Simon Reay Atkinson

How lean the machine: how agile the mind?

Purpose – Competition for resources appears to be increasing at a time of political, security (including energy, food and climate) and economic change; leading to potential collapse. The purpose of this conceptual paper is to examine the impact of policies exercised at the macro level on methods and processes applied at the micro level through, for example, performance management. It looks at the impact at the micro level on the macro and upon industry, innovation and the generation of productive wealth. It contrasts the techno‐socio application of Lean with the socio‐techno dynamics of agility as impacted by the info‐techno‐socio and emerging socio‐info‐techno systems.Design/methodology/approach – From collaborative doctoral level research and an extensive literature review – integrating the three cultures (the natural sciences, the social sciences and the humanities) – macro/global and local/micro cross level thematic complex systems models were identified and modelled across their connecting political,...

Through-Life NEC Scenario Development

Scenarios are an important planning tool used by individuals, businesses and governments (especially in the military domain), but many of the currently used approaches focus solely on acute probabilistic timeframes and specific metricated instances of possible future states. Using a mixed method research methodology, we develop a scenario approach in which multiple timeframes are accommodated by fitting vignettes within each other to represent different time levels. This has the advantage of presenting the end-to-end process of capability development and instantiation. We describe the methodology employed to generate such a scenario as a demonstration aid for a large, multidisciplinary research program in systems of systems engineering. The process of scenario generation was an effective integration tool within this program (that included twelve distributed research groups). The resultant scenario enabled engagement of multiple stakeholders in an integrated demonstration of systems related research outputs. We recommend a new class of scenario (a “research scenario”) for incorporation within the standard classifications of scenario types.

Signalling decision making and taking in a complex world

At its heart, decision-taking is about the decision-making process – how, who, what, where and when. In this ideal world, strategy is primarily about ‘observation’ and ‘orientation’, while ‘decision’ and ‘action’ are best left to tacticians and operatives. However in the ‘real’ world, strategists have to take account of all the factors impinging upon their strategic environment and no strategist can possibly operate in isolation – there is a social and network component to their knowledge, underpinned by the (social) strategic planning processes and the (personal) cognitive ones. As connectivity and the availability of information has increased, this has often impacted negatively upon the ability to take and to make effective decisions. This paper examines the basis of effective decision-making and decision-taking in complex systems and differentiates between the two.

Australia’s future submarine: shaping early adaptive designs through test and evaluation

Abstract The Australian Government selected France’s Direction des Constructions Navales Services to design Australia’s future submarine, the Shortfin Barracuda. This paper evaluates different system developmental approaches that can be applied, such as the U.S. acquisition life cycle and a research, engineer, design, adapt, reflect (RADER) model. The evaluation showed a need for deliberate regard for the significant philosophical, political, military, cultural and economic differences of the French practices compared to U.S., U.K. and Australian. The paper reviews major lessons learned in Australian acquisitions regarding early preview test and evaluation (T&E), including the Collins Class Submarine, and proposes 11 T&E goals, especially early commitment to an estimated seven test sites needed to ensure the early design is proven and low risk. To save substantial overall time and rework, greater investment is needed in the social spaces for critical thinking and T&E to guide the submarine towards a continuously evolving design and build.