Robert A. Rosati

The role of the exercise test in the evaluation of patients for ischemic heart disease.

A cohort of 1472 patients who underwent both exercise stress testing and coronary angiography within six weeks was examined. The data indicated that a combination of exercise parameters is both diagnostically and prognostically important. Almost all patients (> 97%) who had positive exercise tests at Stage I or Stage II had significant coronary artery disease. More than half of these (> 60%) had three vessel disease and over 25% had significant narrowing (> 50%) of the left main coronary artery. Patients who achieved Stage IV or greater exercise durations with either negative or indeterminate ST-segment response had less than a 15% prevalence of three vessel disease and less than a 1% prevalence of left main coronary artery disease. A low risk subgroup (75% of all nonoperated patients) was identified with a twelve month survival greater than 99%. A high risk subgroup (11% of all nonoperated patients) was identified with a twelve month survival of less than 85%. The exercise test is a noninvasive, reproducible method to assess the presence and extent of anatomic disease and the prognosis when significant disease has been defined. It should be used in conjunction with other noninvasive tests to determine optimal management in patients evaluated for ischemic heart disease.

Prognostic value of a coronary artery jeopardy score

The prognostic value of a coronary artery jeopardy score was evaluated in 462 consecutive nonsurgically treated patients with significant coronary artery disease, but without significant left main coronary stenosis. The jeopardy score is a simple method for estimating the amount of myocardium at risk on the basis of the particular location of coronary artery stenoses. In patients with a previous myocardial infarction, higher jeopardy scores were associated with a lower left ventricular ejection fraction. When the jeopardy score and the number of diseased vessels were considered individually, each descriptor effectively stratified prognosis. Five year survival was 97% in patients with a jeopardy score of 2 and 95, 85, 78, 75 and 56%, respectively, for patients with a jeopardy score of 4, 6, 8, 10 and 12. In multivariable analysis when only jeopardy score and number of diseased vessels were considered, the jeopardy score contained all of the prognostic information. Thus, the number of diseased vessels added no prognostic information to the jeopardy score. The left ventricular ejection fraction was more closely related to prognosis than was the jeopardy score. When other anatomic factors were examined, the degree of stenosis of each vessel, particularly the left anterior descending coronary artery, was found to add prognostic information to the jeopardy score. Thus, the jeopardy score is a simple method for describing the coronary anatomy. It provides more prognostic information than the number of diseased coronary arteries, but it can be improved by including the degree of stenosis of each vessel and giving additional weight to disease of the left anterior descending coronary artery.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

Survival in medically treated coronary artery disease.

SUMMARY In1214symptomatic medically treated patients with coronaryartery disease, 57noninvasive baseline clinical characteristics and24catheterization descriptors wereanalyzed byamultivariable analysis technique todetermine thecharacteristics that wereindependent predictors ofsurvival and,inparticular, to determine whether noninvasive characteristics contributed prognostic information inaddition tocatheterizationfindings. Whenthenoninvasive characteristics were analyzed, 31characteristics were significant (p< 0.05) univariate predictors ofsurvival, butonly12contained significant independent prognostic information. Five- and7-year survival ratesin197patients whohadnone oftheindependently significant noninvasive characteristics wereboth90%.Nineteen variables weresignificant whenthecatheterization descriptors were analyzed individually. Onlysevenwereindependently significant whenthey wereanalyzed jointly. Whenall81 baseline characteristics wereanalyzed jointly, sevennoninvasive characteristics (history ofperipheral vascular disease, NewYorkHeartAssociation class IVheart failure, nonspecific intraventricular conduction defect, progressive chest pain, nocturnal pain, premature ventricular complexes on theresting ECG,andleft bundle branch block) andsixinvasive characteristics (left-main stenosis, arteriovenous oxygen difference, number of diseased vessels, abnormal left ventricular contraction, left ventricular end-diastolic pressureandanterior asynergy) wereindependently significant. Different survival rates may occurinsubsets that areuniform with respect toonly oneortwoimportant characteristics (e.g., coronaryanatomyandventricular function) because ofdifferences inother important baseline characteristics. Bothnoninvasive andinvasive characteristics mustbe takeninto account todefine prognosisincoronarydisease fully. EARLY STUDIESofpatients withclinically diagnosed coronary artery disease identified clinical characteristics suchasage,sex, previous myocardial

Factors Affecting Sensitivity and Specificity of Exercise Electrocardiography Multivariable Analysis

Unlike the predictive value of a diagnostic test, which depends on the prevalence of disease in the population tested, its sensitivity and specificity have been assumed to be constants. This assumption was examined in patients who had both exercise electrocardiography and cardiac catheterization. The effects on sensitivity of factors from clinical history, catheterization, and exercise performance were defined by multivariable logistic regression analysis in 1,401 patients with coronary disease; effects on specificity were defined by a similar analysis in 868 patients without coronary disease. Five factors had significant, independent effects on exercise electrocardiographic sensitivity: maximal exercise heart rate, number of diseased coronary arteries, type of angina, and the patients age and sex. Only maximal exercise heart rate had a significant, independent effect on exercise electrocardiographic specificity. Thus, the sensitivity and specificity of exercise electrocardiography vary with clinical history, extent of disease, and treadmill performance; the sensitivity and specificity of other diagnostic tests may also vary.

Estimating the likelihood of significant coronary artery disease

Among 23 clinical characteristics examined in 3,627 consecutive, symptomatic patients referred for cardiac catheterization between 1969 and 1979, nine were found to be important for estimating the likelihood a patient had significant coronary artery disease. A model using these characteristics accurately estimated the likelihood of disease when applied prospectively to 1,811 patients referred since 1979 and when used to estimate the prevalence of disease in subgroups reported in the literature. Since accurate estimates of the likelihood of significant disease that are based on clinical characteristics are reproducible, they should be used in interpreting the results of additional noninvasive tests and in quantitating the added diagnostic value.

