Silvano Gallus

Aspirin and cancer risk: a quantitative review to 2011

BACKGROUND Aspirin has been associated to a reduced risk of colorectal and possibly of a few other common cancers. METHODS To provide an up-to-date quantification of this association, we conducted a meta-analysis of all observational studies on aspirin and 12 selected cancer sites published up to September 2011. RESULTS Regular aspirin is associated with a statistically significant reduced risk of colorectal cancer [summary relative risk (RR) from random effects models = 0.73, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.67-0.79], and of other digestive tract cancers (RR = 0.61, 95% CI = 0.50-0.76, for squamous cell esophageal cancer; RR = 0.64, 95% CI = 0.52-0.78, for esophageal and gastric cardia adenocarcinoma; and RR = 0.67, 95% CI = 0.54-0.83, for gastric cancer), with somewhat stronger reductions in risk in case-control than in cohort studies. Modest inverse associations were also observed for breast (RR = 0.90, 95% CI = 0.85-0.95) and prostate cancer (RR = 0.90, 95% CI = 0.85-0.96), while lung cancer was significantly reduced in case-control studies (0.73, 95% CI = 0.55-0.98) but not in cohort ones (RR = 0.98, 95% CI = 0.92-1.05). No meaningful overall associations were observed for cancers of the pancreas, endometrium, ovary, bladder, and kidney. CONCLUSIONS Observational studies indicate a beneficial role of aspirin on colorectal and other digestive tract cancers; modest risk reductions were also observed for breast and prostate cancer. Results are, however, heterogeneous across studies and dose-risk and duration-risk relationships are still unclear.

Coffee drinking and hepatocellular carcinoma risk: A meta‐analysis

Several studies suggest an inverse relation between coffee drinking and risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We conducted a meta‐analysis of published studies on HCC that included quantitative information on coffee consumption. Ten studies were retrieved (2,260 HCC cases), including 6 case–control studies from southern Europe and Japan (1551 cases) and 4 cohort studies from Japan (709 cases). The summary relative risk (RR) for coffee drinkers versus non‐drinkers was 0.54 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.38‐0.76) for case–control studies and 0.64 (95% CI 0.56‐0.74) for cohort studies. The overall RR was 0.59 (95% CI 0.49‐0.72), with significant heterogeneity between studies. The overall summary RR for low or moderate coffee drinkers was 0.70 (95% CI 0.57‐0.85), and that for high drinkers was 0.45 (95% CI 0.38‐0.53). The summary RR for an increase of 1 cup of coffee per day was 0.77 (95% CI 0.72‐0.83) from case–control studies, 0.75 (95% CI 0.65‐0.85) from cohort studies, and 0.77 (95% CI 0.72‐0.82) overall. The consistency of an inverse relation between coffee drinking and HCC across study design and geographic areas weighs against a major role of bias or confounding. Coffee drinking has also been related to reduced risk of other liver diseases, thus suggesting a continuum of the favorable effect of coffee on liver function. However, subjects with liver conditions may selectively reduce their coffee consumption. Conclusion: The present analysis provides evidence that the inverse relation between coffee and HCC is real, though inference on causality remains open to discussion. (HEPATOLOGY 2007.)

Red meat intake and cancer risk: A study in Italy

Meat intake has been positively associated with risk of digestive tract cancers in several epidemiological studies, while data on the relation of meat intake with cancer risk at most other sites are inconsistent. The overall data set, derived from an integrated series of case‐control studies conducted in northern Italy between 1983 and 1996, included the following incident, histologically confirmed neoplasms: oral cavity, pharynx and esophagus (n = 497), stomach (n = 745), colon (n = 828), rectum (n = 498), liver (n = 428), gallbladder (n = 60), pancreas (n = 362), larynx (n = 242), breast (n = 3,412), endometrium (n = 750), ovary (n = 971), prostate (n = 127), bladder (n = 431), kidney (n = 190), thyroid (n = 208), Hodgkins disease (n = 80), non‐Hodgkins lymphomas (n = 200) and multiple myelomas (n = 120). Controls were 7,990 patients admitted to hospital for acute, non‐neoplastic conditions unrelated to long‐term modifications in diet. The multivariate odds ratios (ORs) for the highest tertile of red meat intake (≥7 times/week) compared with the lowest (≤3 times/week) were 1.6 for stomach, 1.9 for colon, 1.7 for rectal, 1.6 for pancreatic, 1.6 for bladder, 1.2 for breast, 1.5 for endometrial and 1.3 for ovarian cancer. ORs showed no significant heterogeneity across strata of age at diagnosis and sex. No convincing relation with red meat intake emerged for cancers of the oral cavity, pharynx and esophagus, liver, gallbladder, larynx, kidney, thyroid, prostate, Hodgkins disease, non‐Hodgkins lymphomas and multiple myeloma. For none of the neoplasms considered was there a significant inverse relationship with red meat intake. Thus, reducing red meat intake might lower the risk for several common neoplasms. Int. J. Cancer 86:425–428, 2000.

