, 23 in the 1970s, 10 in the 1980s, and 22 from 1990 through 1996 [2, 3]. The epidemiology of human rabies is ultimately linked to cycles of rabies virus transmission in animals. With the interruption of dog-to-dog transmission in most regions, the incidence of human rabies in the United States has reached a level that cannot be further reduced without targeting wildlife. An understanding of epidemiologic patterns of rabies virus maintenance in natural populations has emerged in the past 20 years, largely because of advances in immunology and molecular biology. Monoclonal antibody and genetic sequence analyses of rabies virus variants permit detailed descriptions of enzootic maintenance cycles of specific virus variants in the United States [4, 5]. These analyses have led to an understanding of how variants of rabies virus are maintained in natural reservoirs within geographic regions and have provided information on variability of the virus itself. Current epidemiologic patterns of rabies in the United States can be summarized as follows: The annual reports of rabies in wildlife exceed those of rabies in domestic animals [6]; rabies variants in bats are associated with a disproportionate number of infections in humans, although bats constitute only about 10% of all reported rabies cases in animals annually; most other cases of human rabies diagnosed in the United States can be attributed to infections acquired in areas of enzootic canine rabies outside of the United States; most persons with a case of rabies that originated in the United States have no history of an animal bite; and rabies is diagnosed after death in more than one third of the latter group. The last published summary of cases of human rabies in the United States covered the period from 1960 to 1979 [3]. This review discusses the clinical and epidemiologic features of cases of human rabies in the United States from 1980 to 1996. Methods Case Definition This report includes all laboratory-confirmed cases of human rabies in the United States or its territories from 1980 to 1996 [7-31]. All of the cases were reported to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) by health authorities as part of ongoing national surveillance. Variable Definitions Onset of illness was defined as either the first day of reported symptoms attributable to rabies or the date of initial presentation for medical care before confirmation of rabies. Clinical signs attributable to rabies included paresthesia, anxiety, agitation, confusion, disorientation, hydrophobia, aerophobia, hypersalivation, dysphagia, paresis, paralysis, and fluctuating levels of consciousness [32, 33]. The type of transmitting animal and the geographic location of exposure were listed if the case history included a definite animal bite. The reliability of information that linked rabies exposure to a human was assessed by subsequent laboratory typing of the rabies virus variant. All other exposures were defined as unknown. The diagnosis of rabies was considered antemortem if it was tentatively made and samples were obtained specifically for rabies testing before the patients death. Laboratory Tests The diagnosis of rabies was confirmed by using standard tests [34] conducted at the CDC or at a state laboratory. Serology Two tests were used to detect rabies antibody: the rapid fluorescent focus inhibition test and the indirect immunofluorescence assay. The rapid fluorescent focus inhibition test measures neutralizing antibody. An antibody titer of 1:5 or more, as defined by the reciprocal of the serum or cerebrospinal fluid dilution that reduces the challenge virus by 50%, was considered positive. An indirect immunofluorescence assay, using patient serum or cerebrospinal fluid diluted 1:4 or more, detects serum reactive with rabies antigen in infected cell cultures. The presence of antibody in serum was considered diagnostic if no vaccine or antirabies serum was given to the patient. Antibody in the cerebrospinal fluid, regardless of the rabies immunization history, was considered indicative of rabies virus infection. Virus Isolation Suspensions of brain or saliva specimens were added to mouse neuroblastoma cells and cultured for 24 and 48 hours. Culture slides were fixed and examined by direct immunofluorescence assay for antigen. Samples that were initially negative were maintained for an additional 3 to 4 days and retested. The negative result was considered definitive if it occurred both times. Antigen Detection Antigen detection was performed by direct immunofluorescence of assay serial frozen sections of nuchal skin biopsy specimens, touch impressions of corneal epithelial cells, or fresh brain matter. Paraffin-embedded fixed brain matter was sectioned and