Thomas S. Rector

Plasma Norepinephrine as a Guide to Prognosis in Patients with Chronic Congestive Heart Failure

Hemodynamics, plasma norepinephrine, and plasma renin activity were measured at supine rest in 106 patients (83 men and 23 women) with moderate to severe congestive heart failure. During follow-up lasting 1 to 62 months, 60 patients died (57 per cent); 47 per cent of the deaths were sudden, and 45 per cent were related to progressive heart failure. Statistically unrelated to the risk of mortality were cause of disease (60 patients had coronary disease, and 46 had cardiomyopathy), age (mean, 54.8 years), cardiac index (mean, 2.11 liters per minute per square meter of body-surface area), pulmonary wedge pressure (mean, 24.5 mm Hg), and mean arterial pressure (mean, 83.2 mm Hg). A multivariate analysis of the five significant univariate prognosticators--heart rate (mean, 84.4 beats per minute), plasma renin activity (mean, 15.4 ng per milliliter per hour), plasma norepinephrine (mean, 700 pg per milliliter), serum sodium (mean, 135.7 mmol per liter), and stroke-work index (mean, 21.0 g-meters per square meter)--found only plasma norepinephrine to be independently (P = 0.002) related to the subsequent risk of mortality. Norepinephrine was also higher in patients who died from progressive heart failure than in those who died suddenly. These data suggest that a single resting venous blood sample showing the plasma norepinephrine concentration provides a better guide to prognosis than other commonly measured indexes of cardiac performance.

C-Reactive Protein in Heart Failure Prognostic Value and the Effect of Valsartan

Background—The role of C-reactive protein (CRP) in heart failure is not well studied. We assessed the prognostic value of CRP in patients randomized in Val-HeFT (Valsartan Heart Failure Trial) and studied changes in CRP that were associated with valsartan. Methods and Results—Characteristics of patients with baseline CRP levels above and below the median value were compared. Univariable and multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to examine the relationship of CRP to mortality and morbidity. Interactions were tested to determine whether differences in CRP changes from baseline to 4 and 12 months between groups randomly assigned to valsartan or placebo depended on baseline ACE inhibitor use. Median plasma CRP was 3.23 mg/L (interquartile range 1.42 to 7.56 mg/L), which is higher than in the general population. Patients with CRP above the median had features of more severe heart failure than those with CRP levels below the median. The cumulative likelihood of death and first morbid event increased with increasing quartile of CRP. Relative to the lowest CRP quartile, the risk of mortality (hazard ratio 1.51, 95% CI 1.2 to 1.9) and first morbid event (hazard ratio 1.53, 95% CI 1.28 to 1.84) was increased in the highest CRP quartile in multivariable models. CRP added incremental prognostic information to that provided by brain natriuretic peptide alone. CRP did not change significantly over time in the placebo group; however, after 12 months, valsartan was associated with a decrease in CRP in patients not receiving ACE inhibitors but not in those receiving ACE inhibitors at 12 months. Conclusions—CRP is increased in heart failure. Higher levels are associated with features of more severe heart failure and are independently associated with mortality and morbidity. The ability of treatments to reduce CRP levels and the prognostic importance of reducing CRP require further study.

Association of coronary artery disease in cardiac transplant recipients with cytomegalovirus infection

Coronary artery disease (CAD) is now the major limitation to long-term survival after cardiac transplantation. Its etiology remains unclear. The possible role of viral infection in the genesis of CAD stimulated the review of 102 patients transplanted since the introduction of triple drug immunosuppression (cyclosporine, azathioprine and prednisone) to assess the importance of posttransplant cytomegalovirus infection in the development of CAD in the cardiac graft. CAD occurred in 16 patients (16%). Recipient age and sex, donor age, pretransplant diagnosis, frequency of acute rejection episodes, HLA mismatch, cytomegalovirus infection, incidence of posttransplant systemic hypertension and diabetes mellitus, and mean triglyceride, cholesterol and cyclosporine levels were analyzed to assess their influence on the development of CAD. Only the occurrence of cytomegalovirus infection was found to be a significant factor (p = 0.007): infection occurred in 62% of patients with CAD and in only 25% of those without. These data support the existence of an association between cytomegalovirus infection and CAD after cardiac transplant. It is possible that the virus contributes to the initial injury to the coronary endothelium.

