Seth Campbell

Cosmogenic-nuclide exposure ages from the Pensacola Mountains adjacent to the Foundation Ice Stream, Antarctica

We describe glacial-geological observations and cosmogenic-nuclide exposure ages from the Schmidt, Williams, and Thomas Hills in the Pensacola Mountains of Antarctica adjacent to the Foundation Ice Stream (FIS). Our aim is to learn about changes in the thickness and grounding line position of the Antarctic Ice Sheet in the Weddell Sea embayment between the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) and the present. Glacial-geological observations from all three regions indicate that currently-ice-free areas were covered by ice during one or more past ice sheet expansions, and that this ice was typically frozen to its bed and thus non-erosive, permitting the accumulation of multiple generations of glacial drift. Cosmogenic-nuclide exposure-age data from glacially transported erratics are consistent with this interpretation in that we observe both (i) samples with Holocene exposure ages that display a systematic age-elevation relationship recording LGM-to-present deglaciation, and (ii) samples with older and highly scattered apparent exposure ages that were deposited in previous glacial-interglacial cycles and have experienced multiple periods of surface exposure and ice cover. Holocene exposure ages at the Thomas and Williams Hills, upstream of the present grounding line of the FIS, show that the FIS was at least 500 m thicker prior to 11 ka, and that 500 m of thinning took place between 11 and 4 ka. However, exposure-age data from the Schmidt Hills, downstream of the present grounding line of the FIS, show no evidence for LGM thickening of the FIS and, in fact, provide some evidence that the FIS could have been no more than 200 m thicker than present at the LGM. If all these observations are correct, they imply that the LGM and early Holocene ice surface slope in the vicinity of the present grounding line was steeper than present, which is inconsistent with glaciological model predictions of possible LGM ice sheet configurations. Specifically, scenarios in which the LGM grounding line of the FIS advanced to the outer continental shelf appear inconsistent with exposure-age data from the Schmidt Hills, whereas scenarios in which the FIS grounding line did not advance at the LGM appear inconsistent with exposure-age data from the Williams and Thomas Hills.

Radar-detected englacial stratigraphy in the Pensacola Mountains, Antarctica: implications for recent changes in ice flow and accumulation

Abstract We used measurements of radar-detected stratigraphy, surface ice-flow velocities and accumulation rates to investigate relationships between local valley-glacier and regional ice-sheet dynamics in and around the Schmidt Hills, Pensacola Mountains, Antarctica. Ground-penetrating radar profiles were collected perpendicular to the long axis of the Schmidt Hills and the margin of Foundation Ice Stream (FIS). Within the valley confines, the glacier consists of blue ice, and profiles show internal stratigraphy dipping steeply toward the nunataks and truncated at the present-day ablation surface. Below the valley confines, the blue ice is overlain by firn. Data show that upward-progressing overlap of actively accumulating firn onto valley-glacier ice is slightly less than ice flow out of the valleys over the past ∼1200 years. The apparent slightly negative mass balance (-0.25 cm a-1) suggests that ice-margin elevations in the Schmidt Hills may have lowered over this time period, even without a change in the surface elevation of FIS. Results suggest that (1) mass-balance gradients between local valley glaciers and regional ice sheets should be considered when using local information to estimate regional ice surface elevation changes; and (2) interpretation of shallow ice structures imaged with radar can provide information about local ice elevation changes and stability.

Strain-rate estimates for crevasse formation at an alpine ice divide: Mount Hunter, Alaska

Abstract Crevasse initiation is linked to strain rates that range over three orders of magnitude (0.001 and 0.163 a-1) as a result of the temperature-dependent nonlinear rheological properties of ice and from water and debris inclusions. Here we discuss a small cold glacier that contains buried crevasses at and near an ice divide. Surface-conformable stratigraphy, the glacier’s small size, and cold temperatures argue for limited rheological variability at this site. Surface ice-flow velocities of (1.2-15.5) ± 0.472 m a- 1 imply classic saddle flow surrounding the ice divide. Numerical models that incorporate field-observed boundary conditions suggest extensional strain rates of 0.003-0.015 a- 1 , which fall within the published estimates required for crevasse initiation. The occurrence of one crevasse beginning at 50 m depth that appears to penetrate close to the bed suggests that it formed at depth. Field data and numerical models indicate that a higher interior stress at this crevasse location may be associated with steep convex bed topography; however, the dynamics that caused its formation are not entirely clear.