Alcohol and tobacco use, and cancer risk for upper aerodigestive tract and liver

This study reviews the association between alcohol, tobacco, and the risk of cancers of the upper digestive and respiratory tract (i.e. oral cavity and pharynx, larynx, and esophagus) and liver. Alcohol drinking and tobacco smoking are the major risk factors for upper aerodigestive tract cancers, accounting for a large proportion (i.e. about three-quarters) of cases in developed countries. Consumption amount is the strongest alcohol-related determinant of risk, whereas the pattern of alcohol-related risk with duration is inconsistent. Both dose and duration of smoking have important effects on the risk of upper aerodigestive tract cancers. The combined exposure to alcohol and tobacco has a multiplicative effect on carcinogenesis of this tract. Alcohol and tobacco consumption are also causally related to liver cancer, although the associations are moderate and a lower fraction of neoplasms is attributable to these factors as compared with cancers of the upper aerodigestive tract. An interaction between alcohol drinking and tobacco smoking has been reported, but the issue is not adequately assessed.

Oral contrast enhanced bowel ultrasonography in the assessment of small intestine Crohn’s disease. A prospective comparison with conventional ultrasound, x ray studies, and ileocolonoscopy

Background/Aim: Although ultrasound (US) has proved to be useful in intestinal diseases, barium enteroclysis (BE) remains the gold standard technique for assessing patients with small bowel Crohn’s disease (CD). The ingestion of anechoic non-absorbable solutions has been recently proposed in order to distend intestinal loops and improve small bowel visualisation. The authors’ aim was to evaluate the accuracy of oral contrast US in finding CD lesions, assessing their extent within the bowel, and detecting luminal complications, compared with BE and ileocolonoscopy. Methods: 102 consecutive patients with proven CD, having undergone complete x ray and endoscopic evaluation, were enrolled in the study. Each US examination, before and after the ingestion of a polyethylene glycol (PEG) solution (500–800 ml), was performed independently by two sonographers unaware of the results of other diagnostic procedures. The accuracy of conventional and contrast enhanced US in detecting CD lesions and luminal complications, as well as the extent of bowel involvement, were determined. Interobserver agreement between sonographers with both US techniques was also estimated. Results: After oral contrast, satisfactory distension of the intestinal lumen was obtained in all patients, with a mean time to reach the terminal ileum of 31.4 (SD 10.9) minutes. Overall sensitivity of conventional and oral contrast US in detecting CD lesions were 91.4% and 96.1%, respectively. The correlation coefficient between US and x ray extent of ileal disease was r1 = 0.83 (p<0.001) before and r2 = 0.94 (p<0.001) after PEG ingestion; r1 versus r2 p<0.01. Sensitivity in detecting strictures was 74% for conventional US and 89% for contrast US. Overall interobserver agreement for bowel wall thickness and disease location within the small bowel was already good before but significantly improved after PEG ingestion. Conclusions: Oral contrast bowel US is comparable with BE in defining anatomic location and extension of CD and superior to conventional US in detecting luminal complications, as well as reducing interobserver variability between sonographers. It may be therefore regarded as the first imaging procedure in the diagnostic work up and follow up of small intestine CD.

Hormone replacement therapy and cancer risk: a systematic analysis from a network of case-control studies.

To provide comprehensive and quantitative information on the benefits and risks of hormone replacement therapy (HRT) on several cancer sites, we systematically examined the relation between HRT use and the risk of various cancers in women aged 45–79 by using data from a framework of case‐control studies conducted in Italy between 1983 and 1999. The overall data set included the following incident, histologically confirmed neoplasms: oral cavity, pharynx, larynx and esophagus (n = 253), stomach (n = 258), colon (n = 886), rectum (n = 488), liver (n = 105), gallbladder (n = 31), pancreas (n = 122), breast (n = 4,713), endometrium (n = 704), ovary (n = 1,614), urinary bladder (n = 106), kidney (n = 102), thyroid (n = 65), Hodgkins disease (n = 26), non‐Hodgkins lymphomas (n = 145), multiple myeloma (n = 65) and sarcomas (n = 78). The control group comprised 6,976 women aged 45–79 years, admitted for a wide spectrum of acute, nonneoplastic conditions. Odds ratios (OR) and the corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CI) for use of HRT were derived from multiple logistic regression equations. There was an inverse association between ever use of HRT and colon (OR = 0.7), rectum (OR = 0.5) and liver cancer (OR = 0.2), with a consistent pattern of protection for duration of use. An excess risk was found for gallbladder (OR = 3.2), breast (OR = 1.1), endometrial (OR = 3.0) and urinary bladder cancer (OR = 2.0). These data from a southern European population add some useful information on the risk‐benefit assessment of HRT among postmenopausal women.

