Ricardo Arraes de Alencar Ximenes

Análise espacial dos determinantes socioeconômicos dos homicídios no Estado de Pernambuco

OBJECTIVE To investigate the association between homicide rates and socio-economic variables taking into account the spatial site of the indicators. METHODS An ecological study was conducted. The dependent variable was the rate of homicides among the male population aged 15 to 49 years, residing in the districts of the State of Pernambuco from 1995 to 1998. The independent variables were an index of the living conditions, per capita family income, Theil inequality index, Gini index, average income of the head of the family, poverty index, rate of illiteracy, and demographic density. The following techniques were used in the analysis: a spatial autocorrelation test determined by the Moran index, multiple linear regression, a spatial regression model (CAR) and a generalized additive model for the detection of spatial trend (LOESS). RESULTS The illiteracy and the poverty index explained 24.6% of the total variability of the homicide rates and there was an inverse relationship. Morans I statistics indicated spatial autocorrelation between municipalities. The multiple linear regression model best fitted for the purposes of this study was the Conditional Auto Regressive (CAR) model. The latter confirmed the association between the poverty index, illiteracy and homicide rates. CONCLUSIONS The inverse association observed between socio-economic indicators and homicides may be expressing a process that propitiates improvement in living conditions and that is linked predominantly to conditions that generate violence, such as drug traffic.OBJETIVO: Investigar a associacao entre variaveis socioeconomicas e taxas de homicidio, considerando a localizacao espacial dos indicadores. METODOS: Utilizou-se o metodo de estudo ecologico. A variavel dependente foi taxa de homicidio da populacao masculina de 15 a 49 anos, residente nos municipios do Estado de Pernambuco, em 1995 a 1998. As variaveis independentes referem-se a: indice de condicoes de vida, renda familiar per capita, desigualdade de Theil, indice de Gini, renda media do chefe de familia, indice de pobreza, taxa de analfabetismo, densidade demografica.Utilizou-se teste de correlacao espacial determinado pelo Indice de Moran, regressao multipla, Conditional Auto Regressive (CAR) e a funcao Loess, como modelo de deteccao de tendencia especial. RESULTADOS: Os indicadores taxa de analfabetismo e indice de pobreza explicaram 24,6% da variabilidade total das taxas de homicidio, cuja associacao foi inversa. O indice de Moran revelou autocorrelacao espacial entre os municipios. O modelo de regressao espacial que melhor se adequou ao estudo foi o CAR, que confirmou a associacao entre indice de pobreza, analfabetismo e homicidio. CONCLUSOES: A relacao inversa observada entre os indicadores socioeconomicos e homicidios pode expressar determinado processo que propicia melhoria das condicoes de vida, e esta atrelado predominantemente a condicoes geradoras de violencia, como a do trafico de drogas.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of universal childhood hepatitis A vaccination in Brazil: Regional analyses according to the endemic context

OBJECTIVE To conduct a cost-effectiveness analysis of a universal childhood hepatitis A vaccination program in Brazil. METHODS An age and time-dependent dynamic model was developed to estimate the incidence of hepatitis A for 24 years. The analysis was run separately according to the pattern of regional endemicity, one for South+Southeast (low endemicity) and one for the North+Northeast+Midwest (intermediate endemicity). The decision analysis model compared universal childhood vaccination with current program of vaccinating high risk individuals. Epidemiologic and cost estimates were based on data from a nationwide seroprevalence survey of viral hepatitis, primary data collection, National Health Information Systems and literature. The analysis was conducted from both the health system and societal perspectives. Costs are expressed in 2008 Brazilian currency (Real). RESULTS A universal immunization program would have a significant impact on disease epidemiology in all regions, resulting in 64% reduction in the number of cases of icteric hepatitis, 59% reduction in deaths for the disease and a 62% decrease of life years lost, in a national perspective. With a vaccine price of R

Post-partum bleeding and infection after post-placental IUD insertion

16.89 (US

Mortality trend due to accidental tetanus from 1981 to 2004 in Pernambuco and analysis of the impact on intensive care unit attendance

7.23) per dose, vaccination against hepatitis A was a cost-saving strategy in the low and intermediate endemicity regions and in Brazil as a whole from both health system and society perspective. Results were most sensitive to the frequency of icteric hepatitis, ambulatory care and vaccine costs. CONCLUSIONS Universal childhood vaccination program against hepatitis A could be a cost-saving strategy in all regions of Brazil. These results are useful for the Brazilian government for vaccine related decisions and for monitoring population impact if the vaccine is included in the National Immunization Program.