Unstable angina pectoris: National cooperative study group to compare surgical and medical therapy: II. In-Hospital experience and initial follow-up results in patients with one, two and three vessel disease

Abstract A prospective randomized study comparing intensive medical therapy with urgent coronary bypass surgery for the acute management of patients with unstable angina pectoris was carried out by nine cooperating medical centers under the auspices of the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute. Between 1972 and 1976, a total of 288 patients were entered into the study. All patients had transient S-T or T wave changes, or both, in the electrocardiogram during pain; 90 percent had pain at rest in the hospital, and 76 percent had multivessel coronary disease. The medically and surgically treated patients were comparable with respect to clinical, electrocardiographic and angiographic characteristics and left ventricular function. During the total study period, the hospital mortality rate was 5 percent in the surgical group and 3 percent in the medical group (difference not significant). The rate of in-hospital myocardial infarction was 17 and 8 percent in the respective groups (P In the 1st year after hospital discharge class III or IV angina (New York Heart Association criteria) was more common in medically than in surgically treated patients with one vessel disease (22 percent versus 3 percent, P The results indicate that patients with unstable angina pectoris can be managed acutely with intensive medical therapy, including the administration of propranolol and long-acting nitrates in pharmacologic doses, with adequate control of pain in most patients and no increase in early mortality or myocardial infarction rates. Later, elective surgery can be performed with a low risk and good clinical results if the patients angina fails to respond to intensive medical therapy.

Prognostic indicators from radionuclide angiography in medically treated patients with coronary artery disease

The purpose of this investigation was to determine which variables obtained when performing radionuclide angiography predict subsequent survival or total events (cardiovascular death or nonfatal myocardial infarction) in stable patients with symptomatic coronary artery disease (CAD). Univariable and multivariable analyses of 6 variables, including ejection fraction (EF) at rest and exercise, change in EF with exercise, development of ischemic chest pain or electrocardiographic changes, left ventricular (LV) wall motion abnormalities and exercise time were examined in 386 patients followed up to 4.5 years. Univariate analyses revealed that the exercise EF was the variable most closely associated with future events (p less than 0.01), followed by EF at rest, wall motion abnormalities and exercise time. Multivariable analyses revealed that once the exercise EF was known, no other radionuclide variables contributed independent information about the likelihood of future events. Multivariable analyses also revealed that the exercise EF describes much of the prognostic information of coronary anatomy. Our findings suggest that the radionuclide angiogram is useful in predicting future events in patients with stable CAD, although examination in conjunction with other clinical descriptors will be necessary to further quantify this contribution.

The Importance of Identification of the Myocardial-Specific Isoenzyme of Creatine Phosphokinase (MB Form) in the Diagnosis of Acute Myocardial Infarction

Serial plasma determinations of the isoenzymes of CPK were performed in all patients (376) admitted to a coronary care unit during a 12-month period with diagnosis of possible acute myocardial infarction. Results were compared with data from other enzyme studies and from the electrocardiogram. An attempt was made to determine the incidence of falsely positive CPK-MB (myocardial-specific form). “No acute infarction” was diagnosed in all patients in whom neither total CPK nor the isoenzymes of LDH indicated myocardial necrosis, and in whom there were no QRS changes on ECG. Incidence of falsely negative CPK isoenzyme data was also determined. All patients, in whom total CPK was transiently elevated, and LDH1 exceeded LDH2, and new QRS changes occurred, were termed “definite” acute infarction. CPK-MB form was present in all 55 of these (0% false negative). Therefore, determination of the isoenzymes of CPK by this method provides both a sensitive and specific indication of acute myocardial infarction.

The prognostic spectrum of left main stenosis.

SUMMARY Three-year survival for 163 consecutive medically treated patients with 50% or greater left main stenosis was 50%. Survival was significantly higher for patients with 50 to 70% left main stenosis (one and three-year survivals of 91% and 66%) than for patients with 70%o or greater left main stenosis (one and three-year survivals of 72% and 41%). In fact, left main lesions of less than 70% were not associated with the increased risk usually attributed to patients with left main stenosis. A number of noninvasive and catheterization characteristics were significant predictors of survival for patients with 70% or greater left main stenosis. Noninvasive descriptors defined a low risk subgroup (one and three-year survivals of 97% and 74%) and a high risk subgroup (one- and three-year survivals of 59%o and 25%). These observations have important implications both in assessing therapeutic interventions and in managing individual patients.

Factors affecting sensitivity and specificity of exercise electrocardiography

Unlike the predictive value of a diagnostic test, which depends on the prevalence of disease in the population tested, its sensitivity and specificity have been assumed to be constants. This assumption was examined in patients who had both exercise electrocardiography and cardiac catheterization. The effects on sensitivity of factors from clinical history, catheterization, and exercise performance were defined by multivariable logistic regression analysis in 1,401 patients with coronary disease; effects on specificity were defined by a similar analysis in 868 patients without coronary disease. Five factors had significant, independent effects on exercise electrocardiographic sensitivity: maximal exercise heart rate, number of diseased coronary arteries, type of angina, and the patients age and sex. Only maximal exercise heart rate had a significant, independent effect on exercise electrocardiographic specificity. Thus, the sensitivity and specificity of exercise electrocardiography vary with clinical history, extent of disease, and treadmill performance; the sensitivity and specificity of other diagnostic tests may also vary.