Ryan Shanley

Summary Report on the Graded Prognostic Assessment: An Accurate and Facile Diagnosis-Specific Tool to Estimate Survival for Patients With Brain Metastases

PURPOSE Our group has previously published the Graded Prognostic Assessment (GPA), a prognostic index for patients with brain metastases. Updates have been published with refinements to create diagnosis-specific Graded Prognostic Assessment indices. The purpose of this report is to present the updated diagnosis-specific GPA indices in a single, unified, user-friendly report to allow ease of access and use by treating physicians. METHODS A multi-institutional retrospective (1985 to 2007) database of 3,940 patients with newly diagnosed brain metastases underwent univariate and multivariate analyses of prognostic factors associated with outcomes by primary site and treatment. Significant prognostic factors were used to define the diagnosis-specific GPA prognostic indices. A GPA of 4.0 correlates with the best prognosis, whereas a GPA of 0.0 corresponds with the worst prognosis. RESULTS Significant prognostic factors varied by diagnosis. For lung cancer, prognostic factors were Karnofsky performance score, age, presence of extracranial metastases, and number of brain metastases, confirming the original Lung-GPA. For melanoma and renal cell cancer, prognostic factors were Karnofsky performance score and the number of brain metastases. For breast cancer, prognostic factors were tumor subtype, Karnofsky performance score, and age. For GI cancer, the only prognostic factor was the Karnofsky performance score. The median survival times by GPA score and diagnosis were determined. CONCLUSION Prognostic factors for patients with brain metastases vary by diagnosis, and for each diagnosis, a robust separation into different GPA scores was discerned, implying considerable heterogeneity in outcome, even within a single tumor type. In summary, these indices and related worksheet provide an accurate and facile diagnosis-specific tool to estimate survival, potentially select appropriate treatment, and stratify clinical trials for patients with brain metastases.

Effect of Tumor Subtype on Survival and the Graded Prognostic Assessment for Patients With Breast Cancer and Brain Metastases

PURPOSE The diagnosis-specific Graded Prognostic Assessment (GPA) was published to clarify prognosis for patients with brain metastases. This study refines the existing Breast-GPA by analyzing a larger cohort and tumor subtype. METHODS AND MATERIALS A multi-institutional retrospective database of 400 breast cancer patients treated for newly diagnosed brain metastases was generated. Prognostic factors significant for survival were analyzed by multivariate Cox regression and recursive partitioning analysis (RPA). Factors were weighted by the magnitude of their regression coefficients to define the GPA index. RESULTS Significant prognostic factors by multivariate Cox regression and RPA were Karnofsky performance status (KPS), HER2, ER/PR status, and the interaction between ER/PR and HER2. RPA showed age was significant for patients with KPS 60 to 80. The median survival time (MST) overall was 13.8 months, and for GPA scores of 0 to 1.0, 1.5 to 2.0, 2.5 to 3.0, and 3.5 to 4.0 were 3.4 (n = 23), 7.7 (n = 104), 15.1 (n = 140), and 25.3 (n = 133) months, respectively (p < 0.0001). Among HER2-negative patients, being ER/PR positive improved MST from 6.4 to 9.7 months, whereas in HER2-positive patients, being ER/PR positive improved MST from 17.9 to 20.7 months. The log-rank statistic (predictive power) was 110 for the Breast-GPA vs. 55 for tumor subtype. CONCLUSIONS The Breast-GPA documents wide variation in prognosis and shows clear separation between subgroups of patients with breast cancer and brain metastases. This tool will aid clinical decision making and stratification in clinical trials. These data confirm the effect of tumor subtype on survival and show the Breast-GPA offers significantly more predictive power than the tumor subtype alone.

Enterococcal Bacteremia Is Associated With Increased Risk of Mortality in Recipients of Allogeneic Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation

