Nancy L. Geller

Relationships between sinus rhythm, treatment, and survival in the Atrial Fibrillation Follow-Up Investigation of Rhythm Management (AFFIRM) Study.

Background—The AFFIRM Study showed that treatment of patients with atrial fibrillation and a high risk for stroke or death with a rhythm-control strategy offered no survival advantage over a rate-control strategy in an intention-to-treat analysis. This article reports an “on-treatment” analysis of the relationship of survival to cardiac rhythm and treatment as they changed over time. Methods and Results—Modeling techniques were used to determine the relationships among survival, baseline clinical variables, and time-dependent variables. The following baseline variables were significantly associated with an increased risk of death: increasing age, coronary artery disease, congestive heart failure, diabetes, stroke or transient ischemic attack, smoking, left ventricular dysfunction, and mitral regurgitation. Among the time-dependent variables, the presence of sinus rhythm (SR) was associated with a lower risk of death, as was warfarin use. Antiarrhythmic drugs (AADs) were associated with increased mortality only after adjustment for the presence of SR. Consistent with the original intention-to-treat analysis, AADs were no longer associated with mortality when SR was removed from the model. Conclusions—Warfarin use improves survival. SR is either an important determinant of survival or a marker for other factors associated with survival that were not recorded, determined, or included in the survival model. Currently available AADs are not associated with improved survival, which suggests that any beneficial antiarrhythmic effects of AADs are offset by their adverse effects. If an effective method for maintaining SR with fewer adverse effects were available, it might be beneficial.

Intrahepatic or Systemic Infusion of Fluorodeoxyuridine in Patients with Liver Metastases from Colorectal Carcinoma: A Randomized Trial

OBJECTIVE To compare the efficacy of direct hepatic arterial chemotherapy with systemic chemotherapy in patients with liver metastases from colorectal carcinoma. DESIGN Randomized trial with crossover allowed from systemic to intrahepatic therapy if tumor progression occurred on systemic therapy. SETTING Academic medical center, referral-based clinic. PATIENTS One hundred sixty-two patients with hepatic metastases from colorectal carcinoma agreed to be randomly assigned to treatment groups. At laparotomy, 63 were excluded from the study: 25 had hepatic resection; 33, extrahepatic disease; 1, infection; and 4, no tumor. INTERVENTION Fourteen-day continuous infusion of fluorodeoxyuridine each month using an infusaid pump (0.3 and 0.15 mg/kg body weight X d in the intrahepatic and systemic arms, respectively). MAIN RESULTS Intrahepatic therapy produced a significantly higher complete and partial response rate, 50%, compared with 20% for systemic therapy (p = 0.001). After tumor progression, 60% of the systemic patients crossed over to intrahepatic therapy; 25% then had a partial response, and 33% a minor response or stabilization of disease on intrahepatic therapy. Toxicity included ulcer disease (17%) and biliary sclerosis (8%) in patients receiving intrahepatic therapy and diarrhea (70%) in patients receiving systemic therapy. Extrahepatic disease occurred in 56% and 37% of the patients in the intrahepatic and systemic groups, respectively (p = 0.092). The median survivals were 17 and 12 months, for the intrahepatic and systemic groups, respectively. CONCLUSION When compared with systemic therapy, hepatic arterial chemotherapy significantly increases response rate for hepatic metastases from colorectal carcinoma and appears to be a more effective treatment.

Methotrexate, vinblastine, doxorubicin, and cisplatin for advanced transitional cell carcinoma of the urothelium. Efficacy and patterns of response and relapse

