Ninah Achacoso

ADHD Medications and Risk of Serious Cardiovascular Events In Young and Middle-Aged Adults

CONTEXT More than 1.5 million US adults use stimulants and other medications labeled for treatment of attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD). These agents can increase heart rate and blood pressure, raising concerns about their cardiovascular safety. OBJECTIVE To examine whether current use of medications prescribed primarily to treat ADHD is associated with increased risk of serious cardiovascular events in young and middle-aged adults. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS Retrospective, population-based cohort study using electronic health care records from 4 study sites (OptumInsight Epidemiology, Tennessee Medicaid, Kaiser Permanente California, and the HMO Research Network), starting in 1986 at 1 site and ending in 2005 at all sites, with additional covariate assessment using 2007 survey data. Participants were adults aged 25 through 64 years with dispensed prescriptions for methylphenidate, amphetamine, or atomoxetine at baseline. Each medication user (n = 150,359) was matched to 2 nonusers on study site, birth year, sex, and calendar year (443,198 total users and nonusers). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES Serious cardiovascular events, including myocardial infarction (MI), sudden cardiac death (SCD), or stroke, with comparison between current or new users and remote users to account for potential healthy-user bias. RESULTS During 806,182 person-years of follow-up (median, 1.3 years per person), 1357 cases of MI, 296 cases of SCD, and 575 cases of stroke occurred. There were 107,322 person-years of current use (median, 0.33 years), with a crude incidence per 1000 person-years of 1.34 (95% CI, 1.14-1.57) for MI, 0.30 (95% CI, 0.20-0.42) for SCD, and 0.56 (95% CI, 0.43-0.72) for stroke. The multivariable-adjusted rate ratio (RR) of serious cardiovascular events for current use vs nonuse of ADHD medications was 0.83 (95% CI, 0.72-0.96). Among new users of ADHD medications, the adjusted RR was 0.77 (95% CI, 0.63-0.94). The adjusted RR for current use vs remote use was 1.03 (95% CI, 0.86-1.24); for new use vs remote use, the adjusted RR was 1.02 (95% CI, 0.82-1.28); the upper limit of 1.28 corresponds to an additional 0.19 events per 1000 person-years at ages 25-44 years and 0.77 events per 1000 person-years at ages 45-64 years. CONCLUSIONS Among young and middle-aged adults, current or new use of ADHD medications, compared with nonuse or remote use, was not associated with an increased risk of serious cardiovascular events. Apparent protective associations likely represent healthy-user bias.

Human Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor 2 Assessment in a Case-Control Study: Comparison of Fluorescence In Situ Hybridization and Quantitative Reverse Transcription Polymerase Chain Reaction Performed by Central Laboratories

PURPOSE The optimal method to assess human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) status remains highly controversial. Before reporting patient HER2 results, American Society of Clinical Oncology (ASCO)/College of American Pathologists (CAP) guidelines mandate that laboratories demonstrate ≥ 95% concordance to another approved laboratory or methodology. Here, we compare central laboratory HER2 assessed by fluorescence in situ hybridization (FISH) and quantitative reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) using Oncotype DX in lymph node-negative, chemotherapy-untreated patients from a large Kaiser Permanente case-control study. PATIENTS AND METHODS Breast cancer specimens from the Kaiser-Genomic Health study were examined. Central FISH assessment of HER2 amplification and polysomy 17 was conducted by PhenoPath Laboratories (ratios > 2.2, 1.8 to 2.2, and < 1.8 define HER2 positive, HER2 equivocal, and HER2 negative, respectively). HER2 expression by RT-PCR was conducted using Oncotype DX by Genomic Health (normalized expression units ≥ 11.5, 10.7 to < 11.5, and < 10.7 define HER2 positive, HER2 equivocal, and HER2 negative, respectively). Concordance analyses followed ASCO/CAP guidelines. RESULTS HER2 concordance by central FISH and central RT-PCR was 97% (95% CI, 96% to 99%). Twelve percent (67 of 568 patients) and 11% (60 of 568 patients) of patients were HER2 positive by RT-PCR and FISH, respectively. HER2-positive patients had increased odds of dying from breast cancer compared with HER2-negative patients. Polysomy 17 was demonstrated in 12.5% of all patients and 33% of FISH-positive patients. Nineteen of 20 FISH-positive patients with polysomy 17 were also RT-PCR HER2 positive. Although not statistically significantly different, HER2-positive/polysomy 17 patients tended to have the worst prognosis, followed by HER2-positive/eusomic, HER2-negative/polysomy 17, and HER2-negative/eusomic patients. CONCLUSION There is a high degree of concordance between central FISH and quantitative RT-PCR using Oncotype DX for HER2 status, and the assay warrants additional study in a trastuzumab-treated population.

