Paul Calès

A novel panel of blood markers to assess the degree of liver fibrosis

The objective was to develop new blood tests to characterize different fibrosis parameters in viral and alcoholic chronic liver diseases. Measurements included 51 blood markers and Fibrotest, Fibrospect, ELFG, APRI, and Forns scores. The clinically significant fibrosis was evaluated via Metavir staging (F2‐F4), and image analysis was used to determine the area of fibrosis. In an exploratory step in 383 patients with viral hepatitis, the area under the receiving operator characteristic (AUROC) curve for stages F2‐F4 in a test termed the “Fibrometer” test combining platelets, prothrombin index, aspartate aminotransferase, α2‐macroglobulin (A2M), hyaluronate, urea, and age was 0.883 compared with 0.808 for the Fibrotest (P = .01), 0.820 for the Forns test (P = .005), and 0.794 for the APRI test (P < 10−4). The Fibrometer AUROC curve was 0.892 in the validating step in 120 patients. The AUROC curve for stages F2‐F4 in a test combining prothrombin index, A2M, hyaluronate, and age was 0.962 in 95 patients with alcoholic liver diseases. The area of fibrosis was estimated in viral hepatitis by testing for hyaluronate, γ‐glutamyltransferase, bilirubin, platelets, and apolipoprotein A1 (aR2 = 0.645), and in alcoholic liver diseases by testing for hyaluronate, prothrombin index, A2M, and platelets (aR2 = 0.836). In conclusion, the pathological staging and area of liver fibrosis can be estimated using different combinations of blood markers in viral and alcoholic liver diseases. Whereas the Fibrometer has a high diagnostic accuracy for clinically significant fibrosis, blood tests for the area of liver fibrosis provide a quantitative estimation of the amount of fibrosis, which is especially useful in cirrhosis. (HEPATOLOGY 2005.)

Sources of variability in histological scoring of chronic viral hepatitis

Inter‐observer agreement on activity and fibrosis scores used in chronic viral hepatitis has only been studied under selected conditions. The aim of this study was to identify the sources of variability due to specimen characteristics and observers. This study included 254 liver specimens and 15 pathologists and used the Metavir score. In 44 specimens scored by 4 academic pathologists, agreement of Metavir score was good overall, but better for fibrosis (κ = 0.59) than for activity (κ = 0.43) and poor for lobular necrosis (κ = 0.15). The mean agreement was better for senior (0.60 ± 0.24) than junior pathologists (0.52 ± 0.30, P < .05). Mean intrabserver agreement was better than inter‐observer agreement (0.77 ± 0.18 vs. 0.58 ± 0.26, P < .01). In 157 specimens scored by 2 expert pathologists (one senior, one junior), agreement of Metavir score was only good but greatly improved after consensus reading (fibrosis: κ = 0.48 and 0.77, activity: κ = 0.44 and 0.70, respectively, before and after consensus). Several causes of disagreement were identified: specimen length, fibrosis class number, observer bias, and putative causes related to Metavir score or specimen. In an intercenter evaluation involving 59 specimens, 1 expert and 10 nonacademic pathologists, agreement was very poor and did not improve over 5 years for activity (κ = 0.22‐0.25) or fibrosis (κ = 0.13‐0.18). In conclusion, the level of experience (specialization, duration, and location of practice) has more influence on agreement than the characteristics of the specimen (length, fibrosis class number, miscellaneous factors). Agreement can be improved by experienced pathologist or consensus reading. (HEPATOLOGY 2005,41:257–264.)

Beta-adrenergic-antagonist drugs in the prevention of gastrointestinal bleeding in patients with cirrhosis and esophageal varices : an analysis of data and prognostic factors in 589 patients from four randomized clinical trials