Randomized, Double-Blind, Placebo-Controlled Study of Supplemental Oral l-Arginine in Patients With Heart Failure

BACKGROUND Patients with heart failure have reduced peripheral blood flow at rest, during exercise, and in response to endothelium-dependent vasodilators. Nitric oxide formed from L-arginine metabolism in endothelial cells contributes to regulation of blood flow under these conditions. A randomized, double-blind crossover study design was used to determine whether supplemental oral L-arginine can augment peripheral blood flow and improve functional status in patients with moderate to severe heart failure. METHODS AND RESULTS Fifteen subjects were given 6 weeks of oral L-arginine hydrochloride (5.6 to 12.6 g/d) and 6 weeks of matched placebo capsules in random sequence. Compared with placebo, supplemental oral L-arginine significantly increased forearm blood flow during forearm exercise, on average from 5.1 +/- 2.8 to 6.6 +/- 3.4 mL. min-1. dL-1 (P < .05). Furthermore, functional status was significantly better on L-arginine compared with placebo, as indicated by increased distances during a 6-minute walk test (390 +/- 91 versus 422 +/- 86 m, P < .05) and lower scores on the Living With Heart Failure questionnaire (55 +/- 28 versus 42 +/- 26, P < .05). Oral L-arginine also improved arterial compliance from 1.99 +/- 0.38 to 2.36 +/- 0.30 mL/mm Hg (P < .001) and reduced circulating levels of endothelin from 1.9 +/- 1.1 to 1.5 +/- 1.1 pmol/L (P < .05). CONCLUSIONS Supplemental oral L-arginine had beneficial effects in patients with heart failure. Further studies are needed to confirm the therapeutic potential of supplemental oral L-arginine and to identify mechanisms of action in patients with heart failure.

Prognosis of Congestive Heart Failure and Predictors of Mortality

The interaction of physiologic variables that appear to be predictive of prognosis in patients with severe congestive heart failure was examined in a series of 139 patients referred to a heart failure service. Left ventricular ejection fraction, peak oxygen consumption during a progressive maximal exercise test and resting plasma norepinephrine concentration were identified as the strongest univariate predictors of prognosis. Examination of their interaction was accomplished by stratifying each variable into quartiles and then pooling quartiles for bivariate analysis. The data demonstrate that ejection fraction has the most profound effect on survival calculated from maximal oxygen consumption and norepinephrine concentration, but that each of the variables provides additional independent prognostic information when added to survival estimated from any of the other variables. Therefore, ventricular function, exercise tolerance and sympathetic nervous system activation appear to provide independent insight into the prognosis of patients with heart failure.

Anemia and Change in Hemoglobin Over Time Related to Mortality and Morbidity in Patients With Chronic Heart Failure Results From Val-HeFT

