Patumrat Sripan

Trends in Female Breast Cancer by Age Group in the Chiang Mai Population

Objectives: This study was conducted to determine incidence trends of female breast cancer according to age groups and to predict future change in Chiang Mai women through 2028. Method: Data were collected from all hospitals in Chiang Mai in northern Thailand, from 1989 through 2013, and used to investigate effects of age, year of diagnosis (period) and year of birth (cohort) on female breast cancer incidences using an age-period-cohort model. This model features geometric cut trends to predict change by young (<40 years), middle-aged (40-59) and elderly (≥60) age groups. Result: Of 5, 417 female breast cancer patients with a median age of 50 years (interquartile range: 43 to 59 years), 15%, 61% and 24% were young, middle-aged and elderly, respectively. Seventy nine percent of cancer cases in this study were detected at advanced stage. The trend in stage classification showed an increase in percentage of early stage and a decrease in metastatic cancers. Linear trends for cohort and period were not found in young females but were observed in middle-aged and elderly groups. Age-standardized rates (ASR) can be expected to remain stable around 6.8 per 100,000 women-years in young females. In the other age groups, the ASR trends were calculated to increase and reach peaks in 2024 of 120.2 and 138.2 per 100,000 women-years, respectively. Conclusion: Cohort effects or generation-specific effects, such as life style factors and the year of diagnosis (period) might have impacted on increased incidence in women aged over 40 years but not those under 40 years. A budget should be provided for treatment facilities and strategies to detect early stage cancers. The cost effectiveness of screening measures i.e. mammographic screening may need to be reconsidered for women age over 40 years.

Spatial and Temporal Analyses of Cervical Cancer Patients in Upper Northern Thailand

Background: Cervical cancer is a major public health problem worldwide. There have been several studies indicating that risk is associated with geographic location and that the incidence of cervical cancer has changed over time. In Thailand, incidence rates have also been found to be different in each region. Methods: Participants were women living or having lived in upper Northern Thailand and subjected to cervical screening at Maharaj Nakorn Chiang Mai Hospital between January 2010 and December 2014. Generalized additive models with Loess smooth curve fitting were applied to estimate the risk of cervical cancer. For the spatial analysis, Google Maps were employed to find the geographical locations of the participants’ addresses. The Quantum Geographic Information System was used to make a map of cervical cancer risk. Two univariate smooths: x equal to the residency duration was used in the temporal analysis of residency duration, and x equal to the calendar year that participants moved to upper Northern Thailand or birth year for participants already living there, were used in the temporal analysis of the earliest year. The spatial-temporal analysis was conducted in the same way as the spatial analysis except that the data were split into overlapping calendar years. Results: In the spatial analysis, the risk of cervical cancer was shown to be highest in the Eastern sector of upper Northern Thailand (p-value <0.001). In the temporal analysis of residency duration, the risk was shown to be steadily increasing (p-value =0.008), and in the temporal analysis of the earliest year, the risk was observed to be steadily decreasing (p-value=0.016). In the spatial-temporal analysis, the risk was stably higher in Chiang Rai and Nan provinces compared to Chiang Mai province. According to the display movement over time, the odds of developing cervical cancer declined in all provinces. Conclusions: The risk of cervical cancer has decreased over time but, in some areas, there is a higher risk than in the major province of Chiang Mai. Therefore, we should promote cervical cancer screening coverage in all areas, especially where access is difficult and/or to women of lower socioeconomic status.

Outcome of eribulin as a late treatment line for Thai metastatic breast cancer patients