BACKGROUND Enterococci are an important cause of healthcare-associated infections. We retrospectively analyzed risk factors and outcome of vancomycin-resistant enterococci (VRE) and vancomycin-sensitive enterococci (VSE) infections. METHODS Seven hundred fifty-two patients who received hematopoietic stem cell transplants from 2004 through 2008 at the University of Minnesota were included. RESULTS Ninety-three patients had enterococcal bloodstream infection (BSI) during the first year after transplant. Vancomycin resistance was observed in 66% and 31% of isolates in adults and children, respectively. Cumulative incidence of VRE and VSE bacteremia was 6.6% (95% confidence interval [CI], 4.8%-8.4%) and 5.7% (95% CI, 4.0%-7.4%), respectively. Colonization with VRE before or after transplant was a risk factor for VRE bacteremia (odds ratio [OR], 3.3 [95% CI, 1.3-8.3] and 7.0 [95% CI, 4.0-14.8], respectively). Delay in engraftment increased the incidence of VRE bacteremia from 4.5% (95% CI, 2.9-6.6) if engrafted before day 21 and to 15% (95% CI, 3.2%-38%) if engrafted between days 36 and 42. In adults, mortality 30 days after infection was 38% for both VRE (95% CI, 25%-54%) and VSE cases (95% CI, 21%-62%). The hazard ratio for all-cause mortality up to 1 year after transplant was 4.2 (95% CI, 3.1-6.9) and 2.7 (95% CI, 1.4-5.1) for patients with VRE and VSE BSIs, respectively, compared to patients without enterococcal BSI. In pediatric patients, mortality 30 days after VRE and VSE bacteremia was 20% (95% CI, 5.4%-59%) and 4.5% (95% CI, .6%-28%), respectively. CONCLUSION High rates of vancomycin resistance and association of enterococcal infections with significant mortality warrant further efforts to optimize prevention and management of these infections.

Estimating Survival in Patients With Lung Cancer and Brain Metastases: An Update of the Graded Prognostic Assessment for Lung Cancer Using Molecular Markers (Lung-molGPA).

Importance Lung cancer is the leading cause of cancer-related mortality in the United States and worldwide. As systemic therapies improve, patients with lung cancer live longer and thus are at increased risk for brain metastases. Understanding how prognosis varies across this heterogeneous patient population is essential to individualize care and design future clinical trials. Objective To update the current Diagnosis-Specific Graded Prognostic Assessment (DS-GPA) for patients with non–small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) and brain metastases. The DS-GPA is based on data from patients diagnosed between 1985 and 2005, and we set out to update it by incorporating more recently reported gene and molecular alteration data for patients with NSCLC and brain metastases. This new index is called the Lung-molGPA. Design, Setting, and Participants This is a multi-institutional retrospective database analysis of 2186 patients diagnosed between 2006 and 2014 with NSCLC and newly diagnosed brain metastases. The multivariable analyses took place between December 2015 and May 2016, and all prognostic factors were weighted for significance by hazard ratios. Significant factors were included in the updated Lung-molGPA prognostic index. Main Outcomes and Measures The main outcome was survival. Multiple Cox regression was used to select and weight prognostic factors in proportion to their hazard ratios. Log rank tests were used to compare adjacent classes and to compare overall survival for adenocarcinoma vs nonadenocarcinoma groups. Results The original DS-GPA was based on 4 factors found in 1833 patients with NSCLC and brain metastases diagnosed between 1985 and 2005: patient age, Karnofsky Performance Status, extracranial metastases, and number of brain metastases. The patients studied for the creation of the DS-GPA had a median survival of 7 months from the time of initial treatment of brain metastases. To design the updated Lung-molGPA, we analyzed data from 2186 patients from 2006 through 2014 with NSCLC and newly diagnosed brain metastases (1521 adenocarcinoma and 665 nonadenocarcinoma). Significant prognostic factors included the original 4 factors used in the DS-GPA index plus 2 new factors: EGFR and ALK alterations in patients with adenocarcinoma (mutation status was not routinely tested for nonadenocarcinoma). The overall median survival for the cohort in the present study was 12 months, and those with NSCLC-adenocarcinoma and Lung-molGPA scores of 3.5 to 4.0 had a median survival of nearly 4 years. Conclusions and Relevance In recent years, patient survival and physicians’ ability to predict survival in NSCLC with brain metastases has improved significantly. The updated Lung-molGPA incorporating gene alteration data into the DS-GPA is a user-friendly tool that may facilitate clinical decision making and appropriate stratification of future clinical trials.

Secondary Analysis of RTOG 9508, a Phase 3 Randomized Trial of Whole-Brain Radiation Therapy Versus WBRT Plus Stereotactic Radiosurgery in Patients With 1-3 Brain Metastases; Poststratified by the Graded Prognostic Assessment (GPA)

