Leiv Sandvik

Physical fitness as a predictor of mortality among healthy, middle-aged Norwegian men.

BACKGROUND Despite many studies suggesting that poor physical fitness is an independent risk factor for death from cardiovascular causes, the matter has remained controversial. We studied this question in a 16-year follow-up investigation of Norwegian men that began in 1972. METHODS Our study included 1960 healthy men 40 to 59 years of age (84 percent of those invited to participate). Conventional coronary risk factors and physical fitness were assessed at base line, with physical fitness measured as the total work performed on a bicycle ergometer during a symptom-limited exercise-tolerance test. RESULTS After an average follow-up time of 16 years, 271 men had died, 53 percent of them from cardiovascular disease. The relative risk of death from any cause in fitness quartile 4 (highest) as compared with quartile 1 (lowest) was 0.54 (95 percent confidence interval, 0.32 to 0.89; P = 0.015) after adjustment for age, smoking status, serum lipids, blood pressure, resting heart rate, vital capacity, body-mass index, level of physical activity, and glucose tolerance. Total mortality was similar among the subjects in fitness quartiles 1, 2, and 3 when the data were adjusted for these same variables. The adjusted relative risk of death from cardiovascular causes in fitness quartile 4 as compared with quartile 1 was 0.41 (95 percent confidence interval, 0.20 to 0.84; P = 0.013). The corresponding relative risks for quartiles 3 and 2 (as compared with quartile 1) were 0.45 (95 percent confidence interval, 0.22 to 0.92; P = 0.026) and 0.59 (95 percent confidence interval, 0.28 to 1.22; P = 0.15), respectively. CONCLUSIONS Physical fitness appears to be a graded, independent, long-term predictor of mortality from cardiovascular causes in healthy, middle-aged men. A high level of fitness was also associated with lower mortality from any cause.

Changes in physical fitness and changes in mortality

BACKGROUND Point estimates of physical fitness give important information on the risk of death in healthy people, but there is little information available on effects of sequential changes in physical fitness on mortality. We studied this latter aspect in healthy middle-aged men over a total follow-up period of 22 years. METHODS 2014 healthy men aged 40-60 years had a bicycle exercise test and clinical examination, and completed a questionnaire in 1972-75 (survey 1). This was repeated for 1756 (91%) of 1932 men still alive by Dec 31, 1982 (survey 2). The exercise scores were adjusted for age. The change in exercise scores between surveys was divided into quartiles (Q1=least fit, Q4=fittest). An adjusted Coxs proportional hazards model was used to study the association between changes in physical fitness and mortality, with the Q1 men used as controls. FINDINGS By Dec 31, 1994, 238 (17%) of the 1428 men had died, 120 from cardiovascular causes. There were 37 deaths in the Q4 group (19 cardiovascular); their relative risks of death were 0.45 (95% CI 0.29-0.69) for any cause and 0.47 (0.26-0.86) for cardiovascular causes. There was a graded, inverse relation between changes in physical fitness and mortality irrespective of physical fitness status at survey 1. INTERPRETATION Change in physical fitness in healthy middle-aged men is a strong predictor of mortality. Even small improvements in physical fitness are associated with a significantly lowered risk of death. If confirmed, these findings should be used to influence public health policy.

Effect of near normoglycaemia for two years on progression of early diabetic retinopathy, nephropathy, and neuropathy: the Oslo study.

Forty five insulin dependent diabetics were randomised to treatment with continuous subcutaneous insulin infusion (CSII), multiple insulin injections (five or six daily), or conventional twice daily insulin injections. Near normoglycaemia was obtained with CSII and multiple injections but not with conventional treatment (p less than 0.01). Hypoglycaemic coma was observed less frequently with CSII than with multiple injections and conventional treatment (p less than 0.001), but blood glucose concentrations below 2.5 mmol/l (45 mg/100 ml) were more common. After two years fewer retinal microaneurysms and haemorrhages had developed in the patients given CSII and multiple injections compared with those given conventional treatment, in whom the number had increased significantly (p less than 0.01). Motor nerve conduction velocity deteriorated in the patients given conventional treatment; in those given CSII it was unchanged during the first year but had improved after two years (p less than 0.01). Glomerular hyperfiltration was reduced with CSII, but no change occurred in urine albumin excretion rates. Long term near normoglycaemia may prevent the progression of early stages of late diabetic complications.

Rapid tightening of blood glucose control leads to transient deterioration of retinopathy in insulin dependent diabetes mellitus: the Oslo study.

In a study of retinopathy during one year of tight blood glucose control 45 type I (insulin dependent) diabetics without proliferative retinopathy were randomised to receive either continuous subcutaneous insulin infusion, multiple insulin injections, or conventional insulin treatment (controls). Near normoglycaemia was achieved with continuous infusion and multiple injections but not with conventional treatment. Blind evaluation of fluorescein angiograms performed three monthly showed progression of retinopathy in the control group, transient deterioration in the continuous infusion group, and no change in the multiple injection group. Half the patients receiving continuous infusion and multiple injections developed retinal cotton wool spots after three to six months. These changes regressed in all but four patients after 12 months. Control patients did not develop cotton wool spots. Patients who developed cotton wool spots are characterised by a larger decrement in glycosylated haemoglobin and blood glucose values, more frequent episodes of hypoglycaemia, a longer duration of diabetes, and more severe retinopathy at onset. A large and rapid fall in blood glucose concentration may promote transient deterioration of diabetic retinopathy.

