Shu-Hui Chang

Risk factors for leukoplakia and malignant transformation to oral carcinoma: a leukoplakia cohort in Taiwan

The effects of betel nut chewing, smoking and alcohol on the occurrence of leukoplakia and its malignant transformation to oral carcinoma were quantified in a leukoplakia cohort (n = 435) from one medical centre between 1988 and 1998 in Taiwan. Sixty oral carcinomas were ascertained in this cohort. A case–control study within the leukoplakia cohort was used to study, risk factors. Using the Weibull survival model, the incidence of malignant transformation of leukoplakia was shown to increase with follow-up years. After adjustment for other relevant risk factors, betel nut chewing (adjusted odds ratio (OR) = 4.59; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.25–16.86) remained a significant risk factor for malignant transformation. Results from the case–control study showed that the adjusted odds ratios for betel nut chewing and smoking on the occurrence of leukoplakia were 17.43 (95% Cl 1.94–156.27) and 3.22 (95% Cl 1.06–9.78), respectively. Similar findings were observed when daily frequency and duration were taken into account. This implies that cessation of smoking may reduce by 36% leukoplakia cases, while elimination of betel nuts may prevent 62% of leukoplakia and 26% of malignant transformation to oral carcinoma in the underlying population.

The effect of metabolic risk factors on the natural course of gastro-oesophageal reflux disease

Background and aims: The effect of metabolic risk factors on the natural course of gastro-oesophageal reflux disease (GORD), which remains elusive, was quantified. Methods: The population included 3669 subjects undergoing repeated upper endoscopy. Data were analysed using a three-state Markov model to estimate transition rates (according to the Los Angeles classification) regarding the natural course of the disease. Individual risk score together with the kinetic curve was derived by identifying significant factors responsible for the net force between progression and regression. Results: During three consecutive study periods, 12.2, 14.9 and 17.9% of subjects, respectively, progressed from non-erosive to erosive disease, whereas 42.5, 37.3 and 34.6%, respectively, regressed to the non-erosive stage. The annual transition rate from non-erosive to class A–B disease was 0.151 per person year (95% CI 0.136 to 0.165) and from class A–B to C–D was 0.079 per person year (95% CI 0.063 to 0.094). The regression rate from class A–B to non-erosive disease was 0.481 per person year (95% CI 0.425 to 0.536). Class C–D, however, appeared to be an absorbing state when not properly treated. Being male (relative risk (RR) 4.31; 95% CI 3.22 to 5.75), smoking (RR 1.20; 95% CI 1.03 to 1.39) or having metabolic syndrome (RR 1.75; 95% CI 1.29 to 2.38) independently increased the likelihood of progressing from a non-erosive to an erosive stage of disease and/or lowered the likelihood of disease regression. The short-term use of acid suppressants (RR 0.54; 95% CI 0.39 to 0.75) raised the likelihood of regression from erosive to non-erosive disease. Conclusions: Intraoesophageal damage is a dynamic and migratory process in which the metabolic syndrome is associated with accelerated progression to or attenuated regression from erosive states. These findings have important implications for the design of effective prevention and screening strategies.

Cost-effectiveness analysis for determining optimal cut-off of immunochemical faecal occult blood test for population-based colorectal cancer screening (KCIS 16)

Objectives: We aimed to determine the optimal cut-off of the immunochemical faecal occult blood test (iFOBT) by using cost-effectiveness analysis. Methods: A total of 22,672 subjects aged 50 years or older were invited to have an uptake of iFOBT. We collected data from screen-detected cases for the cut-off above 100 ng/mL and obtained interval cancers from a nationwide cancer registry for a cut-off below 100 ng/mL. We found a total of 65 colorectal cancer (CRC) cases, including 43 detected by screen and 22 diagnosed between screens (interval cases). The optimal cut-off was first determined by receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve analysis. Formal economic evaluation was further applied to identifying the optimal cut-off by assessing the minimum incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER), an indicator for cost per life year gained (effectiveness), given a series of cut-offs of iFOBT, ranging from 30 to 200 ng/mL compared with no screening. Results: ROC curve analysis found the optimal cut-off of iFOBT to be 100 ng/mL at which the sensitivity, false-positive and odds of being affected given a positive result were 81.5% (70.2%–89.2%), 5.7% (5.4%–6.0%) and 1.24 (1.19–1.32), respectively. The area under ROC curve was 0.87 (0.81–0.93). In economic appraisal, the screening programme irrespective of any cut-off dominated (less cost and more effectiveness) over the control group. The optimal cut-off (the lowest ICER) was 110 ng/mL at which an average of 0.054 life year was gained and that of 950 (

Conditional Regression Analysis for Recurrence Time Data

US) was saved. Conclusions: We used cost-effectiveness to identify 110 ng/mL as the optimal cut-off of iFOBT in a Taiwanese population-based screening for CRC. Our model provides a useful approach for health policy-makers in designing population-based screening for CRC to determine the optimal cut-off of iFOBT when cost and effectiveness need to be taken into account.

Spontaneous and induced sister chromatid exchanges and delayed cell proliferation in peripheral lymphocytes of Bowen's disease patients and matched controls of arseniasis-hyperendemic villages in Taiwan

Abstract Recurrence time data can be regarded as a specific type of correlated survival data in which recurrent event times of a subject are stochastically ordered. Given the ordinal nature of recurrence times, this article focuses on conditional regression analysis. A semiparametric hazards model, including the structural and episode-specific parameters, is proposed for recurrence time data. In this model the order of episodes serves as the stratification variable. Estimation of the structural parameter can be constructed on the basis of all of the observed recurrence times. The structural parameter is estimated by the profile-likelihood approach. Although the structural parameter estimator is asymptotically normal, the episode-specific parameters may or may not be estimated consistently due to the sparseness of data for specific events. Examples are presented to illustrate the performance of the estimators of the structural and episode-specific parameters. An extension of the univariate recurrent events...