Background—Anemia is known to be a prognostic marker for patients with heart failure. However, little is known about the prognostic value of changes in hemoglobin (Hgb) over time or about the causes of anemia. Methods and Results—Retrospective analysis of Valsartan Heart Failure Trial data indicated that the quartile of patients with the biggest average decrease in Hgb over 12 months (from 14.2 to 12.6 g/dL) had significantly (P≤0.01) increased risk of subsequent hospitalization (hazard ratio [HR], 1.47), morbid events (HR, 1.41), and death (HR, 1.6) compared with the quartile that exhibited little change in Hgb over 12 months (from 13.7 to 13.8 g/dL). Increasing Hgb was significantly associated with lower mortality in patients with (HR, 0.78) and without (HR, 0.79) anemia at baseline. Anemia at baseline and the changes in Hgb were independently associated with serum albumin, blood pressure, glomerular filtration rate, B-type natriuretic peptide, and C-reactive protein. Lack of anemia at baseline and increases in Hgb over 12 months were not associated with smaller left ventricular diameters or higher ejection fractions. Conclusions—Changes in Hgb over 12 months were inversely associated with subsequent risk of mortality and morbidity, independently of the effects of baseline anemia and other important predictors. Several factors were independently related to anemia at baseline and changes in Hgb, suggesting multiple causes of anemia in patients with heart failure. These findings raise important questions about the optimal level of Hgb in patients with moderate to severe heart failure and how to achieve them.

Serial Measurement of Growth-Differentiation Factor-15 in Heart Failure Relation to Disease Severity and Prognosis in the Valsartan Heart Failure Trial

Background— Growth-differentiation factor-15 (GDF-15) is emerging as a prognostic biomarker in patients with coronary artery disease. Little is known about GDF-15 as a biomarker in patients with heart failure. Methods and Results— The circulating concentration of GDF-15 was measured at baseline (n=1734) and at 12 months (n=1517) in patients randomized in the Valsartan Heart Failure Trial (Val-HeFT). GDF-15 levels at baseline ranged from 259 to 25 637 ng/L and were abnormally high (>1200 ng/L) in 85% of patients. Higher levels were associated with features of worse heart failure and biomarkers of neurohormonal activation, inflammation, myocyte injury, and renal dysfunction. Baseline GDF-15 levels (per 100 ng/L) were associated with the risks of mortality (hazard ratio, 1.017; 95% confidence interval, 1.014 to 1.019; P<0.001) and first morbid event (hazard ratio, 1.020; 95% confidence interval, 1.017 to 1.023; P<0.001). In a comprehensive multiple-variable Cox regression model that included clinical prognostic variables, B-type natriuretic peptide, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, and high-sensitivity troponin T, GDF-15 remained independently associated with mortality (hazard ratio, 1.007; 95% confidence interval, 1.001 to 1.014; P=0.02) but not first morbid event. At 12 months, the GDF-15 levels had increased by a similar amount in the placebo and valsartan groups (P=0.94). Increases in GDF-15 over 12 months were independently associated with the risks of future mortality and first morbid event also after adjustment for clinical prognostic variables, B-type natriuretic peptide, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, and high-sensitivity troponin T and their changes. Conclusions— GDF-15 reflects information from several pathological pathways and provides independent prognostic information in heart failure. GDF-15 levels increase over time, suggesting that GDF-15 reflects a pathophysiological axis that is not completely addressed by the therapies prescribed in Val-HeFT.Background— Growth-differentiation factor-15 (GDF-15) is emerging as a prognostic biomarker in patients with coronary artery disease. Little is known about GDF-15 as a biomarker in patients with heart failure. Methods and Results— The circulating concentration of GDF-15 was measured at baseline (n=1734) and at 12 months (n=1517) in patients randomized in the Valsartan Heart Failure Trial (Val-HeFT). GDF-15 levels at baseline ranged from 259 to 25 637 ng/L and were abnormally high (>1200 ng/L) in 85% of patients. Higher levels were associated with features of worse heart failure and biomarkers of neurohormonal activation, inflammation, myocyte injury, and renal dysfunction. Baseline GDF-15 levels (per 100 ng/L) were associated with the risks of mortality (hazard ratio, 1.017; 95% confidence interval, 1.014 to 1.019; P <0.001) and first morbid event (hazard ratio, 1.020; 95% confidence interval, 1.017 to 1.023; P <0.001). In a comprehensive multiple-variable Cox regression model that included clinical prognostic variables, B-type natriuretic peptide, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, and high-sensitivity troponin T, GDF-15 remained independently associated with mortality (hazard ratio, 1.007; 95% confidence interval, 1.001 to 1.014; P =0.02) but not first morbid event. At 12 months, the GDF-15 levels had increased by a similar amount in the placebo and valsartan groups ( P =0.94). Increases in GDF-15 over 12 months were independently associated with the risks of future mortality and first morbid event also after adjustment for clinical prognostic variables, B-type natriuretic peptide, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, and high-sensitivity troponin T and their changes. Conclusions— GDF-15 reflects information from several pathological pathways and provides independent prognostic information in heart failure. GDF-15 levels increase over time, suggesting that GDF-15 reflects a pathophysiological axis that is not completely addressed by the therapies prescribed in Val-HeFT. # Clinical Perspective {#article-title-40}

