Lee S. Waterman

Evidence for interannual variability of the carbon cycle from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration/Climate Monitoring and Diagnostics Laboratory global air sampling network

The distribution and variations of atmospheric CO2 from 1981 to 1992 were determined by measuring CO2 mixing ratios in samples collected weekly at a cooperative global air sampling network. The results constitute the most geographically extensive, carefully calibrated, internally consistent CO2 data set available. Analysis of the data reveals that the global CO2 growth rate has declined from a peak of approximately 2.5 ppm/yr in 1987-1988 to approximately 0.6 ppm/yr in 1992. In 1992 we find no increase in atmospheric CO2 from 30 deg to 90 deg N. Variations in fossil fuel CO2 emissions cannot explain this result. The north pole-south pole CO2 difference increased from approximately 3 ppm during 1981-1987 to approximately 4 ppm during 1988-1991. In 1992 the difference was again approximately 3 ppm. A two-dimensional model analysis of the data indicates that the low CO2 growth rate in 1992 is mainly due to an increase in the northern hemisphere CO2 sink from 3.9 Gt C/yr in 1991 to 5.0 Gt C/yr in 1992. The increase in the north pole-south pole CO2 difference appears to result from an increase in the southern hemisphere CO2 sink from approximately 0.5 to approximately 1.5 Gt C/yr.

Assessment of the air‐sea exchange of CO2 in the south Pacific during austral autumn

Measurements of CO2 concentrations in the atmosphere and in the surface waters of the South Pacific Ocean were made by NOAA scientists between 1984 and 1989. These basin-wide measurements were all taken during austral autumn and provide data for evaluation of the seasonal flux of CO2 from this region. The sensitivity of this flux to the uncertainty in the CO2 gas exchange coefficient was evaluated using four different wind data sets and two formulations for the wind dependence of gas transfer velocity. The integrated net flux of CO2 to the atmosphere during austral autumn (February to May) ranges from −0.03 (ocean influx) to +0.09 (ocean efflux) GT of carbon depending on the combination of wind field and wind-dependent exchange coefficient used.