Karen L. Koenig

Body-mass index and mortality among 1.46 million white adults.

BACKGROUND A high body-mass index (BMI, the weight in kilograms divided by the square of the height in meters) is associated with increased mortality from cardiovascular disease and certain cancers, but the precise relationship between BMI and all-cause mortality remains uncertain. METHODS We used Cox regression to estimate hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals for an association between BMI and all-cause mortality, adjusting for age, study, physical activity, alcohol consumption, education, and marital status in pooled data from 19 prospective studies encompassing 1.46 million white adults, 19 to 84 years of age (median, 58). RESULTS The median baseline BMI was 26.2. During a median follow-up period of 10 years (range, 5 to 28), 160,087 deaths were identified. Among healthy participants who never smoked, there was a J-shaped relationship between BMI and all-cause mortality. With a BMI of 22.5 to 24.9 as the reference category, hazard ratios among women were 1.47 (95 percent confidence interval [CI], 1.33 to 1.62) for a BMI of 15.0 to 18.4; 1.14 (95% CI, 1.07 to 1.22) for a BMI of 18.5 to 19.9; 1.00 (95% CI, 0.96 to 1.04) for a BMI of 20.0 to 22.4; 1.13 (95% CI, 1.09 to 1.17) for a BMI of 25.0 to 29.9; 1.44 (95% CI, 1.38 to 1.50) for a BMI of 30.0 to 34.9; 1.88 (95% CI, 1.77 to 2.00) for a BMI of 35.0 to 39.9; and 2.51 (95% CI, 2.30 to 2.73) for a BMI of 40.0 to 49.9. In general, the hazard ratios for the men were similar. Hazard ratios for a BMI below 20.0 were attenuated with longer-term follow-up. CONCLUSIONS In white adults, overweight and obesity (and possibly underweight) are associated with increased all-cause mortality. All-cause mortality is generally lowest with a BMI of 20.0 to 24.9.

Serum insulin-like growth factor-I and breast cancer

Insulin‐like growth factor I (IGF‐I) is a systemic hormone with potent mitogenic and anti‐apoptotic properties, which could influence the proliferative behavior of normal breast cells. Limited epidemiological observations suggest that the hormone may play a role in the etiology of breast cancer, especially at pre‐menopausal ages. In a prospective case‐control study nested within a cohort of New York City women, IGF‐I, IGF‐binding protein 3 (IGFBP‐3) and C peptide were measured in frozen serum samples from 172 pre‐menopausal and 115 post‐menopausal subjects who were subsequently diagnosed with breast cancer. Subjects were eligible if diagnosed 6 months or more after recruitment into the study (7 to 120 months). Cohort members who matched the cases on age, menopausal status, date of blood sampling and day of menstrual cycle at blood collection served as controls. Post‐menopausal breast cancer was not associated with serum IGF‐I, IGFBP‐3 or C‐peptide levels. However, the risk of breast cancer increased with increasing serum concentrations of IGF‐I in pre‐menopausal women. The odds ratio (OR) for the highest quartile of IGF‐I (>256 ng/ml) compared to the lowest (<168 ng/ml) was 1.60 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.91–2.81]. The OR decreased to 1.49 (95% CI 0.80–2.79) after adjustment for IGFBP‐3. In analyses restricted to subjects who were pre‐menopausal at the time of blood sampling and whose cancer was diagnosed before age 50, the top vs. bottom quartile OR increased appreciably to 2.30 (95% CI 1.07–4.94). Adjustment for IGFBP‐3 reduced the OR to 1.90 (95% CI 0.82–4.42). There was no association between pre‐menopausal breast cancer and IGFBP‐3, IGF‐I:IGFBP‐3 ratio or non‐fasting levels of C peptide. Elevated circulating levels of IGF‐I may be an indicator of increased risk of breast cancer occurring before age 50. Int. J. Cancer 88:828–832, 2000.

