Silvia Sabariego Ruiz

Forecasting airborne Platanus pollen in the Madrid region

This study analyses the atmospheric concentration of Platanus pollen in four stations in the Madrid region over a period of 10 years (1994–2003). Various statistical analyses (regression analysis and decision tree) were used to prepare a forecasting model for possible application as a preventive measure in pollinosis. The data comes from the PALINOCAM network and the samplers used were Hirst type (Burkard pollen trap). Platanus pollen is present in the atmosphere during a short period of time in spring, and the maximum concentrations are detected during the last two weeks of March and the first week of April. Regression analysis shows that the pollen concentration of the two previous days is the best predictive variable. The models obtained for the four stations analysed account for between 37 and 61% of the variation in pollen levels in the air. The decision trees show how the introduction of meteorological variables improves prediction for this pollen type.

Are Cedrus atlantica forests in the Rif Mountains of Morocco heading towards local extinction

Cedrus atlantica (Atlas cedar) is a relict and endemic endangered species from northwestern African mountains, whose distribution range has undergone a dramatic reduction over recent decades. Long-term studies are needed for a better understanding of the development of its range as well as for assisting in the implementation of sustainable conservation measures. The multi-proxy analysis of a high-resolution fossil record of 180 cm depth allowed us to depict the final demise of an Atlas cedar population from the western Rif Mountains (Jbel Khesana), despite its high resilience during the last ~4000 years. Currently, Atlas cedar trees are not observed in Jbel Khesana but they still occur in the nearby area as scattered populations on a few mountain tops at altitudes higher than 1400 m a.s.l. Our data show an initial relatively stable period (~4000–2400 cal. yr BP) followed by a phase where both climatic and human-induced disturbances cause an alternate dominance of oaks and Atlas cedars (2400~1550 cal. yr BP). Then, the increasing aridity and human activities favoured the depletion of Atlas cedar forests (~1550–800 cal. yr BP). Our record shows that Atlas cedar forests have recovered after each deforestation event, which reveals a high resilience of the species until the mid-20th century, when they became extinct in the study area. The main driver of their local extinction may be attributed to the strong human pressure. Management measures of Atlas cedar in the Rif Mountains should aim at limiting intensive loggings and protecting the existing populations for their local regeneration.

Paleobiogeografía de Abies spp. y Cedrus atlantica en el Mediterráneo occidental (península ibérica y Marruecos)

Delgado L.A. 2018. Landscape Heterogeneity and tree species diversity in a tropical forest. Development and validation of a methodological proposal. Ecosistemas 27(1): 105-115. Doi.: 10.7818/ECOS.1475 Many landscapes exist as unstable spatial-temporal mosaics where changes in patterns of biodiversity are affected by nature processes and the dynamic interaction between social and ecological factors. It is a consequence of the natural dynamics of socio-economic systems that regulate man-made tropical forests. However, a significant proportion of studies have made generalizations about the relative values of biodiversity, without taking into account the high levels of internal heterogeneity in the biophysical properties and land uses of each site. The purpose of this study is to propose and validate a methodology to delimit the heterogeneity of the landscape based on criteria that integrate the coupling of human-ecological systems such as: space-time dynamics of deforestation and fragmentation; complexity of the landscape structure; current and historical land use and biophysical variability. For this, the use of satellite images, landscape metrics, field work, documentary review and multivariate analysis were combined. The proposed methodology is intended to help guide the empirical delimitation of landscape heterogeneity as a prerequisite for the selection of similar landscapes and forest patches in studies of the diversity of tree species, in order to provide an opportunity to control the possible difficulties caused by variability in the proportion of forests, landscape configuration and successional states, in estimating its effects on forest richness and floristic composition.