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Dive into the research topics where Lizz Paley is active.

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Featured researches published by Lizz Paley.


The Lancet | 2016

Weekly variation in health-care quality by day and time of admission: a nationwide, registry-based, prospective cohort study of acute stroke care.

Benjamin D. Bray; Geoffrey Cloud; Martin James; Harry Hemingway; Lizz Paley; Kevin Stewart; Philippa Tyrrell; Charles Wolfe; Anthony Rudd

BACKGROUND Studies in many health systems have shown evidence of poorer quality health care for patients admitted on weekends or overnight than for those admitted during the week (the so-called weekend effect). We postulated that variation in quality was dependent on not only day, but also time, of admission, and aimed to describe the pattern and magnitude of variation in the quality of acute stroke care across the entire week. METHODS We did this nationwide, registry-based, prospective cohort study using data from the Sentinel Stroke National Audit Programme. We included all adult patients (aged >16 years) admitted to hospital with acute stroke (ischaemic or primary intracerebral haemorrhage) in England and Wales between April 1, 2013, and March 31, 2014. Our outcome measure was 30 day post-admission survival. We estimated adjusted odds ratios for 13 indicators of acute stroke-care quality by fitting multilevel multivariable regression models across 42 4-h time periods per week. FINDINGS The study cohort comprised 74,307 patients with acute stroke admitted to 199 hospitals. Care quality varied across the entire week, not only between weekends and weekdays, with different quality measures showing different patterns and magnitudes of temporal variation. We identified four patterns of variation: a diurnal pattern (thrombolysis, brain scan within 12 h, brain scan within 1 h, dysphagia screening), a day of the week pattern (stroke physician assessment, nurse assessment, physiotherapy, occupational therapy, and assessment of communication and swallowing by a speech and language therapist), an off-hours pattern (door-to-needle time for thrombolysis), and a flow pattern whereby quality changed sequentially across days (stroke-unit admission within 4 h). The largest magnitude of variation was for door-to-needle time within 60 min (range in quality 35-66% [16/46-232/350]; coefficient of variation 18·2). There was no difference in 30 day survival between weekends and weekdays (adjusted odds ratio 1·03, 95% CI 0·95-1·13), but patients admitted overnight on weekdays had lower odds of survival (0·90, 0·82-0·99). INTERPRETATION The weekend effect is a simplification, and just one of several patterns of weekly variation occurring in the quality of stroke care. Weekly variation should be further investigated in other health-care settings, and quality improvement should focus on reducing temporal variation in quality and not only the weekend effect. FUNDING None.


International Journal of Stroke | 2016

Care-limiting decisions in acute stroke and association with survival: analyses of UK national quality register data

Adrian R. Parry-Jones; Lizz Paley; Benjamin D. Bray; Alex Hoffman; Martin James; Geoffrey Cloud; Pippa Tyrrell; Anthony Rudd

Background Prognosis after intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) is poor and care-limiting decisions may worsen outcomes. Aims To determine whether in current UK stroke practice, key acute care decisions are associated with stroke subtype (ICH/ischemic) and whether these decisions are independently associated with survival. Methods We extracted data describing all stroke patients included in a UK quality register between 1 April 2013 and 31 March 2014. Key care decisions in our analyses were transfer to higher level care on admission and palliation in the first 72 h. We used multivariable regression models to test for associations between stroke subtype (ICH/ischemic), key care decisions, and survival. Results A total of 65,818 patients were included in the final analysis. After ICH (n = 7020/65,818, 10.7%), 10.5% were palliated on the day of admission and 19.3% by 72 h (vs. 0.7% and 3.3% for ischemic stroke). Although a greater proportion were admitted directly to higher level care after ICH (3.7% vs. 1.5% for ischemic stroke), ICH was not independently associated with the decision to admit to higher level care (adjusted odds ratio (OR): 1.12, 95% confidence interval (95%CI): 0.95–1.31, p = 0.183). However, ICH was strongly associated with the decision to commence palliative care on the day of admission (OR: 7.27, 95%CI: 6.31–8.37, p < 0.001). Palliative care was independently associated with risk of death by 30 days regardless of stroke subtype. Conclusions When compared to ischemic stroke, patients with ICH are much more likely to commence palliative care during the first 72 h of their care, independent of level of consciousness, age, and premorbid health.