Clinical and pathologic features of ductal carcinoma in situ associated with the presence of flat epithelial atypia: an analysis of 543 patients

Flat epithelial atypia is an alteration of mammary terminal duct lobular units that is considered to be a precursor to, or early stage in, the development of some forms of ductal carcinoma in situ. No prior study has systematically evaluated the relationship between various clinico-pathologic features of ductal carcinoma in situ and the presence of coexistent flat epithelial atypia. An understanding of such relationships could provide insight into the connection between flat epithelial atypia and ductal carcinoma in situ. We reviewed slides from 543 ductal carcinoma in situ patients enrolled in a case–control study assessing epidemiologic and pathologic risk factors for local recurrence. We examined the association between the presence of flat epithelial atypia and various clinical factors, pathologic features of the ductal carcinoma in situ, and the presence of coexistent atypical ductal hyperplasia, lobular neoplasia, and non-atypical columnar cell lesions. In univariate analysis, the presence of flat epithelial atypia was significantly related to ductal carcinoma in situ nuclear grade (most common in low grade, least common in high grade; P<0.0001), architectural pattern (most common in micropapillary and cribriform, least common in comedo; P<0.0001), absence of comedo necrosis (P<0.001), absence of stromal desmoplasia (P=0.02) and absence of stromal inflammation (P=0.03). In multivariable analysis, features of ductal carcinoma in situ independently associated with flat epithelial atypia were micropapillary and cribriform patterns and absence of comedo necrosis. Additionally, flat epithelial atypia was significantly associated with the presence of atypical ductal hyperplasia, lobular neoplasia, and columnar cell lesions in both univariate and multivariable analyses. These observations provide support for a precursor–product relationship between flat epithelial atypia and ductal carcinoma in situ lesions that exhibit particular features such as micropapillary and cribriform patterns and absence of comedo necrosis.

Relationship between clinical and pathologic features of ductal carcinoma in situ and patient age: an analysis of 657 patients.

Prior studies have shown that young patient age at diagnosis is associated with an increased risk of local recurrence among women with ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS) treated with breast-conserving therapy. Whether this can be explained by differences in clinical or pathologic features of DCIS according to age is an unresolved issue. We compared clinical and pathologic features of DCIS among 657 women in 4 age groups: <45 years (n=111), 45 to 54 years (n=191), 55 to 64 years (n=160), and 65+ years (n=195). DCIS presented as a mammographic abnormality less often in younger than in older women (68%, 82%, 81%, and 86% for women <45, 45 to 54, 55 to 64, and 65+ y, respectively; P=0.003). Among the pathologic features analyzed, DCIS extent as determined by the number of low power fields was greater in younger than in older women (mean number of low power fields were 18.6, 14.2, 10.8, and 11.3 in women <45, 45 to 54, 55 to 64 and 65+ y; P<0.001). In addition, cancerization of lobules was present more often in younger than in older women (77%, 73%, 66%, and 50% for women <45, 45 to 54, 55 to 64 and 65+ y, respectively; P<0.0001). Of note, we found no statistically significant relationship between age and DCIS architectural pattern, nuclear grade, comedo necrosis or expression of estrogen receptor, progesterone receptor or human epidermal growth factor receptor 2. We conclude that DCIS in younger women is more often symptomatic, is more extensive, and more often shows cancerization of lobules than DCIS in older women. Whether these features contribute to the higher local recurrence risk in young women with DCIS treated with the breast-conserving therapy requires further study.