Industrial-age doubling of snow accumulation in the Alaska Range linked to tropical ocean warming

Future precipitation changes in a warming climate depend regionally upon the response of natural climate modes to anthropogenic forcing. North Pacific hydroclimate is dominated by the Aleutian Low, a semi-permanent wintertime feature characterized by frequent low-pressure conditions that is influenced by tropical Pacific Ocean temperatures through the Pacific-North American (PNA) teleconnection pattern. Instrumental records show a recent increase in coastal Alaskan precipitation and Aleutian Low intensification, but are of insufficient length to accurately assess low frequency trends and forcing mechanisms. Here we present a 1200-year seasonally- to annually-resolved ice core record of snow accumulation from Mt. Hunter in the Alaska Range developed using annual layer counting and four ice-flow thinning models. Under a wide range of glacier flow conditions and layer counting uncertainty, our record shows a doubling of precipitation since ~1840 CE, with recent values exceeding the variability observed over the past millennium. The precipitation increase is nearly synchronous with the warming of western tropical Pacific and Indian Ocean sea surface temperatures. While regional 20th Century warming may account for a portion of the observed precipitation increase on Mt. Hunter, the magnitude and seasonality of the precipitation change indicate a long-term strengthening of the Aleutian Low.

Using ground-penetrating radar to delineate regions of massive ice at McMurdo Station, Antarctica

In November through December 2015, ground-penetrating-radar (GPR) data were collected at McMurdo Station, Antarctica, to better understand the near-surface geology, to find and delineate regions of excess or massive ice, and to inform future construction efforts. Of the 55 km of data collected, approximately 40% were analyzed and described in previous studies. In this study, we processed and analyzed the remaining data located within proposed areas for future construction. Both 400 and 200 MHz antennas were used for data collection, with depth penetrations reaching 5 and 10 m for each antenna, respectively. Near-surface features detected include massive or excess ice, bedrock, and buried utilities. Ground-truth data, including soil pits and borehole logs, corroborate our interpretations. A considerable amount of near-surface excess ice likely has anthropogenic origins from runoff refreezing in shaded areas. Our results show that the subsurface of McMurdo is characterized by a substantial amount of frozen ground that will require navigation in both the planning and construction efforts associated with rebuilding McMurdo Station. DISCLAIMER: The contents of this report are not to be used for advertising, publication, or promotional purposes. Citation of trade names does not constitute an official endorsement or approval of the use of such commercial products. All product names and trademarks cited are the property of their respective owners. The findings of this report are not to be construed as an official Department of the Army position unless so designated by other authorized documents. DESTROY THIS REPORT WHEN NO LONGER NEEDED. DO NOT RETURN IT TO THE ORIGINATOR. ERDC/CRREL TR-18-4 iii

Structure and stability of the McMurdo Ice Shelf Transition Zone and glaciated hillside near Scott Base, Antarctica

We used ground-penetrating radar and Global Positioning System surveys in November 2015 and January 2016 to determine ice depth and ice flow velocities of a glacier-covered hillside neighboring the Transition Zone (TZ) on McMurdo Ice Shelf (MIS), Antarctica. We also analyzed two available high-resolution digital elevation maps to establish how surface elevations are changing across the region. These surveys were conducted to determine if the TZ Road, the primary U.S. Antarctic Program access to ice-shelf operations, can be relocated onto the hillside if it becomes unpassable in the future. The results suggest that construction and maintenance of a road on the TZ hillside would be challenging due to (1) steep slopes, (2) minimal snow and firn cover available for maintenance activities, (3) significant annual changes to the surface, and (4) substantial ice thicknesses and ice flow velocities that will alter any constructed road on an annual basis. Despite these primary findings, the observed change in ice cover both on the hillside and within the transition zone itself suggest that efforts to develop a new road should continue to help ensure longterm access and use of ice-shelf-based facilities for McMurdo and Scott Stations. DISCLAIMER: The contents of this report are not to be used for advertising, publication, or promotional purposes. Citation of trade names does not constitute an official endorsement or approval of the use of such commercial products. All product names and trademarks cited are the property of their respective owners. The findings of this report are not to be construed as an official Department of the Army position unless so designated by other authorized documents. DESTROY THIS REPORT WHEN NO LONGER NEEDED. DO NOT RETURN IT TO THE ORIGINATOR. ERDC/CRREL TR-18-6 iii

