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THE SYSTOLIC HYPERTENSION IN THE ELDERLY PROGRAM (SHEP) : AN INTERVENTION TRIAL ON ISOLATED SYSTOLIC HYPERTENSION

The Systolic Hypertension in the Elderly Program (SHEP) is a randomized double-blind placebo-controlled trial to determine if antihypertensive treatment of isolated systolic hypertension (ISH) [systolic blood pressure (SBP) greater than or equal to 160 mmHg, diastolic blood pressure (DBP) less than 90 mmHg] reduces the 5 year incidence of fatal and nonfatal stroke. Between March 1, 1985 and January 15, 1988, 4736 persons (target 4800) with ISH, age 60 years and over, were enrolled. Potential participants met blood pressure (BP) and age criteria. Those on antihypertensive medication prior to enrollment without documented diastolic hypertension had their medication tapered and discontinued, and then met BP criteria (33% of cohort). Stepped-care therapy with chlorthalidone and atenolol (alternative, reserpine) or matching placebos was initiated as first and second steps. At baseline the trial population was 43.1% male, 56.9% female; 13.9% black, 86.1% non-black. Also, the mean age was 71.6 years; the mean SBP was 170.3 mmHg and the mean DBP was 76.6 mmHg; 59.8% had codeable resting electrocardiographic abnormalities. The trial is now in follow-up phase with scheduled termination in 1991.

Age at menopause in women participating in the postmenopausal estrogen/progestins interventions (PEPI) trial: An example of bias introduced by selection criteria

Our objective is to illustrate the bias introduced in assessing factors associated with age at menopause when the population sample has been selected using restricted criteria, i.e. number of years since menopause, by using a cross-sectional analysis of baseline data from a population-based randomized clinical trial. The participants were women who participated in the Postmenopausal Estrogen/Progestins Intervention (PEPI) trial, had not had a hysterectomy, were between 45 and 64 years old, and were menopausal for at least 1 but not greater than 10 years. The outcome measures were self-reported age at menopause and factors thought to be associated with it, including smoking, alcohol use, oral contraceptive use, number of pregnancies, education, income, body mass index, waist-hip ratio, thigh girth, and systolic and diastolic blood pressures. At entry, the mean age of the 601 women was 56.2 years. Mean age at menopause was 51.0 years. Chronologic (current) age was strongly correlated with age at menopause (r = 0.74, p = 0.0001). In bivariate analyses, factors associated with younger age at menopause were ever-use of cigarettes, former oral contraceptive use, and higher thigh girth; factors associated with later age at menopause were greater number of pregnancies, higher waist-hip ratio, and higher systolic blood pressure. After stratification by 5-year age intervals, these associations were no longer statistically significant. Because of restricted sampling, an artificial association was observed between chronologic age and age at time of menopause. This artifact made it difficult to distinguish between factors associated with chronologic age and those that may be independently associated with menopause. Failure to recognize this bias could lead to erroneous conclusions.

The Systolic Hypertension in the Elderly Program (SHEP): Rationale, Design, Recruitment, and Baseline Data

The Systolic Hypertension in the Elderly Program (SHEP) is a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trail to determine if antihypertensive treatment of isolated systolic hypertension (ISH) (systolic blood pressure [SBP] = 160 mmHg, diastolic blood pressure [DBP] < 90 mmHg) reduces the 5-year incidence of fatal and nonfatal stroke. Recruit ment was demanding; however, 4736 persons (target 4800) with ISH, age 60 years and over, were enrolled (1% of those initially contacted) between March 1, 1985 and January 15, 1988. Potential participants were those who met blood pressure criteria or those on antihypertensive medication and without documented diastolic hypertension who had their medication tapered and discontinued (consent obtained from participant and primary care physician) and then met blood pressure criteria.