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Featured researches published by Olia Papacosta.


Stroke | 1999

Carotid plaque, intima media thickness, cardiovascular risk factors, and prevalent cardiovascular disease in men and women : The British Regional Heart Study

Shah Ebrahim; Olia Papacosta; Peter H. Whincup; Goya Wannamethee; Mary Walker; Andrew N. Nicolaides; Surinder Dhanjil; Maura Griffin; Gianni Belcaro; Ann Rumley; Gordon Lowe

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE B-mode ultrasound is a noninvasive method of examining the walls of peripheral arteries and provides measures of the intima-media thickness (IMT) at various sites (common carotid artery, bifurcation, internal carotid artery) and of plaques that may indicate early presymptomatic disease. The reported associations between cardiovascular risk factors, clinical disease, IMT, and plaques are inconsistent. We sought to clarify these relationships in a large, representative sample of men and women living in 2 British towns. METHODS The study was performed during 1996 in 2 towns (Dewsbury and Maidstone) of the British Regional Heart Study that have an approximately 2-fold difference in coronary heart disease risk. The male participants were drawn from the British Regional Heart Study and were recruited in 1978-1980 and form part of a national cohort study of 7735 men. A random sample of women of similar age to the men (55 to 77 years) was also selected from the age-sex register of the general practices used in the original survey. A wide range of data on social, lifestyle, and physiological factors, cardiovascular disease symptoms, and diagnoses was collected. Measures of right and left common carotid IMT (IMTcca) and bifurcation IMT (IMTbif) were made, and the arteries were examined for plaques 1.5 cm above and below the flow divider. RESULTS Totals of 425 men and 375 women were surveyed (mean age, 66 years; range, 56 to 77 years). The mean (SD) IMTcca observed were 0. 84 (0.21) and 0.75 (0.16) mm for men and women, respectively. The mean (SD) IMTbif were 1.69 (0.61) and 1.50 (0.77) mm for men and women, respectively. The correlation between IMTcca and IMTbif was similar in men (r=0.36) and women (r=0.38). There were no differences in mean IMTcca or IMTbif between the 2 towns. Carotid plaques were very common, affecting 57% (n=239) of men and 58% (n=211) of women. Severe carotid plaques with flow disturbance were rare, affecting 9 men (2%) and 6 women (1.6%). Plaques increased in prevalence with age, affecting 49% men and 39% of women aged <60 years and 65% and 75% of men and women, respectively, aged >70 years. Plaques were most common among men in Dewsbury (79% affected) and least common among men in Maidstone (34% affected). IMTcca showed a different pattern of association with cardiovascular risk factors from IMTbif and was associated with age, SBP, and FEV1 but not with social, lifestyle, or other physiological risk factors. IMTbif and carotid plaques were associated with smoking, manual social class, and plasma fibrinogen. IMTbif and carotid plaques were associated with symptoms and diagnoses of cardiovascular diseases. IMTbif associations with cardiovascular risk factors and prevalent cardiovascular disease appeared to be explained by the presence of plaques in regression models and in analyses stratified by plaque status. CONCLUSIONS IMTcca, IMTbif, and plaque are correlated with each other but show differing patterns of association with risk factors and prevalent disease. IMTcca is strongly associated with risk factors for stroke and with prevalent stroke, whereas IMTbif and plaque are more directly associated with ischemic heart disease risk factors and prevalent ischemic heart disease. Our analyses suggest that presence of plaque, rather than the thickness of IMTbif, appears to be the major criterion of high risk of disease, but confirmation of these findings in other populations and in prospective studies is required. The association of fibrinogen with plaque appears to be similar to its association with incident cardiovascular disease. Further work elucidating the composition of plaques using ultrasound imaging would be helpful, and more data, analyzed to distinguish plaque from IMTbif and IMTcca, are required to understand the significance of thicker IMT in the absence of plaque.


