S. Fueglistaler

Stratospheric Aerosol--Observations, Processes, and Impact on Climate

Interest in stratospheric aerosol and its role in climate have increased over the last decade due to the observed increase in stratospheric aerosol since 2000 and the potential for changes in the sulfur cycle induced by climate change. This review provides an overview about the advances in stratospheric aerosol research since the last comprehensive assessment of stratospheric aerosol was published in 2006. A crucial development since 2006 is the substantial improvement in the agreement between in situ and space-based inferences of stratospheric aerosol properties during volcanically quiescent periods. Furthermore, new measurement systems and techniques, both in situ and space based, have been developed for measuring physical aerosol properties with greater accuracy and for characterizing aerosol composition. However, these changes induce challenges to constructing a long-term stratospheric aerosol climatology. Currently, changes in stratospheric aerosol levels less than 20% cannot be confidently quantified. The volcanic signals tend to mask any nonvolcanically driven change, making them difficult to understand. While the role of carbonyl sulfide as a substantial and relatively constant source of stratospheric sulfur has been confirmed by new observations and model simulations, large uncertainties remain with respect to the contribution from anthropogenic sulfur dioxide emissions. New evidence has been provided that stratospheric aerosol can also contain small amounts of nonsulfate matter such as black carbon and organics. Chemistry-climate models have substantially increased in quantity and sophistication. In many models the implementation of stratospheric aerosol processes is coupled to radiation and/or stratospheric chemistry modules to account for relevant feedback processes.

A Low-Level Circulation in the Tropics

Abstract Deep convective tropical systems are strongly convergent in the midtroposphere. Horizontal wind measurements from a variety of rawinsonde arrays in the equatorial Pacific and Caribbean are used to calculate the mean dynamical divergence profiles of large-scale arrays (≥1000 km in diameter) in actively convecting regions. Somewhat surprisingly, the magnitude of the midtropospheric divergence calculated from these arrays is usually small. In principle, the midlevel convergence of deep convective systems could be balanced on larger scales either by a vertical variation in the radiative mass flux of the background clear sky atmosphere, or by a divergence from shallow cumuli. The vertical variation of the clear sky mass flux in the midtroposphere is small, however, so that the offsetting divergence must be supplied by shallow cumuli. On spatial scales of ∼1000 km, the midlevel convergent inflow toward deep convection appears to be internally compensated, or “screened,” by a divergent outflow from surr...

Tropical response to stratospheric sudden warmings and its modulation by the QBO

Major Stratospheric Sudden Warmings (SSWs) are characterized by a reversal of the zonal mean zonal wind and an anomalous warming in the polar stratosphere that proceeds downward to the lower stratosphere. In the tropical stratosphere, a downward propagating cooling is observed. However, the strong modulation of tropical winds and temperatures by the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) renders accurate characterization of the tropical response to SSWs challenging. A novel metric based on temperature variations relative to the central date of the SSW using ERA-Interim data is presented. It filters most of the temperature structure related to the phase of the QBO and provides proper characterization of the SSW cooling amplitude and downward propagation tropical signal. Using this new metric, a large SSW-related cooling is detected in the tropical upper stratosphere that occurs almost simultaneously with the polar cap warming. The tropical cooling weakens as it propagates downward, reaching the lower stratosphere in a few days. Substantial differences are found in the response to SSWs depending on the QBO phase. Similar to what is observed in the polar stratosphere, tropical SSW-associated temperatures persist longer during the west QBO phase at levels above about 40 hPa, suggesting that the signal is mainly controlled by changes in the residual mean meridional circulation associated with SSWs. Conversely, in the lower stratosphere, around 50–70 hPa, enhanced cooling occurs only during QBO east phase. This behavior seems to be driven by anomalous subtropical wave breaking related to changes in the zero-wind line position with the QBO phase.