Background We report the safety and efficacy of eribulin as a late treatment line in Thai metastatic breast cancer (MBC) patients. Patients and methods A total of 30 MBC patients treated with eribulin between January 2014 and January 2017 were retrospectively analyzed. The patients were scheduled to receive 1.4 mg/m2 of eribulin on day 1, day 8 and subsequently every 21 days. All patients had previously received at least three chemotherapy regimens including anthracycline and taxane. Response rate and progression-free survival (PFS) were analyzed. Results The median age was 56 years (range, 40–74 years), with a median follow-up time of 5.7 months (range, 0.2–25 months). The overall response rate was 30% (nine patients): four patients had triple-negative breast cancer, three patients had luminal B breast cancer and two patients had luminal A breast cancer. The median PFS was 2.9 months (range, 0.2–14 months). The median number of previous chemotherapy regimens was 4 (range, 3–9). Univariate analysis showed that the number of regimens (four or fewer) prior to eribulin was statistically associated with superior PFS (P = 0.009). Multivariate analysis also showed similar statistical association between number of prior regimens (four or fewer) and better PFS adjusted by age group (≥50 years; hazard ratio = 1.29; 95% CI: 1.0–1.65; P = 0.046). There were no toxic deaths or grade 4 toxicities. Nine (30%) patients had grade 3 anemia toxicities, and the other common toxicities were leukopenia and neutropenia. Four (13%) patients required dose reduction and 16 (53%) patients required dose delay because of toxicities. Conclusion Eribulin is an effective drug for heavily pretreated MBC patients with tolerable toxicities. The benefit was superior in patients who received fewer than four previous chemotherapy regimens.

Effect of the national screening program on malignancy status of cervical cancer in Northern Thailand

ObjectivesCervical cancer has posed a serious problem in Thailand for decades. In 2002, a systematic screening program was implemented under universal healthcare coverage for all Thai women. However, there has been little research on how screening affected particular aspects of cervical cancer, such as stage distribution. This screening program has a target group; therefore, it is necessary to assess stage and incidence trends by age of those within and outside the screening target group.MethodsUsing trend analysis, we assess in situ and malignant cervical cancers in Northern Thailand to measure changes after implementation of the national screening program.ResultsWhile incidence of malignant cancers is decreasing and incidence of in situ tumors is increasing across all age groups, women above age 60 still experience a high incidence of malignant tumors.ConclusionsThe screening program is successful in the target group at downshifting the stage distribution of malignant tumors and reducing incidence of malignant tumors with in situ cases being captured. However, the high incidence of malignant tumors in women over age 60 will continue to be clinically relevant for cervical cancer management until younger generations undergoing screening enter this age group.

Intermediate-term results of trans-abdominal ultrasound (TAUS)-guided brachytherapy in cervical cancer

OBJECTIVES To report the intermediate-term results of trans-abdominal ultrasound (TAUS)-guided brachytherapy in cervical cancer. MATERIALS AND METHODS Ninety-two patients with cervical cancer (stage IB-IVA, according to FIGO staging), were treated by curative radiotherapy from February 2012 to June 2015. All patients were treated with whole pelvic radiotherapy to 50 Gy in 25 fractions and central shielding after 44 Gy, in combination with TAUS-guided brachytherapy, in order to escalate the total dose (EQD2) to the minimal dose at cervical points (in EQD2 concepts) defined by TAUS, while maintaining low doses to ICRU bladder and rectal points. The treatment results and toxicity profiles were reported. RESULTS At median follow-up time of 41.2 months (range 8 to 61 months) the pelvic control, disease-free survival, and overall survival rates were 84.8%, 75%, and 88%, respectively. The mean applied doses to cervix, bladder, and rectal points were 83.5, 72.3, and 76.5 Gy, respectively. Eight patients developed grade 2 Gastrointestinal toxicity. CONCLUSION The 3-year results demonstrated that TAUS-guided brachytherapy is feasible and associated with excellent tumor control/toxicity rates in cervical cancer.

