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Featured researches published by P. Conway.


Current Medical Research and Opinion | 2005

Characterisation and comparison of health-related quality of life for patients with renal failure

Amanda J. Lee; Christopher L. Morgan; P. Conway; Craig John Currie

ABSTRACT Objective: The objective of this study was to assess the health related quality of life (HRQOL) in patients with kidney failure who had received renal transplants compared to those receiving haemodialysis, peritoneal dialysis or were waiting to start dialysis. Research design and methods: The study was conducted at the University Hospital of Wales, Cardiff. HRQOL was measured using the EQ‐5D, SF‐36 and the Kidney Disease Quality of life questionnaire (KDQOL). Patients with kidney failure were identified from the renal unit departmental database and were surveyed by postal questionnaire or during their treatment. Results: Of 1251 people surveyed, 416 valid returns were received, a response rate of 33%. For renal transplant patients the mean EQ‐5Dindex was 0.712 (SD 0.272), significantly higher than those in the other treatment groups (haemodialysis mean = 0.443 (SD 317), p < 0.001; peritoneal dialysis mean = 0.569 (SD 329), p < 0.001). This difference remained after controlling for age and co-morbidity. With the exception of pain, the SF‐36 showed significantly higher scores across all domains for transplant patients compared to both dialysis groups. From the KDQOL there were significantly lower scores compared with the transplant patients for both groups of dialysis patients for the effects and burden of kidney disease and general symptoms and problems. However, overall health scores were significantly higher for dialysis patients compared with transplant patients. Conclusion: Kidney failure has a high cost in terms of health related quality of life. There was a large difference between patients who have received a functioning graft following kidney transplant versus the alternative methods of renal replacement therapy, that is, peritoneal dialysis and haemodialysis. Kidney transplant should be the treatment of choice, and every effort should be made to increase the availability of kidneys for transplantation.


PharmacoEconomics | 2006

Evaluation of the cost effectiveness of sirolimus versus tacrolimus for immunosuppression following renal transplantation in the UK

Phil McEwan; Simon Dixon; Keshwar Baboolal; P. Conway; Craig John Currie

AbstractIntroduction: Immunosuppressive therapy is required to prevent graft rejection. Calcineurin inhibitors such as tacrolimus are paradoxically toxic to the kidney, whereas sirolimus (rapamycin; Rapamune®) is not generally associated with the nephrotoxicity of CNIs. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the relative cost utility of sirolimus versus tacrolimus for the primary prevention of graft rejection in renal transplant recipients in the UK. Methods: A stochastic simulation model was constructed using clinical trial and observational data comparing the two treatments. Time duration was up to 20 years. Costs were from a UK NHS perspective, valued at 2003 prices and discounted at 6%. Benefits were discounted at 1.5%. Simulated events included patient and graft survival, haemodialysis, peritoneal dialysis, re-transplants and acute rejection. Costs were summed for events and various maintenance therapies. Utility was differentially accredited depending upon survival and using the alternative renal replacement therapies. Outcome was predicted using post-transplant creatinine levels up to 3 years. Extensive statistical economic and sensitivity analyses were undertaken. Results: Over the 10-year horizon, sirolimus gained 0.72 years (discounted) of functioning graft over tacrolimus, resulting in an incremental cost per year of functioning graft that was dominant. Over a 20-year time horizon, the cost effectiveness of sirolimus over tacrolimus further improved with an average discounted gain in years of a functioning graft of 1.8 years, resulting in an incremental cost-utility ratio that was also dominant. The number of haemodialysis events was 48 243 for sirolimus recipients versus 127 829 for those receiving tacrolimus and peritoneal dialysis events 40 872 versus 105 249, respectively. Similar values were obtained when real-life observational data on tacrolimus use in Cardiff, Wales were entered into the model. Using data from Cardiff, sirolimus remained dominant over tacrolimus under all scenarios. Conclusion: Our study suggests that sirolimus may be more cost effective than tacrolimus for the primary prevention of graft rejection in renal transplant recipients in the UK. Sirolimus was economically ‘dominant’ under almost all scenarios investigated. This finding was robust using statistical economic analysis and univariate sensitivity analysis.