Large NAT particle formation by mother clouds: Analysis of SOLVE/THESEO‐2000 observations

[1] During the SOLVE/THESEO-2000 Arctic stratospheric campaign in the winter 1999/2000 widespread occurrences of very large HNO3-containing particles, probably composed of nitric acid trihydrate (NAT), were observed in situ by instruments on board the ER-2 stratospheric research aircraft. These large NAT particles were found with low number densities (n 10 4 cm 3 ) in vast regions, in air generally supersaturated with respect to NAT. Within the same campaign other instruments have performed airborne and ground-based measurements of polar stratospheric clouds (PSCs), often showing the existence of type 1a and type 1a-enh clouds. Such PSCs often occur on the mesoscale with particle number densities n ^ 10 2 cm 3 and are also mostlikelycomposedofNAT.Weuseforwardtrajectoriesfor thepathofNATparticles, whichareadvectedbywindsbased on ECMWF analyses and sediment due to gravity, to show that high number density NAT PSCs (mother clouds) could give rise to low number density NAT particle populations several daysdownstream. INDEXTERMS:0305Atmospheric Composition and Structure: Aerosols and particles (0345, 4801); 0320 Atmospheric Composition and Structure: Cloud physics and chemistry; 0341 Atmospheric Composition and Structure: Middle atmosphere—constituent transport and chemistry (3334)

Microphysical, radiative, and dynamical impacts of thin cirrus clouds on humidity in the tropical tropopause layer and lower stratosphere

Cloud-resolving numerical simulations are carried out to study how in situ formed cirrus affect the humidity in the tropical tropopause layer and lower stratosphere. Cloud-induced impacts on the specific humidity are evaluated separately in terms of (i) the dehydration efficiency and (ii) the increase in the saturation mixing ratio associated with cloud radiatively induced temperature adjustment. The numerical results show that the dehydration efficiency of cirrus clouds, which is measured by the domain average relative humidity, varies within 100 ± 15% in all model configurations (with/without heterogeneous ice nucleation and with/without cloud radiative heating and cloud dynamics). A larger impact on the specific humidity comes from temperature increase (of a few kelvins) induced by cloud heating. The latter is found to scale approximately linearly with the domain average ice mass. Resolving the cloud radiatively induced circulations approximately doubles the domain average ice mass and associated cloud-induced temperature change.

Maintenance of the Stratospheric Structure in an Idealized General Circulation Model

This work explores the maintenance of the stratospheric structure in a primitive equation model that is forced by a Newtonian cooling with a prescribed radiative equilibrium temperature field. Models such as this are well suited to analyze and address questions regarding the nature of wave propagation and troposphere‐ stratosphere interactions. The focus lies on the lower to midstratosphere and the mean annual cycle, with its large interhemispheric variations in the radiative background state and forcing, is taken as a benchmark to be simulated with reasonable verisimilitude. A reasonably realistic basic stratospheric temperature structure is a necessary first step in understanding stratospheric dynamics. It is first shown that using a realistic radiative background temperature field based on radiative transfer calculations substantially improves the basic structure of the model stratospherecompared to previously used setups. Then, the physical processes that are needed to maintain the seasonal cycle of temperature in the lower stratosphere are explored. It is found that an improved stratosphere and seasonally varying topographically forced stationary waves are, in themselves, insufficient to produce a seasonal cycle of sufficient amplitude in the tropics, even if the topographic forcing is large. Upwelling associated with baroclinic wave activityis an important influenceon the tropicallowerstratosphereandthe seasonalvariation oftropospheric baroclinic activity contributes significantly to the seasonal cycle of the lower tropical stratosphere. Given a reasonably realistic basic stratospheric structure and a seasonal cycle in both stationary wave activity and tropospheric baroclinic instability, it is possible to obtain a seasonal cycle in the lower stratosphere of amplitude comparable to the observations.

