Theresa Munyombwe

A systematic review of case-mix adjustment models for stroke

Objective: To identify any externally validated prognostic model for predicting outcome in unselected populations following acute stroke comprising variables feasible for collection in routine care. Data sources: Searches were run in MEDLINE, EMBASE, CINAHL, PsycInfo, AMED and ISI Web of Science with no limits on publication date or language. Review methods: Any study describing the development or external validation of a discernible prognostic model to predict any valid outcome following acute stroke was included. Papers were retained if they met pre-specified inclusion criteria identified from previous reviews and pertinent discussion papers. Data extraction focused on methodological quality of model development, generalizability and feasibility of variable collection. Model performance was examined through consideration of external validation studies. Results: Seventeen externally validated models were identified from 43 papers fulfilling inclusion criteria. Quality of studies describing model development was variable and model performance in external validation studies was generally poor. Models were generally constructed through secondary use of randomized trial or stroke database data. Prognostic variables broadly encompassed markers of stroke severity, pre-stroke function and comorbidities. One model that fulfilled the review criteria and had extensive external validation in a range of post-stroke populations was identified (the Six Simple Variables model). Conclusion: The Six Simple Variables model performed well in six external validation studies, although prediction of outcome in patients with milder strokes was less reliable. Other models identified in this review have been developed using robust methodology but comprise more complex clinical variables which may limit their utility in routine stroke care.

Association of Frontal QRS-T Angle–Age Risk Score on Admission Electrocardiogram With Mortality in Patients Admitted With an Acute Coronary Syndrome†

Risk assessment is central to the management of acute coronary syndromes. Often, however, assessment is not complete until the troponin concentration is available. Using 2 multicenter prospective observational studies (Evaluation of Methods and Management of Acute Coronary Events [EMMACE] 2, test cohort, 1,843 patients; and EMMACE-1, validation cohort, 550 patients) of unselected patients with acute coronary syndromes, a point-of-admission risk stratification tool using frontal QRS-T angle derived from automated measurements and age for the prediction of 30-day and 2-year mortality was evaluated. Two-year mortality was lowest in patients with frontal QRS-T angles <38° and highest in patients with frontal QRS-T angles >104° (44.7% vs 14.8%, p <0.001). Increasing frontal QRS-T angle-age risk (FAAR) scores were associated with increasing 30-day and 2-year mortality (for 2-year mortality, score 0 = 3.7%, score 4 = 57%; p <0.001). The FAAR score was a good discriminator of mortality (C statistics 0.74 [95% confidence interval 0.71 to 0.78] at 30 days and 0.77 [95% confidence interval 0.75 to 0.79] at 2 years), maintained its performance in the EMMACE-1 cohort at 30 days (C statistics 0.76 (95% confidence interval 0.71 to 0.8] at 30 days and 0.79 (95% confidence interval 0.75 to 0.83] at 2 years), in men and women, in ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction and non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction, and compared favorably with the Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) score. The integrated discrimination improvement (age to FAAR score at 30 days and at 2 years in EMMACE-1 and EMMACE-2) was p <0.001. In conclusion, the FAAR score is a point-of-admission risk tool that predicts 30-day and 2-year mortality from 2 variables across a spectrum of patients with acute coronary syndromes. It does not require the results of biomarker assays or rely on the subjective interpretation of electrocardiograms.

Switching methods of self-harm at repeat episodes: Findings from a multicentre cohort study.

BACKGROUND Self-poisoning and self-injury have widely differing incidences in hospitals and in the community, which has led to confusion about the concept of self-harm. Categorising self-harm simply by a method may be clinically misleading because many hospital-attending patients switch from one method of harm to another on subsequent episodes. The study set out to determine the frequency, pattern, determinants and characteristics of method-switching in self-harm episodes presenting to the general hospital. METHODS The pattern of repeated self-harm was established from over 33,000 consecutive self-harm episodes in a multicentre English cohort, categorising self-harm methods as poisoning, cutting, other injury, and combined methods. RESULTS Over an average of 30 months of follow-up, 23% of people repeated self-harm and one-third of them switched method, often rapidly, and especially where the person was male, younger, or had self-harmed previously. Self-poisoning was far less likely than other methods to lead on to switching. LIMITATIONS Self-harm episodes that do not lead to hospital attendance are not included in these findings but people who self-harmed and went to hospital but were not admitted from the emergency department to the general hospital, or did not receive designated psychosocial assessment are included. People in the study were a mix of prevalent as well as incident cases. CONCLUSIONS Method of self-harm is fluctuating and unpredictable. Clinicians should avoid false assumptions about people׳s risks or needs based simply on the method of harm.

