Marina B. Klein

Effect of Early versus Deferred Antiretroviral Therapy for HIV on Survival

BACKGROUND The optimal time for the initiation of antiretroviral therapy for asymptomatic patients with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection is uncertain. METHODS We conducted two parallel analyses involving a total of 17,517 asymptomatic patients with HIV infection in the United States and Canada who received medical care during the period from 1996 through 2005. None of the patients had undergone previous antiretroviral therapy. In each group, we stratified the patients according to the CD4+ count (351 to 500 cells per cubic millimeter or >500 cells per cubic millimeter) at the initiation of antiretroviral therapy. In each group, we compared the relative risk of death for patients who initiated therapy when the CD4+ count was above each of the two thresholds of interest (early-therapy group) with that of patients who deferred therapy until the CD4+ count fell below these thresholds (deferred-therapy group). RESULTS In the first analysis, which involved 8362 patients, 2084 (25%) initiated therapy at a CD4+ count of 351 to 500 cells per cubic millimeter, and 6278 (75%) deferred therapy. After adjustment for calendar year, cohort of patients, and demographic and clinical characteristics, among patients in the deferred-therapy group there was an increase in the risk of death of 69%, as compared with that in the early-therapy group (relative risk in the deferred-therapy group, 1.69; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.26 to 2.26; P<0.001). In the second analysis involving 9155 patients, 2220 (24%) initiated therapy at a CD4+ count of more than 500 cells per cubic millimeter and 6935 (76%) deferred therapy. Among patients in the deferred-therapy group, there was an increase in the risk of death of 94% (relative risk, 1.94; 95% CI, 1.37 to 2.79; P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS The early initiation of antiretroviral therapy before the CD4+ count fell below two prespecified thresholds significantly improved survival, as compared with deferred therapy.

Risk of Anal Cancer in HIV-Infected and HIV-Uninfected Individuals in North America

BACKGROUND Anal cancer is one of the most common cancers affecting individuals infected with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), although few have evaluated rates separately for men who have sex with men (MSM), other men, and women. There are also conflicting data regarding calendar trends. METHODS In a study involving 13 cohorts from North America with follow-up between 1996 and 2007, we compared anal cancer incidence rates among 34 189 HIV-infected (55% MSM, 19% other men, 26% women) and 114 260 HIV-uninfected individuals (90% men). RESULTS Among men, the unadjusted anal cancer incidence rates per 100 000 person-years were 131 for HIV-infected MSM, 46 for other HIV-infected men, and 2 for HIV-uninfected men, corresponding to demographically adjusted rate ratios (RRs) of 80.3 (95% confidence interval [CI], 42.7-151.1) for HIV-infected MSM and 26.7 (95% CI, 11.5-61.7) for other HIV-infected men compared with HIV-uninfected men. HIV-infected women had an anal cancer rate of 30/100 000 person-years, and no cases were observed for HIV-uninfected women. In a multivariable Poisson regression model, among HIV-infected individuals, the risk was higher for MSM compared with other men (RR, 3.3; 95% CI, 1.8-6.0), but no difference was observed comparing women with other men (RR, 1.0; 95% CI, 0.5-2.2). In comparison with the period 2000-2003, HIV-infected individuals had an adjusted RR of 0.5 (95% CI, .3-.9) in 1996-1999 and 0.9 (95% CI, .6-1.2) in 2004-2007. CONCLUSIONS Anal cancer rates were substantially higher for HIV-infected MSM, other men, and women compared with HIV-uninfected individuals, suggesting a need for universal prevention efforts. Rates increased after the early antiretroviral therapy era and then plateaued.

Late Presentation for Human Immunodeficiency Virus Care in the United States and Canada

BACKGROUND. Initiatives to improve early detection and access to human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) services have increased over time. We assessed the immune status of patients at initial presentation for HIV care from 1997 to 2007 in 13 US and Canadian clinical cohorts. METHODS. We analyzed data from 44,491 HIV-infected patients enrolled in the North American-AIDS Cohort Collaboration on Research and Design. We identified first presentation for HIV care as the time of first CD4(+) T lymphocyte (CD4) count and excluded patients who prior to this date had HIV RNA measurements, evidence of antiretroviral exposure, or a history of AIDS-defining illness. Trends in mean CD4 count (measured as cells/mm(3)) and 95% confidence intervals were determined using linear regression adjusted for age, sex, race/ethnicity, HIV transmission risk, and cohort. RESULTS. Median age at first presentation for HIV care increased over time (range, 40-43 years; P < .01), whereas the percentage of patients with injection drug use HIV transmission risk decreased (from 26% to 14%; P < .01) and heterosexual transmission risk increased (from 16% to 23%; P < .01). Median CD4 count at presentation increased from 256 cells/mm(3) (interquartile range, 96-455 cells/mm(3)) to 317 cells/mm(3) (interquartile range, 135-517 cells/mm(3)) from 1997 to 2007 (P < .01). The percentage of patients with a CD4 count > or = 350 cells/mm(3) at first presentation also increased from 1997 to 2007 (from 38% to 46%; P < .01). The estimated adjusted mean CD4 count increased at a rate of 6 cells/mm(3) per year (95% confidence interval, 5-7 cells/mm(3) per year). CONCLUSION. CD4 count at first presentation for HIV care has increased annually over the past 11 years but has remained <350 cells/mm(3), which suggests the urgent need for earlier HIV diagnosis and treatment.

