Julian Donaubauer
Helmut Schmidt University
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Publication
Featured researches published by Julian Donaubauer.
The World Economy | 2016
Julian Donaubauer; Birgit Meyer; Peter Nunnenkamp
We construct comprehensive and comparable indices on the most relevant components of economic infrastructure. An unobserved components model is employed to cover the largest possible number of developing and developed countries over the period 1990–2010. We map major findings from the new indices of infrastructure and provide country rankings, which we also compare with subjective assessments of infrastructure in the World Economic Forums Global Competitiveness Report. Finally, we exemplify possible applications related to trade and foreign aid. By overcoming several data limitations, our new global index can help assess the links between infrastructure and economic development more systematically.
Applied Economics Letters | 2018
Julian Donaubauer; Peter Nunnenkamp
ABSTRACT Compelling empirical evidence on whether investor–state dispute settlement (ISDS) is systematically biased against poor respondent states hardly exists. We focus on disentangling the effects of the respondent state’s per-capita income and the strength of domestic rule of law on ISDS outcomes. We find that both higher income and stronger than ‘normal’ rule of law reduce the probability of investor wins in international arbitration of disputes.
Social Science Research Network | 2016
Julian Donaubauer; Christian Dreger
Chinas government is promoting the shift towards a consumption-based economy since a few years. The explicit goal to significantly raise the percentage of wages in the national household income is integral part of the 12th Five-Year Plan (2011-15). The changes in the economic strategy are likely to affect the attractiveness of the country to foreign investors. In this paper, we raise the hypothesis that soaring wages negatively affect FDI inflows to China and alter the distribution of FDI over Chinese provinces. In addition, low-wage countries in the geographical surrounding might benefit from the changed direction of FDI inflows. By performing panel models with spatial effects for both Chinese provinces and developing ASEAN countries, regional dependencies are explicitly addressed. We provide strong and robust evidence that the wage increases change the distribution of FDI within China. In addition, we show that the changes in Chinas economic strategy improve the chances of its low-income neighbours to attract FDI.
Applied Economics Letters | 2014
Julian Donaubauer
This article examines whether foreign aid contributes to attracting foreign direct investment (FDI) in aid receiving countries. Using both homogeneous and heterogeneous panel cointegration techniques, I find that the effect of foreign aid on FDI is negative. This is in contrast to previous studies that usually found a positive association between aid and FDI.
Review of International Economics | 2018
Julian Donaubauer; Eric Neumayer; Peter Nunnenkamp
When an investor sues a state for alleged breaches of its obligations under an investment treaty or a trade agreement with investment provisions, all that should matter for who wins the case are the merits of the claim itself. Alas, investor-to-state dispute settlement (ISDS) does not take place in a vacuum. Such cases are decided by a tribunal typically consisting of three arbitrators, one each nominated by the two parties while the president is mutually agreed upon. We demonstrate that the kind of involvement of these arbitrators in previous ISDS cases matters for the case under dispute. Specifically, we show that what we label the presidents pro-investor bias - the number of times they have previously been nominated by an investor minus the number of times they have represented respondent states - raises the likelihood that an investor wins an ISDS case. An investor can further raise its chances of prevailing by appointing an arbitrator with greater experience, defined as the number of ISDS cases they have previously been involved in. Greater experience of the state-appointed arbitrator has no independent effect but conditions the effect that president bias has. Given the presidents crucial role, the main implication of our findings is that presidents should be drawn from among those who have not systematically represented more one side than the other in previous cases.
Journal of Common Market Studies | 2018
Julian Donaubauer; Peter Nunnenkamp
Recent information on investor‐state dispute settlement, collected by UNCTAD, suggests that European investors are more litigious than non‐European investors. Most of the intra‐EU claims for financial compensation are directed at relatively poor respondent states in Central Europe. However, private investors win surprisingly few intra‐EU disputes. The appointment bias of arbitrators and the composition of tribunals appear to matter for the outcome of investor‐state dispute settlement.
Journal of Development Studies | 2017
Julian Donaubauer; Dierk Herzer; Peter Nunnenkamp
Abstract It is widely believed that foreign aid may help conflict-affected countries to recover after the termination of conflicts. However, the available empirical evidence supporting this view largely neglects the heterogeneous nature of aid. Drawing on the conflict database of the Uppsala Conflict Data Program, we address the hypothesis that the effectiveness of post-conflict aid differs between specific sectors. Our focus is on social and economic infrastructure which is most likely to suffer during conflict episodes so that the need for aid is particularly pressing in this area. We find fairly robust evidence that post-conflict aid is effective in improving social infrastructure. In contrast, aid appears to be ineffective in improving economic infrastructure.
Archive | 2014
Julian Donaubauer; Birgit Meyer; Peter Nunnenkamp
It is widely believed that a country’s infrastructure is a critical factor in sustaining economic growth, promoting trade and attracting foreign direct investment (FDI). 1 However, better data are required to assess the links between infrastructure, FDI and economic development. The available measures are either restricted to specific aspects of economic infrastructure, or they cover only a limited number of countries over a short period of time.
World Development | 2016
Julian Donaubauer; Birgit Meyer; Peter Nunnenkamp
The European Journal of Development Research | 2014
Julian Donaubauer; Dierk Herzer; Peter Nunnenkamp