ZikaPLAN : Zika Preparedness Latin American Network

The incidence of excessive bleeding and endometritis in 145 women who accepted post-placental insertion of a copper T380A intrauterine device (IUD) was compared with that of 157 subjects who did not accept the insertion of the IUD. The subjects delivered at the Maternidade da Encruzilhada, Recife, Brazil in the period from March 30, 1994, to December 15, 1995. A blood sample for hemoglobin was collected before placental expulsion and 10 days after labor. The IUD was inserted up to 10 min after the expulsion of the placenta. There was no difference between the groups in the incidence of excessive bleeding, neither regarding mean hemoglobin concentration before placental expulsion (t = 0.039; p = 0.83) nor at day 10 postpartum (t = 1.04; p = 0.29). There were 5 cases of clinically diagnosed endometritis among the 145 subjects with placental-IUD (3.4%) and 7 cases among the 157 women without IUD (4.6%) (p = 0.40). Post-placental insertion appears to be a convenient approach to IUD initiation, with no observed increase in the incidence of excessive bleeding or endometritis.

Risk factors for tuberculosis in older children and adolescents: a matched case–control study in Recife, Brazil

Despite reductions in the incidence of accidental tetanus cases in Brazil, there has not been any significant decrease in its mortality. In this case series, the mortality rates before and after establishing standard management practices for tetanus patients in the intensive care unit at the Oswaldo Cruz University Hospital are compared over the period from 1981 to 2004. Over these 24 years, 1.971 patients were admitted. Before establishing the intensive care unit management, the mortality rate was 35%. The Intensive care unit for attending to tetanus patients was established in 1997. From 1998 to 2004, the mortality rate fell to 12.6%: OR = 0.27 (95% CI = 0.18-0.39); p < 0.001. This trend was seen in all age groups and both sexes. The centralization of attendance for these patients into a single specialized service with early treatment in an intensive care unit has therefore been decisive in reducing the mortality rate. This service can count on the medical teams vast experience of tetanus management, with better treatment of symptoms that forestalls the serious complications from this disease.

Homicide progression per geographical area in the State of Pernambuco, Brazil, 1980-1998

ABSTRACT The ongoing Zika virus (ZIKV) outbreak in Latin America, the Caribbean, and the Pacific Islands has underlined the need for a coordinated research network across the whole region that can respond rapidly to address the current knowledge gaps in Zika and enhance research preparedness beyond Zika. The European Union under its Horizon 2020 Research and Innovation Programme awarded three research consortia to respond to this need. Here we present the ZikaPLAN (Zika Preparedness Latin American Network) consortium. ZikaPLAN combines the strengths of 25 partners in Latin America, North America, Africa, Asia, and various centers in Europe. We will conduct clinical studies to estimate the risk and further define the full spectrum and risk factors of congenital Zika virus syndrome (including neurodevelopmental milestones in the first 3 years of life), delineate neurological complications associated with ZIKV due to direct neuroinvasion and immune-mediated responses in older children and adults, and strengthen surveillance for birth defects and Guillain–Barré Syndrome. Laboratory-based research to unravel neurotropism and investigate the role of sexual transmission, determinants of severe disease, and viral fitness will underpin the clinical studies. Social messaging and engagement with affected communities, as well as development of wearable repellent technologies against Aedes mosquitoes will enhance the impact. Burden of disease studies, data-driven vector control, and vaccine modeling as well as risk assessments on geographic spread of ZIKV will form the foundation for evidence-informed policies. While addressing the research gaps around ZIKV, we will engage in capacity building in laboratory and clinical research, collaborate with existing and new networks to share knowledge, and work with international organizations to tackle regulatory and other bottlenecks and refine research priorities. In this way, we can leverage the ZIKV response toward building a long-term emerging infectious diseases response capacity in the region to address future challenges.

A case-control study of protection against tuberculosis by BCG revaccination in Recife Brazil.

BackgroundTuberculosis is a major disease worldwide and most research focus on risk factors for adults, although there is a marked adolescent peak in incidence. The objective of this study was to identify risk factors for tuberculosis in children aged 7 to 19.MethodsA case control study matched by age with 169 cases and 477 controls. The study population consisted of adolescents and older children from Recife, Brazil. Cases were individuals diagnosed with tuberculosis in the control programme and controls were selected in the neighborhood of cases. Conditional logistic regression was used to identify risk factors.ResultsCigarette smoking increased by 50% the risk of tuberculosis but that this was not statistically significant (OR = 1.6). Other risk factors were sleeping in the same house as a case of tuberculosis (OR = 31.6), living in a house with no piped water (OR = 7.7) (probably as a proxy for bad living conditions), illiteracy (OR = 3.7) and male sex (OR = 1.8). The increase in risk with living in houses with no piped water was much more marked in males. The proportion of cases of tuberculosis attributed to contact with someone with TB was 38% and to illiteracy, lack of piped water and smoking, 20%.ConclusionHousehold contact with tuberculosis, social factors and male sex play the biggest role in determining risk of TB disease among children and adolescents in the study. We recommend further research on the relationship of cigarette smoking on tuberculosis in adolescents, and on whether the sex differentials are more marked in bad living conditions. Separate studies should be conducted in older children and in adolescents.