The Lancet | 2001

Soluble adhesion molecules and prediction of coronary heart disease: a prospective study and meta-analysis

Iqbal S. Malik; John Danesh; Peter Whincup; Vinay K Bhatia; Olia Papacosta; Mary Walker; Lucy Lennon; Andrew Thomson; Dorian O. Haskard

BACKGROUND Previous studies have suggested that circulating concentrations of soluble adhesion molecules are useful predictors of risk of coronary heart disease (CHD). Larger studies are needed, however, to test this hypothesis. METHODS We measured serum concentrations of four soluble cell adhesion molecules (intercellular adhesion molecule-1 [ICAM-1], vascular cell adhesion molecule-1 [VCAM-1], E-selectin, and P-selectin) in the stored baseline serum samples of 643 men with coronary heart disease and 1278 controls nested in a prospective sutdy of 5661 men who were monitored for 16 years. We also did a meta-analysis of previous relevant studies to place our findings in context. RESULTS Concentrations of soluble adhesion molecules were significantly associated with one another, with other markers of inflammation, and with some classic coronary risk factors. For ICAM-1, the odds ratio for CHD was 1.68 (95% CI 1.32-2.14) in a comparison of men in the top third with those in the bottom third of baseline measurements after adjustments for age and town. This decreased to 1.11 (0.75-1.64) after adjustment for some classic coronary risk factors and indicators of socioeconomic status. For the three other cell adhesion molecules, the odds ratios for CHD, first adjusted for age and town only, and then additionally adjusted for other risk factors, were: VCAM-1: 1.26 (0.99-1.61) and 0.96 (0.66-1.40); E-selectin: 1.27 (1.00-1.61) and 1.13 (0.78-1.62); and P-selectin: 1.23 (0.96-1.56) and 1.20 (0.81-1.76). INTERPRETATION The measurement of these adhesion molecules is unlikely to add much predictive information to that provided by more established risk factors.


BMJ | 2002

Early evidence of ethnic differences in cardiovascular risk: cross sectional comparison of British South Asian and white children

Peter H. Whincup; Julie A. Gilg; Olia Papacosta; Carol A. Seymour; George J. Miller; K G M M Alberti

Abstract Objectives: To examine whether British South Asian children differ in insulin resistance, adiposity, and cardiovascular risk profile from white children. Design: Cross sectional study. Setting: Primary schools in 10 British towns. Participants: British children aged 8 to 11 years (227 South Asian and 3415 white); 73 South Asian and 1287 white children aged 10 and 11 years provided blood samples (half fasting, half after glucose load). Main outcome measures: Insulin concentrations, anthropometric measures, established cardiovascular risk factors. Results: Mean ponderal index was lower in South Asian children than in white children (mean difference −0.43 kg/m3, 95% confidence interval −0.13 kg/m3 to −0.73 kg/m3). Mean waist circumferences and waist:hip ratios were similar. Mean insulin concentrations were higher in South Asian children (percentage difference was 53%, 14% to 106%, after fasting and 54%, 19% to 99%, after glucose load), though glucose concentrations were similar. Mean heart rate and triglyceride and fibrinogen concentrations were higher among South Asian children; serum total, low density lipoprotein, and high density lipoprotein cholesterol concentrations were similar in the two groups. Differences in insulin concentrations remained after adjustment for adiposity and other potential confounders. However, the relations between adiposity and insulin concentrations (particularly fasting insulin) were much stronger among South Asian children than among white children. Conclusions: The tendency to insulin resistance observed in British South Asian adults is apparent in children, in whom it may reflect an increased sensitivity to adiposity. Action to prevent non-insulin dependent diabetes in South Asian adults may need to begin during childhood. What is already known on this topic Compared with white people British South Asians are at increased risk of coronary heart disease, stroke, and non-insulin dependent diabetes There is evidence that these conditions originate in early life What this study adds British South Asian children show higher average levels of insulin and insulin resistance than white children These ethnic differences in insulin resistance in childhood are not associated with corresponding differences in adiposity, particularly central adiposity Insulin metabolism seems to be more sensitive to a given degree of adiposity among the South Asian children compared with white children The prevention of insulin resistance and its consequences may need to begin during childhood, particularly in South Asians


BMJ | 1995

Birth weight and blood pressure : cross sectional and longitudinal relations in childhood