Risk patterns of lung cancer mortality in northern Thailand

BackgroundOver the past decade, lung cancers have exhibited a disproportionately high mortality and increasing mortality trend in Thailand, especially in the northern region, and prevention strategies have consequently become more important in this region. Spatial analysis studies may be helpful in guiding any strategy put in place to respond to the risk of lung cancer mortality in specific areas. The aim of our study was to identify risk patterns for lung cancer mortality within the northern region of Thailand.MethodsIn the spatial analysis, the relative risk (RR) was used as a measure of the risk of lung cancer mortality in 81 districts of northern Thailand between 2008 and 2017. The RR was estimated according to the Besag-York-Mollié autoregressive spatial model performed using the OpenBUGS routine in the R statistical software package. We presented the overall and gender specific lung cancer mortality risk patterns of the region using the Quantum Geographic Information System.ResultsThe overall risk of lung cancer mortality was the highest in the west of northern Thailand, especially in the Hang Dong, Doi Lo, and San Pa Tong districts. For both genders, the risk patterns of lung cancer mortality indicated a high risk in the west of northern Thailand, with females being at a higher risk than males.ConclusionsThere was distinct geographical variation in risk patterns of lung cancer mortality in Thailand. Differences could be related to differences in risk factors such as ground-based radon and air pollution. This study provides a starting point for estimating the spatial pattern of the risk of lung cancer mortality and for examining associations between geographic risk factors and lung mortality for further studies.

The outcome of the first 100 nasopharyngeal cancer patients in Thailand treated by Helical Tomotherapy

Abstract Background The aim of the study was to analyse of two-year loco-regional failure free survival (LRFFS), distant metastasis free survival (DMFS), overall survival (OS), and toxicity outcomes of the first 100 nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients in Thailand treated by helical tomotherapy. Patients and methods Between March 2012 and December 2015, 100 patients with non-metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma were treated by helical tomotherapy. All patients were treated by platinum-based concurrent chemoradiotherapy and adjuvant or neo-adjuvant chemotherapy. Results The median age was 51 years (interquartile ranges [IQR]: 42.5–57.0). The mean ± SD of D95% of planning target volume (PTV) 70, 59.4 and 54 were 70.2 ± 0.5, 59.8 ± 0.6, and 54.3 ± 0.8 Gy, respectively. The mean ± SD of conformity index, and homogeneity index were 0.89 ± 0.13 and 0.06 ± 0.07. Mean ± SD of D2 % of spinal cord and brainstem were 34.1 ± 4.4 and 53.3 ±6.3 Gy. Mean ± SD of D50 of contralateral and ipsilateral parotid gland were 28.4 ± 6.7 and 38.5 ± 11.2 Gy. At a median follow-up of 33 months (IQR: 25–41), the 2-year LRFFS, DMFS, OS were 94% (95%CI: 87–98%), 96% (95% CI: 89–98%), and 99% (95% CI: 93–100%), respectively. Acute grade 3 dermatitis, pharyngoesophagitis, and mucositis occurred in 5%, 51%, and 37%, respectively. Late pharyngoesophagitis grade 0 and 1 were found in 98% and 2% of patients. Late xerostomia grade 0, 1 and 2 were found in 17%, 78% and 5%, respectively. Conclusions Helical tomotherapy offers good dosimetric performance and achieves excellent treatment outcome in nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients.

Ten-Year Outcome of Different Treatment Modalities for Squamous Cell Carcinoma of Oral Cavity

Objective: This study reports outcomes of squamous cell carcinoma of oral cavity (SCCOC) patients with different treatment modalities. Materials and Methods: We evaluated the treatment outcomes of 775 newly diagnosed SCCOC patients treated in our hospital between 2001 and 2010. Outcome data were obtained from the medical records. Survival rates were estimated by the Kaplan-Meyer method. Cox-proportional-hazard regression models were used to compare the risk of death among all risk factors. Results: The patients were divided into group 1) surgery ± adjuvant radiotherapy (RT) (n = 323) or group 2) RT ± chemotherapy (CT) for curative intent (n = 315) or group 3) RT/CT for palliative intent (n = 137). The overall 10-year survival rate was 17%. Statistically significant difference was noted in 10-year overall survival when SCCOC was managed surgically as compared to curative RT and palliative RT/CT with 25.3 %, 12.9%, 4.7%, respectively. The hazard ratio of cancer death in group 1 was 2.0 (95% CI 1.7-2.4) as compared to group 2. Conclusion: This study suggested that surgery must be the mainstay of treatment in locally advanced stage SCCOC. Palliative RT/CT still offered long term survival in some SCCOC patients.

Modeling of In-Utero and Intra-Partum Transmissions to Evaluate the Efficacy of Interventions for the Prevention of Perinatal HIV.