Prospective Study of Factors Influencing the Onset of Natural Menopause

Late or early menopause has been implicated in risk of several chronic diseases in women. To study factors influencing the onset of natural menopause, the authors analyzed the follow-up data of 4694 premenopausal women who enrolled in the New York University Women Study at ages 34-61. In an average of 5.4 years of observation, there were 2035 incidences of menopause, with the median age of 51.3 years. Current smokers experienced menopause 0.75 years earlier than never-smokers. Those who smoked more than 10 cigarettes per day had a 40% increase in risk of earlier menopause. In contrast, women who had three or more children experienced menopause 0.86 years later than nulliparous women, and Jewish women, 0.66 years later than Catholic women. There was also a modest increase in the age at menopause with increasing body mass index. This prospective study provides solid epidemiologic evidence that several factors other than cigarette smoking have impact on the onset of natural menopause.

Prospective study of diet and female colorectal cancer: the New York University Women's Health Study.

The relation between diet and female colorectal cancer was analyzed in a prospective study of 14,727 women aged 34-65 years, who were enrolled at mammographic screening clinics in New York and Florida from 1985 to 1991. They were followed through the end of 1994 (average 7.1 yrs) by a combination of direct contact through mail and telephone and record linkages with regional tumor registries, resulting in 100 incident cases of colorectal cancer. There was no overall positive or inverse association of colorectal cancer risk with intakes of total calories, total or subclasses of fat, carbohydrate, or dietary fiber, whereas there was an inverse association with total protein. Among major food groups, there was a progressive decline in risk of colorectal cancer with increasing intake of fish and shellfish (relative risk for 4th vs. 1st quartile = 0.49, 95% confidence interval = 0.27-0.89). A similar inverse association was also observed for consumption of dairy products, and this association was explained mainly by calcium, not by other nutrients, such as fat or protein. The results of the present study indicated that certain dietary components of fish or dairy products may protect against colorectal cancer, whereas the relations with red meat or total fat remained unclear.

Large Congenital Melanocytic Nevi and the Risk for Development of Malignant Melanoma and Neurocutaneous Melanocytosis

Objective. To determine the risk for developing malignant melanoma and neurocutaneous melanocytosis (NCM) in patients with large congenital melanocytic nevi. Design. Follow-up data suitable for calculations were available on 160 patients in the New York University Registry of Large Congenital Melanocytic Nevi who had been free of known melanomas or NCM when entered into the Registry. The cumulative 5-year life-table risks for developing melanoma and NCM were calculated. The relative risk for developing melanoma, using a control general population reference group, was determined. Results. The 160 patients (median age at entry: 14 months) were followed prospectively for an average of 5.5 years. Three extracutaneous melanomas developed: 2 were in the central nervous system (CNS) and 1 was retroperitoneal. The 5-year cumulative life-table risk for developing melanoma was 2.3% (95% confidence interval [CI]: .8–6.6) and the relative risk was 101 (95% CI: 21–296). No melanoma occurred within a large congenital melanocytic nevus. Four patients developed manifest NCM, 2 with CNS melanomas. The 5-year cumulative life-table risk for developing NCM was 2.5% (95% CI: .8–7.2). Ten patients were excluded from the calculations because of preexisting disease on entry into the Registry: 5 with manifest NCM and 5 with melanomas (3 in large congenital melanocytic nevi, 1 in nonnevus skin, and 1 unknown primary). Conclusions. Patients with large congenital melanocytic nevi are at increased risk for developing melanomas. There is also a significant increased risk for developing NCM. The high incidence of CNS involvement may influence decisions concerning treatment of the large congenital melanocytic nevi.

Circulating sex hormones and breast cancer risk factors in postmenopausal women: reanalysis of 13 studies.