enzyme-digested before direct immunofluorescence. RNA Detection Standard extraction procedures and reagents were used to obtain nucleic acids from samples of undiluted saliva; from fresh or paraffin-embedded fixed samples of the brain; or, occasionally, from other tissues. Reverse transcription of RNA and complementary DNA amplification were performed by polymerase chain reaction (PCR) with primers derived from the sequence of the N protein gene. The nucleotide sequence of all PCR products was obtained by standard dideoxynucleotide sequencing methods. Rabies virus variants were identified by comparing samples of rabies virus obtained from all known reservoirs for rabies in the United States [5] with samples of rabies virus obtained from dogs in Asia, Africa, and Latin America [35]. Statistical Analysis Data analyses were performed by using EPI INFO 6 (Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia) or SPSS 6.0 for Windows (SPSS Inc., Chicago, Illinois) [36, 37]. Specific tests are identified in the text. Some variables were dichotomized before statistical comparisons for determination of odds ratios and 95% CIs. All reported P values are for two-tailed tests of significance. Results Demographic Information Thirty-two persons died of rabies in the United States from 1980 through 1996. Patients ranged in age from 4 to 82 years (median, 27 years) and 20 (63%) were male (Table 1). Cases were reported from 20 states; 7 cases (22%) were reported in California and 6 in Texas. Eleven patients were exposed to rabies in eight foreign countries on the basis of variant typing. The onset of illness occurred in all months and had no apparent seasonal pattern. Dates of exposure, based on the history of an animal bite, were obtained for 7 patients (22%) (Table 1). Table 1. Human Rabies in the United States, 1980-1996 Exposure History A definite history of animal exposure was identified in 7 of the 32 patients (22%), and 25 remained unknown or indefinite (Table 1). Of the 7 cases of definite exposure, 6 resulted from a dog bite received in a foreign country and 1 was from a bat bite received in the United States. Although rabies was not diagnosed in any of the animals that inflicted bites, in each case the rabies virus variant identified in the human sample was consistent with that in the animal species implicated as the source of infection (Table 1). Contact with an animal, thereby suggesting the source for infection, was identified in 12 persons (8 with a bat, 2 with a dog, 1 with a cow, and 1 with a cat). This human-animal contact, however, could not be linked to a bite or mucous membrane contact with the saliva of an animal potentially infected with rabies virus. The remaining 13 patients did not report animal contact; thus, a potential source of exposure was not identified. Histories were obtained before death from friends or relatives in 9 cases and from 4 children aged 11 to 13 years. Prophylaxis None of the 32 patients received a complete series of rabies prophylaxis after exposure; patient 7 reported receiving a single injection of an unknown type after a dog bite in Guatemala, and patients 15, 29, and 30 received human rabies immune globulin during the course of their clinical illness. Clinical Presentation For the 7 patients in which a definite animal bite occurred, the median incubation period was 85 days (range, 53 to 150 days). The first signs and symptoms of rabies were often nonspecific, including fever, sore throat, chills, malaise, anorexia, headache, nausea, vomiting, dyspnea, cough, and weakness. Specific symptoms, such as paresthesias at or near the presumed exposure site, were also reported early in the clinical course, and 19 of the 32 patients (59%) had three or more clinical findings suggestive of rabies during the course of their illness (Table 2). The 32 patients were seen by physicians on an outpatient basis a median of one time (range, 0 to 5 times) before hospitalization, and the median length of time from the onset of illness attributable to rabies to hospitalization was 4 days (range, 1 to 10 days). Table 2. Clinical Findings Suggestive of Rabies in 32 Patients* On admission, 21 of the 32 patients (66%) were febrile (oral temperature > 37.8C), including 12 patients with temperatures greater than 39.5C. Of the 11 patients who were afebrile on admission, 5 reported being febrile before admission, 2 became febrile within 2 days of admission, and 4 had no additional temperatures recorded. The antemortem diagnosis of rabies was first considered at the time of hospitalization in 5 patients, within 1 day of hospitalization in 5 patients, and after a median of 6 days of hospitalization (range, 2 to 12 days) in 10 patients. In 12 patients, rabies was diagnosed after death. Th