Background Antiretroviral treatments decrease HIV mother-to-child transmission through pre/post exposure prophylaxis and reduction of maternal viral load. We modeled in-utero and intra-partum HIV transmissions to investigate the preventive role of various antiretroviral treatments interventions. Methods We analysed data from 3,759 women-infant pairs enrolled in 3 randomized clinical trials evaluating (1) zidovudine monotherapy, (2) zidovudine plus perinatal single-dose nevirapine or (3) zidovudine plus lopinavir/ritonavir for the prevention of mother-to-child transmission of HIV in Thailand. All infants were formula-fed. Non-linear mixed effect modeling was used to express the viral load evolution under antiretroviral treatments and the probability of transmission. Results Median viral load was 4 log10 copies/mL (Interquartile range: 3.36–4.56) before antiretroviral treatments initiation. An Emax model described the viral load time-course during pregnancy. Half of the maximum effect of zidovudine (28% decrease) and lopinavir/ritonavir (72% decrease) were achieved after 98 and 12 days, respectively. Adjusted on viral load at baseline (Odds ratio = 1.50 [95% confidence interval: 1.34, 1.68] per log10 copies/mL increment), antiretroviral treatments duration (OR = 0.80 [0.75, 0.84] per week increment) but not the nature of antiretroviral treatments were associated with in-utero transmission. Adjusted on gestational age at delivery (<37 weeks, OR = 2.37 [1.37, 4.10]), baseline CD4 (Odds ratio = 0.79 [0.72, 0.88] per 100 cells/mm3 increment) and predicted viral load at delivery (OR = 1.47 [1.25, 1.64] per log10 copies/mL increment), single-dose nevirapine considerably reduced intra-partum transmission (OR = 0.32 [0.2, 0.51]). Conclusion These models determined the respective contributions of various antiretroviral strategies on prevention of mother-to-child transmission. This can help predict the efficacy of new antiretroviral treatments and/or prevention of mother-to-child transmission strategies particularly for women with no or late antenatal care who are at high risk of transmitting HIV to their offspring. Trial Registration This analysis is based on secondary data obtained from three clinical trials. ClinicalTrials.gov. NCT00386230, NCT00398684, NCT00409591.

Contribution of different antiretroviral regimens containing zidovudine, lamivudine and ritonavir-boosted lopinavir on HIV viral load reduction during pregnancy.

BACKGROUND Antiretroviral (ARV) regimens used for the prevention of mother-to-child transmission of HIV have evolved over time. We evaluated the contribution of different ARV regimens on the reduction of the plasma HIV RNA viral load (VL) during pregnancy. METHODS A total of 1,833 VL measurements from ARV-naive pregnant women participating in perinatal prevention trials in Thailand were included. Women received either zidovudine (ZDV) monotherapy, ZDV plus lopinavir/ritonavir (LPV/r), or ZDV plus lamivudine (3TC) plus LPV/r. VL time-course during pregnancy was described as a function of pretreatment VL and treatment duration using an Emax non-linear mixed-effect model. VL reduction and median time to achieve a VL<50 copies/ml were estimated for each regimen. RESULTS Among 745 women, 279 (37%), 145 (20%) and 321 (43%) received ZDV monotherapy, ZDV+LPV/r and ZDV+3TC+LPV/r, respectively. The predicted VL reduction from baseline to delivery after a median of 10 weeks of treatment were 0.5, 2.7 and 2.9 log10 copies/ml with ZDV monotherapy, ZDV+LPV/r and ZDV+3TC+LPV/r, respectively. At delivery, 1%, 57% and 63% of women receiving ZDV monotherapy, ZDV+LPV/r or ZDV+3TC+LPV/r had a VL<50 copies/ml. The addition of 3TC to ZDV+LPV/r reduced the time to achieve a VL<50 copies/ml and the higher the pretreatment VL, the larger the effect 3TC had on reducing the time to VL<50 copies/ml. CONCLUSIONS The addition of 3TC to ZDV+LPV/r was associated with a slight further VL reduction but the time to reach a VL<50 copies/ml was shorter. This beneficial effect of 3TC is crucial for prevention of mother-to-child transmission in women who receive ARVs late and with high pretreatment VL.