Effectiveness of pharmacist-led medication review in chronic pain management: systematic review and meta-analysis

Objective:To evaluate the effectiveness of pharmacist-led medication review in chronic pain management. Materials and Methods:Six electronic databases (Medline, Embase, PsycInfo, CINHAL, CENTRAL, International Pharmaceutical Abstracts) reference lists of retrieved articles and relevant websites were searched for randomized controlled trials published in the English language involving adults with chronic pain. Studies were included if one of the intervention arms had received pharmacist-led medication review independently or as part of a multidisciplinary intervention. Risk of bias was assessed for all the included studies. Results:The search strategy yielded 583 unique articles including 5 randomized controlled trials. Compared with control, meta-analysis showed that participants in the intervention group had: a 0.8-point reduction in pain intensity on a 0 to 10 numerical rating scale at 3 months [95% confidence interval (CI), −1.28 to −0.36] and a 0.7-point reduction (95% CI, −1.19 to −0.20) at 6 months; a 4.84 point (95% CI, −7.38 to −2.29) and −3.82 point (95% CI, −6.49 to −1.14) improvement in physical functioning on a 0- to 68-point function subscale of Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Osteoarthritis Index at 3 and 6 months, respectively; and a significant improvement in patient satisfaction equivalent to a “small to moderate effect.” Discussion:Pharmacist-led medication review reduces pain intensity and improves physical functioning and patient satisfaction. However, the clinical significance of these findings remain uncertain due to small effect size and nature of reported data within clinical trials that limits recommendation of wider clinical role of pharmacist in chronic pain management.

Effect of CD4+ lymphocyte count, viral load, and duration of taking antiretroviral treatment on presence of oral lesions in a sample of South African children with HIV+/AIDS

AIMS: This was to determine the presence and types of oral mucosal lesions in a sample of HIV+/AIDS South African children taking antiretroviral therapy and to investigate the relationship between CD4+ lymphocyte counts, viral load, duration of taking antiretroviral therapy (DART), and age on presence of oral lesions. METHODS: The samples consisted of 56 South African children aged 0–4 years (mean age =7.09 years) with HIV+/AID, infected at birth. Subjects were divided into two groups according to the presence of oral lesions with test group (patients with oral lesions) and control group (patients with no oral lesions). Children were also divided into two groups, those < 6 years and those ≥ 6 years old to study the effect of age on presence of lesions. RESULTS: Oral Candidiasis was the most common lesion reported in 19/56 children, followed by Recurrent Herpetic Infection in 9 children. Other lesions such as Kaposi’s sarcoma, Multifocal Epithelial Hyperplasia, Oral Hairy Leukoplakia, Linear Gingival Erythema, and oral ulceration were also present. A statistical significant difference in CD4+ lymphocyte count (p value 0.005), and viral load (p value 0.002) was found between the oral lesion and no oral lesion groups, those with oral lesions having a significantly higher viral load and lower CD4+ count. No statistically significant difference between the two groups in terms of the DART effect (p value 0.811) was found. Furthermore, there was no effect of age groups on the presence of lesions in children with HIV+/AIDS. CONCLUSION: This study contributes to the relatively scant literature on the prevalence of oral lesions in children with HIV infection in South Africa and also the relationship of these lesions to the viral load and CD4+ lymphocyte counts.