PharmacoEconomics | 2004

Cost Effectiveness of Representatives of Three Classes of Antidepressants Used in Major Depression in the UK

Alan Lenox-Smith; P. Conway; Christopher Knight

AbstractObjective: To estimate the cost effectiveness of representatives of three different classes of antidepressants used in major depression in the UK NHS. Design, patients and interventions: A decision-tree model for the treatment of major depression was constructed by interviewing UK GPs and psychiatrists (as part of a Delphi panel). An important part of the tree was that patients in primary care were treated until remission (pre-morbid state). Three classes of antidepressants (serotonin and noradrenaline reuptake inhibitors [SNRIs; venlafaxine], selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors [SSRIs; fluoxetine, paroxetine and fluvoxamine] and tricyclic antidepressants [TCAs; amitriptyline]) were compared by populating the tree with clinical success rates determined by a meta-analysis and a clinical trial. Where there were insufficient data from clinical trials a Delphi panel was used. Costs within the tree were taken from UK data sources. Six-monthly costs and cost effectiveness were then calculated. Main outcome measures and results: Treatment costs for 6 months were £1285 for venlafaxine, £1348 for SSRIs and £1385 for amitriptyline. Cost effectiveness as measured by cost per symptom-free day was £21 for venlafaxine, £26 for SSRIs and £32 for TCAs (2001 values). Incremental cost-effectiveness analyses showed a treatment strategy of using venlafaxine and switching if necessary to an SSRI was dominant over all other strategies considered. Sensitivity testing demonstrated that the cost of an SSRI could be reduced to 4 pence daily and amitriptyline to zero before the expected 6-monthly cost of venlafaxine ceased to be the lowest. Conclusion: The SNRI, venlafaxine, may be a cost-effective option compared with the SSRIs and TCAs when used as a first-line drug for depression in primary care in the UK. As this is a model, cost effectiveness can be suggested but not proven.


Journal of Medical Economics | 2012

Cost-effectiveness of tapentadol prolonged release compared with oxycodone controlled release in the UK in patients with severe non-malignant chronic pain who failed 1st line treatment with morphine

R. Ikenberg; Nadine Hertel; R Andrew Moore; M. Obradovic; Garth Baxter; P. Conway; Hiltrud Liedgens

Abstract Objectives: The aim of this analysis was to assess the cost-effectiveness of tapentadol PR (prolonged release) compared with oxycodone CR (controlled release) in severe non-malignant chronic pain patients in whom controlled release morphine was ineffective or not tolerated. Methods: A Markov model was developed to assess costs and benefits over a 1-year time horizon from the National Health Service perspective in the UK. Patients could either continue on 2nd line therapy or switch to 3rd line opioid due to lack of efficacy or poor tolerability. Patients failing also 3rd line therapy entered the final absorbing health state (4th line). Data on tolerability, efficacy, and utilities for tapentadol and oxycodone were obtained from the three comparative phase III clinical trials. Costs of resource consumption associated with opioid treatment were derived from a retrospective database analysis of anonymized patient records. Results: The model results predicted that initiating 2nd line therapy with tapentadol leads to higher effectiveness and lower costs vs oxycodone. For the overall population included in the clinical trials, mean annual costs per patient when treated with tapentadol and oxycodone were £3543 and £3656, respectively. Treatment with tapentadol, while cheaper than oxycodone, was more effective (0.6371 vs 0.6237 quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) for tapentadol and oxycodone, respectively), meaning that tapentadol dominated oxycodone. For the sub-group of opioid-experienced patients with severe pain at baseline the ranking in terms of costs and QALYs remained unchanged. Extensive sensitivity analyses showed that conclusions about the cost-effectiveness are consistent. Conclusions: The cost-effectiveness study suggested that initiating 2nd line treatment in patients with severe non-malignant chronic pain in the UK with tapentadol instead of oxycodone improves patients’ quality-of-life and is less costly. Key limitations when interpreting the results are the use of different sources to populate the model and restricted generalizability due to data extrapolation.


European Journal of Pain | 2011

The relationship between self-reported severe pain and measures of socio-economic disadvantage

Christopher Ll. Morgan; P. Conway; Craig John Currie

Aims: To determine the association of severe pain with socioeconomic characteristics.