Peter H. Whincup; Olia Papacosta; Mary Walker

Abstract Objective: To examine cross sectional and longitudinal relations between birth weight and blood pressure in childhood. Design: Cross sectional study of primary school children aged 9-11 years, with analysis in relation to previous measurements at 5-7 years in a subgroup. Setting: 20 primary schools in Guildford and Carlisle. Subjects: 1511 children measured at 9-11 years (response rate 79%), including 549 who had been measured at 5-7 years. Main outcome measures: Blood pressure at 9-11 years, change in blood pressure between 5-7 and 9-11 years, birth weight (based on maternal recall), and placental weight (based on birth records). Results: At 9-11 years birth weight was inversely related both to systolic blood pressure (regression coefficient −2.80 mm Hg/kg; 95% confidence interval −3.84 to −1.76) and to diastolic blood pressure (regression coefficient −1.42 mm Hg/kg; −2.14 to −0.70) once current height and body mass index were taken into account. Placental weight was inversely related to blood pressure after adjustment for current height and body mass index but placental ratio (placental weight to birth weight) was unrelated to blood pressure. Between 5–7 and 9–11 years systolic blood pressure rose more rapidly in children of lower birth weight (regression coefficient −1.71 mm Hg/kg; −3.35 to −0.07). This effect seemed to be stronger in girls. Conclusions: Birth weight rather than placental ratio is the early life factor most importantly related to blood pressure in childhood. The results support the possibility of “amplification” of the relation between birth weight and blood pressure, particularly in girls.


Journal of the American Geriatrics Society | 2014

Sarcopenic Obesity and Risk of Cardiovascular Disease and Mortality: A Population-Based Cohort Study of Older Men

Janice L. Atkins; Peter H. Whincup; Richard Morris; Lucy Lennon; Olia Papacosta; S. Goya Wannamethee

To examine associations between sarcopenia, obesity, and sarcopenic obesity and risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and all‐cause mortality in older men.


BMJ | 1997

Size at birth and blood pressure: cross sectional study in 8-11 year old children.

Stephanie Jc Taylor; Peter H. Whincup; Olia Papacosta; Mary Walker

Abstract Objective: To identify which patterns of fetal growth, represented by different measurements of size at birth, are associated with increased blood pressure in children aged 8-11 years. Design and setting: School based, cross sectional survey conducted in 10 towns in England and Wales in 1994. Subjects: 3010 singleton children (response rate 75%) with physical measurements and information on birth weight from parental questionnaires. Hospital birth records were examined for 1573. Main outcome measures: Systolic and diastolic blood pressure at age 8-11 years. Results: In the whole group birth weight was inversely related to systolic pressure (regression coefficient -1.48 mm Hg/kg; 95% confidence interval -2.20 to -0.76) after adjustment for current body size. There was no significant association between birth weight and diastolic pressure. The association with systolic pressure was much stronger in girls (-2.54 mm Hg/kg; -3.60 to -1.48) than in boys (-0.64 mm Hg/kg; -1.58 to 0.30), with a significant difference between the sexes (P=0.006). Among the other neonatal measures, head circumference and placental weight were inversely associated with subsequent blood pressure in girls, and placental ratio (placental weight:birth weight) was positively associated with blood pressure in boys. Neither ponderal index at birth nor length:head circumference ratio was related to blood pressure in either sex. Conclusions: In these contemporary children the association between birth weight and blood pressure was apparent only in girls. There was no evidence that measures of size at birth, which may be related to nutrition at critical periods of pregnancy (thinness at birth or shortness in relation to head circumference), are related to blood pressure in the offspring. Key messages This study confirms the well established inverse association between birth weight and childhood blood pressure, but there seems to be a strong difference between the sexes towards the end of the first decade of life—the association being strong in girls and weak or absent in boys Only highly correlated, simple measures of size at birth seem to be associated with blood pressure in girls; more complex measures of size at birth, including ponderal index and shortness in association to head circumference, are not associated with childhood blood pressure in either sex at 8-11 years The association between placental weight and placental ratio and blood pressure in children of 8-11 years is inconsistent These findings do not support the hypothesis that fetal undernutrition “programmes” raise blood pressure in the second and third trimesters Current body size is a much more important determinant of blood pressure in childhood than size at birth


Atherosclerosis | 2001

The effect of the C677T and A1298C polymorphisms in the methylenetetrahydrofolate reductase gene on homocysteine levels in elderly men and women from the British regional heart study