PURPOSE Radiation Therapy Oncology Group (RTOG) 9508 showed a survival advantage for patients with 1 but not 2 or 3 brain metastasis (BM) treated with whole-brain radiation therapy (WBRT) and stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS) versus WBRT alone. An improved prognostic index, the graded prognostic assessment (GPA) has been developed. Our hypothesis was that if the data from RTOG 9508 were poststratified by the GPA, the conclusions may vary. METHODS AND MATERIALS In this analysis, 252 of the 331 patients were evaluable by GPA. Of those, 211 had lung cancer. Breast cancer patients were excluded because the components of the breast GPA are not in the RTOG database. Multiple Cox regression was used to compare survival between treatment groups, adjusting for GPA. Treatment comparisons within subgroups were performed with the log-rank test. A free online tool (brainmetgpa.com) simplified GPA use. RESULTS The fundamental conclusions of the primary analysis were confirmed in that there was no survival benefit overall for patients with 1 to 3 metastases; however, there was a benefit for the subset of patients with GPA 3.5 to 4.0 (median survival time [MST] for WBRT + SRS vs WBRT alone was 21.0 versus 10.3 months, P=.05) regardless of the number of metastases. Among patients with GPA 3.5 to 4.0 treated with WBRT and SRS, the MST for patients with 1 versus 2 to 3 metastases was 21 and 14.1 months, respectively. CONCLUSIONS This secondary analysis of predominantly lung cancer patients, consistent with the original analysis, shows no survival advantage for the group overall when treated with WBRT and SRS; however, in patients with high GPA (3.5-4), there is a survival advantage regardless of whether they have 1, 2, or 3 BM. This benefit did not extend to patients with lower GPA. Prospective validation of this survival benefit for patients with multiple BM and high GPA when treated with WBRT and SRS is warranted.

Hematopoietic Stem-Cell Transplantation for Advanced Systemic Mastocytosis

PURPOSE Advanced systemic mastocytosis (SM), a fatal hematopoietic malignancy characterized by drug resistance, has no standard therapy. The effectiveness of allogeneic hematopoietic stem-cell transplantation (alloHCT) in SM remains unknown. PATIENTS AND METHODS In a global effort to define the value of HCT in SM, 57 patients with the following subtypes of SM were evaluated: SM associated with clonal hematologic non-mast cell disorders (SM-AHNMD; n = 38), mast cell leukemia (MCL; n = 12), and aggressive SM (ASM; n = 7). Median age of patients was 46 years (range, 11 to 67 years). Donors were HLA-identical (n = 34), unrelated (n = 17), umbilical cord blood (n = 2), HLA-haploidentical (n = 1), or unknown (n = 3). Thirty-six patients received myeloablative conditioning (MAC), and 21 patients received reduced-intensity conditioning (RIC). RESULTS Responses in SM were observed in 40 patients (70%), with complete remission in 16 patients (28%). Twelve patients (21%) had stable disease, and five patients (9%) had primary refractory disease. Overall survival (OS) at 3 years was 57% for all patients, 74% for patients with SM-AHNMD, 43% for those with ASM, and 17% for those with MCL. The strongest risk factor for poor OS was MCL. Survival was also lower in patients receiving RIC compared with MAC and in patients having progression compared with patients having stable disease or response. CONCLUSION AlloHCT was associated with long-term survival in patients with advanced SM. Although alloHCT may be considered as a viable and potentially curative therapeutic option for advanced SM in the meantime, given that this is a retrospective analysis with no control group, the definitive role of alloHCT will need to be determined by a prospective trial.

Noninvasive Detection of Presymptomatic and Progressive Neurodegeneration in a Mouse Model of Spinocerebellar Ataxia Type 1

Recent studies with a conditional mouse model of spinocerebellar ataxia type 1 (SCA1) suggest that neuronal dysfunction is reversible and neurodegeneration preventable with early interventions. Success of such interventions will depend on early detection of neuronal and glial abnormalities before cell loss and availability of objective methods to monitor progressive neurodegeneration. Cerebellar concentrations of N-acetylaspartate (NAA), myo-inositol, and glutamate as measured by magnetic resonance spectroscopy (MRS) correlate with ataxia scores of patients with SCA1, indicating their potential as reliable biomarkers of neurodegeneration. Here we investigated whether neurochemical levels are altered by early, presymptomatic disease and whether they gauge disease progression in a mouse model of SCA1. Cerebellar neurochemical profiles of transgenic mice that overexpress the mutant human ataxin-1 (the SCA1[82Q] line) were measured longitudinally up to 1 year by MRS at 9.4 T and compared to those of transgenic mice that overexpress the normal human ataxin-1 (the SCA1[30Q] line) and wild-type controls. Multiple neurochemicals distinguished the SCA1[82Q] mice from controls with no overlap at all ages. Six neurochemicals were significantly different in SCA1[82Q] mice at 6 weeks, before major pathological and neurological changes. Alterations in NAA, myo-inositol, and glutamate progressively worsened and were significantly correlated (p < 0.0001) with disease progression as assessed by histology (molecular layer thickness and an overall severity score). Therefore, the neurochemicals that correlate with clinical status in patients reflected progressive pathology in the mouse model. These data demonstrate that presymptomatic and progressive neurodegeneration in SCA1 can be noninvasively monitored using MRS.

