Silvia Harumi Toyoshima

DISPARIDADE SOCIOECONÔMICA E FLUXO MIGRATÓRIO CHINÊS: INTERPRETAÇÃO DE EVENTOS CONTEMPORÂNEOS SEGUNDO OS CLÁSSICOS DO DESENVOLVIMENTO

Objetiva-se analisar a evolucao do fluxo migratorio chines, focando na piora da distribuicao de renda, na concentracao dos investimentos e no planejamento para o desenvolvimento do interior da China, utilizando como suporte teorico os pensadores classicos do desenvolvimento. Pode-se verificar que as provincias com maiores investimentos sao as mais procuradas pelos migrantes, que o fazem em busca de melhores oportunidades. A concentracao da urbanizacao na regiao costeira e as desigualdades regionais na China poderao ser amenizadas por meio de um desenvolvimento regional focado nas provincias menos favorecidas, fazendo com que os trabalhadores busquem oportunidades em suas proprias provincias.

INVESTIMENTO ESTRANGEIRO DIRETO E O SETOR DE SERVIÇOS DE TELECOMUNICAÇÕES BRASILEIRO

The purpose of the present study was to analyze the capacity of technological innovation from domestic and foreign firms in the telecommunications sector. To estimate the capacity for technological innovation, the index of capacity for innovation was created, based on micro data of “Pesquisa de Inovacao Tecnologica”. The data showed no distinction between innovation intensity in either domestic or foreign firms, which presented average indexes of 0.4265 and 0.4196, respectively. In this context, it is concluded that the activity of innovation generation in Brazil (considering domestic and foreign companies), as measured by R & D activities internally developed in the company, there was not for adaptation of externally generated innovations, which is worrying, because currently are necessary expenses in significant R & D only to imitate.

FATORES ASSOCIADOS À CRIMINALIDADE VIOLENTA NO BRASIL

The objective of the present study was to evaluate which factors are associated with violent crime in Brazil. The categories of crimes were selected homicide, robbery and willful corporal lesion followed by death. For this study we used the econometric model in the data structure in panel for all Brazilian federal units. The results indicated that the fixed effects model is the most suitable. In addition, it was found that the drug market and the unemployment rate positively influence analyzed crime rates. On the other hand, social assistance policies offered by Social Assistance Reference Centres have contributed to improving the quality of life of many Brazilian families living in situation socioeconomic vulnerability and, therewith, such a government measure has contributed to the fight against violent criminality in the country.

NÃO LINEARIDADES NA DINÂMICA DO PRODUTO INTERNO BRUTO BRASILEIRO ENTRE 1947 E 2012

In this paper, we look for nonlinear dynamics in Brazilian gross domestic product (GDP) cycles between 1947 and 2012, by using BDS statistics to analyze autoregressive and Markovian models. Our results showed that AR( p ) regressions could not completely describe the properties of the cyclic series, as they did not yield independent and identically distributed ( iid ) residuals. However, after estimating heteroscedastic Markovian models to the data, the null of iid was not rejected. As indicated by two-state Markov chains, Brazilian economy switched between phases of high and low volatility, with the latter more likely to occur after 1995. Furthermore, we estimated a three-state Markov chain, which pointed out the following regimes (annual growth rates inside brackets): recessions (-5.8%), with short duration and high volatility; accelerated growth (7.9%), frequent from 1947 to 1980, with long duration and high volatility; and, balanced growth (4.3%), with moderate growth rate and lower variance, prevalent since 1995. Thus, we conclude that the Brazilian GDP cycles are strongly nonlinear, presenting phase asymmetries in duration and amplitude, besides heteroscedasticity.

FLUXOS DESIGUAIS DO SISTEMA FINANCEIRO E INOVATIVO: UMA ANÁLISE DAS ASSIMETRIAS ENTRE PAÍSES RICOS E POBRES

This paper aimed to identify the relationship between the financial system and the innovation system, and fill a gap in the literature that there is financing of technological progress. From empirical analysis panel for two groups of countries (highest and lowest GDP per capita), in the period between 1980 and 2010, there was the existence of a relationship of causality between the financial variable and technological variable, in case of developed countries. Already, for peripheral countries, there is a lack of long-term causality between the financial system and the technological. It is concluded that there is need to adopt policies to encourage the development of both the domestic financial system as the national system of innovation in poorer economies, aiming to raise its growth rate on a sustained basis.

Uma análise do setor de previdência complementar brasileiro

Este trabalho teve como objetivo analisar o setor de previdencia complementar, observando os niveis de concentracao, os efeitos das politicas de fiscalizacao, o grau de eficiencia das empresas e as barreiras a entrada e saida do setor. A metodologia basica consistiu no calculo do Indice de Gini e na Analise Envoltoria dos Dados. A principal conclusao foi que as empresas de tamanho medio sao as mais eficientes e estao ganhando participacao no mercado, enquanto que as cinco maiores empresas continuam, tambem, ampliando suas participacoes, a despeito de serem mais ineficientes. Tal fenomeno se explica por suas ligacoes com grandes bancos.