Departure from Clausius‐Clapeyron scaling of water entering the stratosphere in response to changes in tropical upwelling

Water entering the stratosphere ([H2O]entry) is strongly constrained by temperatures in the tropical tropopause layer (TTL). Temperatures at tropical tropopause levels are 15–20 K below radiative equilibrium. A strengthening of the residual circulation as suggested by general circulation models in response to increasing greenhouse gases is, based on radiative transfer calculations, estimated to lead to a temperature decrease of about 2 K per 10% change in upwelling (with some sensitivity to vertical scale length). For a uniform temperature change in the inner tropics, [H2O]entry may be expected to change as predicted by the temperature dependence of the vapor pressure, referred here as “Clausius-Clapeyron (CC) scaling.” Under CC scaling, this corresponds to ∼1 ppmv change in [H2O]entry per 10% change in upwelling. However, the change in upwelling also changes the residence time of air in the TTL. We show with trajectory calculations that this affects [H2O]entry, such that [H2O]entry changes ∼10 % less than expected from CC scaling. This residence time effect for water vapor is a consequence of the spatiotemporal variance in the temperature field. We show that for the present-day TTL, a little more than half of the effect is due to the systematic relation between flow and temperature field. The remainder can be understood from the perspective of a random walk problem, with slower ascent (longer path) increasing each air parcels probability to encounter anomalously low temperatures. Our results show that atmospheric water vapor may depart from CC scaling with mean temperatures even when all physical processes of dehydration remain unchanged.

Cirrus, Transport, and Mixing in the Tropical Upper Troposphere

AbstractThe impact of cloud radiative heating on transport time scales from the tropical upper troposphere to the stratosphere is studied in two-dimensional numerical simulations. Clouds are idealized as sources of radiative heating and are stochastically distributed in space and time. A spatial probability function constrains clouds to occur in only part of the domain to depict heterogeneously distributed clouds in the atmosphere.The transport time from the lower to upper boundaries (age of air) is evaluated with trajectories. The spectra of age of air obtained in the simulations are bimodal, with the first mode composed of trajectories that remain in the cloudy part of the domain during their passages from the lower to upper boundaries, and the second mode composed of the remaining trajectories that visit the cloud-free regions. For the first group of trajectories only, the mean age scales inversely with the time-mean radiative heating in cloudy air, and the one-dimensional advection–diffusion equation ...

Changes in polar stratospheric temperature climatology in relation to stratospheric sudden warming occurrence

Stratospheric Sudden Warmings (SSWs) strongly affect the polar stratosphere during winter months mainly in the Northern Hemisphere. The intraseasonal distribution and type of SSWs for the 1958-1979 and 1979-2002 periods in ERA-40 and NCEP-NCAR reanalyses reveal differences. In the pre-satellite era, most events occur in January and are vortex splits. In the post-satellite era, the distribution is bimodal (peaking in December and February), and shows more displacement events. The difference in the seasonal distribution of SSWs leads to changes in the climatological state of stratospheric temperatures, with differences up to 5.9 K at 10 hPa and 3.6 K at 20 hPa in February between pre- and post-1979 periods. We find that the temperature evolution at 20 hPa is in better qualitative agreement with theoretical expectations than at 10 hPa. Hence, 10 hPa may be affected more strongly by artifacts related with satellite data assimilation, which have, however, limited impact on identification of SSWs.

Vertical Mixing and the Temperature and Wind Structure of the Tropical Tropopause Layer

AbstractVertical mixing may lead to significant momentum and heat fluxes in the tropical tropopause layer (TTL) and these momentum and heat fluxes can force large climatological temperature and zonal wind changes in the TTL. The climatology of vertical mixing and associated momentum and heat fluxes as parameterized in the Interim ECMWF Re-Analysis (ERA-Interim) and as parameterized by the mixing scheme currently used in the ECMWF operational analyses are presented. Each scheme produces a very different climatology showing that the momentum and heat fluxes arising from vertical mixing are highly dependent on the scheme used. A dry GCM is then forced with momentum and heat fluxes similar to those seen in ERA-Interim to assess the potential impact of such momentum and heat fluxes. A significant response in the TTL is found, leading to a temperature perturbation of approximately 4 K and a zonal wind perturbation of approximately 12 m s−1. These temperature and zonal wind perturbations are approximately zonall...