Hepatic Decompensation in Antiretroviral-Treated Patients Co-Infected With HIV and Hepatitis C Virus Compared With Hepatitis C Virus–Monoinfected Patients: A Cohort Study

Context Patients with HIV are often co-infected with hepatitis C virus (HCV). Whether treatment of HIV with antiretroviral therapy (ART) can improve HCV outcomes is a topic of interest. Contribution In a Veterans Affairs study, patients co-infected with HIV and HCV who had HIV RNA levels less than 1000 copies/mL had a lower rate of hepatic decompensation than those with less HIV suppression. However, the rate was still higher than that in HCV-monoinfected patients. Caution Few women were studied. Implication Patients co-infected with HIV and HCV remain at greater risk for poor outcomes from HCV infection than HCV-monoinfected patients despite viral suppression by ART. The Editors Co-infection with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) occurs in 10% to 30% of HIV-infected patients (14). The course of chronic HCV is accelerated in patients co-infected with HIV, with more rapid progression of liver fibrosis than in HCV-monoinfected patients (57). Consequently, HCV-related liver complications, particularly hepatic decompensation (defined by the presence of ascites, spontaneous bacterial peritonitis, variceal hemorrhage, or hepatic encephalopathy [8]), have emerged as important causes of illness in co-infected patients (9, 10). Despite the importance of HCV-related end-stage liver disease, few longitudinal studies have evaluated the incidence and determinants of hepatic decompensation among patients co-infected with HIV and HCV during the antiretroviral therapy (ART) era. Previous studies suggest that ART slows progression of HCV-associated liver fibrosis, possibly by reducing HIV-related inflammation and immune dysfunction and inhibiting the ability of HIV to directly infect hepatocytes (1013). However, whether rates of hepatic decompensation and other severe liver events (for example, hepatocellular carcinoma [HCC] or liver-related death) in co-infected patients receiving ART are similar to those in HCV-monoinfected patients remains unclear. Furthermore, the determinants of hepatic decompensation among co-infected patients receiving ART are unknown. Determination of these factors could help define the mechanisms of decompensation in co-infected patients and could suggest interventions to reduce the risk for end-stage liver disease in this population. We first compared the incidence of hepatic decompensation between antiretroviral-treated patients co-infected with HIV and HCV and HCV-monoinfected patients. We hypothesized that rates of decompensation would remain higher in co-infected patients despite ART. We then evaluated host and viral factors associated with decompensation among co-infected patients. Methods Study Design and Data Source We conducted a retrospective cohort study among antiretroviral-treated patients co-infected with HIV and HCV and HCV-monoinfected patients in the VACS-VC (Veterans Aging Cohort Study Virtual Cohort) between 1 January 1997 and 30 September 2010 (14). The VACS-VC consists of electronic medical record data from HIV-infected patients receiving care at Veterans Affairs (VA) medical facilities across the United States. Each HIV-infected patient is matched on age, sex, race/ethnicity, and site to 2 HIV-uninfected persons. Data include hospital and outpatient diagnoses (recorded using International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision [ICD-9], codes), procedures (recorded using CPT [Current Procedural Terminology] codes), laboratory results, and pharmacy data. Clinically confirmed cancer diagnoses are available from the VA Central Cancer Registry. Deaths are identified from the VA Vital Status file, which uses data from the Social Security Death Master File, Medicare Vital Status Files, and VA Beneficiary Identification and Records Locator Subsystem. For patients who died, principal cause of death can be determined by linkage with the National Death Index (15). In addition, U.S. Medicare and Medicaid claims data are available for veterans also enrolled in these programs and have been merged with VACS-VC data. Study Patients Co-infected patients were included if they had detectable HCV RNA, had recently initiated ART (defined as use of 3 antiretrovirals from 2 classes [16] or 3 nucleoside analogues [a previously accepted ART regimen] [17]) within the VA system, had an HIV RNA level greater than 500 copies/mL within 180 days before starting ART (to identify those who newly initiated ART [18]), and had been observed for at least 12 months in the VACS-VC after starting ART. Monoinfected patients had detectable HCV RNA, no recorded HIV ICD-9 diagnosis or antiretroviral prescriptions, and at least 12 months of observation in the VACS-VC. Patients were excluded if, during the baseline period (defined in the Statistical Analysis section), they had hepatic decompensation, HCC, or liver transplantation or received interferon-based HCV therapy (because treatment reduces the risk for hepatic decompensation [19, 20]). Study Outcomes The primary outcome was incident hepatic decompensation, which was defined by 1 ICD-9 diagnosis of ascites, spontaneous bacterial peritonitis, or esophageal variceal hemorrhage at hospital discharge or 2 such outpatient diagnoses in the VACS-VC (Supplement 1). A prior study validated this determination, with 91% of events confirmed by medical records (21). The requirement of 2 outpatient diagnoses aimed to exclude events that were suspected but not subsequently confirmed at follow-up visits. On the basis of the results of the prior validation study (21), we did not include ICD-9 diagnoses for hepatic encephalopathy and jaundice, which could indicate decompensation, because these diagnoses frequently were linked to unrelated conditions (for example, narcotic overuse, stroke recorded as encephalopathy, or biliary obstruction or atazanavir-associated hyperbilirubinemia recorded as jaundice). Date of decompensation was defined as the hospital discharge date (if identified by hospital diagnosis) or initial outpatient diagnosis date (if identified by outpatient diagnosis). Supplement 1. ICD-9, ICD-10, and CPT Codes Secondary outcomes included incident hepatic decompensation (determined by the aforementioned ICD-9based definition) within the VACS-VC, Medicare, or Medicaid data (to capture outcomes occurring at non-VA hospitals that did not result in transfer to a VA facility; this outcome was secondary because non-VA events have not been validated); HCC; and severe liver events, a composite outcome of hepatic decompensation within the VACS-VC, HCC, or liver-related death. Hepatocellular carcinoma was determined using the VA Central Cancer Registry, which confirmed diagnoses by histologic or cytologic evaluation or consistent radiography. We classified deaths as liver-related if the underlying cause from the National Death Index was recorded as hepatic decompensation, liver cancer, alcoholic liver disease, viral hepatitis, or nonalcoholic liver disease (Supplement 1) (15). Data Collection Baseline data (Table 1) included age, sex, race/ethnicity, VA center patient volume, body mass index (BMI), diabetes mellitus, alcohol dependence or abuse, injection or noninjection drug use, hepatitis B surface antigen status, HCV genotype, HCV RNA level, pre-ART CD4 cell count, pre-ART plasma HIV RNA level, and baseline antiretroviral regimen. Diabetes was defined as a random glucose level of at least 200 mg/dL or antidiabetic medication use (22, 23). Alcohol dependence or abuse (24) and injection or noninjection drug use (24, 25) were defined by previously validated ICD-9 diagnoses (Supplement 1). Baseline serum creatinine, hemoglobin, alanine aminotransferase (ALT), and aspartate aminotransferase (AST) levels and platelet count were collected from dates closest to but before the start of follow-up. Baseline FIB-4 score, a noninvasive measure of advanced hepatic fibrosis, was determined as follows: [age in yearsAST level in U/L] / [(platelet count in109/L)(ALT level in U/L)1/2] (26). Because liver fibrosis can progress by 1 stage as early as within 4 years for antiretroviral-treated patients co-infected with HIV and HCV (7) and within 5 years for HCV-monoinfected persons (27), we determined baseline FIB-4 scores by using ALT levels, AST levels, and platelet counts within a 2-year period around the start of follow-up. Scores less than 1.45 indicate no or minimal fibrosis, and scores greater than 3.25 indicate advanced hepatic fibrosis or cirrhosis in co-infected (26) and HCV-monoinfected patients (28). Table 1. Characteristics of the Study Cohorts Longitudinal data included hepatitis B surface antigen status, plasma HIV RNA level, diabetes, and liver transplantation (determined by diagnosis and procedural codes) (Supplement 1). Statistical Analysis The 12 months before the start of follow-up represented the baseline period for both cohorts. Follow-up began 12 months after ART initiation for co-infected patients and after 12 months in the VACS-VC for monoinfected patients. The rationale for defining the baseline period as the first year of receipt of ART for co-infected patients was that many of these patients initially entered care at the time of ART initiation, which was shortly after their HIV diagnosis. Follow-up continued until a study end point, death, initiation of HCV therapy, or the last visit before 30 September 2010, whichever came first. For descriptive purposes, we estimated incidence rates (events per 1000 person-years) of end points with 95% CIs, standardized by the age and race/ethnicity distribution of co-infected patients (29). We then used Cox models to estimate adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for outcomes in co-infected compared with monoinfected patients (30). We controlled for all available clinically relevant variables in Table 1. The proportionality of hazards was evaluated by plots of Schoenfeld residuals (31). In a sensitivity analysis, we addressed the potential for informative censoring by using inverse probability of censoring weights and Cox regression (Supplement