V. Dekou; P Whincup; Olia Papacosta; S Ebrahim; Lucy Lennon; Per Magne Ueland; Helga Refsum; S.E. Humphries; Vilmundur Gudnason

Total blood levels of homocysteine (tHcy) have been shown to depend on both environmental and genetic factors, and to be associated with the risk of developing atherosclerosis with its complications of coronary heart disease (CHD) and stroke. In this study, 408 men and 346 women from two towns, Dewsbury and Maidstone were examined for tHcy levels and genotyped for the C677T and the A1298C polymorphisms in the methylenetetrahydrofolate reductase (MTHFR) gene. Blood tHcy was significantly higher in men from the CHD high risk town of Dewsbury (12.7 micromol/l) than in the low CHD risk town of Maidstone (11.5 micromol/l) P<0.001, but not in women (10.7 vs. 10.5 micromol/l), with women in both towns, thus, showing significantly lower tHcy than men. There was no difference between towns in folate or vitamin B12 levels but the conventional inverse relationship with tHcy was seen. Smoking men and women from both towns had significantly higher tHcy and lower folate levels than non-smoking individuals (P<0.001). The frequency of the 677T allele in Dewsbury was 0.35 (95% CI; 0.32-0.39) compared with 0.29 (95% CI; 0.26-0.32) in Maidstone (P<0.01). Similar frequency difference of borderline statistical significance was seen both for men (P=0.054) and women (P=0.048) in both the towns, suggesting a true regional frequency difference. The effect of the 677T on tHcy was highly significant in the group as a whole with the most profound effect seen in men (12.0 micromol/l for CC vs. 14.1 micromol/l for TT, P<0.001). By contrast, there was no significant effect of the A1298C polymorphism on tHcy, folate or vitamin B12 levels, with no evidence for an interaction with the C677T genotype. The regional differences in tHcy levels were still present after the adjustment for folate and vitamin B12 levels, smoking and the effect of the C677T polymorphism. This suggests that there may be other unidentified factors, either environmental or genetic, affecting tHcy levels, and thus potentially having an impact on the risk of developing hyperhomocysteinaemia and CHD. These observations may have a bearing on regional differences in tHcy levels and the variation in CHD risk between regions in the UK.


Atherosclerosis | 2000

Femoral atherosclerosis in an older British population: prevalence and risk factors.

G.C. Leng; Olia Papacosta; Peter H. Whincup; Goya Wannamethee; Mary Walker; Shah Ebrahim; Andrew N. Nicolaides; Surinder Dhanjil; Maura Griffin; Gianni Belcaro; A. Rumley; Gordon Lowe

Most estimates of the prevalence of peripheral atherosclerosis have been based on intermittent claudication or lower limb blood flow. The aim of this study was therefore to determine the prevalence of underlying femoral plaque, and to determine its association with other cardiovascular disease and risk factors. Presence of plaque was identified using ultrasound in a random sample of men (n=417) and women (n=367) aged 56-77 years. Coexistent cardiovascular disease, exercise and smoking were determined by questionnaire, blood pressure was recorded, and serum cholesterol and plasma fibrinogen were determined. Of the 784 subjects that were scanned, 502 (64%) demonstrated atherosclerotic plaque. Disease prevalence increased significantly with age (P<0.0001), and was more common in men (67.1 vs. 59.4%, P<0.05). Subjects with femoral plaque had a significantly greater odds of previous ischaemic heart disease (OR 2. 2, 95% CI 1.3, 3.7) and angina (OR 1.7, 95% CI 1.03, 2.7), but not of stroke or leg pain on exercise. Current and ex-smoking, raised serum total cholesterol and plasma fibrinogen levels, but not blood pressure, were associated with an increased risk of femoral plaque, independent of age and sex. Frequent exercise and a high HDL cholesterol were significantly associated with lower risk. In conclusion, therefore, atherosclerotic disease of the femoral artery affects almost two-thirds of the population in late middle age. It is associated with an increased prevalence of ischaemic heart disease and angina, but whether detecting at risk individuals using ultrasound offers advantages over simpler and less expensive risk factor scoring requires evaluation in trials.