HOXB13:IL17BR and molecular grade index and risk of breast cancer death among patients with lymph node-negative invasive disease

IntroductionStudies have shown that a two-gene ratio (HOXB13:IL17BR) and a five-gene (BUB1B, CENPA, NEK2, RACGAP1, RRM2) molecular grade index (MGI) are predictive of clinical outcomes among early-stage breast cancer patients. In an independent population of lymph node-negative breast cancer patients from a community hospital setting, we evaluated the performance of two risk classifiers that have been derived from these gene signatures combined, MGI+HOXB13:IL17BR and the Breast Cancer Index (BCI).MethodsA case-control study was conducted among 4,964 Kaiser Permanente patients diagnosed with node-negative invasive breast cancer from 1985 to 1994 who did not receive adjuvant chemotherapy. For 191 cases (breast cancer deaths) and 417 matched controls, archived tumor tissues were available and analyzed for expression levels of the seven genes of interest and four normalization genes by RT-PCR. Logistic regression methods were used to estimate the relative risk (RR) and 10-year absolute risk of breast cancer death associated with prespecified risk categories for MGI+HOXB13:IL17BR and BCI.ResultsBoth MGI+HOXB13:IL17BR and BCI classified over half of all ER-positive patients as low risk. The 10-year absolute risks of breast cancer death for ER-positive, tamoxifen-treated patients classified in the low-, intermediate-, and high-risk groups were 3.7% (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.9% to 5.4%), 5.9% (95% CI 3.0% to 8.6%), and 12.9% (95% CI 7.9% to 17.6%) by MGI+HOXB13:IL17BR and 3.5% (95% CI 1.9% to 5.1%), 7.0% (95% CI 3.8% to 10.1%), and 12.9% (95% CI 7.1% to 18.3%) by BCI. Those for ER-positive, tamoxifen-untreated patients were 5.7% (95% CI 4.0% to 7.4%), 13.8% (95% CI 8.4% to 18.9%), and 15.2% (95% CI 9.4% to 20.5%) by MGI+HOXB13:IL17BR and 5.1% (95% CI 3.6% to 6.6%), 18.6% (95% CI 10.8% to 25.7%), and 17.5% (95% CI 11.1% to 23.5%) by BCI. After adjusting for tumor size and grade, the RRs of breast cancer death comparing high- versus low-risk categories of both classifiers remained elevated but were attenuated for tamoxifen-treated and tamoxifen-untreated patients.ConclusionAmong ER-positive, lymph node-negative patients not treated with adjuvant chemotherapy, MGI+HOXB13:IL17BR and BCI were associated with risk of breast cancer death. Both risk classifiers appeared to provide risk information beyond standard prognostic factors.

Ten-Year Risk of Diagnostic Mammograms and Invasive Breast Procedures After Breast-Conserving Surgery for DCIS

BACKGROUND Breast-conserving surgery (BCS) is the most common treatment for ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS); however, how often women experience subsequent diagnostic evaluations over time is not known. METHODS We identified 2948 women with DCIS who were treated with BCS from 1990 to 2001 and followed for up to 10 years at three integrated health-care delivery systems. We calculated the percentages of diagnostic mammograms and ipsilateral invasive procedures following the initial breast excision to treat DCIS, estimated the 10-year cumulative incidence of these procedures, and determined hazard ratios for both types of procedures with Cox regression modeling. All statistical tests were two-sided. RESULTS Over 10 years, 907 women (30.8%) had 1422 diagnostic mammograms and 1813 (61.5%) had 2305 ipsilateral invasive procedures. Diagnostic mammograms occurred in 7.3% of women in the first 6 months and continued at a median annual rate of 4.3%. Ipsilateral invasive procedures occurred in 51.5% of women in the first 6 months and continued at a median annual rate of 3.1%. The estimated 10-year cumulative risk of having at least one diagnostic mammogram after initial DCIS excision was 41.0% (95% confidence interval [CI] = 38.5% to 43.5%); at least one invasive procedure, 65.7% (95% CI = 63.7% to 67.8%); and either event, 76.1% (95% CI = 74.1% to 78.1%). Excluding events in the first 6 months following initial DCIS excision, corresponding risks were 36.4% (95% CI = 33.8% to 39.0%) for diagnostic mammograms, 30.4% (95% CI = 26.9% to 33.8%) for invasive procedures, and 49.5% (95% CI = 45.6% to 53.5%) for either event. CONCLUSIONS Women with DCIS treated with BCS continue to have diagnostic and invasive breast procedures in the conserved breast over an extended period. The frequency of ongoing diagnostic breast evaluations should be included in discussions about treatment.