Neonatal respiratory distress syndrome: Chest X-ray or lung ultrasound? A systematic review:

Background and aim Neonatal respiratory distress syndrome is a leading cause of morbidity in preterm new-born babies (<37 weeks gestation age). The current diagnostic reference standard includes clinical testing and chest radiography with associated exposure to ionising radiation. The aim of this review was to compare the diagnostic accuracy of lung ultrasound against the reference standard in symptomatic neonates of ≤42 weeks gestation age. Methods A systematic search of literature published between 1990 and 2016 identified 803 potentially relevant studies. Six studies met the review inclusion criteria and were retrieved for analysis. Quality assessment was performed before data extraction and meta-analysis. Results Four prospective cohort studies and two case control studies included 480 neonates. All studies were of moderate methodological quality although heterogeneity was evident across the studies. The pooled sensitivity and specificity of lung ultrasound were 97% (95% confidence interval [CI] 94–99%) and 91% (CI: 86–95%) respectively. False positive diagnoses were made in 16 cases due to pneumonia (n = 8), transient tachypnoea (n = 3), pneumothorax (n = 1) and meconium aspiration syndrome (n = 1); the diagnoses of the remaining three false positive results were not specified. False negatives diagnoses occurred in nine cases, only two were specified as air-leak syndromes. Conclusions Lung ultrasound was highly sensitive for the detection of neonatal respiratory distress syndrome although there is potential to miss co-morbid air-leak syndromes. Further research into lung ultrasound diagnostic accuracy for neonatal air-leak syndrome and economic modelling for service integration is required before lung ultrasound can replace chest radiography as the imaging component of the reference standard.

The dental health of children subject to a child protection plan

BACKGROUND In the United Kingdom, child maltreatment is an area of increased awareness and concern. AIM To compare the dental health of children subject to child protection plans with controls. DESIGN Children had to be aged between two and 11 years, medically healthy, and subject either to a child protection plan or attending the paediatric outpatient orthopaedic or general surgery clinics (control group). All children had a standardized oral examination. RESULTS Seventy-nine children were examined in each group. Children with child protection plans had statistically higher levels of primary tooth decay than controls (mean dmft 3.82 and 2.03, Mann-Whitney U test P = 0.002). After adjusting for socioeconomic status, the incidence rate ratios for the occurrence of dental caries in the primary dentition in children with a child protection plan was 1.76 (95% CI: 1.44-2.15) relative to the controls. There was no statistical difference in the levels of permanent tooth decay between the study and control groups (mean DMFT 0.71 and 0.30, respectively). The care index was significantly lower (P = 0.008, Mann-Whitney U test) in the study group (1.69%) compared to the control group (6.02%). CONCLUSIONS Children subject to child protection plans had significantly higher levels of dental caries in the primary dentition.

A study of factors that influence the number of visits following traumatic dental injuries

Objective To investigate in children the factors that influence the number of visits per tooth following traumatic dental injuries (TDI) to the permanent dentition.Method A retrospective convenient sample of 100 children who had been treated for TDI at Leeds Dental Institute was identified. A multilevel negative binomial regression model was developed to identify factors influencing the number of visits per tooth. Data including age, gender, postcode, number of visits, treatment provided, number of teeth injured, type of periodontal and hard tissue diagnoses, healing modality, root maturity, pulp and tooth survival, and any history of previous or subsequent trauma to same tooth were analysed using SPSS 18.0 and MLWIN.Results 186 teeth were affected by trauma in 100 patients. Median total number of visits per tooth was six visits with a range of 1-22 visits. The factors that were found to influence number of visits included: distance travelled, hard tissue diagnosis, periodontal injury diagnosis and pulp survival (P <0.05). A mile increase in distance travelled from home to clinic led to a 1.2% reduction in the number of visits per month (−0.012; SE 0.005), a diagnosis of a severe hard tissue injury was associated with 44% increase (0.362; SE 0.105) compared to no hard tissue injury, a diagnosis of a complicated periodontal injury compared to no periodontal injury was associated with a 30% increase (0.260; SE 0.124), a diagnosis of a uncomplicated periodontal injury compared to no periodontal injury was associated with a 31% increase (0.271; SE 0.124) and a diagnosis and treatment for a non-vital tooth in comparison to a vital tooth led to a 26% increase (0.230; SE 0.080) in the number of visits. There was a significant variation in the number of treatment visits at patient level (0.260; SE 0.048).Conclusion Complicated hard tissue injuries, complicated and uncomplicated periodontal injuries, diagnosis and treatment for pulp necrosis and the distance between clinic and patients home all significantly influenced the number of visits needed to treat TDI.

Do we need primer for orthodontic bonding? A randomized controlled trial.