Prognostic Value of Baseline Plasma Amino-Terminal Pro-Brain Natriuretic Peptide and its Interactions With Irbesartan Treatment Effects in Patients With Heart Failure and Preserved Ejection Fraction: Findings from the I-PRESERVE Trial

Background— Plasma concentrations of natriuretic peptides (NPs) are associated with morbidity and mortality in patients with systolic heart failure (HF). However, the role of NP as a prognostic marker in patients with HF and preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) has not been studied in a large cohort of well-characterized patients. Moreover, it is unclear whether treatments have a differential effect on morbidity and mortality across the spectrum of NP levels. Methods and Results— N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) was measured at baseline in 3480 patients in the I-PRESERVE (Irbesartan in Heart Failure with Preserved Ejection Fraction Trial). In a multivariable Cox regression model, NT-proBNP above the median of 339 pg/mL was independently associated with an increased risk of the primary end point of all-cause mortality and prespecified cardiovascular hospitalizations (adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 1.79; 95% CI, 1.56 to 2.10; P<0.001); all-cause mortality (adjusted HR, 2.04; 95% CI, 1.68 to 2.47; P<0.001); and a composite of HF events, including death due to worsening HF or sudden death or hospitalization due to worsening HF (adjusted HR, 1.77; 95% CI, 1.43 to 2.20; P<0.001). There were significant interactions between the effect of irbesartan and median split of baseline NT-proBNP for the primary outcome (P=0.005), all-cause mortality (P=0.05), and the HF composite outcome (P<0.001). Use of irbesartan was associated with improved outcomes in patients with NT-proBNP below, but not above, the median. After adjusting for 20 baseline covariates, irbesartan still had a beneficial effect on the primary outcome (HR, 0.74; 95% CI, 0.60 to 90; P=0.003), all-cause mortality (HR, 0.75; 95% CI, 0.56 to 0.99; P=0.046), and HF composite outcome (HR, 0.57; 95% CI, 0.41 to 0.80; P=0.001) in patients with NT-proBNP below the median. Conclusions— The unexpected benefit of irbesartan in lower-risk patients with HFpEF in this post hoc analysis may indicate effects on early, but not later, high-risk stages of the disease. These findings question the strategy of using elevated plasma concentrations of NP as a patient selection criterion in HFpEF trials. More studies are needed to support or contest this practice. Clinical Trial Registration— URL: http://www.clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier: NCT00095238.

Pulmonary and peripheral vascular factors are important determinants of peak exercise oxygen uptake in patients with heart failure