BACKGROUND The value of beta-adrenergic-antagonist drug therapy for the prevention of initial episodes of gastrointestinal bleeding in patients with cirrhosis and esophageal varices is uncertain, both positive and negative study results having been reported. METHODS In this study, we analyzed data on individual patients from four randomized, controlled trials to assess the efficacy of this treatment. Of the 589 patients studied, 286 received a beta-adrenergic-antagonist drug (propranolol in 203 and nadolol in 83) and 303 received placebo. RESULTS After two years, the mean (+/- SE) percentage of patients who had had no upper gastrointestinal bleeding was 78 +/- 3 percent in the beta-adrenergic-antagonist treatment group and 65 +/- 3 percent in the control group (P = 0.002). The percentage of patients without fatal bleeding was 90 +/- 2 percent in the treatment group and 82 +/- 3 percent in the control group (P = 0.01). The percentage of patients surviving after two years was 71 +/- 3 percent in the treatment group and 68 +/- 3 percent in the control group (P = 0.34). After age and severity of cirrhosis were taken into account, the survival rate was better in the treatment group (P = 0.09). The percentage of surviving patients who had had no bleeding after two years was 62 +/- 3 percent in the treatment group and 53 +/- 3 percent in the control group (P = 0.04). Both propranolol and nadolol prevented a first episode of bleeding. Severe cirrhosis and especially the presence of ascites were associated with bleeding (P less than 0.001) and death (P less than 0.001) in both groups. The efficacy of beta-adrenergic-antagonist therapy in the prevention of bleeding (P less than 0.001) and of fatal bleeding (P = 0.004) and in the prevention of bleeding or death (P = 0.005) was the same after adjustment for cause and severity of cirrhosis, ascites, and size of varices. CONCLUSIONS Propranolol and nadolol are effective in preventing first bleeding and reducing the mortality rate associated with gastrointestinal bleeding in patients with cirrhosis, regardless of severity.

Propranolol in the Prevention of First Upper Gastrointestinal Tract Hemorrhage in Patients with Cirrhosis of the Liver and Esophageal Varices

We conducted a prospective, randomized, multicenter, single-blind trial of propranolol as compared with placebo in the prevention of first upper gastrointestinal tract bleeding in patients with cirrhosis of the liver. A total of 230 patients (90 percent with alcoholism and 46 percent with a Child-Pugh grade C classification) with large esophageal varices without previous bleeding were randomly assigned to receive either propranolol (n = 118) or placebo (n = 112), after they had been divided into two groups according to the severity of their liver disease. The end points of the study were bleeding and death. The dose of propranolol was progressively increased to decrease the heart rate by 20 to 25 percent. The final doses were 40 mg of conventional propranolol and 160 and 320 mg of long-acting propranolol daily in 22 percent, 60 percent, and 18 percent of patients, respectively. The mean (+/- SD) follow-up time among survivors without bleeding was 436 +/- 172 days. The cumulative percentages of patients free of bleeding two years after inclusion in the study were 74 percent (95 percent confidence limits, 61 and 83) in the propranolol group and 39 percent (95 percent confidence limits, 15 and 69) in the placebo group (P less than 0.05). Cumulative two-year survival was 72 percent (95 percent confidence limits, 60 and 81) in the propranolol group and 51 percent (95 percent confidence limits, 37 and 64) in the placebo group (P less than 0.05). The advantage of propranolol over placebo was maintained when potentially confounding variables were adjusted with use of the Cox model. Side effects occurred in 17 percent of the patients who received propranolol and led to the stopping of treatment in 11 percent. We conclude that propranolol can decrease the incidence of first bleeding and death during a period of two years in patients with cirrhosis and large varices.

Determination of reliability criteria for liver stiffness evaluation by transient elastography

Liver stiffness evaluation (LSE) is usually considered as reliable when it fulfills all the following criteria: ≥10 valid measurements, ≥60% success rate, and interquartile range / median ratio (IQR/M) ≤0.30. However, such reliable LSE have never been shown to be more accurate than unreliable LSE. Thus, we aimed to evaluate the relevance of the usual definition for LSE reliability, and to improve reliability by using diagnostic accuracy as a primary outcome in a large population. 1,165 patients with chronic liver disease from 19 French centers were included. All patients had liver biopsy and LSE. 75.7% of LSE were reliable according to the usual definition. However, these reliable LSE were not significantly more accurate than unreliable LSE with, respectively: 85.8% versus 81.5% well‐classified patients for the diagnosis of cirrhosis (P = 0.082). In multivariate analyses with different diagnostic targets, LSE median and IQR/M were independent predictors of fibrosis staging, with no significant influence of ≥10 valid measurements or LSE success rate. These two reliability criteria determined three LSE groups: “very reliable” (IQR/M ≤0.10), “reliable” (0.10< IQR/M ≤0.30, or IQR/M >0.30 with LSE median <7.1 kPa), and “poorly reliable” (IQR/M >0.30 with LSE median ≥7.1 kPa). The rates of well‐classified patients for the diagnosis of cirrhosis were, respectively: 90.4%, 85.8%, and 69.5% (P < 10−3). According to these new reliability criteria, 9.1% of LSE were poorly reliable (versus 24.3% unreliable LSE with the usual definition, P < 10−3), 74.3% were reliable, and 16.6% were very reliable. Conclusion: The usual definition for LSE reliability is not relevant. LSE reliability depends on IQR/M according to liver stiffness median level, defining thus three reliability categories: very reliable, reliable, and poorly reliable LSE. (HEPATOLOGY 2013)

