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Dive into the research topics where Lauren T. Toth is active.

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Featured researches published by Lauren T. Toth.


Science | 2012

ENSO Drove 2500-Year Collapse of Eastern Pacific Coral Reefs

Lauren T. Toth; Richard B. Aronson; Steven V. Vollmer; Jennifer W. Hobbs; Dunia H. Urrego; Hai Cheng; Ian C. Enochs; David J. Combosch; Robert van Woesik; Ian G. Macintyre

A Long Collapse Coral reefs are threatened by global warming and ocean acidification, and so it is important to understand better how and why environmental changes have affected them in the past. Toth et al. (p. 81) present a 6000-year-long record of coral reefs off the coast of Panama, Central America. The reefs effectively stopped growing for approximately 2600 years, beginning around 4000 years ago. This collapse of the coral reef system was probably caused by increased variability of ENSO, the El Nino–Southern Oscillation. If the strength or frequency of ENSO were to increase, the viability of these and other reef systems in the Pacific could be put further at risk. A 6000-year record captures the influence of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation on coral reefs off the coast of Panama. Cores of coral reef frameworks along an upwelling gradient in Panamá show that reef ecosystems in the tropical eastern Pacific collapsed for 2500 years, representing as much as 40% of their history, beginning about 4000 years ago. The principal cause of this millennial-scale hiatus in reef growth was increased variability of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and its coupling with the Intertropical Convergence Zone. The hiatus was a Pacific-wide phenomenon with an underlying climatology similar to probable scenarios for the next century. Global climate change is probably driving eastern Pacific reefs toward another regional collapse.


Ecology | 2014

A depth refugium from catastrophic coral bleaching prevents regional extinction.

Tyler B. Smith; Peter W. Glynn; Juan L. Maté; Lauren T. Toth; Joanna Gyory

Species intolerant of changing climate might avoid extinction within refugia buffered from extreme conditions. Refugia have been observed in the fossil record but are not well documented or understood on ecological time scales. Using a 37-year record from the eastern Pacific across the two most severe El Niño events on record (1982-1983 and 1997 1998) we show how an exceptionally thermally sensitive reef-building hydrocoral, Millepora intricata, twice survived catastrophic bleaching in a deeper-water refuge (> 11 m depth). During both events, M. intricata was extirpated across its range in shallow water, but showed recovery within several years, while two other hydrocorals without deep-water populations were driven to regional extinction. Evidence from the subfossil record in the same area showed shallow-water persistence of abundant M. intricata populations from 5000 years ago, through severe El Niño-Southern Oscillation cycles, suggesting a potential depth refugium on a millennial timescale. Our data confirm the deep refuge hypothesis for corals under thermal stress.


Conservation Biology | 2016

A geological perspective on the degradation and conservation of western Atlantic coral reefs

Ilsa B. Kuffner; Lauren T. Toth

Continuing coral-reef degradation in the western Atlantic is resulting in loss of ecological and geologic functions of reefs. With the goal of assisting resource managers and stewards of reefs in setting and measuring progress toward realistic goals for coral-reef conservation and restoration, we examined reef degradation in this region from a geological perspective. The importance of ecosystem services provided by coral reefs-as breakwaters that dissipate wave energy and protect shorelines and as providers of habitat for innumerable species-cannot be overstated. However, the few coral species responsible for reef building in the western Atlantic during the last approximately 1.5 million years are not thriving in the 21st century. These species are highly sensitive to abrupt temperature extremes, prone to disease infection, and have low sexual reproductive potential. Their vulnerability and the low functional redundancy of branching corals have led to the low resilience of western Atlantic reef ecosystems. The decrease in live coral cover over the last 50 years highlights the need for study of relict (senescent) reefs, which, from the perspective of coastline protection and habitat structure, may be just as important to conserve as the living coral veneer. Research is needed to characterize the geological processes of bioerosion, reef cementation, and sediment transport as they relate to modern-day changes in reef elevation. For example, although parrotfish remove nuisance macroalgae, possibly promoting coral recruitment, they will not save Atlantic reefs from geological degradation. In fact, these fish are quickly nibbling away significant quantities of Holocene reef framework. The question of how different biota covering dead reefs affect framework resistance to biological and physical erosion needs to be addressed. Monitoring and managing reefs with respect to physical resilience, in addition to ecological resilience, could optimize the expenditure of resources in conserving Atlantic reefs and the services they provide.


