R. William Ayres

For kin or country : xenophobia, nationalism, and war

AcknowledgmentsList of Tables and FiguresIntroduction to the 2015 EditionIntroduction1. Irredentism and Its Absence: International Presures Versus Domestic Dynamics2. Dueling Irredentisms: Greater Croatia and Greater Serbia3. Reunification at Any Price: Armenia and Nagorno-Karabakh4. Pushing the Envelope: Hungarys Assertive Attention to Kin5. Romanias Restraint? Avoiding the Worst Through Domestic Scapegoating6. Breaking Up Is Hard to Do: Russia and Its Kin in the Near Abroad7. War and Peace in Eastern Europe, the Former Soviet Union, and Beyond8. Findings and ImplicationsReferencesIndex

Is separatism as contagious as the common cold or as cancer? Testing international and domestic explanations

Analysts frequently argue that ethnic conflict in general, and separatism in particular, is contagious. This article develops the logic of diffusion and then considers the role potentially played by domestic political dynamics. The article then tests external and internal dynamics by applying logistic regressions to the Minorities at Risk Dataset. We find that while domestic factors perform somewhat better by themselves, when combined into one model, each argument helps to explain why some groups seek separation while others do not.

Strategies, capabilities, and demands: Explaining outcomes in violent intrastate nationalist conflicts

The study of nationalist and ethnic conflict has undergone considerable growth since the end of the Cold War. Much of the effort has been focused on ascertaining the nature and origins of such conflicts, and less on their process and termination. Those studies that do focus on conflict termination have generally done so using case‐study or idiosyncratic methods. Hence, we do not yet have much large‐N or statistical evidence that might suggest broad trends in how such conflicts end, or even much experience in measuring the relevant concepts in a manner conducive to such methods. This paper will address these questions by introducing a theoretical framework that seeks to explain the outcomes of violent intrastate nationalist conflicts. It will discuss measurement issues for relevant independent variables, and present data for a group of 75 violent, intrastate nationalist conflicts from 1945–1996. This data will then be used to test propositions derived from the model. The aim is to provide a useful building block for the study of the process and outcome of conflicts which political scientists now recognize to be some of the most important for the coming century.