Atherosclerosis | 2011

Interleukin 18 and coronary heart disease: Prospective study and systematic review

Barbara J. Jefferis; Olia Papacosta; Christopher G. Owen; Sg Wannamethee; S.E. Humphries; Mark Woodward; Lucy Lennon; A. Thomson; Paul Welsh; A. Rumley; Gordon Lowe; Peter H. Whincup

Aim Previous studies suggest that circulating levels of interleukin-18 (IL-18) may be prospectively related to risk of coronary heart disease (CHD) in the general population. We report new data from the largest prospective study to date, which are combined with data from all published prospective studies in a meta-analysis. Methods We measured baseline IL-18 levels in stored serum samples of subjects from a case–control study nested within a prospective study of 5661 men aged 40–59 years recruited from general practices in 18 British towns in 1978–1980 and followed-up for up to 16 years (median time to event 8.4 years) for fatal CHD and non-fatal myocardial infarction (595 cases, 1238 controls). Results IL-18 concentrations were strongly related to cigarette smoking, triglyceride, HDL-cholesterol (inversely) and to circulating levels of several inflammatory and haemostatic markers. Men in the top third of baseline IL-18 levels had an age-adjusted odds ratio (OR) for CHD of 1.55 (95% CI 1.21, 1.98) compared with those in the lowest third; this was reduced to 1.30 (95% CI 0.99, 1.69) after additional adjustment for vascular risk factors and 1.12 (95% CI 0.84, 1.49) after further adjustment for CRP and IL-6. In meta-analyses of CVD, associations (or effect sizes) were consistent between studies; RRs were 1.63 (95% CI 1.46, 1.82) after age adjustment, 1.39 (95% CI 1.24, 1.55) after additional risk factor adjustment and 1.34 (95% CI 1.17, 1.54) after additional adjustment for inflammatory markers. Conclusions Circulating IL-18 is prospectively and independently associated with CVD risk.


BMJ | 1996

Cardiovascular risk factors in British children from towns with widely differing adult cardiovascular mortality

Peter H. Whincup; Fiona Adshead; Stephanie Jc Taylor; Olia Papacosta; Mary Walker; Valerie Wilson

Abstract Objective: To examine whether cardiovascular risk factors differ in children from towns in England and Wales with widely differing adult cardiovascular death rates. Design: School based survey conducted during 1994 in 10 towns, five with exceptionally high adult cardiovascular mortality (standardised mortality ratio 131-143) and five with exceptionally low adult cardiovascular mortality (64-75). Towns were surveyed in high-low pairs. Subjects: 3415 white children aged 8-11 years with physical measurements (response rate 75%), including 1287 with blood samples (response rate 64%), of whom 515 had blood samples taken 30 minutes after a glucose load. Results: Children in towns with high cardiovascular mortality were on average shorter than those in towns with low mortality (mean difference 1.2 cm; 95% confidence interval 0.3 to 2.1 cm; P = 0.02) and had a higher ponderal index (0.34 kg/m3; 0.16 to 0.52 kg/m3; P = 0.006). Mean systolic pressure was higher in high mortality towns, particularly after adjustment for height (2.0 mm Hg; 0.8 to 3.2 mm Hg; P = 0.009). Mean waist:hip ratio, total cholesterol concentration, and 30 minute post-load glucose measurements were similar in high and low mortality towns. The differences in height and blood pressure between high and low mortality towns were unaffected by standardisation for birth weight. Conclusions: The differences in height, ponderal index, and blood pressure between towns with high and low cardiovascular mortality, if persistent, may have important future public health implications. Their independence of birth weight suggests that the childhood environment rather than the intrauterine environment is involved in their development. Key messages Development of cardiovascular risk factors in British children living in areas with widely different adult cardiovascular mortality has been little stud- ied Children in areas of high mortality are on average shorter and have higher ponderal indices and higher blood pressures (particularly when height differences are taken into account) than those in areas of low mortality Total cholesterol concentration, waist:hip ratio, and post-load glucose/glucose tolerance are very similar in high and low mortality areas The differences in height, ponderal index, and blood pressure are independent of birth weight, suggesting that childhood rather than intrauterine factors may be important in their development

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Lucy Lennon

University College London

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Sg Wannamethee

University College London

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