ASSOCIATION BETWEEN GENITAL SCHISTOSOMIASIS AND HIV IN RURAL ZIMBABWEAN WOMEN

Objective:To determine the association between female genital Schistosoma haematobium infection and HIV. Design and methods:A cross-sectional study with a 1-year follow-up. Gynecological and laboratory investigations were performed for S. haematobium and HIV. Sexually transmitted infections, demographic and urogenital history were analysed as confounders. The participants were 527 sexually active, non-pregnant, non-menopausal women between the ages of 20 and 49 years. The setting was a rural Zimbabwean community where S. haematobium related lesions were found in 46% of the women, HIV in 29% and herpes simplex type- 2 (HSV-2) in 65%. Results:In permanent residents (>3 years residency), HIV was found in 41% (29/70) of women with laboratory proven genital schistosomiasis as opposed to 26% HIV positive (96/375) in the schistosomal ova negative group [odds ratio (OR), 2.1; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.2–3.5; P = 0.008. In multivariate analysis S. haematobium infection of the genital mucosa was significantly associated with HIV seropositivity (adjusted OR, 2.9; 95% CI, 1.11–7.5; P = 0.030). All seven women who became HIV positive during the study period (seroincidence 3.1%) had signs of S. haematobium at baseline. In accordance with other studies HIV was significantly associated with HSV-2 (OR, 3.0; 95% CI, 1.7–5.3; P < 0.001), syphilis and human papillomavirus. The highest HIV prevalence (45%) was found in the 25–29 years age group. Conclusion:Women with genital schistosomiasis had an almost three-fold risk of having HIV in this rural Zimbabwean community. Prospective studies are needed to confirm the association.

Predictors of mortality in HIV-infected patients starting antiretroviral therapy in a rural hospital in Tanzania

BackgroundStudies of antiretroviral therapy (ART) programs in Africa have shown high initial mortality. Factors contributing to this high mortality are poorly described. The aim of the present study was to assess mortality and to identify predictors of mortality in HIV-infected patients starting ART in a rural hospital in Tanzania.MethodsThis was a cohort study of 320 treatment-naïve adults who started ART between October 2003 and November 2006. Reliable CD4 cell counts were not available, thus ART initiation was based on clinical criteria in accordance with WHO and Tanzanian guidelines. Kaplan-Meier models were used to estimate mortality and Cox proportional hazards models to identify predictors of mortality.ResultsPatients were followed for a median of 10.9 months (IQR 2.9–19.5). Overall, 95 patients died, among whom 59 died within 3 months of starting ART. Estimated mortality was 19.2, 29.0 and 40.7% at 3, 12 and 36 months, respectively. Independent predictors of mortality were severe anemia (hemoglobin <8 g/dL; adjusted hazard ratio [AHR] 9.20; 95% CI 2.05–41.3), moderate anemia (hemoglobin 8–9.9 g/dL; AHR 7.50; 95% CI 1.77–31.9), thrombocytopenia (platelet count <150 × 109/L; AHR 2.30; 95% CI 1.33–3.99) and severe malnutrition (body mass index <16 kg/m2; AHR 2.12; 95% CI 1.06–4.24). Estimated one year mortality was 55.2% in patients with severe anemia, compared to 3.7% in patients without anemia (P < 0.001).ConclusionMortality was found to be high, with the majority of deaths occurring within 3 months of starting ART. Anemia, thrombocytopenia and severe malnutrition were strong independent predictors of mortality. A prognostic model based on hemoglobin level appears to be a useful tool for initial risk assessment in resource-limited settings.

Exercise blood pressure predicts cardiovascular mortality in middle-aged men.

The outcome of 1999 apparently healthy men aged 40 to 59 years investigated from 1972 through 1975 was ascertained after 16 years to determine whether systolic blood pressure measured with subjects in the sitting position during a bicycle ergometer exercise test adds prognostic information on cardiovascular mortality beyond that of casual blood pressure measured after 5 minutes of supine rest. During a total follow-up of 31,984 patient years, 278 patients died, 150 from cardiovascular causes. Casual blood pressure and pulse pressure as well as peak exercise systolic blood pressure during 6 minutes on the starting workload of 600 kpm/min (approximately 100 W, 5880 J/min) were all related to cardiovascular mortality. The relative risk (RR) of dying from cardiovascular causes associated with an increment of 48.5 mmHg (= 2 SD) in systolic blood pressure at 600 kilopondmeter (kpm)/min was significant (RR = 1.5, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.1-2.3, P = .040) even when adjusting for a large number of variables measured in the present study, including age, exercise capacity, smoking habits, and casual blood pressures. The influence of blood pressure at 600 kpm/min was so strong that the predictive value of resting casual blood pressures became nonsignificant when these were analyzed as continuous variables also including exercise blood pressure as a covariate. However, the maximal systolic blood pressure during the exercise test was unrelated to cardiovascular mortality.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