Hidden Mortality Attributable to Rocky Mountain Spotted Fever: Immunohistochemical Detection of Fatal, Serologically Unconfirmed Disease

Rocky Mountain spotted fever (RMSF) is the most severe tickborne infection in the United States and is a nationally notifiable disease. Since 1981, the annual case-fatality ratio for RMSF has been determined from laboratory-confirmed cases reported to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). Herein, a description is given of patients with fatal, serologically unconfirmed RMSF for whom a diagnosis of RMSF was established by immunohistochemical (IHC) staining of tissues obtained at autopsy. During 1996-1997, acute-phase serum and tissue samples from patients with fatal disease compatible with RMSF were tested at the CDC. As determined by indirect immunofluorescence assay, no patient serum demonstrated IgG or IgM antibodies reactive with Rickettsia rickettsii at a diagnostic titer (i.e., >/=64); however, IHC staining confirmed diagnosis of RMSF in all patients. Polymerase chain reaction validated the IHC findings for 2 patients for whom appropriate samples were available for testing. These findings suggest that dependence on serologic assays and limited use of IHC staining for confirmation of fatal RMSF results in underestimates of mortality and of case-fatality ratios for this disease.

Rocky Mountain Spotted Fever in the United States, 1997–2002

Abstract:  The increased incidence of Rocky Mountain spotted fever (RMSF) in 1997–2002 compared with previous years may be related to enhanced awareness and reporting of RMSF as well as changes in human–vector interaction. However, reports on RMSF mortality underscore the need for physician vigilance in considering a diagnosis of RMSF for febrile individuals potentially exposed to ticks and stress the importance of treating such persons regardless of the presence of a rash.

Skunk and Raccoon Rabies in the Eastern United States: Temporal and Spatial Analysis

Since 1981, an epizootic of raccoon rabies has spread throughout the eastern United States. A concomitant increase in reported rabies cases in skunks has raised concerns that an independent maintenance cycle of rabies virus in skunks could become established, affecting current strategies of wildlife rabies control programs. Rabies surveillance data from 1981 through 2000 obtained from the health departments of 11 eastern states were used to analyze temporal and spatial characteristics of rabies epizootics in each species. Spatial analysis indicated that epizootics in raccoons and skunks moved in a similar direction from 1990 to 2000. Temporal regression analysis showed that the number of rabid raccoons predicted the number of rabid skunks through time, with a 1-month lag. In areas where the raccoon rabies virus variant is enzootic, spatio-temporal analysis does not provide evidence that this rabies virus variant is currently cycling independently among skunks.

Rocky Mountain Spotted Fever in the United States, 2000–2007: Interpreting Contemporary Increases in Incidence

Rocky Mountain spotted fever (RMSF), a potentially fatal tick-borne infection caused by Rickettsia rickettsii, is considered a notifiable condition in the United States. During 2000 to 2007, the annual reported incidence of RMSF increased from 1.7 to 7 cases per million persons from 2000 to 2007, the highest rate ever recorded. American Indians had a significantly higher incidence than other race groups. Children 5-9 years of age appeared at highest risk for fatal outcome. Enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays became more widely available beginning in 2004 and were used to diagnose 38% of cases during 2005-2007. The proportion of cases classified as confirmed RMSF decreased from 15% in 2000 to 4% in 2007. Concomitantly, case fatality decreased from 2.2% to 0.3%. The decreasing proportion of confirmed cases and cases with fatal outcome suggests that changes in diagnostic and surveillance practices may be influencing the observed increase in reported incidence rates.

Increasing Incidence of Ehrlichia chaffeensis and Anaplasma phagocytophilum in the United States, 2000–2007

Ehrlichia chaffeensis causes human monocytic ehrlichiosis, and Anaplasma phagocytophilum causes human granulocytic anaplasmosis. These related tick-borne rickettsial organisms can cause severe and fatal illness. During 2000-2007, the reported incidence rate of E. chaffeensis increased from 0.80 to 3.0 cases/million persons/year. The case-fatality rate was 1.9%, and the hospitalization rate was 49%. During 2000-2007, the reported incidence of A. phagocytophilum increased from 1.4 to 3.0 cases/million persons/year. The case-fatality rate was 0.6%, and the hospitalization rate was 36%. Rates among female patients were lower than among male patients for ehrlichiosis (rate ratio = 0.68) and anaplasmosis (rate ratio = 0.70). Most (80%) ehrlichiosis and anaplasmosis cases met only a probable case definition, although, use of a polymerase chain reaction to confirm infections increased during 2000-2007. Heightened reporting of these diseases will likely continue with improving recognition, changing surveillance practices, and appropriate application of diagnostic assays.