Role of early ultrasound in detecting inflammatory intestinal disorders and identifying their anatomical location within the bowel

Background : Although bowel ultrasound is a widely accepted diagnostic tool in bowel diseases, its value as the primary imaging procedure in patients with symptoms/signs suggestive of inflammatory bowel disorders is still unclear.

Hospital use of acid-suppressive medications and its fall-out on prescribing in general practice: a 1-month survey

Background: Acid‐suppressive medications are commonly used in hospitalized patients, but, to date, little is known about the overall use of these drugs in the hospital setting.

Price and cigarette consumption in Europe

Objective: To analyse the variation in demand for tobacco according to price of cigarettes across the European region. Design: Cross-sectional study. Setting: All the 52 countries of the European region. Participants: For each European country, data were collected on annual per adult cigarette consumption (2000), smoking prevalence (most recent), retail price of a pack of local and foreign brand cigarettes (around 2000), the gross domestic product adjusted by purchasing power parities, and the adult population (2000). Main outcome measure: Price elasticity of demand for cigarettes (that is, the change in cigarette consumption according to a change in tobacco price) across all the European countries, estimated by double-log multiple linear regression. Results: Controlling for male to female prevalence ratio, price elasticities for consumption were −0.46 (95% confidence interval (CI) −0.74 to −0.17) and −0.74 (95% CI −1.13 to −0.35) for local and foreign brand, respectively. The inverse relation between cigarette price and consumption was stronger in countries not in the European Union (price elasticity for foreign brand cigarettes of −0.8) as compared to European Union countries (price elasticity of −0.4). Conclusions: The result that, on average, in Europe smoking consumption decreases 5–7% for a 10% increase in the real price of cigarettes strongly supports an inverse association between price and cigarette smoking.

Risk factors for breast cancer in women under 40 years

The relation between hormonal and lifestyle factors and breast cancer risk in women younger than 40 years was investigated using data from two case-control studies conducted in Italy between 1983 and 1994. Cases were 579 women with histologically confirmed, incident breast cancer and controls were 668 women admitted to hospital for acute, non-neoplastic, non-hormone-related diseases. Breast cancer risk was inversely related to age at menarche with a multivariate odds ratio (OR) of 0.53 (95% confidence interval, CI, 0.31-0.89) for women reporting menarche at the age of > or = 15 years compared with < 12 years. Breast cancer risk was significantly higher in parae than in nulliparae (OR 1.58), and was directly associated with age at first birth (OR 5.31 among women aged > or = 30 years at first birth compared with those aged < 20), and inversely with time since last birth (OR 3.80 for < 3 years compared with > or = 12). Compared with women reporting no abortion, the OR were 1.10 for any spontaneous, 0.87 for any induced and 0.90 for > or = 2 abortions. With reference to oral contraceptive use, the OR was 1.05 for ever users compared with never users, and no material association was evident with duration, time since first and last use. The OR was 1.79 for more than 13 years of education compared with < 9, 1.85 for a family history of breast cancer and 1.85 for a history of benign breast disease. Breast cancer risk was inversely related to body mass index with an OR of 0.51 (95% CI 0.26-0.97) for > or = 30 kg/m2 compared to < 20. Total energy and alcohol intake were directly related to the risk (OR 1.38 and 1.27 for the highest tertiles of intake compared with the lowest), although the estimates were not significant, whilst raw vegetable and beta-carotene consumption were inversely related to breast cancer risk (OR 0.57 and 0.67 for the highest tertile of intake compared with the lowest). Thus, most risk factors in this large dataset of women aged less than 40 years were similar to those described in breast cancer epidemiology at any age. Of interest are the inverse associations with body mass index, age at menarche and time since last birth, the direct ones with age at first and last birth, and the higher risk of parous women compared with nulliparae.