Ryuichi Kitamura

An Overview of PCATS/DEBNetS Micro-simulation System: Its Development, Extension, and Application to Demand Forecasting

The micro-simulator of individuals’ daily travel, PCATS, and a dynamic network simulator, DEBNetS, are integrated to form a simulation system for urban passenger travel. The components of the simulation system are briefly described, and three areas of on-going system improvement are described, i.e., (i) introduction of stochastic frontier models of prism vertex location, (ii) adoption of a fine grid system for quasi-continuous representation of space, and (iii) use of MCMC algorithms to handle colossal choice sets. Application case studies demonstrate that micro-simulation is a practical approach for demand forecasting and policy analysis, especially in the area of demand management.