Ultrasonographic diagnosis of hepatic fibrosis or cirrhosis

BACKGROUND/AIMS Evaluation of the degree of hepatic fibrosis is especially important in patients with chronic liver disease. Our aim was to study the diagnostic accuracy of abdominal ultrasonography for cirrhosis or fibrosis. METHODS Twenty-three clinical (n=12) and Doppler ultrasonic (n=11) variables were recorded in 243 patients with chronic (alcoholic and viral) liver disease under conditions close to those of clinical practice. Fibrosis was classified into six grades by two pathologists. Diagnostic accuracy was evaluated by discriminant analysis, first globally using all variables, then by stepwise analysis. RESULTS A) Diagnosis of cirrhosis: 1) whole group (n=243): diagnostic accuracy was globally 84%, and 84% with two variables: spleen length, portal velocity; 2) compensated chronic liver disease (n=191): diagnostic accuracy was globally 85%, and 82% with two variables: liver surface, liver length (right kidney); 3) alcoholic compensated chronic liver disease (n=109): diagnostic accuracy was globally 86%, and 88% with two variables: spleen length, liver length (middle clavicle); 4) viral compensated chronic liver disease (n= 83): diagnostic accuracy was globally 86% and 86% with one variable: liver surface. By subtracting the proportion of patients who could not be investigated due to anatomical limitations, the highest calculated univariate diagnostic accuracy decreased by 7%. B) Diagnosis of fibrosis: diagnostic accuracy was globally 84% for extensive fibrosis. CONCLUSIONS Cirrhosis can be correctly diagnosed in 82-88% of patients with chronic liver disease using a few ultrasonographic signs. However, the diagnostic accuracy of ultrasound is decreased by the anatomical limitations of this technique.

Histopathological evaluation of liver fibrosis: quantitative image analysis vs semi-quantitative scores: Comparison with serum markers

BACKGROUND/AIMS Liver fibrosis is mainly evaluated by qualitative histological examination. Although histological semi-quantitative scores and quantitative determination with image analysis are now possible, these methods have not been fully validated and compared. Therefore, we evaluated these two methods prospectively in 243 patients with chronic liver disease. METHODS The semi-quantitative fibrosis score was evaluated by two independent pathologists, using the Knodell fibrosis score and a 6-grade score derived from the Metavir score; the area of fibrosis was measured by image analysis. The serum levels of hyaluronate, N-terminal peptide of procollagen III, laminin, transforming growth factor-beta1, alpha2-macroglobulin, apolipoprotein A1, PGA score and prothrombin index were measured. RESULTS There was a good correlation between the semi-quantitative fibrosis score and the area of fibrosis (r=0.84, p<10(-4)). Using multiple regression analysis, the semi-quantitative score was predicted by the 8 serum markers with R2=0.69 (R2=0.59 for hyaluronate at the 1st step) while the area of fibrosis was predicted with R2=0.79 (R2=0.76 for hyaluronate at the 1st step), and the Knodell fibrosis score was predicted with R2=0.65 (R2=0.31 for hyaluronate at the 1st step). CONCLUSIONS The area of fibrosis, as determined by image analysis, and the semi-quantitative score are well correlated. However, for serum markers the correlation is higher with the area of fibrosis than with the semi-quantitative score. Other characteristics such as reproducibility, rapidity, simplicity, adaptability, and exhaustiveness also favor image analysis.

Influence of the degree of liver failure on systemic and splanchnic haemodynamics and on response to propranolol in patients with cirrhosis.