Survival, mortality, and complications in patients with β‐Thalassemia major in northern Taiwan

A total of 15 newly-developed Bowens disease patients and 34 age-sex-residence-matched controls were recruited from three arseniasis-hyperendemic villages in Taiwan to compare spontaneous and arsenic-induced sister chromatid exchanges (SCEs), proportion of cells with high frequencies of SCEs (HFCs), and replication index (RI) in their peripheral lymphocytes. Arsenic-induced Bowens disease patients were found to have significantly higher spontaneous SCEs and HFCs and a lower spontaneous RI than in matched controls without or with adjustment for age, gender, cigarette smoking, alcohol drinking, tea drinking, status of major diseases, HBsAg carrier status and arsenic exposure indices through multivariate analysis. Sodium arsenite was found to increase SCEs and HFCs and to decrease RI in a dose-response pattern for both cases and controls. The arsenic-induced decrease in RI was significantly greater in arsenic-induced Bowens disease patients than in matched controls. The arsenic-induced increases in SCEs and HFCs were also consistently, but not statistically significantly, higher in arsenic-induced Bowens disease patients than in matched controls at all arsenite treatment levels of 0.5, 1.0 and 2.0 microM. The arsenic-induced increase in cytogenetic damages and decrease in cell proliferation among arsenic-induced Bowens disease patients compared with matched controls may result from their long-term exposure to inorganic arsenic through consumption of high-arsenic artesian well water, elevated individual genetic and acquired susceptibility to arsenic-induced damage, or both.

The effect of betel quid and cigarette on multistate progression of oral pre-malignancy.

Advances in treatment have improved the prognosis in β‐thalassemia major. We present the survival and complications pattern of those patients in northern Taiwan born after 1970.

Plasma calcitonin gene-related peptide in diagnosing and predicting paediatric migraine.

BACKGROUND Although the effect of betel quid chewing and smoking on oral cancer has been well documented, both influences, dose and duration during life time, on multistate progression of oral pre-malignancy are hardly addressed. METHODS By recruiting a group of male chewers from different occupation groups, we modeled the effects of both duration and quantity of betel quid chewing and smoking on annual incidence rate of developing leukoplakia and average dwelling times (ADTs) staying in leukoplakia and erythroleukoplakia. RESULTS The annual incidence rate (per year) of leukoplakia was estimated as 0.35% (95% CI: 0.22-0.48%). The ADTs were 24 years for leukoplakia and 7 years for erythroleukoplakia. Annual incidence rate of leukoplakia with high consumption and long duration of betel quid and smoking was higher. Both quantity and duration of smoking and betel quid chewing play minor roles in the influence of ADT. The risks of developing oral cancer after 20 years of follow-up were 42.2% for leukoplakia and 95.0% for erythroleukoplakia. CONCLUSION The effects of betel quid chewing and smoking on multistate progressions between oral pre-malignancies were elucidated. These results can be applied to predict long-term risk of malignant transformation varying with different duration and quantity of betel quid and cigarette.

Cemental Tear: Clinical Characteristics and Its Predisposing Factors

To investigate the role of plasma calcitonin gene-related peptide (CGRP) in paediatric migraine, we prospectively collected 134 blood samples during or between attacks from 66 migraine, 33 non-migraine headache (non-migraine) and 22 non-headache patients, aged 4–18 years. Plasma CGRP concentrations were measured by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay and disability by Pediatric MIgraine Disability ASsessment (PedMIDAS) questionnaire. Migraineurs had higher plasma CGRP levels than non-migraine patients (P = 0.007). The attack level was higher than the non-attack level in migraine (P = 0.036), but not in non-migraine, patients. This was also revealed in paired comparison (n = 9, P = 0.015 vs. n = 4, P = 0.47). Using a threshold of 55.1 pg/ml, the sensitivity of the attack level in predicting migraine was 0.81, and specificity 0.75. The PedMIDAS score tended to be higher in the high CGRP (> 200 pg/ml, n = 7) group than in the low (< 200 pg/ml, n = 33) group (26.07 vs. 19.32, P = 0.16) using Mann–Whitney test. Plasma CGRP is useful for diagnosis in paediatric migraine.

Analysis of the Width of Vertical Root Fracture in Endodontically Treated Teeth by 2 Micro–Computed Tomography Systems

INTRODUCTION Cemental tears often show characteristics mimicking a periapical or periodontal lesion. This leads to difficulty in the early diagnosis of cemental tears. METHODS In this multicenter study, 71 teeth with cemental tears being confirmed by direct inspection or histological examination were included. For each case, demographic data, dental history, clinical and radiographic findings, and the results of exploratory surgery were recorded and analyzed. RESULTS Maxillary or mandibular incisors (76.1%) were most frequently affected by cemental tears. Univariate analysis of predisposing factors found that teeth with cemental tears occurred more commonly in men (77.5%) and patients older than 60 years of age (73.2%). Analysis of clinical characteristics showed that teeth with cemental tears were prone to have abscess formation (66.2%), a deep pocket >6 mm (73.2%), positive vitality test (65.3%), healthy antagonist teeth (84.3%), and moderate to severe attrition (77.9%). About 56.3% of cemental tears could be detected on preoperative radiographs. Further analysis of radiographic findings showed that teeth with cemental tears were more likely to have periodontal bone destruction (85.9%) or periapical bone destruction (64.8%). CONCLUSIONS Endodontists and dentists may avoid misdiagnosis and unnecessary treatment of teeth with cemental tears if they can properly evaluate the radiographs and pulp vitality of teeth as well as know the predisposing factors and clinical characteristics of teeth with cemental tears in advance.