Use of sildenafil or other phosphodiesterase inhibitors and risk of melanoma

Background:Phosphodiesterase 5A inhibitors (PDEIs), a common treatment for erectile dysfunction, were recently linked to an increased risk of melanoma.Methods:We conducted two parallel case–control studies, using the Danish Nationwide Health Registries (DNHR) and the Kaiser Permanente Northern California (KPNC) electronic health records. Identifying men with histologically verified melanoma (cases) matched on birth year to 10 cancer-free controls, we estimated odds ratios (OR) for melanoma associated with high use of PDEIs (⩾100 tablets filled), adjusting for available confounders.Results:We identified 7045 DNHR and 2972 KPNC cases with invasive melanoma. The adjusted OR for invasive melanoma associated with high PDEI use was 1.22 (95% confidence interval (CI), 0.99–1.49) in DNHR and 0.95 (95% CI, 0.78–1.14) in KPNC. Odds ratios were highest for localised invasive melanoma in DNHR (OR, 1.21) and melanoma in situ in KPNC (OR, 1.15), and lowest for non-localised disease in both populations (ORs 0.75 and 0.61, respectively). The increased ORs were slightly attenuated upon adjustment for markers of health-care utilisation.Conclusions:We found little evidence for a causal association between PDEI use and risk of melanoma. The marginally increased risk of early stage disease likely resulted from more frequent health-care contacts among PDEI users.

A Cohort Study of Metformin and Colorectal Cancer Risk among Patients with Diabetes Mellitus

Background: Several epidemiologic studies have reported strong inverse associations between metformin use and risk of colorectal cancer, although time-related biases, such as immortal time bias, may in part explain these findings. We reexamined this association using methods to minimize these biases. Methods: A cohort study was conducted among 47,351 members of Kaiser Permanente Northern California with diabetes and no history of cancer or metformin use. Follow-up for incident colorectal cancer occurred from January 1, 1997, until June 30, 2012. Cox regression was used to calculate HRs and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for colorectal cancer risk associated with metformin use (ever use, total duration, recency of use, and cumulative dose). Results: No association was observed between ever use of metformin and colorectal cancer risk (HR, 0.90; 95% CI, 0.76–1.07) and there was no consistent pattern of decreasing risk with increasing total duration, dose, or recency of use. However, long-term use (≥5.0 years) appeared to be associated with reduced risk of colorectal cancer in the full population (HR, 0.78; 95% CI, 0.60–1.02), among current users (HR, 0.78; 95% CI, 0.59–1.04), and in men (HR, 0.65; 95% CI, 0.45–0.94) but not in women. Higher cumulative doses of metformin were associated with reduced risk. In initial users of sulfonylureas, switching to or adding metformin was also associated with decreased colorectal cancer risk. Conclusions: Our findings showed an inverse association between long-term use of metformin and colorectal cancer risk. Findings, especially the risk reduction among men, need to be confirmed in large, well-conducted studies. Impact: If our findings are confirmed, metformin may have a role in the chemoprevention of colorectal cancer. Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev; 27(5); 525–30. ©2018 AACR. See related commentary by Jackson and García-Albéniz, p. 520