Of 133 patients with advanced urothelial tract cancer given methotrexate (MTX), vinblastine (VBL), Adriamycin (ADR) (doxorubicin; Adria Laboratories, Columbus, OH), and cisplatin (DDP) (M‐VAC regimen), significant tumor regression occurred in 72% ± 8% of 121 with transitional cell carcinoma (TCC) evaluable for response. Complete remission (CR) was achieved in 36% ± 9% of patients, of whom 11% required the addition of surgical resection of residual disease. Although 68% of CR patients have relapsed, CR median survival will exceed 38 months compared with 11 months for partial (36%) and minor (6%) responders, and 8 months for nonresponders: 2‐year and 3‐year survivals were 68% and 55%, respectively, versus 0% to 7% for the remaining patients. Sixteen percent of responders developed brain lesions, half of whom had no systemic relapse at the time of progression. Three patients with non‐TCC histologies did not respond. In 32 patients who had pathologic restaging, the clinical (T) understaging (T < pathologic [P] restaging) error was 35%. Although all metastatic sites showed evidence of tumor regression, CR was noted more frequently in lung, in intraabdominal lymph nodes and masses, and in bone (24% to 35%); the rate for hepatic lesions was 15%. There were 52% of 21 N3–4Mo patients who achieved CR versus 33% of 100 with No‐+M+ lesions. Toxicity was significant with 4 (3%) drug‐related deaths, 25% incidence of nadir sepsis, 58% ⩾ 3+ myelosuppression, and 49% with mucositis. Responsiveness of metastasis in various sites, patterns of relapse, and the usefulness of the new CR response criteria are reported, as is the current status of cisplatin and methotrexate combination regimens. Cancer 64:2448–2458, 1989.

M-Vac (Methotrexate, Vinblastine, Doxorubicin and Cisplatin) for Advanced Transitional Cell Carcinoma of the Urothelium

Of 92 patients who received methotrexate, vinblastine, doxorubicin and cisplatin complete and partial remissions were observed in 69 +/- 10 per cent of 83 adequately treated measurable and evaluable patients with advanced stages (N+M0 and N0M+) transitional cell urothelial cancer. Complete remission was achieved in 37 +/- 10 per cent of the patients clinically, pathologically and after surgical resection of residual disease. With 17 of 31 complete responders (55 per cent) surviving for 26+ to 49+ months, the estimated probability of survival at 2 and 3 years was 71 and 55 per cent, respectively. Partial remission occurred in 31 +/- 10 per cent of the patients, while 8 per cent had a minor response and 23 per cent had progression with median survivals of 11, 11 and 7 months, respectively. Whereas all metastatic sites responded, including the bone and liver, complete tumor regression was observed more frequently with nodal, pulmonary and local-regional lesions. Brain metastases occurred within 6 to 42 months in 18 per cent of the responders, half of whom never had systemic relapse. Of the remaining 9 patients 2 with nontransitional cell histological tumors did not respond, 5 (5 per cent) were inadequately treated and 2 were excluded from response data because of inevaluable disease parameters but they were free of disease at 16+ and 31+ months. Toxicity was significant, with 20 per cent of the patients experiencing nadir sepsis, 4 per cent a drug-related death, 31 per cent +1 renal toxicity and 41 per cent +1 mucositis. The applications and advantages of the newly proposed international response criteria for bladder cancer are discussed in reference to 25 patients who underwent surgical re-staging, indicating that the disease was understaged clinically in 24 per cent (T less than P), as well as in reference to attainment of true (pathological) complete remission and to other urothelial tract trials. While this therapy seems to have limited antitumor activity against nontransitional cell histological cancer, stage Tis disease and later development of de novo lesions, the regimen is efficacious in selected patients with advanced urothelial tract transitional cell carcinoma.

Asymptomatic Cardiac Ischemia Pilot (ACIP) Study Improvement of Cardiac Ischemia at 1 Year After PTCA and CABG

BACKGROUND Cardiac ischemia on the ambulatory ECG (AECG) and/or on the exercise treadmill test (ETT) is associated with an increased risk of adverse outcome. Myocardial revascularization more often suppresses cardiac ischemia than does medical management alone. However, few studies have compared the effects of percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty (PTCA) with those of coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) on cardiac ischemia and clinical outcome. METHODS AND RESULTS A total of 558 patients were randomly assigned to one of three treatment strategies in the Asymptomatic Cardiac Ischemia Pilot (ACIP) study: angina-guided medical strategy (n = 184), ischemia-guided medical strategy (n = 182), or revascularization (n = 192). In patients assigned to revascularization, the choice of the procedure, PTCA or CABG, was made by the clinical unit staff and patient based on a coronary angiogram usually performed within 2 months of enrollment. CABG was selected in 78 patients and PTCA in 92 patients. At 12 weeks, ischemia on the AECG was suppressed in 70% of CABG patients versus 46% of PTCA patients (P = .002). Ischemia on the ETT was no longer present in 46% versus 23% of the patients, respectively (P = .005). Angina, within 4 weeks of the follow-up visit, was absent in 90% versus 68%, respectively (P = .001). These clinical variables remained improved in both groups at 1 year. Clinical events (myocardial infarction or repeat revascularization) occurred in 1 CABG patient versus 7 PTCA patients at 12 weeks, and in 1 versus 16 patients, respectively, at 12 months (P < .001). CONCLUSIONS Ischemia on the AECG and ETT and angina were relieved in many patients after both procedures; however, CABG was superior to PTCA, and it was associated with a lower incidence of clinical events at 1 year. These results suggest that more complete revascularization relates to better clinical outcome. However, a large trial is needed to confirm these results.

