Jürgen Teuffert

Retrospective Analysis of the Oral Immunisation of Wild Boar Populations against Classical Swine Fever Virus (CSFV) in region Eifel of Rhineland-Palatinate

In the present study the effect of control measures implemented during the classical swine fever (CSF) epidemic in wild boar in the Eifel region of the German federal state of Rhineland-Palatinate from 1999 to 2005 was assessed. During the first 3 years after official confirmation of virus detection these measures comprised intensive hunting, especially of young animals and hygiene measures. Subsequently oral immunisation (o.i.) using a modified live virus vaccine was introduced as an additional control tool. All shot wild boar from the restricted area were tested virologically and serologically for CSF. The laboratory results from over 110,000 animals accompanied by information about age, gender and geographical origin of the animals were collected in a relational database. In total about 82% of all virologically positive wild boars were piglets, thus confirming the importance of this age group in the perpetuation of the epidemic. An analysis of the hunting bag showed that piglets were underrepresented compared to older animals throughout the eradication programme. This finding indicated that hunters did not comply with the control strategy of intense targeting of young animals. Before as well as after the implementation of o.i. a significantly higher virological prevalence and a significantly lower serological prevalence were observed in piglets compared to yearlings and adults. Shortly after the beginning of the vaccination campaign in February 2002 CSFV prevalence decreased significantly whereas the serological prevalence increased markedly in all age classes. In order to test the influence of age and vaccination on the serological prevalence a logistic regression model was used. Our results strongly suggest that under the field conditions in the Eifel region vaccination against CSFV had a crucial influence on the increase of seroprevalence rate and the elimination of CSFV. The last virus-positive pig was found 13 months after start of o.i.

Highly pathogenic avian influenza virus (H5N1) in frozen duck carcasses, Germany, 2007.

Article summary line: Phylogenetic and epidemiologic evidence shows incursion of HPAIV into the food chain.

Analysis of sampling strategies to substantiate freedom from disease in large areas

In this paper, we deal with the strategies of surveys to substantiate freedom from disease for a certain territory. Infection might not be distributed homogeneously. So, a relatively high within-herd prevalence might be observed while the herd-level prevalence is lower. For this situation, we compare various two-stage sample strategies. The calculation of appropriate sample sizes becomes quite complicated. The theoretical generalization of the hypergeometric distribution by Cameron and Baldock [Prev. Vet. Med. 24 (1998) 1] introduces a simple way to evaluate multi-stage sample sizes while regarding real-test properties. We demonstrate the theoretical foundations of these calculations. These principles open up the possibility of optimizing costs or other relevant variables, by choosing the appropriate sample strategy (each of which ensures the same alpha-level for the first stage). In addition, we evaluate the statistical power of the complete strategies under consideration.Furthermore, we apply our theoretical results to a data example of Brucella melitensis. We used the herd-size situation in Germany, characterized by many small sheep holdings and only a few large ones. The consequences of real-test properties on sample sizes and on the applicability of several strategies are discussed.

Consideration of different outbreak conditions in the evaluation of preventive culling and emergency vaccination to control foot and mouth disease epidemics

In recent foot and mouth disease outbreaks, many healthy animals have been culled to prevent disease transmission. Emergency vaccination is discussed as an alternative to culling of unaffected animals. A spatial and temporal Monte-Carlo simulation model was used to compare preventive culling and emergency vaccination. Different outbreaks are described using additional influence factors such as airborne spread, farm density, type of index-case farm and delay until establishment of the control strategies. The fewest farms were infected establishing a combined strategy including a 1 km preventive culling and 1-10 km emergency vaccination zone around each outbreak farm. Taking the number of culled and vaccinated farms into account, vaccination around the first diagnosed farm combined with the baseline strategy (culling of outbreak farms, protection and surveillance zone, contact tracing) is to be preferred. In the present study, emergency vaccination was an effective control strategy especially in densely populated regions.