Michael P. Erb

Climate Feedbacks in Response to Changes in Obliquity

AbstractThe feedbacks involved in the response of climate to a reduction of Earth’s obliquity are investigated in the GFDL Climate Model version 2.1 (CM2.1). A reduction in obliquity increases the meridional gradient of the annual mean insolation, causing a strengthening of the atmospheric and ocean circulation that transports more heat poleward. The heat transport does not balance the direct obliquity forcing completely, and additional local radiative fluxes are required to explain the change in the equilibrium energy budget. The surface temperature generally increases at low latitudes and decreases at high latitudes following the change in the insolation. However, in some areas, the sign of the temperature change is opposite of the forcing, indicating the strong influence of feedbacks. These feedbacks are also responsible for a decrease in the global mean temperature despite that the change in the global mean insolation is close to zero. The processes responsible for these changes are increases in the i...

The contribution of radiative feedbacks to orbitally driven climate change

AbstractRadiative feedbacks influence Earths climate response to orbital forcing, amplifying some aspects of the response while damping others. To better understand this relationship, the GFDL Climate Model, version 2.1 (CM2.1), is used to perform idealized simulations in which only orbital parameters are altered while ice sheets, atmospheric composition, and other climate forcings are prescribed at preindustrial levels. These idealized simulations isolate the climate response and radiative feedbacks to changes in obliquity and longitude of the perihelion alone. Analysis shows that, despite being forced only by a redistribution of insolation with no global annual-mean component, feedbacks induce significant global-mean climate change, resulting in mean temperature changes of −0.5 K in a lowered obliquity experiment and +0.6 K in a NH winter solstice perihelion minus NH summer solstice perihelion experiment. In the obliquity experiment, some global-mean temperature response may be attributable to vertical...

Precessional Cycles and Their Influence on the North Pacific and North Atlantic Summer Anticyclones

The response of the Northern Hemisphere summer anticyclones to a change in the timing of perihelion is investigated using the GFDL Climate Model version 2.1 (CM2.1). The orbital forcing consists of changes in the seasonal cycle of the top-of-atmosphere insolation as the perihelion shifts from the Northern Hemisphere winter to the Northern Hemisphere summer solstice. The North Pacific summer anticyclone experiences a large strengthening as well as a northward and westward expansion. The North Atlantic subtropical high experiences a smaller change that consists of a slight westward expansion but little change in strength. Experiments with a primitive equation atmospheric model show that these changes represent the circulation responseto changes in the diabaticheating,bothlocal andremotely. Theremote diabaticforcingis associated with changes in the Southeast Asian and African summer monsoons, and the local forcing is dominated by a combined effect of a change in low clouds and local precipitation.

The Response of Large-Scale Circulation to Obliquity-Induced Changes in Meridional Heating Gradients

AbstractThe inter- and intrahemispheric climate responses to a change in obliquity are investigated using the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory Climate Model, version 2.1. (GFDL CM2.1). Reduced obliquity causes a weakening of the seasonal insolation contrast between the summer and winter hemispheres and a strengthening of the meridional insolation gradient within the summer hemisphere. The interhemispheric insolation change is associated with weakening of the cross-equatorial Hadley circulation and reduced heat transport from the summer hemisphere to the winter hemisphere, in both the ocean and atmosphere. In contrast, the intrahemispheric insolation change is associated with increased midlatitude summer eddy activity as seen by the increased atmospheric heat transport at those latitudes. Analysis of the zonal mean atmospheric meridional overturning circulation on isentropic surfaces confirms the increase of the midlatitude eddy circulation, which is driven by changes of sensible and latent heat fluxe...

Response of the Equatorial Pacific Seasonal Cycle to Orbital Forcing

AbstractThe response of the equatorial Pacific Ocean’s seasonal cycle to orbital forcing is explored using idealized simulations with a coupled atmosphere–ocean GCM in which eccentricity, obliquity, and the longitude of perihelion are altered while other boundary conditions are maintained at preindustrial levels. The importance of ocean dynamics in the climate response is investigated using additional simulations with a slab ocean version of the model. Precession is found to substantially influence the equatorial Pacific seasonal cycle through both thermodynamic and dynamic mechanisms, while changes in obliquity have only a small effect. In the precession experiments, western equatorial Pacific SSTs respond in a direct thermodynamic manner to changes in insolation, while the eastern equatorial Pacific is first affected by the propagation of thermocline temperature anomalies from the west. These thermocline signals result from zonal wind anomalies associated with changes in the strength of subtropical anti...

Using Single-Forcing GCM Simulations to Reconstruct and Interpret Quaternary Climate Change

AbstractThe long-term climate variations of the Quaternary were primarily influenced by concurrent changes in Earth’s orbit, greenhouse gases, and ice sheets. However, because climate changes over the coming century will largely be driven by changes in greenhouse gases alone, it is important to better understand the separate contributions of each of these forcings in the past. To investigate this, idealized equilibrium simulations are conducted in which the climate is driven by separate changes in obliquity, precession, CO2, and ice sheets. To test the linearity of past climate change, anomalies from these single-forcing experiments are scaled and summed to compute linear reconstructions of past climate, which are then compared to mid-Holocene and last glacial maximum (LGM) snapshot simulations, where all forcings are applied together, as well as proxy climate records. This comparison shows that much of the climate response may be approximated as a linear response to forcings, while some features, such as...