A Pharmacogenetic versus a Clinical Algorithm for Warfarin Dosing

BACKGROUND The clinical utility of genotype-guided (pharmacogenetically based) dosing of warfarin has been tested only in small clinical trials or observational studies, with equivocal results. METHODS We randomly assigned 1015 patients to receive doses of warfarin during the first 5 days of therapy that were determined according to a dosing algorithm that included both clinical variables and genotype data or to one that included clinical variables only. All patients and clinicians were unaware of the dose of warfarin during the first 4 weeks of therapy. The primary outcome was the percentage of time that the international normalized ratio (INR) was in the therapeutic range from day 4 or 5 through day 28 of therapy. RESULTS At 4 weeks, the mean percentage of time in the therapeutic range was 45.2% in the genotype-guided group and 45.4% in the clinically guided group (adjusted mean difference, [genotype-guided group minus clinically guided group], -0.2; 95% confidence interval, -3.4 to 3.1; P=0.91). There also was no significant between-group difference among patients with a predicted dose difference between the two algorithms of 1 mg per day or more. There was, however, a significant interaction between dosing strategy and race (P=0.003). Among black patients, the mean percentage of time in the therapeutic range was less in the genotype-guided group than in the clinically guided group. The rates of the combined outcome of any INR of 4 or more, major bleeding, or thromboembolism did not differ significantly according to dosing strategy. CONCLUSIONS Genotype-guided dosing of warfarin did not improve anticoagulation control during the first 4 weeks of therapy. (Funded by the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute and others; COAG ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT00839657.).

The analysis of multiple endpoints in clinical trials

Treatment comparisons in randomized clinical trials usually involve several endpoints such that conventional significance testing can seriously inflate the overall Type I error rate. One option is to select a single primary endpoint for formal statistical inference, but this is not always feasible. Another approach is to apply Bonferroni correction (i.e., multiply each P-value by the total number of endpoints). Its conservatism for correlated endpoints is examined for multivariate normal data. A third approach is to derive an appropriate global test statistic and this paper explores one such test applicable to any set of asymptotically normal test statistics. Quantitative, binary, and survival endpoints are all considered within this general framework. Two examples are presented and the relative merits of the proposed strategies are discussed.

Mitral-Valve Repair versus Replacement for Severe Ischemic Mitral Regurgitation

BACKGROUND Ischemic mitral regurgitation is associated with a substantial risk of death. Practice guidelines recommend surgery for patients with a severe form of this condition but acknowledge that the supporting evidence for repair or replacement is limited. METHODS We randomly assigned 251 patients with severe ischemic mitral regurgitation to undergo either mitral-valve repair or chordal-sparing replacement in order to evaluate efficacy and safety. The primary end point was the left ventricular end-systolic volume index (LVESVI) at 12 months, as assessed with the use of a Wilcoxon rank-sum test in which deaths were categorized below the lowest LVESVI rank. RESULTS At 12 months, the mean LVESVI among surviving patients was 54.6±25.0 ml per square meter of body-surface area in the repair group and 60.7±31.5 ml per square meter in the replacement group (mean change from baseline, -6.6 and -6.8 ml per square meter, respectively). The rate of death was 14.3% in the repair group and 17.6% in the replacement group (hazard ratio with repair, 0.79; 95% confidence interval, 0.42 to 1.47; P=0.45 by the log-rank test). There was no significant between-group difference in LVESVI after adjustment for death (z score, 1.33; P=0.18). The rate of moderate or severe recurrence of mitral regurgitation at 12 months was higher in the repair group than in the replacement group (32.6% vs. 2.3%, P<0.001). There were no significant between-group differences in the rate of a composite of major adverse cardiac or cerebrovascular events, in functional status, or in quality of life at 12 months. CONCLUSIONS We observed no significant difference in left ventricular reverse remodeling or survival at 12 months between patients who underwent mitral-valve repair and those who underwent mitral-valve replacement. Replacement provided a more durable correction of mitral regurgitation, but there was no significant between-group difference in clinical outcomes. (Funded by the National Institutes of Health and the Canadian Institutes of Health; ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT00807040.).