Ecology | 2012

Catastrophe and the life span of coral reefs

Richard B. Aronson; William F. Precht; Ian G. Macintyre; Lauren T. Toth

A strong earthquake in the western Caribbean in 2009 had a catastrophic impact on uncemented, unconsolidated coral reefs in the central sector of the shelf lagoon of the Belizean barrier reef. In a set of 21 reef sites that had been observed prior to the earthquake, the benthic assemblages of 10 were eradicated, and one was partially damaged, by avalanching of their slopes. Ecological dynamics that had played out over the previous 23 years, including the mass mortalities of two sequentially dominant coral species and a large increase in the cover of an encrusting sponge, were instantaneously rendered moot in the areas of catastrophic reef-slope failure. Because these prior dynamics also determined the benthic composition and resilience of adjacent sections of reef that remained intact, the history of disturbance prior to the earthquake will strongly influence decadal-scale recovery in the failed areas. Geological analysis of the reef framework yielded a minimum return time of 2000-4000 years for this type of high-amplitude event. Anthropogenic degradation of ecosystems must be viewed against the backdrop of long-period, natural catastrophes, such as the impact of strong earthquakes on uncemented, lagoonal reefs.


Archive | 2017

Holocene Reef Development in the Eastern Tropical Pacific

Lauren T. Toth; Ian G. Macintyre; Richard B. Aronson

Contrary to early assessments, the eastern tropical Pacific (ETP) is not devoid of well-developed reefs. Significant accumulations of Holocene reef framework are present throughout the region, although they tend to be poorly consolidated, lack the submarine cementation common on most reefs elsewhere in the world, and are subject to considerable bioerosion. These reef frameworks began accreting as early as 7000 years ago. The thickest accumulations of Pocillopora frameworks occur in coastal areas of Mexico, Costa Rica, Panama, and Colombia, but reefs composed of massive corals—species of Porites, Pavona, or Gardineroseris—are present throughout the region. Reef development in the ETP is limited by a variety of characteristics of the physical environment. Because of high turbidity in most areas, reef development is generally restricted to less than ~10 m depth. The spatial extent of reefs in the ETP is also limited from the combined influences of wave action and upwelling. Most reefs in the ETP are only a few hectares in size and the best-developed reefs generally occur in areas sheltered from strong oceanic influence. Upwelling also influences long-term trends in reef development in the region. There does not appear to be a significant impact of upwelling on the millennial-scale growth rates of Panamanian reefs; however, reefs in upwelling environments typically have thinner frameworks than nearby reefs in non-upwelling environments. Furthermore, upwelling may have contributed to a historic shutdown of reef development in Costa Rica and Panama. Although both ecological and oceanographic disturbances have had some impact on the long-term development of reefs in the ETP, the most important control on reef development in this region throughout the Holocene has most likely been the El Nino–Southern Oscillation (ENSO). ENSO activity—especially that of the 1982–83 and 1997–98 El Nino events—has shaped the landscape of coral reefs across the ETP both in recent decades and in the past. Reefs in Pacific Panama and Costa Rica experienced a 2500-year hiatus in vertical growth beginning ~4100 years ago as a result of enhanced ENSO activity. Although the degree of framework accumulation and rate of reef accretion in some parts of the ETP are more similar to that of the western Atlantic than previously thought, the region still remains a marginal environment for reef development. Given the dominant role that climatic variability has played in controlling reef development in the past, the future of reefs in the ETP under accelerating climate change remains uncertain.


PALAIOS | 2015

A NEW RECORD OF THE LATE PLEISTOCENE CORAL POCILLOPORA PALMATA FROM THE DRY TORTUGAS, FLORIDA REEF TRACT, USA

Lauren T. Toth; Ilsa B. Kuffner; Hai Cheng; R. Lawrence Edwards

Abstract Pocilloporid corals dominated shallow-water environments in the Caribbean during much of the Cenozoic; however, the regional diversity of this family declined over the last 15 My, culminating with the extinction of its final member, Pocillopora palmata, during the latest Pleistocene. Here we present a new record of P. palmata from Dry Tortugas National Park in the Florida Keys and infer its likely age. Although most existing records of P. palmata are from the sub-aerial reef deposits of MIS5e (~ 125 ka), the presently submerged reef in the Dry Tortugas was too deep (> 18 m) during this period to support significant reef growth. In contrast, the maximum water depth during MIS5a (~ 82 ka) was only ~ 5.6 m, which would have been ideal for P. palmata. Diagenetic alteration prevented direct dating of the samples; however, the similarity between the depths of the Pleistocene bedrock in the Dry Tortugas and other reefs in the Florida Keys, which have been previously dated to MIS5a, support the conclusion that P. palmata likely grew in the Dry Tortugas during this period. Our study provides important new information on the history of P. palmata, but it also highlights the vital need for more comprehensive studies of the Quaternary history of Caribbean reef development. With modern reef degradation already driving yet another restructuring of Caribbean coral assemblages, insights from past extinctions may prove critical in determining the prognosis of Caribbean reefs in the future.


