Roman Nuterman

COST 732 in practice: the MUST model evaluation exercise

The aim of this paper is to describe the use of a general methodology tailored to the evaluation of micro-scale meteorological models applied to flow and dispersion simulations in urban areas. This methodology, developed within COST 732, has been tested through a large modelling exercise involving many groups across Europe. The major test case used is the Mock Urban Setting Test (MUST) experiment representing an idealised urban area. It is emphasised that a full model evaluation is problem-dependent and requires several activities including a statistical validation that requires a careful choice of the metrics for the comparison with measurements.

Aspects of Atmospheric Pollution in Siberia

This chapter considers specific atmospheric pollution problems in Siberia, the current state of studies and strategic activities, and peculiarities of Siberian environmental protection problems, risk assessment, and tendencies in atmospheric pollution in Siberia, including health-affecting pollutants, greenhouse gases, aerosols, etc. The chapter does not presume to cover all the aspects of atmospheric pollution in Siberia. Its main focus is a short general overview of the existing problems of airborne pollution in Siberia and methodological aspects of air pollution impact assessments followed by several examples of such studies for Siberia. In particular, the following issues are described: (1) sources and characteristics of air pollution in Siberia, (2) air quality and atmospheric composition characterization, (3) assessment of airborne pollution in Siberia from air and space, (4) methodology and models for air pollution assessment on different scales, and (5) case studies of long-range atmospheric transport of heavy metals from industries of the Ural and Norilsk regions.

SEASONAL IMPACT ANALYSIS ON POPULATION DUE TO CONTINUOUS SULPHUR EMISSIONS FROM SEVERONIKEL SMELTERS OF THE KOLA PENINSULA

This study is devoted to investigation of total deposition and loading patterns for population of the North-West Russia and Scandinavian countries due to continuous emissions (following “mild emission scenario”) of sulphates from the Cu-Ni smelters (Severonikel enterprise, Murmansk region, Russia). The Lagrangian long-range dispersion model (Danish Emergency Response Model for Atmosphere) was run in a long-term mode to simulate atmospheric transport, dispersion and deposition over the Northern Hemispheric’s domain north of 10°N, and results were integrated and analyzed in the GIS environment. Analysis was performed on annual and seasonal scales, including depositions, impact on urban areas and calculating individual and collective loadings on population in selected regions ofRussiaand Scandinavian countries. It was found that wet deposition dominates, and it is higher in winter. The North-West Russia is more influenced by the Severonikel emissions compared with the Scandinavian countries. Among urban areas, the Russian cities ofMurmansk(due to its proximity to the source) andArkhangelsk(due to dominating atmospheric flows) are under the highest impact. The yearly individual loadings on population are the largest (up to 120 kg/person) for theMurmanskregion; lower (15 kg/person) for territories of the northernNorway, and the smallest (less than 5 kg/person) for the easternFinland,KareliaRepublic, andArkhangelskregion. These loadings have distinct seasonal variability with a largest contribution during winter-spring for Russia, spring – for Norway, and autumn – for Finland and Sweden; and the lowest during summer (i.e. less than 10 and 1 kg/person for the Russia and Scandinavian countries, respectively). The yearly collective loadings for population living on the impacted territories inRussia,Finland,Norway, and Swedenare 2628, 140.4, 13, and 10.7 tonnes, respectively.

ONLINE INTEGRATED MODELING ON REGIONAL SCALE IN NORTH-WEST RUSSIA: EVALUATION OF AEROSOLS INFLUENCE ON METEOROLOGICAL PARAMETERS

In this study the aerosols influence on selected meteorological parameters during two summer 2010 periods is evaluated with focus on the North-West Russia and urban area of St. Petersburg. For that, the seamless fully online-integrated Enviro-HIRLAM model is used. The simulations are realised in short- and long-term modes for selected periods. For evaluation of aerosol influence, in addition to the control/ reference run, the runs with direct, indirect and both combined aerosol effects are performed. It was found that for the North-West Russia region, the direct aerosol effect had increased air temperature (by 1-3˚) and decreased total cloud cover (by 10-20%). The indirect effect decreased temperature (by 0.4-1˚) and increased cloud cover (by 10-20%). The combined effect was the largest territorially; and such effect both decreased temperature and cloud cover (by 1-3˚ and by 6-20%, respectively) as well as increased these (by 0.4-0.6˚ and 1020%).

Model Inter-comparison Study Between NMMB/BSC-CTM and Enviro-HIRLAM On-Line Systems Contributing to the AQMEII-Phase2 Initiative

The Air Quality Model Evaluation International Initiative (AQMEII) Phase-2 aims to inter-compare on-line couple regional-scale models over North America and Europe. Common chemical boundary conditions, emissions, and domain configurations are pre-defined.