Background:Breast cancer risk for postmenopausal women is positively associated with circulating concentrations of oestrogens and androgens, but the determinants of these hormones are not well understood.Methods:Cross-sectional analyses of breast cancer risk factors and circulating hormone concentrations in more than 6000 postmenopausal women controls in 13 prospective studies.Results:Concentrations of all hormones were lower in older than younger women, with the largest difference for dehydroepiandrosterone sulphate (DHEAS), whereas sex hormone-binding globulin (SHBG) was higher in the older women. Androgens were lower in women with bilateral ovariectomy than in naturally postmenopausal women, with the largest difference for free testosterone. All hormones were higher in obese than lean women, with the largest difference for free oestradiol, whereas SHBG was lower in obese women. Smokers of 15+ cigarettes per day had higher levels of all hormones than non-smokers, with the largest difference for testosterone. Drinkers of 20+ g alcohol per day had higher levels of all hormones, but lower SHBG, than non-drinkers, with the largest difference for DHEAS. Hormone concentrations were not strongly related to age at menarche, parity, age at first full-term pregnancy or family history of breast cancer.Conclusion:Sex hormone concentrations were strongly associated with several established or suspected risk factors for breast cancer, and may mediate the effects of these factors on breast cancer risk.

Serum folate, homocysteine and colorectal cancer risk in women: a nested case–control study

SummaryAccumulating evidence suggests that folate, which is plentiful in vegetables and fruits, may be protective against colorectal cancer. The authors have studied the relationship of baseline levels of serum folate and homocysteine to the subsequent risk of colorectal cancer in a nested case–control study including 105 cases and 523 matched controls from the New York University Women’s Health Study cohort. In univariate analyses, the cases had lower serum folate and higher serum homocysteine levels than controls. The difference was more significant for folate (P < 0.001) than for homocysteine (P = 0.04). After adjusting for potential confounders, the risk of colorectal cancer in the subjects in the highest quartile of serum folate was half that of those in the lowest quartile (odds ratio, OR = 0.52, 95% confidence interval, CI = 0.27–0.97, P-value for trend = 0.04). The OR for the highest quartile of homocysteine, relative to the lowest quartile, was 1.72 (95% CI = 0.83–3.65, P-value for trend = 0.09). In addition, the risk of colorectal cancer was almost twice as high in subjects with below-median serum folate and above-median total alcohol intake compared with those with above-median serum folate and below-median alcohol consumption (OR = 1.99, 95% CI = 0.92–4.29). The potentially protective effects of folate need to be confirmed in clinical trials.

Postmenopausal levels of oestrogen, androgen, and SHBG and breast cancer: long-term results of a prospective study

We assessed the association of sex hormone levels with breast cancer risk in a case–control study nested within the cohort of 7054 New York University (NYU) Womens Health Study participants who were postmenopausal at entry. The study includes 297 cases diagnosed between 6 months and 12.7 years after enrollment and 563 controls. Multivariate odds ratios (ORs) (95% confidence interval (CI)) for breast cancer for the highest quintile of each hormone and sex-hormone binding globulin (SHBG) relative to the lowest were as follows: 2.49 (1.47–4.21), Ptrend=0.003 for oestradiol; 3.24 (1.87–5.58), Ptrend<0.001 for oestrone; 2.37 (1.39–4.04), Ptrend=0.002 for testosterone; 2.07 (1.28–3.33), Ptrend<0.001 for androstenedione; 1.74 (1.05–2.89), Ptrend<0.001 for dehydroepiandrosterone sulphate (DHEAS); and 0.51 (0.31–0.82), Ptrend<0.001 for SHBG. Analyses limited to the 191 cases who had donated blood five to 12.7 years prior to diagnosis showed results in the same direction as overall analyses, although the tests for trend did not reach statistical significance for DHEAS and SHBG. The rates of change per year in hormone and SHBG levels, calculated for 95 cases and their matched controls who had given a second blood donation within 5 years of diagnosis, were of small magnitude and overall not different in cases and controls. The association of androgens with risk did not persist after adjustment for oestrone (1.08, 95% CI=0.92–1.26 for testosterone; 1.15, 95% CI=0.95–1.39 for androstenedione and 1.06, 95% CI=0.90–1.26 for DHEAS), the oestrogen most strongly associated with risk in our study. Our results support the hypothesis that the associations of circulating oestrogens with breast cancer risk are more likely due to an effect of circulating hormones on the development of cancer than to elevations induced by the tumour. They also suggest that the contribution of androgens to risk is largely through their role as substrates for oestrogen production.