Paleoceanography | 2015

Holocene variability in the intensity of wind‐gap upwelling in the tropical eastern Pacific

Lauren T. Toth; Richard B. Aronson; Hai Cheng; R. Lawrence Edwards

Wind-driven upwelling in Pacific Panama is a significant source of oceanographic variability in the tropical eastern Pacific. This upwelling system provides a critical teleconnection between the Atlantic and tropical Pacific that may impact climate variability on a global scale. Despite its importance to oceanographic circulation, ecology, and climate, little is known about the long-term stability of the Panamanian upwelling system or its interaction with climatic forcing on millennial time scales. Using a combination of radiocarbon and U-series dating of fossil corals collected in cores from five sites across Pacific Panama, we reconstructed the local radiocarbon reservoir correction, ΔR, from ~6750 cal B.P. to present. Because the ΔR of shallow-water environments is elevated by upwelling, our data set represents a millennial-scale record of spatial and temporal variability of the Panamanian upwelling system. The general oceanographic gradient from relatively strong upwelling in the Gulf of Panama to weak-to-absent upwelling in the Gulf of Chiriqui was present throughout our record; however, the intensity of upwelling in the Gulf of Panama varied significantly through time. Our reconstructions suggest that upwelling in the Gulf of Panama is weak at present; however, the middle Holocene was characterized by periods of enhanced upwelling, with the most intense upwelling occurring just after of a regional shutdown in the development of reefs at ~4100 cal B.P. Comparisons with regional climate proxies suggest that, whereas the Intertropical Convergence Zone is the primary control on modern upwelling in Pacific Panama, the El Nino–Southern Oscillation drove the millennial-scale variability of upwelling during the Holocene.


Ideas in Ecology and Evolution | 2014

Lights, camera, science: The utility and growing popularity of film festivals at scientific meetings

Erica Staaterman; Ashwin A. Bhandiwad; Philip M. Gravinese; Perri M Moeller; Zachary C Reichenbach; Andrew A. Shantz; David S. Shiffman; Lauren T. Toth; Alexandria M. Warneke; Austin J. Gallagher

Scientific publications have traditionally been viewed as the fruit of a scientist’s labor. Publishing in the peer-reviewed literature is the gold-standard method for communicating research products to other researchers. Yet today, the greater population of academics and researchers are increasingly recognizing the value of non-traditional scientific research products (Bickford et al. 2012, Ecklund et al. 2012), and certain funding agencies are now asking scientists to list ‘products’ rather than just ‘publications’ on their proposals (Piwowar 2013). But how can scientists gather and learn about these different research products and use this as a


Fact Sheet | 2015

Investigación del USGS sobre el ecosistema de arrecifes de coral en el Atlántico

Ilsa B. Kuffner; Kimberly K. Yates; David G. Zawada; Julie N. Richey; Christina A. Kellogg; Lauren T. Toth; Legna M. Torres-Garcia

Los arrecifes de coral son estructuras sólidas, biomineralizadas que protegen comunidades costeras actuando como barreras protectoras de peligros tales como los huracanes y los tsunamis. Estos proveen arena a las playas a través de procesos naturales de erosión, fomentan la industria del turismo, las actividades recreacionales y proveen hábitats pesqueros esenciales. La continua degradación mundial de ecosistemas de arrecifes de coral está bien documentada (por ejemplo, fig. 1). Existe la necesidad de enfoque y organización de la ciencia para entender los procesos complejos físicos y biológicos e interacciones que están afectando el estado de los arrecifes coralinos y su capacidad para responder a un entorno cambiante.


Fact Sheet | 2015

USGS research on Atlantic coral reef ecosystems

Ilsa B. Kuffner; Kimberly K. Yates; David G. Zawada; Julie N. Richey; Christina A. Kellogg; Lauren T. Toth

Coral reefs are massive, biomineralized structures that protect coastal communities by acting as barriers to hazards such as hurricanes and tsunamis. They provide sand for beaches through the natural process of erosion, support tourism and recreational industries, and provide essential habitat for fisheries. The continuing global degradation of coral reef ecosystems is well documented (for example, fig. 1). There is a need for focused, coordinated science to understand the complex physical and biological processes and interactions that are impacting the condition of coral reefs and their ability to respond to a changing environment.

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Ilsa B. Kuffner

United States Geological Survey

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Richard B. Aronson

Florida Institute of Technology

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Hai Cheng

Xi'an Jiaotong University

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Julie N. Richey

United States Geological Survey

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Derek P. Manzello

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

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William F. Precht

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

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Christina A. Kellogg

United States Geological Survey

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