The Lancet. Public health | 2018

Socioeconomic disparities in first stroke incidence, quality of care, and survival: a nationwide registry-based cohort study of 44 million adults in England

Benjamin D. Bray; Lizz Paley; Alex Hoffman; Martin James; Patrick Gompertz; Charles Wolfe; Harry Hemingway; Anthony Rudd

Summary Background We aimed to estimate socioeconomic disparities in the incidence of hospitalisation for first-ever stroke, quality of care, and post-stroke survival for the adult population of England. Methods In this cohort study, we obtained data collected by a nationwide register on patients aged 18 years or older hospitalised for first-ever acute ischaemic stroke or primary intracerebral haemorrhage in England from July 1, 2013, to March 31, 2016. We classified socioeconomic status at the level of Lower Super Output Areas using the Index of Multiple Deprivation, a neighbourhood measure of deprivation. Multivariable models were fitted to estimate the incidence of hospitalisation for first stroke (negative binomial), quality of care using 12 quality metrics (multilevel logistic), and all-cause 1 year case fatality (Cox proportional hazards). Findings Of the 43·8 million adults in England, 145 324 were admitted to hospital with their first-ever stroke: 126 640 (87%) with ischaemic stroke, 17 233 (12%) with intracerebral haemorrhage, and 1451 (1%) with undetermined stroke type. We observed a socioeconomic gradient in the incidence of hospitalisation for ischaemic stroke (adjusted incidence rate ratio 2·0, 95% CI 1·7–2·3 for the most vs least deprived deciles) and intracerebral haemorrhage (1·6, 1·3–1·9). Patients from the lowest socioeconomic groups had first stroke a median of 7 years earlier than those from the highest (p<0·0001), and had a higher prevalence of pre-stroke disability and diabetes. Patients from lower socioeconomic groups were less likely to receive five of 12 care processes but were more likely to receive early supported discharge (adjusted odds ratio 1·14, 95% CI 1·07–1·22). Low socioeconomic status was associated with a 26% higher adjusted risk of 1-year mortality (adjusted hazard ratio 1·26, 95% CI 1·20–1·33, for highest vs lowest deprivation decile), but this gradient was largely attenuated after adjustment for the presence of pre-stroke diabetes, hypertension, and atrial fibrillation (1·11, 1·05–1·17). Interpretation Wide socioeconomic disparities exist in the burden of ischaemic stroke and intracerebral haemorrhage in England, most notably in stroke hospitalisation risk and case fatality and, to a lesser extent, in the quality of health care. Reducing these disparities requires interventions to improve the quality of acute stroke care and address disparities in cardiovascular risk factors present before stroke. Funding NHS England and the Welsh Government.


Journal of Stroke & Cerebrovascular Diseases | 2018

Outcomes of Nonagenarians with Acute Ischemic Stroke Treated with Intravenous Thrombolytics

Réza Behrouz; Jaime Masjuán-Vallejo; Rocío Vera; Joshua Z. Willey; Mickael Zedet; Solène Moulin; Charlotte Cordonnier; Catharina J.M. Klijn; Karin Kanselaar; Maaike Dirks; Brian Silver; Muhib Khan; Mahmoud Reza Azarpazhooh; Daniel Agustin Godoy; Christine Roffe; Lizz Paley; Benjamin D. Bray; Craig J. Smith

BACKGROUND Nonagenarians are under-represented in thrombolytic trials for acute ischemic stroke (AIS). The effectiveness of intravenous thrombolytics in nonagenarians in terms of safety and outcome is not well established. MATERIALS AND METHODS We used a multinational registry to identify patients aged 90 years or older with good baseline functional status who presented with AIS. Differences in outcomes-disability level at 90 days, frequency of symptomatic intracerebral hemorrhage (sICH), and mortality-between patients who did and did not receive thrombolytics were assessed using multivariable logistic regression, adjusted for prespecified prognostic factors. Coarsened exact matching (CEM) was utilized before evaluating outcome by balancing both groups in the sensitivity analysis. RESULTS We identified 227 previously independent nonagenarians with AIS; 122 received intravenous thrombolytics and 105 did not. In the unmatched cohort, ordinal analysis showed a significant treatment effect (adjusted common odds ratio [OR]: .61, 95% confidence interval [CI]: .39-.96). There was an absolute difference of 8.1% in the rate of excellent outcome in favor of thrombolysis (17.4% versus 9.3%; adjusted ratio: .30, 95% CI: .12-.77). Rates of sICH and in-hospital mortality were not different. Similarly, in the matched cohort, CEM analysis showed a shift in the primary outcome distribution in favor of thrombolysis (adjusted common OR: .45, 95% CI: .26-.76). CONCLUSIONS Nonagenarians treated with thrombolytics showed lower stroke-related disability at 90 days than those not treated, without significant difference in sICH and in-hospital mortality rates. These observations cannot exclude a residual confounding effect, but provide evidence that thrombolytics should not be withheld from nonagenarians because of age alone.


European Stroke Journal | 2018

The economic burden of stroke care in England, Wales and Northern Ireland: Using a national stroke register to estimate and report patient-level health economic outcomes in stroke

Xiang-Ming Xu; Emma Vestesson; Lizz Paley; Anita Desikan; David Wonderling; Alex Hoffman; Charles Wolfe; Anthony Rudd; Benjamin D. Bray