Incidence of acute hepatitis C virus infection among men who have sex with men with and without HIV infection: a systematic review

Background A recent increase in reports of acute hepatitis C virus infection (HCV) in HIV-infected and HIV-uninfected men who have sex with men (MSM), with the sole risk factor being sexual exposure, has led to routine screening and targeted prevention requests for this population; current evidence for this necessity is unclear. Objective A systematic review was conducted to assess the incidence of HCV infection among studies conducted in HIV-positive and/or HIV-negative MSM to explore the implications for routine HCV screening. Data sources The MEDLINE, EMBASE and BIOSYS databases were searched for the period January 2000 to May 2012, yielding 21 studies. Six conferences were hand-searched for the same period yielding four abstracts. Study selection Only studies in English presenting incidence rates of HCV and specifying HIV status were included. Data abstraction Data were abstracted by two authors using predefined data fields. The STROBE checklist was used to assess study quality. Data synthesis Data were divided into HIV-negative MSM and HIV-positive MSM subgroups, and HCV incidence density measurements were pooled. Using a DerSimonian–Laird random effects model, pooled incidence was 1.48/1000 person-years (95% CI 0.75 to 2.21) for the HIV-negative MSM subgroup. The HIV-positive MSM subgroup was at 4.1 times higher risk of acquiring HCV at 6.08/1000 person-years (95% CI 5.18 to 6.99). Studies directly comparing subgroups estimated a pooled risk difference of 3.45/1000 person-years (95% CI 1.63 to 5.27). Conclusion HIV-positive MSM were at higher risk for acute HCV infection than HIV-negative MSM, substantiating the need for routine screening initiatives. Insufficient evidence exists to warrant routine screening of HIV-negative MSM, except on a case-by-case basis, such as high-risk sexual behaviour.

The impact of hepatitis C virus coinfection on HIV progression before and after highly active antiretroviral therapy.

To compare the impact of hepatitis C virus (HCV) coinfection on progression of HIV infection in the eras before and after the introduction of highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART), the authors conducted a retrospective cohort study. One hundred twenty-five HCV+ patients and 1076 HCV- patients were studied; 83% of HCV+ patients were injection drug users. HCV+ subjects experienced no clear benefit from HAART. The adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) of opportunistic infection, death, and hospitalization were 0.74 (95% CI: 0.31-1.78), 1.78 (95% CI: 0.59-5.37), and 2.1 (95% CI: 0.90-4.90), respectively, comparing the post-HAART era with the pre-HAART era. In contrast, HCV- subjects experienced rate reductions for all outcomes. Comparable HRs for opportunistic infection, death, and hospitalization were 0.49 (95% CI: 0.37-0.64), 0.28 (95% CI: 0.19-0.41), and 0.51 (95% CI: 0.38-0.67), respectively. HCV+ subjects remained at increased risk for death and hospitalization post-HAART even after additional adjustment for antiretroviral use and time-updated CD4 cell and viral load measures. Deaths and hospitalizations in HCV+ patients were primarily for non-AIDS-defining infections and complications of injection drug use. HCV coinfection and comorbidity associated with injection drug use are preventing the realization of substantial health benefits associated with HAART.

Predictive accuracy of the veterans aging cohort study index for mortality with HIV infection: A north american cross cohort analysis

