Louis Laurencelle

Predicting dropout in male youth soccer using the theory of planned behavior.

This investigation prospectively predicted dropout among young soccer players, using the theory of planned behavior (TPB). First, behavioral beliefs required to develop a TPB‐questionnaire were elicited from 53 male soccer players, aged 13–15 years. Second, at the beginning of the soccer season, 354 different male soccer players aged 13–15 years completed this questionnaire, thereby assessing direct dimensions (intention, attitude, subjective norm, perceived control) and indirect dimensions (attitudinal, normative and control beliefs) derived from TPB. Nine months later – upon termination of the soccer season – these players were classified into 323 perserverers and 31 dropouts, with TPB being applied prospectively to predict these two groups. For both direct and indirect dimensions, between‐group comparisons revealed significant differences in favor of the perseverers. Discriminant analyses revealed five measures (intention, attitude, subjective norm, a normative belief, and a control belief), which enabled a 22.1% a priori dropout prediction when used within a suitable equation. In conclusion, TPB may have a promising application to prospectively discriminate dropouts from perseverers, providing a potential predictive a priori classification model for sport participation.

Decision Making in Sport: The Effect of Stimulus-response Probability on the Performance of a Coincidence-Anticipation Task

The purpose of the present study was to evaluate the quality of a motor response for different levels of expectancy and time constraint, in a two-choice coincidence-anticipation task. The probability of each of the two events likely to be presented were varied across different levels as well as the speed of the stimulus to be intercepted. The results indicated that neither the choice reaction time (CRT) and movement time, nor the performance of coincidence-anticipation were affected by the probability of the stimulus for the low and moderate stimulus speeds. However, when the stimulus traveled at a high speed a trade-off took place. The CRT decreased as the probability of the event increased, whilst the proportion of response initiation errors increased for the low probability events. This trade-off resulted in a better coincidence-anticipation as the probability of the event increased. The results obtained in the present experiment are clearly different from those obtained in a classic CRT-deadline paradigm, in that the trade-off observed between CRT and response initiation errors was far less pronounced in the coincidence-anticipation task. This difference was attributed to the higher negative consequences associated with a response initiation error in a coincidence-anticipation task. It is thus concluded that the tasks used to study the nature of the decision processes taking place in sports and sports-like situations must have some ecological validity to be of some help for the practitioner.

Career Changes among Physical Educators: Searching for New Goals or Escaping a Heavy Task Load?.

Physical educators experience several occupational constraints and a high risk of physical injury associated with a high attrition rate. Our investigation aimed at identifying the principal career reorientation factors among physical educators and reasons for their career changes. This research used semistructured interviews (n = 53) that were analyzed qualitatively and quantitatively. While younger teachers frequently invoked job precariousness, the more experienced teachers and those who made a transition toward other teaching functions put more emphasis on teaching problems, work conditions, and physical context. Those who transferred toward administrative duties insisted on their desire for a new challenge. Our study indicates that career reorientation is most often associated with job precariousness and the pursuit of new challenges, respectively, for younger and older physical educators.

TRACKING OF PHYSICAL FITNESS FROM CHILDHOOD TO ADULTHOOD

The purpose of the present study was to investigate the tracking of selected aspects of physical fitness (peak handgrip force, sit-ups, aerobic fitness, and blood pressure) from childhood to adulthood. The investigation studied a randomly selected subgroup from the original participants in the Trois-Rivières growth and development study, 95 women (57 experimental and 38 control) and 96 men (56 experimental and 40 control). During their primary-school education, the experimental group had received 5 hours of physical education each week whereas the control group had received 40 minutes per week. Data were gathered when subjects were 10-12 years old (baseline) and during follow-up around the age of 35 years. Tracking between 10, 11, 12, and 35 years of age was assessed by correlation analysis. In females the tracking of grip strength increased from the interval 10-35 to the intervals 11-35 and 12-35 years of age (r = 0.54 to 0.69 and 0.67, respectively, all p < 0.001). In males the tracking of grip strength was less consistent, but also increased over the same intervals to become significant for the correlation between 12 and 35 years of age (r = 0.32, p < 0.05). Tracking for sit-ups also increased, from 0.29 to 0.38 for females and from 0.23 to 0.54 for males. The tracking of PWC 170/kg between 11 and 35 years was significant but low in females (r = 0.24) as well as in males (r = 0.34). The ability of childhood blood pressure to predict adult values was low in females (r = 0.24 for diastolic, ns; and r = 0.26 for systolic, p < 0.05) and absent in males. Presumably because some of the influence of the added physical education was lost by adulthood, the tracking of PWC 170/kg and grip strength was weaker for experimental than for control subjects. In conclusion, data from the Trois-Rivières longitudinal study showed limited tracking of PWC170/kg and situps in both sexes. The tracking of grip strength was moderately high in females but less consistent in males. This may reflect the larger influence of sex hormones on the muscle strength of males at puberty.

Percentiles from a set of classes or from the raw data? an argument based on the trinomial distribution

In a former study (Chatillon, Gelinas, Martin and Laurencelle, 1987), the authors arrived at the conclusion that for small to moderate sample sizes (n≦90), and for population distributions that are not too skewed nor heavy tailed, the percentiles computed from a set of 9 classes are at least as precise as the corresponding percentiles computed with raw data. Their proof was based essentially on Monte Carlo simulations. The present paper gives a different and complementary proof, based on an exact evaluation of the mean squared error. The method of proof uses the trinomial distribution in an interesting way.