A 400‐Year Ice Core Melt Layer Record of Summertime Warming in the Alaska Range

Warming in high-elevation regions has societally important impacts on glacier mass balance, water resources, and sensitive alpine ecosystems, yet very few high-elevation temperature records exist from the middle or high latitudes. While a variety of paleoproxy records provide critical temperature records from low elevations over recent centuries, melt layers preserved in alpine glaciers present an opportunity to develop calibrated, annually resolved temperature records from high elevations. Here we present a 400-year temperature proxy record based on the melt layer stratigraphy of two ice cores collected from Mt. Hunter in Denali National Park in the central Alaska Range. The ice core record shows a sixtyfold increase in water equivalent total annual melt between the preindustrial period (before 1850 Common Era) and present day.We calibrate themelt record to summer temperatures based onweather station data from the ice core drill site and find that the increase inmelt production represents a summer warming rate of at least 1.92 ± 0.31°C per century during the last 100 years, exceeding rates of temperature increase at most low-elevation sites in Alaska. The Mt. Hunter melt layer record is significantly (p< 0.05) correlated with surface temperatures in the central tropical Pacific through a Rossby wave-like pattern that enhances high temperatures over Alaska. Our results show that rapid alpine warming has taken place in the Alaska Range for at least a century and that conditions in the tropical oceans contribute to this warming. Plain Language Summary Warming in mountainous areas affects glacier melt, water resources, and fragile ecosystems, yet we know relatively little about climate change in alpine areas, especially at high latitudes. We use ice cores drilled on Mt. Hunter, in Denali National Park, to develop a record of summer temperatures in Alaska that extends 400 years into the past, farther than any other mountain record in the North Pacific region. The ice core record shows that 60 times more snowmelt occurs today than 150 years ago. This corresponds to roughly a 2°C increase in summer temperature, which is faster than summertime warming in Alaska near sea level. We suggest that warming of the tropical Pacific Ocean has contributed to the rapid warming on Mt. Hunter by enhancing high-pressure systems over Alaska. Our ice core record indicates that alpine regions surrounding the North Pacific may continue to experience accelerated warming with climate change, threatening the already imperiled glaciers in this area.

Denali Ice Core Methanesulfonic Acid Records North Pacific Marine Primary Production

The high-nutrient, low-chlorophyll region of the northeastern (NE) subarctic Pacific is one of the most biologically productive marine ecosystems in the world, supporting fisheries worth over

Surface wave propagation over a rough talus slope at 160 MHz

5 billion annually. Phytoplankton are the primary producers in this ecosystem and are also a major source of biogenic sulfur emissions, important in Earth’s climate system. However, variability in marine primary production through time is not well constrained. Here we establish methanesulfonic acid (MSA) concentrations in the Denali ice core as a proxy for marine primary production in the NE Pacific. Using Hybrid Single-Particle Lagrangian Integrated Trajectory (HYSPLIT; Stein et al., 2015, https://doi.org/10.1178/BAMS-D-14-00110.1) modeling, we identify moisture source regions for the core site and correlate Sea-Viewing Wide Field-of-View Sensor-derived chlorophyll a concentrations with ice core MSA. From 1998 to 2007 we find that areas of significant positive correlation overlap with the HYSPLIT-inferred moisture source region in the western Gulf of Alaska on an annual basis (r = 0.85, p < 0.001). We identify an MSA response to a localized bloom related to ash deposition from a 2009 Mt. Redoubt eruption. An anomalous upwelling-driven bloom in spring 2008 did not impact the ice core MSA record due to unfavorable transport conditions. Despite this, we observe that bloom events are rarely missed in the MSA record, which we attribute to the consistent and high snow accumulation rate at the ice core drill site. Our findings suggest that Denali ice core MSA is a reliable recorder of changes in marine primary production through time in the NE subarctic Pacific. Plain Language Summary The base of the marine food web is composed of single-celled photosynthetic organisms that are collectively termed primary producers. Because these microscopic organisms support all marine life, changes in their biomass can impact the entire food web. Over the past three decades, satellite data have shown that primary producers are declining around the world with some of the greatest declines occurring in the North Pacific Ocean. The reasons for these declines may include changes in ocean temperatures, nutrient availability, and wind-driven ocean mixing, all of which are related to climate. To place these changes within a longer-term context, we seek to validate regionally a proxy tool by measuring a chemical produced by phytoplankton called methanesulfonic acid (MSA). MSA is transported through the atmosphere by storms and deposited on mountain glaciers in the North Pacific region. WemeasuredMSA in a new ice core fromDenali National Park, Alaska. We describe strong, statistically significant correlations between ice core MSA concentrations and chlorophyll concentrations in the western Gulf of Alaska. We suggest that the ice core MSA proxy record can help us understand how primary production in this region has changed through time.

Climate archives from 90 to 250 ka in horizontal and vertical ice cores from the Allan Hills Blue Ice Area, Antarctica

Field experiments of air surface wave propagation at 160 MHz were performed on a rough non-conductive dielectric talus slope of granite blocks, all of the same composition. Amplitudes for both vertical and cross polarization were measured meter by meter along linear transects 250 and 500 m long, along with GPS measurements of position and elevation. Attenuation rates for both polarizations were greater for smoother transects, with height standard deviation of about one third free space wavelength, than for rougher transects with up to one wavelength deviation. This unexpected finding resulted from the smoother dielectric surfaces permitting loss of energy into subsurface head waves, as evidenced by the nearly range-squared dependency of the surface waves. The results suggest direct point-to-point communications over rough terrain can be realized over multi-km distances.