Detecting Acute Coronary Syndrome in the Emergency Department With Cardiac Magnetic Resonance Imaging

Background—Managing chest pain in the emergency department remains a challenge with current diagnostic strategies. We hypothesized that cardiac MRI could accurately identify patients with possible or probable acute coronary syndrome. Methods and Results—The diagnostic performance of MRI was evaluated in a prospective study of 161 consecutive patients. Enrollment required 30 minutes of chest pain compatible with myocardial ischemia but an ECG not diagnostic of acute myocardial infarction. MRI was performed at rest within 12 hours of presentation and included perfusion, left ventricular function, and gadolinium-enhanced myocardial infarction detection. MRI was interpreted qualitatively but also analyzed quantitatively. The sensitivity and specificity, respectively, for detecting acute coronary syndrome were 84% and 85% by MRI, 80% and 61% by an abnormal ECG, 16% and 95% for strict ECG criteria for ischemia (ST depression or T-wave inversion), 40% and 97% for peak troponin-I, and 48% and 85% for a TIMI risk score ≥3. The MRI was more sensitive than strict ECG criteria for ischemia (P <0.001), peak troponin-I (P <0.001), and the TIMI risk score (P =0.004), and MRI was more specific than an abnormal ECG (P <0.001). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed MRI was the strongest predictor of acute coronary syndrome and added diagnostic value over clinical parameters (P <0.001). Conclusions—Resting cardiac MRI exhibited diagnostic operating characteristics suitable for triage of patients with chest pain in the emergency department. Performed urgently to evaluate chest pain, MRI accurately detected a high fraction of patients with acute coronary syndrome, including patients with enzyme-negative unstable angina.

Randomized trial of etoposide and cisplatin versus etoposide and carboplatin in patients with good-risk germ cell tumors: a multiinstitutional study.

PURPOSE This multicenter, randomized phase III clinical trial evaluated the efficacy of etoposide plus carboplatin (EC) versus etoposide plus cisplatin (EP) in good-risk germ cell tumor (GCT) patients. PATIENTS AND METHODS Between October 1986 and December 1990, 270 patients with good-risk GCTs were randomized to receive four cycles of either EP or EC. The etoposide dose in all patients was 100 mg/m2 on days 1 through 5. EP patients received cisplatin at 20 mg/m2 on days 1 through 5 and therapy was recycled at 21-day intervals. For EC patients, the carboplatin dose was 500 mg/m2 on day 1 of each cycle and the EC recycling interval was 28 days. RESULTS Two hundred sixty-five patients were assessable: 131 patients treated with EC and 134 treated with EP. One hundred fifteen of 131 assessable patients (88%) treated with EC achieved a complete response (CR) versus 121 of 134 patients (90%) treated with EP (P = .32). Sixteen patients (12%) treated with EC relapsed from CR versus four patients (3%) treated with EP. Therefore, 32 patients (24%) who received carboplatin experienced an event (incomplete response [IR] or relapse) compared with 17 of 134 patients (13%) who received cisplatin (P = .02). At a median follow-up of 22.4 months, event-free and relapse-free survival were inferior for patients treated with EC (P = .02 and P = .005, respectively). No difference in overall survival was evident (P = .52). CONCLUSION Two-drug therapy with EC using this dose and schedule was inferior to therapy with EP. Cisplatin remains as the standard platinum analog in the treatment of patients with good-risk GCTs. Carboplatin should be restricted to investigational trials in GCT.