Reduced-intensity hematopoietic cell transplantation in older patients with AML/MDS: umbilical cord blood is a feasible option for patients without HLA-matched sibling donors.

Umbilical cord blood (UCB) has increased access to hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) for patients without HLA-matched sibling donors (MSD). We compared outcomes of HCT using MSD (N=38) or UCB (N=60) among older patients (age ⩾55 years) with AML or myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS). All patients received a reduced intensity regimen consisting of CY, fludarabine and 200 cGy TBI. Median age at HCT was 63 years for MSD and 61 years for UCB recipients. Among UCB recipients, 95% received two UCB units and 88% received 1–2 locus HLA-mismatched units to optimize cell dose. OS at 3-years was 37% for MSD and 31% for UCB recipients (P=0.21). On multivariate analysis, donor source (MSD vs UCB) did not impact risks of OS, leukemia-free survival and relapse or treatment-related mortality. UCB is feasible as an alternative donor source for reduced-intensity conditioning HCT among older patients with AML and MDS who do not have a suitable MSD.

Human Parainfluenza Virus Infection after Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation: Risk Factors, Management, Mortality, and Changes over Time

Human parainfluenza viruses (HPIVs) are uncommon, yet high-risk pathogens after hematopoietic stem cell transplant (HCT). We evaluated 5178 pediatric and adult patients undergoing HCT between 1974 and 2010 to determine the incidence, risk factors, response to treatment, and outcome of HPIV infection as well as any change in frequency or character of HPIV infection over time. HPIV was identified in 173 patients (3.3%); type 3 was most common (66%). HPIV involved upper respiratory tract infection (URTI; 57%), lower respiratory tract infection (LRTI; 9%), and both areas of the respiratory tract (34%), at a median of 62 days after transplantation. In more recent years, HPIV has occurred later after HCT, whereas the proportion with nosocomial infection and mortality decreased. Over the last decade, HPIV was more common in older patients and in those receiving reduced intensity conditioning (RIC). RIC was a significant risk factor for later (beyond day +30). HPIV infections, and this association was strongest in patients with URTI. HCT using a matched unrelated donor (MURD), mismatched related donor (MMRD), age 10 to 19 years, and graft-versus-host disease (GVHD) were all risk factors for HPIV infections. LRTI, early (<30 days), age 10 to 19 years, MMRD, steroid use, and coinfection with other pathogens were risk factors for mortality. The survival of patients with LRTI, especially very early infections, was poor regardless of ribavirin treatment. HPIV incidence remains low, but may have delayed onset associated with RIC regimens and improving survival. Effective prophylaxis and treatment for HPIV are needed.

Allogeneic Hematopoietic Cell Transplantation Outcomes in Acute Myeloid Leukemia: Similar Outcomes Regardless of Donor Type

The use of alternative donor transplants is increasing as the transplantation-eligible population ages and sibling donors are less available. We evaluated the impact of donor source on transplantation outcomes for adults with acute myeloid leukemia undergoing myeloablative (MA) or reduced-intensity conditioning (RIC) transplantation. Between January 2000 and December 2010, 414 consecutive adult patients with acute myeloid leukemia in remission received MA or RIC allogeneic transplantation from either a matched related donor (n = 187), unrelated donor (n = 76), or umbilical cord blood donor (n = 151) at the University of Minnesota or Hôpital St. Louis in Paris. We noted similar 6-year overall survival across donor types: matched related donor, 47% (95% confidence interval [CI], 39% to 54%); umbilical cord blood, 36% (95% CI, 28% to 44%); matched unrelated donor, 54% (95% CI, 40% to 66%); and mismatched unrelated donor, 51% (95% CI, 28% to 70%) (P < .11). Survival differed based on conditioning intensity and age, with 6-year survival of 57% (95% CI, 47% to 65%), 39% (95% CI, 28% to 49%), 23% (95% CI, 6% to 47%), 47% (95% CI, 36% to 57%), and 28% (95% CI, 17% to 41%) for MA age 18 to 39, MA age 40+, or RIC ages 18 to 39, 40 to 56, and 57 to 74, respectively (P < .01). Relapse was increased with RIC and lowest in younger patients receiving MA conditioning (hazard ratio, 1.0 versus 2.5 or above for all RIC age cohorts), P < .01. Transplantation-related mortality was similar across donor types. In summary, our data support the use of alternative donors as a graft source with MA or RIC for patients with acute myeloid leukemia when a sibling donor is unavailable.