Background:By supplementing an index composed of HIV biomarkers and age (restricted index) with measures of organ injury, the Veterans Aging Cohort Study (VACS) index more completely reflects risk of mortality. We compare the accuracy of the VACS and restricted indices (1) among subjects outside the Veterans Affairs Healthcare System, (2) more than 1–5 years of prior exposure to antiretroviral therapy (ART), and (3) within important patient subgroups. Methods:We used data from 13 cohorts in the North American AIDS Cohort Collaboration (n = 10, 835) limiting analyses to HIV-infected subjects with at least 12 months exposure to ART. Variables included demographic, laboratory (CD4 count, HIV-1 RNA, hemoglobin, platelets, aspartate and alanine transaminase, creatinine, and hepatitis C status), and survival. We used C-statistics and net reclassification improvement (NRI) to test discrimination varying prior ART exposure from 1 to 5 years. We then combined Veterans Affairs Healthcare System (n = 5066) and North American AIDS Cohort Collaboration data, fit a parametric survival model, and compared predicted to observed mortality by cohort, gender, age, race, and HIV-1 RNA level. Results:Mean follow-up was 3.3 years (655 deaths). Compared with the restricted index, the VACS index showed greater discrimination (C-statistics: 0.77 vs. 0.74; NRI: 12%; P < 0.0001). NRI was highest among those with HIV-1 RNA <500 copies per milliliter (25%) and age ≥50 years (20%). Predictions were similar to observed mortality among all subgroups. Conclusions:VACS index scores discriminate risk and translate into accurate mortality estimates over 1–5 years of exposure to ART and for diverse patient subgroups from North American.

Invasive cervical cancer risk among HIV-infected women: a North American multicohort collaboration prospective study.

Objective:HIV infection and low CD4+ T-cell count are associated with an increased risk of persistent oncogenic human papillomavirus infection—the major risk factor for cervical cancer. Few reported prospective cohort studies have characterized the incidence of invasive cervical cancer (ICC) in HIV-infected women. Methods:Data were obtained from HIV-infected and -uninfected female participants in the North American AIDS Cohort Collaboration on Research and Design with no history of ICC at enrollment. Participants were followed from study entry or January 1996 through ICC, loss to follow-up, or December 2010. The relationship of HIV infection and CD4+ T-cell count with risk of ICC was assessed using age-adjusted Poisson regression models and standardized incidence ratios. All cases were confirmed by cancer registry records and/or pathology reports. Cervical cytology screening history was assessed through medical record abstraction. Results:A total of 13,690 HIV-infected and 12,021 HIV-uninfected women contributed 66,249 and 70,815 person-years of observation, respectively. Incident ICC was diagnosed in 17 HIV-infected and 4 HIV-uninfected women (incidence rate of 26 and 6 per 100,000 person-years, respectively). HIV-infected women with baseline CD4+ T-cells of ≥350, 200–349, and <200 cells per microliter had a 2.3, 3.0, and 7.7 times increase in ICC incidence, respectively, compared with HIV-uninfected women (Ptrend = 0.001). Of the 17 HIV-infected women, medical records for the 5 years before diagnosis showed that 6 had no documented screening, 5 had screening with low-grade or normal results, and 6 had high-grade results. Conclusions:This study found elevated incidence of ICC in HIV-infected compared with -uninfected women, and these rates increased with immunosuppression.

Validation of a simple model for predicting liver fibrosis in HIV/hepatitis C virus‐coinfected patients

Recently, several models incorporating laboratory measurements have been validated for use as surrogate markers for liver fibrosis in hepatitis C virus (HCV) mono‐infection, the simplest of these being the aspartate aminotransferase (AST) to platelet ratio index (APRI). We evaluated how well the APRI predicts significant hepatic fibrosis in patients with HIV/HCV coinfection.

HCV-specific T cells in HCV/HIV co-infection show elevated frequencies of dual Tim-3/PD-1 expression that correlate with liver disease progression.

Co‐infection of HCV with HIV has been associated with more rapid progression of HCV‐related disease. HCV‐specific T‐cell immune responses, which are essential for disease control, are attenuated in co‐infection with HIV. T‐cell exhaustion has recently been implicated in the deficient control of chronic viral infections. In the current study, we investigated the role of programmed death‐1 (PD‐1) and T‐cell immunoglobulin and mucin domain‐containing molecule‐3 (Tim‐3) expression in T‐cell exhaustion during HCV/HIV co‐infection. We show that in HCV/HIV co‐infection, both total and HCV‐specific T cells co‐express Tim‐3 and PD‐1 in significantly higher frequencies, compared with HCV mono‐infection. Co‐expression of these two markers on HCV‐specific CD8+ T cells positively correlated with a clinical parameter of liver disease progression. HCV‐specific CD8+ T cells showed greater frequencies of Tim‐3/PD‐1 co‐expression than HIV‐specific CD8+ T cells, which may indicate a greater degree of exhaustion in the former. Blocking Tim‐3 or PD‐1 pathways restored both HIV‐ and HCV‐specific CD8+ T‐cell expansion in the blood of co‐infected individuals. These data demonstrate that co‐expression of Tim‐3 and PD‐1 may play a significant role in HCV‐specific T‐cell dysfunction, especially in the setting of HIV co‐infection.