Circulating levels of sex steroid hormones and risk of endometrial cancer in postmenopausal women

Experimental and epidemiological data support a role for sex steroid hormones in the pathogenesis of endometrial cancer. The associations of pre‐diagnostic blood concentrations of estradiol, estrone, testosterone, androstenedione, DHEAS and SHBG with endometrial cancer risk were investigated. A case‐control study was nested within 3 cohorts in New York (USA), Umeå (Sweden) and Milan (Italy). Cases were 124 postmenopausal women with invasive endometrial cancer. For each case, 2 controls were selected, matching the case on cohort, age and date of recruitment. Only postmenopausal women who did not use exogenous hormones at the time of blood donation were included. Odds ratios (OR) and their 95% confidence intervals (CI) were estimated by conditional logistic regression. ORs (95% CI) for endometrial cancer for quartiles with the highest hormone levels, relative to the lowest were as follows: 4.13 (1.76–9.72), ptrend = 0.0008 for estradiol, 3.67 (1.71–7.88), ptrend = 0.0007 for estrone, 2.15 (1.05–4.40), ptrend = 0.04 for androstenedione, 1.74 (0.88–3.46), ptrend = 0.06 for testosterone, 2.90 (1.42–5.90), ptrend = 0.002 for DHEAS and 0.46 (0.20–1.05), ptrend = 0.01 for SHBG after adjustment for body mass index, use of oral contraceptives and hormone replacement therapy. The results of our multicenter prospective study showed a strong direct association of circulating estrogens, androgens and an inverse association of SHBG levels with endometrial cancer in postmenopausal women. The effect of elevated androstenedione and testosterone levels on disease risk seems to be mediated mainly through their conversion to estrogens, although an independent effect of androgens on tumor growth cannot be ruled out, in particular in the years close to diagnosis.

Prediagnostic levels of C-peptide, IGF-I, IGFBP -1, -2 and -3 and risk of endometrial cancer†

Conditions related to chronic hyperinsulinemia, such as obesity, noninsulin dependent diabetes mellitus and polycystic ovary syndrome, are associated with an increased risk of endometrial cancer. Elevated plasma IGF‐I and decreased levels of IGF‐binding proteins have been shown to be associated with increased risk of several cancer types that are frequent in affluent societies. We investigated for the first time in a prospective study the association of pre‐diagnostic blood concentrations of C‐peptide (a marker of pancreatic insulin production), IGF‐I, IGFBP‐1, ‐2 and ‐3 with endometrial cancer risk. A case‐control study was nested within 3 cohorts in New York (USA), Umeå (Sweden) and Milan (Italy). It included 166 women with primary invasive endometrial cancer and 315 matched controls, of which 44 case and 78 control subjects were premenopausal at recruitment. Endometrial cancer risk increased with increasing levels of C‐peptide (ptrend = 0.0002), up to an odds ratio (OR) of 4.76 [95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.91–11.8] for the highest quintile. This association remained after adjustment for BMI and other confounders [OR for the top quintile = 4.40 (1.65–11.7)]. IGFBP‐1 levels were inversely related to endometrial cancer [ptrend = 0.002; OR in the upper quintile = 0.30 (0.15–0.62)], but the association was weakened and lost statistical significance after adjustment for confounders [ptrend = 0.06; OR in the upper quintile = 0.49 (0.22–1.07)]. Risk was unrelated to levels of IGF‐I, IGFBP‐2 and IGFBP‐3. Chronic hyperinsulinemia, as reflected by increased circulating C‐peptide, is associated with increased endometrial cancer risk. Decrease in the prevalence of chronic hyperinsulinemia, through changes in lifestyle or medication, is expected to prevent endometrial cancer.