OBJECTIVE To evaluate the clinical performance of APC™II Victory Series™ (3M Unitek) brackets in direct orthodontic bonding with and without the use of primer. DESIGN A single-operator, two-centre prospective, non-inferiority randomized controlled clinical trial. SETTING The Orthodontic departments at the Leeds Dental Institute and St Lukes Hospital, Bradford, UK. ETHICAL APPROVAL Ethical approval was granted by Leeds (East) Research Ethics Committee on 18th of December 2009 (Reference 09/H1306/102). PROTOCOL The protocol was not published prior to trial commencement. SUBJECTS AND METHODS Ninety-two patients requiring orthodontic treatment with fixed appliances were randomly allocated to the control (bonded with primer) or test groups (bonded without primer). Patients were randomly allocated to either the control or experimental group. This was performed by preparing opaque numbered sealed envelopes in advance using a random numbers table generated by a computer by an independent third party . Once the envelopes were opened, blinding of the operator and the patient was no longer possible due to the nature of the intervention. Patients were approached for inclusion in the trial if they qualified for NHS orthodontic treatment requiring fixed appliances and had no previous orthodontic treatment. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES Number of bracket failures, time to bond-up appliances, and the adhesive remnant index (ARI) when bracket failure occurred, over a 12-month period RESULTS Failure rate with primer was 11.1 per cent and without primer was 15.8 per cent. Bonding without primer was shown statistically to be non-inferior to bonding with primer odds ratio 0.95-2.25 (P = 0.08). Mean difference in bond-up time per bracket was 0.068 minutes (4 seconds), which was not statistically significant (P = 0.402). There was a statistically significant difference in the Adhesive Remnant Index - ARI 0 with primer 49.4 per cent, no primer 76.5 per cent, (P < 0.0001). LIMITATIONS As the study was only performed by one operator, the results can therefore only be truly be applied to their practice. Also this study was powered to ascertain if there was no difference between the 2 groups up to 5%, however orthodontists may consider a change in the bracket failure rate of 2% to be clinically significant. CONCLUSION When bonding with APC™II Victory Series™ brackets without primer was shown statistically to be non-inferior to bonding with primer (P =0.08). There was no significant difference in bond-up times. Bond failure was more likely to happen at the composite-enamel interface when bonded without a primer. CONFLICT OF INTEREST No conflict of interest for all authors. FUNDING No funding sources were used. REGISTRATION Study was not registered on external databases.

Vascular access strategy for delivering long-term antimicrobials to patients with infective endocarditis: device type, risk of infection and mortality

BACKGROUND This paper reports the use of different vascular access devices and the incidence of intravascular catheter-related infection (CRI) in patients receiving intravenous antibiotics for infective endocarditis (IE). AIM To examine whether rates of infection vary with type of vascular access device, and assess the impact of CRI on mortality in IE. METHODS A prospective observational service evaluation of all inpatients who received intravenous antibiotics for IE was performed. In total, 114 inpatients were evaluated. All cases of CRI [including exit-site infection, intravascular catheter-related bloodstream infection (CRBSI) and mortality] were recorded. Tunnelled and non-tunnelled central venous catheters (CVCs), and peripherally inserted cannulae were used for antibiotic delivery. FINDINGS There were 15 episodes of CRI, 11 of which were CRBSI (all associated with CVC use). The remainder comprised uncomplicated exit-site infections. Use of tunnelled CVCs [hazard ratio (HR) 16.95, 95% confidence interval (CI) 2.13-134.93; P = 0.007] and non-tunnelled CVCs (HR 24.54, 95% CI 2.83-212.55; P = 0.004) was associated with a significantly increased risk of CRI. Risk of mortality increased significantly with Staphylococcus aureus as the cause of IE (P < 0.001) and CRBSI (P = 0.034). CONCLUSION Risk of CRI in patients with IE is linked to the type of vascular access device used. Rates of CRBSI were greatest with CVCs, while peripheral venous cannulae were not associated with CRBSI or serious sequelae. Many patients (40%) tolerated complete treatment courses delivered via peripheral cannulae. These findings confirm the importance of device selection in reducing the risk of CRI; a potentially modifiable variable that impacts on outcome and mortality in IE.