Systemic and splanchnic haemodynamics were studied in patients with cirrhosis who had been classified in three groups (A, B, and C) according to the degree of liver failure (modified Pughs classification). In patients of group A, cardiac index was significantly lower than that of group C and systemic vascular resistance was higher, but not significantly so, than that of patients with liver failure. Wedged hepatic venous pressure was significantly lower in the former group than in the latter. In patients in group B, corresponding values fell between those of groups A and C. Azygos blood flow averaged 0.477 +/- 0.242 l/min (mean +/- SD) in group A and it was significantly lower than in groups B and C (0.642 +/- 0.224 and 1.061 +/- 0.476 l/min, respectively). In the three groups, acute administration of propranolol induced statistically significant changes in systemic and splanchnic haemodynamics. In patients of group C but not of group B, the mean value of azygos blood flow after propranolol remained significantly higher than in group A. Moreover, the fraction of azygos blood flow to cardiac output decreased in groups A and B while slightly increased in group C. This study shows that in patients with cirrhosis, the degree of liver failure may be a determinant for the haemodynamic responses to drugs acting on portal hypertension.

Comparison of blood tests for liver fibrosis specific or not to NAFLD

BACKGROUND/AIMS To compare blood tests of liver fibrosis specific for NAFLD: the FibroMeter NAFLD and the NAFLD fibrosis score (NFSA) with a non-specific test, APRI. METHODS Two hundred and thirty-five NAFLD patients with liver Metavir staging and blood markers from two independent centres were randomly assigned to a test (n=121) or a validation population (n=114). RESULTS The highest accuracy--91%--for significant fibrosis was obtained with the FibroMeter whose (i) AUROC (0.943) was significantly higher than those of NFSA (0.884, p=0.008) and APRI (0.866, p<10(-3); p=0.309 vs NFSA) in the whole population, and (ii) misclassification rate (9%) was significantly lower than those of NFSA (14%, p=0.04) and APRI (16%, p=0.002) and did not vary according to centre (14 vs 7%, p=0.07), unlike those of NFSA (25 vs 9%, p=0.001) and APRI (29 vs 11%, p<10(-3)). By using thresholds of 90% predictive values, liver biopsy could have been avoided in most patients: FibroMeter: 97.4% vs NFSA: 86.8% (p<10(-3)) and APRI: 80.0% (p<10(-3)). A new classification provided three reliable diagnosis intervals: F0/1, F0/1/2, F2/3/4 with 91.4% accuracy for FibroMeter, avoiding biopsy in all patients. CONCLUSIONS FibroMeter NAFLD had high performance and provided reliable diagnosis for significant fibrosis, significantly outperforming NFSA and APRI.

Early Administration of Vapreotide for Variceal Bleeding in Patients with Cirrhosis

BACKGROUND In patients with cirrhosis, pharmacologic or endoscopic treatment may control variceal bleeding. However, the effects of early administration of a somatostatin analogue followed by endoscopic treatment are unknown. METHODS We studied the effects of treatment with vapreotide, a somatostatin analogue, begun before endoscopic treatment in 227 patients with cirrhosis who were hospitalized for acute upper gastrointestinal bleeding. The patients were randomly assigned to receive vapreotide (a 50-microg intravenous bolus followed by an infusion at a rate of 50 microg per hour for five days) or placebo within a mean (+/-SD) of 2.3+/-1.5 hours after admission. All the patients received endoscopic treatment a mean of 2.6+/-3.3 hours after the infusion was begun. After the exclusion of 31 patients whose bleeding was not caused by portal hypertension, there were 98 patients in each group. RESULTS At the time of endoscopy, active bleeding was evident in 28 of 91 patients in the vapreotide group (31 percent), as compared with 43 of 93 patients in the placebo group (46 percent) (P=0.03). During the five-day infusion, the primary objective--survival and control of bleeding--was achieved in 65 of 98 patients in the vapreotide group (66 percent) as compared with 49 of 98 patients in the placebo group (50 percent) (P=0.02). The patients in the vapreotide group received significantly fewer blood transfusions (2.0+/-2.2 vs. 2.8+/-2.8 units, P=0.04). Overall mortality rates at 42 days were not significantly different in the two groups. CONCLUSIONS In patients with cirrhosis and variceal bleeding, the combination of vapreotide and endoscopic treatment is more effective than endoscopic treatment alone as a method of controlling acute bleeding. However, the use of combination therapy does not affect mortality rates at 42 days.