Catheter‐directed thrombolysis vs. anticoagulant therapy alone in deep vein thrombosis: results of an open randomized, controlled trial reporting on short‐term patency

Summary.  Background: Approximately one in four patients with acute proximal deep vein thrombosis (DVT) given anticoagulation and compression therapy develop post‐thrombotic syndrome (PTS). Accelerated removal of thrombus by thrombolytic agents may increase patency and prevent PTS. Objectives: To assess short‐term efficacy of additional catheter‐directed thrombolysis (CDT) compared with standard treatment alone. Patients and methods: Open, multicenter, randomized, controlled trial. Patients (18–75 years) with iliofemoral DVT and symptoms < 21 days were randomized to receive additional CDT or standard treatment alone. After 6 months, iliofemoral patency was investigated using duplex ultrasound and air‐plethysmography assessed by an investigator blinded to previous treatment. Results: One hundred and three patients (64 men, mean age 52 years) were allocated additional CDT (n = 50) or standard treatment alone (n = 53). After CDT, grade III (complete) lysis was achieved in 24 and grade II (50%–90%) lysis in 20 patients. One patient suffered major bleeding and two had clinically relevant bleeding related to the CDT procedure. After 6 months, iliofemoral patency was found in 32 (64.0%) in the CDT group vs. 19 (35.8%) controls, corresponding to an absolute risk reduction (RR) of 28.2% (95% CI: 9.7%–46.7%; P = 0.004). Venous obstruction was found in 10 (20.0%) in the CDT group vs. 26 (49.1%) controls; absolute RR 29.1% (95% CI: 20.0%–38.0%; P = 0.004). Femoral venous insufficiency did not differ between the two groups. Conclusions: After 6 months, additional CDT increased iliofemoral patency from 36% to 64%. The ongoing long‐term follow‐up of this study will document whether patency is related to improved functional outcome.

Comparison of Ranibizumab and Bevacizumab for Neovascular Age-Related Macular Degeneration According to LUCAS Treat-and-Extend Protocol

PURPOSE To compare the efficacy and safety of bevacizumab versus ranibizumab when administered according to a treat-and-extend protocol for the treatment of neovascular age-related macular degeneration (AMD). DESIGN Multicenter, randomized, noninferiority trial with a noninferiority limit of 5 letters. PARTICIPANTS Patients aged ≥ 50 years with previously untreated neovascular AMD in 1 eye and best-corrected visual acuity (BCVA) between 20/25 and 20/320. METHODS Patients were randomly assigned to receive ranibizumab 0.5 mg or bevacizumab 1.25 mg intravitreal injections. Monthly injections were given until inactive disease was achieved. The patients were then followed with a gradual extension of treatment interval by 2 weeks at a time up to a maximum of 12 weeks. If signs of recurrent disease appeared, the treatment interval was shortened by 2 weeks at a time. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES Change in visual acuity at 1 year. RESULTS Between March 2009 and July 2012, 441 patients were randomized at 10 ophthalmological centers in Norway. The 1-year visit was completed by 371 patients. In the per protocol analysis at 1 year, bevacizumab was equivalent to ranibizumab, with 7.9 and 8.2 mean letters gained, respectively (95% confidence interval [CI] of mean difference, -2.4 to 2.9; P = 0.845). The intention-to-treat analysis was concordant. There was no significant difference in measured central retinal thickness (CRT), with a mean decrease of -112 μm for bevacizumab and -120 μm for ranibizumab (95% CI of mean difference, -13 to 28; P = 0.460). There was a statistically significant difference (P = 0.001) between the drugs regarding the number of treatments: 8.9 for bevacizumab and 8.0 for ranibizumab. There were fewer arteriothrombotic events in the bevacizumab group (1.4%) than in the ranibizumab group (4.5%) (P = 0.050) and significantly more cardiac events in the ranibizumab group (P = 0.036). However, patients treated with ranibizumab more often had a history of myocardial infarction (P = 0.021). CONCLUSIONS Bevacizumab and ranibizumab had equivalent effects on visual acuity at 1 year when administered according to a treat-and-extend protocol. The visual acuity results at 1 year were comparable to those of other clinical trials with monthly treatment. The numbers of serious adverse events were small.

Familial clustering in the polycystic ovarian syndrome

To assess the degree of familial clustering and the mode of inheritance of the polycystic ovarian syndrome (PCO), the prevalence of PCO-related symptoms among first- and second-degree relatives of 132 PCO patients and 71 controls was studied using questionnaire data. 19.7% of male first-degree relatives of PCO patients were reported to have early baldness or excessive hairiness, as opposed to 6.5% of relatives of controls. For female first-degree relatives, the percentages for PCO-related symptoms were 31.4 and 3.2, respectively, in the two groups. In a subgroup of 52 families of PCO patients where one of the parents was reported to have symptoms, 35% of brothers and 58% of sisters had symptoms. Although autosomal dominant inheritance could be excluded as an explanation for PCO in the whole data set, the findings were consistent with this mode of inheritance for a sizeable fraction of families. X-linked dominant inheritance of PCO could be discarded.