Causes, costs, and estimates of rabies postexposure prophylaxis treatments in the United States.

The incidence of rabies in humans in the United States is low. However, contacts with potentially rabid animals result in thousands of human rabies postexposure prophylaxis treatments (PEPs) each year. PEP is expensive, not without risk of adverse reactions, and in many instances unnecessary. Increased reports of cases of rabies in animals (4,880 cases in 1990, 9,495 in 1993, and 7,124 in 1996) suggested that PEPs could be increasing. Application of 1981 PEP incidence rates gave an estimate of approximately 16,000 PEPs during 1996, while calculations based on annual sales of a rabies biological during 1996 gave an estimate of approximately 39,000 PEPs. Appropriate usage of PEP requires careful evaluation of human exposure scenarios and adherence to approved guidelines.

SURVEILLANCE AND SPATIOTEMPORAL ASSOCIATIONS OF RABIES IN RODENTS AND LAGOMORPHS IN THE UNITED STATES, 1985–1994

Between 1985 and 1994, 368 cases of rabies in rodents (95% of reports) and lagomorphs (5%) were reported to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia (USA), from 22 states. This was a 354% increase from the period 1971 to 1984. Most reports were cases of rabies in woodchucks (Marmota monax) (n = 317), primarily from the eastern United States, which has been recently experiencing an epizootic of raccoon (Procyon lotor) rabies. Cases of rabies in woodchucks were temporally and spatially associated with reports of raccoon rabies. Antigenic or genetic characterization of variants of rabies viruses from rodents and woodchucks corresponded to the variants associated with the major terrestrial wildlife reservoir within the geographic region of specimen origin. Although rodents and lagomorphs are infrequently infected with rabies and human contact with these animals rarely requires postexposure treatment, appropriate health authorities need to evaluate individual circumstances surrounding potential exposures.

Rabies Epizootics Among Raccoons Vary Along a North–South Gradient in the Eastern United States

The characteristics of rabies epizootics among raccoons were investigated in 11 eastern states along a North-South gradient from New York to North Carolina. Epizootics were defined as discrete intervals of time of at least 5 months in duration, when reported cases of raccoon rabies from an individual county exceeded the median value of raccoon rabies cases reported by that county over the entire period rabies was present among raccoons in the county. Over the approximately 20-year study period, 35,000 cases of raccoon rabies were reported, and epizootics were detected from 251 (64.4%) of 390 counties. The median annual incidence was 0.14 epizootics per year. During the first defined epizootic in a county, the median total number of raccoons reported rabid was 47, with a median monthly incidence of rabies in raccoons of 3.1. The median lag time from the first report of a rabid raccoon in a county to the beginning of the first epizootic was 4 months. Significant differences in the annual incidence of epizootics and monthly incidence of rabid raccoons during epizootics were observed among different states. Although human population density and per capita health spending within counties were positively associated with increasing magnitude of epizootics, a significant difference in the characteristics of rabies epizootics in northern and southern states was apparent. We hypothesize that environmental conditions and perhaps human influence resulted in rabies epizootics in southern states that were smaller, less-frequent, and lacking in well-defined temporal structure compared with those in northern states.

Temporal dynamics of rabies in a wildlife host and the risk of cross-species transmission

An epidemiological model was developed for rabies, linking the risk of disease in a secondary species (cats) to the temporal dynamics of disease in a wildlife reservoir (raccoons). Data were obtained from cats, raccoons, and skunks tested for rabies in the northeastern United States during 1992-2000. An epizootic algorithm defined a time-series of successive intervals of epizootic and inter-epizootic raccoon rabies. The odds of diagnosing a rabid cat during the first epizootic of raccoon rabies was 12 times greater than for the period prior to epizootic emergence. After the first raccoon epizootic, the risk for cat rabies remained elevated at levels six- to seven-fold above baseline. Increased monthly counts of rabid raccoons and skunks and decreasing human population density increased the probability of cat rabies in most models. Forecasting of the public health and veterinary burden of rabies and assessing the economics of control programmes, requires linking outcomes to dynamic, but predictable, changes in the temporal evolution of rabies epizootics.