Introduction Stroke registries are used in many settings to measure stroke treatment and outcomes, but rarely include data on health economic outcomes. We aimed to extend the Sentinel Stroke National Audit Programme registry of England, Wales and Northern Ireland to derive and report patient-level estimates of the cost of stroke care. Methods An individual patient simulation model was built to estimate health and social care costs at one and five years after stroke, and the cost-benefits of thrombolysis and early supported discharge. Costs were stratified according to age, sex, stroke type (ischaemic or primary intracerebral haemorrhage) and stroke severity. The results were illustrated using data on all patients with stroke included in Sentinel Stroke National Audit Programme from April 2015 to March 2016 (n = 84,184). Results The total cost of health and social care for patients with acute stroke each year in England, Wales and Northern Ireland was £3.60 billion in the first five years after admission (mean per patient cost: £46,039). There was fivefold variation in the magnitude of costs between patients, ranging from £19,101 to £107,336. Costs increased with older age, increasing stroke severity and intracerebral hemorrhage stroke. Increasing the proportion of eligible patients receiving thrombolysis or early supported discharge was estimated to save health and social care costs by five years after stroke. Discussion The cost of stroke care is large and varies widely between patients. Increasing the proportion of eligible patients receiving thrombolysis or early supported discharge could contribute to reducing the financial burden of stroke. Conclusion Extending stroke registers to report individualised data on costs may enhance their potential to support quality improvement and research.


Stroke | 2018

Associations Between 30-Day Mortality, Specialist Nursing, and Daily Physician Ward Rounds in a National Stroke Registry

Lizz Paley; Elizabeth J. Williamson; Benjamin D. Bray; Alex Hoffman; Martin James; Anthony Rudd

Background and Purpose— Well-organized stroke care is associated with better patient outcomes, but the most important organizational factors are unknown. Methods— Data were extracted from the Sentinel Stroke National Audit Programme of adults with acute stroke treated in stroke hospitals in England and Wales between April 2013 and March 2015. Multilevel models with random intercepts for hospitals were used to estimate the association of each variable with 30-day mortality to estimate the impact of admission to differently organized hospitals. Results— Of the 143 578 patients with acute stroke admitted to 154 hospitals, 14.4% died within 30 days of admission. In adjusted analyses, admission to hospitals with higher ratios of nurses trained in swallow screening was associated with reduced odds of death (P=0.004), and admission to hospitals with daily physician ward rounds was associated with 10% lower odds of mortality compared with less-frequent ward rounds (95% CI, 0.82–0.98; P=0.013). Number of stroke admissions and overall ratio of registered nurses on duty at weekends were not found to be independently associated with mortality after adjustment for other factors. Conclusions— If these associations are causal, an extra 1332 deaths annually in England and Wales could be saved by hospitals providing care associated with a ratio of nurses trained in swallow screening of at least 3 per 10 beds and daily stroke physician ward rounds.


Clinical Rehabilitation | 2018

20 years of researching stroke through audit

Anthony Rudd; Alex Hoffman; Lizz Paley; Benjamin Bray

Over the last 20 years, England, Wales and Northern Ireland have developed an audit programme that now encompasses nearly all patients admitted to hospital with a stroke. This article records and reviews some questions that have been answered using data from the audit: Is the rate of institutional care after rehabilitation a possible measure of outcome? Does stroke unit care in routine practice give the benefits shown in randomized controlled trials? How is the quality of stroke care affected by a patient’s age and the time of their stroke? Do patient-reported measures match those obtained from the professionals recording of processes of care? How do the processes of care after stroke affect mortality? Is thrombolysis safe to use in patients over the age of 80? Do staffing levels matter? Does assessing the safety of swallowing really make a difference? Do clinicians make rational decisions about end-of-life care in patients with haemorrhage? Does socioeconomic status influence the risk of stroke, outcome after stroke and the quality of stroke care? How much does stroke really cost in England, Wales and Northern Ireland? The article concludes that this national audit has improved stroke care across the United Kingdom, has given answers to important questions that could not be answered in any other way and has shown that benefits found in research do generalize into real clinical benefits in day-to-day practice.


Aphasiology | 2018

Prevalence of aphasia and co-occurrence of dysarthria: the UK Sentinel Stroke National Audit Programme

Claire Mitchell; Audrey Bowen; Matthew Gittins; Andy Vail; Paul Conroy; Lizz Paley; Ben Bray; Sarah Tyson

Background and purpose: Aphasia and dysarthria can occur after stroke, in isolation or together. They can be devastating for the individual affected, leading to poorer health outcomes, worse psycho...


Journal of Neurology, Neurosurgery, and Psychiatry | 2017

The association between delays in screening for and assessing dysphagia after acute stroke, and the risk of stroke-associated pneumonia

Benjamin D. Bray; Craig J. Smith; Geoffrey Cloud; Pam Enderby; Martin James; Lizz Paley; Pippa Tyrrell; Charles Wolfe; Anthony Rudd


Stroke | 2016

Abstract TP178: Relationship Between Deprivation and Outcome for Stroke Patients: Data From the UK National Stroke Registry

Emma Vestesson; Benjamin D. Bray; Martin James; Lizz Paley; Pippa Tyrrell; Geoffrey Cloud; Rachel Otago; Anthony Rudd

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Alex Hoffman

Royal College of Physicians

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Pippa Tyrrell

University of Manchester

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Craig J. Smith

Manchester Academic Health Science Centre

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Emma Vestesson

Royal College of Physicians

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