BMC Musculoskeletal Disorders | 2008

The association between C-reactive protein and the likelihood of progression to joint replacement in people with rheumatoid arthritis: a retrospective observational study

Chris D. Poole; P. Conway; Alan Reynolds; Craig John Currie

BackgroundThis study sought to evaluate the association between systemic inflammation as measured by C-reactive protein and total joint replacement and the association between change in CRP status (low, ≤ 10 mg/L and high, >10 mg/L) measured over one year and total joint replacement in patients diagnosed with rheumatoid arthritis.MethodsA cohort of patients was selected from The Health Improvement Network (THIN) dataset of anonymised patient-level data from UK general practice with a confirmed chronic rheumatic diagnosis. Surgery-free survival was evaluated using Cox proportional hazards regression models (CPHM).Results2,421 cases had at least one CRP measurement of which 125 cases (5.2%) had at least one major joint replacement. In CPHM, each additional unit increase in log mean CRP (range 1 to 6) was associated with a hazard ratio (HR) for major orthopaedic surgery of 1.36 (95% CI 1.10 to 1.67; p = 0.004), after controlling for age at first rheumatoid presentation and average body mass index over the same observation period. Repeated CRP observations around one year apart were recorded in 1,314 subjects. After controlling for confounding factors, in cases whose CRP remained high (>10 mg/L), the HR for joint replacement increased more than two-fold (p = 0.040) relative to cases whose CRP remained low. In patients whose CRP increased from low to high, the HR was 1.86 compared to those who remained in a low state (p = 0.217). By comparison, among those subjects whose CRP was reduced from a high to low state, the hazard ratio was more than halved (1.46) from to those who remained high (p = 0.441). Although underpowered, the trend evident from CRP change corroborates the association of TJR progression with mean CRP.ConclusionCRP level predicts progression to major joint replacement after standardisation for relevant risk factors as did change in CRP status between low and high states observed over one year.


Current Medical Research and Opinion | 2007

An evaluation of the association between systemic inflammation – as measured by C-reactive protein – and hospital resource use

Chris D. Poole; P. Conway; Craig John Currie

ABSTRACT Objective: To evaluate the association between inflammatory status, as measured by C-reactive protein (CRP), during inpatient admission and subsequent inpatient outcome and associated resource use. Methods: Probabilistic record linkage was used to match hospital episode data, laboratory reports and mortality statistics in a large urban population of 424 000 people in South Wales, UK. Inpatient mortality, length of stay, emergency readmissions and subsequent 1-year hospital bed day occupancy were assessed as a function of CRP status. Results: Between 2001 and 2005, in total there were 432 272 CRP observations from 98 505 people; 69 593 admissions had at least one CRP measurement, affecting 47 100 individual patients. Across all ICD-10 primary diagnoses, CRP was acutely high (> 10 mg/L) in three-quarters of admissions. Acutely high CRP was associated with an eight-fold increase in risk of hospital mortality ( p < 0.001) and a doubling of length of stay ( p < 0.001) compared to normal CRP levels, after standardising for age and gender. Across the range of observed maximum CRP values measured during admissions (1 mg/L to > 400 mg/L) the likelihood of emergency readmission within 28 days of discharge increased by 50% ( p < 0.001), and the predicted number of subsequent bed days occupied in the year following discharge increased by 30–58% across the range of CRP measurement ( p = 0.004). Conclusions: CRP has been found to be clearly associated with hospital resource use. Furthermore, CRP also predicted in-hospital mortality. This may imply that better management of systemic inflammation would result in resource savings in inflammatory diseases such as rheumatoid arthritis.