Statins and Reduced Risk of Liver Cancer: Evidence for Confounding

A negative association of statin use with liver cancer risk has been reported frequently. We added laboratory measurements, to our knowledge not included in previous investigations, to a case-control analysis of 2877 case patients and 142 850 matched control subjects enrolled in Kaiser Permanente Northern California. Addressing confounding by indication by restricting subjects to those with elevated cholesterol greatly attenuated the negative association; eg, the multivariable-adjusted odds ratio (OR) rose from 0.41 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.35 to 0.49) to 0.87 (95% CI = 0.55 to 1.39) for receipt of 18 or more prescriptions. Confounding by contraindication was addressed by controlling for degree of abnormality of liver function tests, alanine or aspartate transaminase, measured within one year of the elevated cholesterol and strongly related to risk. The negative association of statins disappeared for all numbers of prescriptions received, with an odds ratio of 1.21 (95% CI = 0.53 to 2.75) for 18 or more prescriptions. Findings cast doubt on the causality of the frequently observed preventive association.

Confounding by alcohol use: benzodiazepines and risk of liver cancer.

In their case–control study of benzodiazepines and risk of cancer, Pottegard et al. 1 found an association with cancer of the liver (adjusted odds ratio 1.81 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.18, 2.80), which they attributed to likely uncontrolled confounding by lifestyle factors, particularly alcohol use. Heavy alcohol use can lead to cirrhosis of the liver which is a known strong risk factor for liver cancer 2. In our case–control screening of pharmaceuticals and cancer risk in the Kaiser Permanente Medical Care Program in northern California (KPNC) 3 with follow-up extended further, through February 2008, we found associations of some benzodiazepines with liver cancer of similar magnitude, two statistically significant and one of borderline significance. For three or more prescriptions dispensed vs. none odds ratios (95% CIs) were diazepam 1.43 (1.08, 1.90), temazepam 1.55 (1.16, 2.07) and oxazepam 1.60 (0.95, 2.68). We attempted to control for alcohol use but the stored medical record data proved to be inadequate for this purpose. We did find evidence, however, to support the view that alcohol use could be an important confounder in the benzodiazepine/liver cancer association. Member Health Surveys 4 are conducted among random samples of the KPNC membership approximately every 3 years starting in 1993, the latest in 2012. Respondents have been asked whether they had a ‘problem with alcohol or drugs’ ‘during the past 12 months’ and ‘ever’. Of the 85 321 respondents to any survey, age 50 years and above, free of pre-existing cancer, 2097 (2.46%) reported the alcohol/drug problem in either period and 125 (0.15%) developed liver cancer. In Cox proportional hazards analysis, with follow-up through 2013 in the KPNC Cancer Registry and excluding persons under age 50 years or with pre-existing cancer the hazard ratio for developing liver cancer in persons who reported the alcohol/drug problem in either period compared with persons who did not was 5.67 (95% CI 3.02, 10.66). Approximately half of persons who have attended the Programs chemical dependency clinic were diagnosed with either alcohol dependence or alcohol abuse, but it is not clear whether clinic attenders are representative of survey responders or how much drug use, especially if intravenous, was responsible for the increased risk of liver cancer through infection with hepatitis B or C. If alcohol was responsible for more than half of the increased risk, its hazard ratio would be higher than 5.67. Searching records of pharmacy prescription dispensing also revealed an association of the alcohol/drug problem with use of benzodiazepines. Of the 13 438 survey respondents age 40 years and above in 2008, 41.74% of the 690 persons with the alcohol/drug problem received diazepam, oxazepam or temazepam vs. 22.96% of those not reporting the ‘problem’ (P = 0.0003). Since heavy alcohol use is associated with both benzodiazepine use and liver cancer, it is a likely confounder of the benzodiazepine/liver cancer association. Our data are not sufficiently precise and specific to allow us to determine the extent of the confounding. Ths work was supported by Grant R01 098838 from The National Cancer Institute.