Current Medical Research and Opinion | 2008

Descriptive epidemiology of hospitalisation for psoriasis

P. Conway; Craig John Currie

ABSTRACT Background: The epidemiology and outcome of people hospitalised with a primary diagnosis of psoriasis has never been characterised previously in the United Kingdom. The aim of the study was to characterise the epidemiology of people admitted to hospital with a primary diagnosis of psoriasis. Methods: Routine hospital data from a large urban area of South Wales, UK (with a population of approximately 435 000) were record-linked using probability matching algorithms to mortality data from the Office of National Statistics (1991–2005). Relative survival was compared using Cox proportional hazards models. Patients were selected with a primary diagnosis of psoriasis. Admission rates were calculated as a proportion (%) of admissions and a crude population rate. Results: It was possible to identify 1935 hospital admissions from 1038 subjects; 49% male. The mean age at first admission was 44 years (SD 20). The minimum, crude prevalence of people hospitalised with psoriasis at some time was 0.23%. These admissions represented 0.13% of all hospital admissions. The crude admission rate with a primary diagnosis of psoriasis was 2.9 per 10 000 population per year. The proportion of subjects who had only one admission ranged between 65% and 77%. The median time between the first admission and the second admission was 1.4 years (IQR 0.5–3.1). The mean length of hospital stay was 16.8 days (median 15; IQR 8–23). There were 55 deaths in total in this group. Ten year survival was 92.7%. Following standardisation, people admitted more than once had increased risk of all cause mortality (hazard ratio 2.71; 95% CI 1.39–5.31). Conclusion: This study provides useful background intelligence on the most severe psoriasis patients identified by their admission to hospital with the condition. The proportion of psoriasis patients admitted was estimated to be about one in six people. Those with more than one admission with psoriasis – greater psoriasis severity – were associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality.


Current Medical Research and Opinion | 2005

Patterns of graft and patient survival following renal transplantation and evaluation of serum creatinine as a predictor of survival : a review of data collected from one clinical centre over 34 years

Phil McEwan; Keshwar Baboolal; Simon Dixon; P. Conway; Craig John Currie

ABSTRACT Background: The pattern of renal transplantation has never been described since the introduction of the technique. The purpose of this study was therefore to characterise the pattern of renal transplantation from 1967 to 2000, focusing on renal graft function as a predictor of survival. Methods: This study was a retrospective analysis of an electronic database. The setting was a single renal transplant centre in the United Kingdom covering a population of 2.2 million and included patients who received at least one renal transplant over the study period ( n = 1516). The main outcome measures were patient and graft survival, acute rejection episodes and patterns of graft function, as measured by creatinine levels. Results: There were 559 (36.8%) female patients; 109 (7.2%) patients had pre-existing diabetes. Patient survival was adversely affected by increased age at transplant ( p < 0.001): 5‐year patient survival from first transplant was 82% for patients aged 0 to 17 years, 80% for 18 to 49 years and 61% for > 49 years. Pre-existing diabetes also adversely affected survival ( p < 0.01): 5‐year graft survival was 63% for patients with diabetes versus 74% for those without. Graft survival was significantly associated with serum creatinine levels recorded 1 year post-primary transplant ( p < 0.001) and with three or more acute rejection episodes ( p < 0.05). Neither gender nor diabetes status were statistically significant in predicting graft survival. The number of acute rejection episodes was significantly greater in patients with pre-existing diabetes than those without (61% versus 42%, respectively; p < 0.001). There were no differences in the number of acute rejection episodes occurring across age groups. Conclusion: Patient and graft survival improved markedly over the 34‐year study period, although patient survival has changed little since 1990. Serum creatinine levels are a reliable predictor of graft survival.


Value in Health | 2015

Evaluation of The Cost Effectiveness of Rifaximin-á 550mg In The Reduction of Recurrence of Overt Hepatic Encephalopathy In Sweden

Ellen Berni; Mark P. Connolly; P. Conway; A Radwan; Craig John Currie

effectiveness of fecal microbiota transplantation for the treatment of recurrent Clostridium difficile infection. The aim of this study is to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of fecal microbiota transplantation compared with vancomycin for the treatment of Clostridium difficile infection in Australia. Methods: A Markov model was developed to compare the cost-effectiveness of fecal microbiota transplantation compared with standard antibiotic therapy. A literature review of clinical evidence informed the structure of the model and the choice of parameter values. Clinical effectiveness was measured in terms of quality adjusted life years. Uncertainty in the model was explored using probabilistic sensitivity analysis. Results: Using fecal microbiota transplantation rather than vancomycin saves AU

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Simon Dixon

University of Sheffield

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