OBJECTIVES This study was conducted to determine the relations among exercise capacity and pulmonary, peripheral vascular, cardiac and neurohormonal factors in patients with chronic heart failure. BACKGROUND The mechanisms of exercise intolerance in heart failure have not been fully clarified. Previous studies have indicated that peripheral factors such as regional blood flow may be more closely associated with exercise capacity than cardiac function, whereas the role of pulmonary function has received less attention. METHODS Fifty patients with stable heart failure underwent a comprehensive assessment that included a symptom-limited maximal cardiopulmonary exercise test, right heart catheterization, pulmonary function tests, neurohormonal levels, radionuclide ventriculography and forearm blood flow at rest and after 5 min of brachial artery occlusion. Univariate and stepwise linear regression analyses were used to relate peak exercise oxygen uptake to indexes of cardiac, peripheral vascular, pulmonary and neurohormonal factors both alone and in combination. RESULTS The mean ejection fraction was 19% and peak oxygen uptake was 16.5 ml/min per kg in this group of patients. By univariate analysis, there were no significant correlations between peak oxygen uptake and rest cardiac output, pulmonary wedge pressure, ejection fraction and pulmonary or systemic vascular resistance. In contrast, even in the absence of arterial desaturation during exercise, the forced expiratory volume in 1 s (r = 0.55, p < 0.001), forced vital capacity (r = 0.46, p < 0.01) and diffusing capacity for carbon monoxide (r = 0.47, p < 0.01) were all significantly associated with peak oxygen uptake. Peak postocclusion forearm blood flow (r = 0.45, p < 0.01), the corresponding minimal forearm vascular resistance (r = -0.56; p < 0.01) and plasma norepinephrine level at rest (r = -0.45; p < 0.01) were also significantly correlated with peak oxygen uptake. By multivariate analysis, minimal forearm vascular resistance and forced expiratory volume in 1 s were shown to be independently related to peak oxygen uptake, with a combined R value of 0.71. Other two-variate models included forced expiratory volume and plasma norepinephrine (R = 0.67) and forced expiratory volume and diffusing capacity (R = 0.65). Because forced vital capacity was highly correlated with forced expiratory volume in 1 s, it could be combined with the same variables to yield similar R values. Addition of any third variable did not improve these correlations. CONCLUSIONS In comparison with rest indexes of cardiac performance, measures of pulmonary function and peripheral vasodilator capacity were more closely associated with peak exercise oxygen uptake in patients with heart failure. Furthermore, the associations were independent of each other and together accounted for 50% of the variance in peak oxygen uptake. These data suggest that pulmonary and peripheral vascular adaptations may be important determinants of exercise intolerance in heart failure.

Autonomic Regulation Therapy via Left or Right Cervical Vagus Nerve Stimulation in Patients With Chronic Heart Failure: Results of the ANTHEM-HF Trial

OBJECTIVE ANTHEM-HF evaluated a novel autonomic regulation therapy (ART) via either left or right vagus nerve stimulation (VNS) in patients with heart failure (HF) and reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF). METHODS AND RESULTS Sixty subjects (New York Heart Association [NYHA] functional class II-III, left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) ≤ 40%, left ventricular end-diastolic diameter ≥ 50 mm to < 80 mm) receiving optimal pharmacologic therapy were randomized at 10 sites. VNS systems were randomly implanted on the left (n = 31) or right (n = 29) side. All patients were successfully implanted and 59 were titrated over 10 weeks to a well tolerated stimulation intensity. One patient died 3 days after an embolic stroke that occurred during implantation. Common device-related adverse events after VNS titration were transient mild dysphonia, cough, and oropharyngeal pain, which were similar for left- and right-side VNS. After 6 months of ART, the adjusted left-right differences in LVEF, left ventricular end-systolic volume (LVESV), and left ventricular end-systolic diameter (LVESD) were 0.2% (95% CI -4.4 to 4.7), 3.7 mL (95% CI -7.0 to 14.4), and 1.3 mm (95% CI -0.9 to 3.6), respectively. In the combined population, absolute LVEF improved by 4.5% (95% CI 2.4-6.6), LVESV improved by -4.1 mL (95% CI -9.0 to 0.8), and LVESD improved by -1.7 mm (95% CI -2.8 to -0.7). Heart rate variability improved by 17 ms (95% CI 6.5-28) with minimal left-right difference. Six-minute walk distance improved an average of 56 m (95% CI 37-75); however, improvement was greater for right-side ART (77 m [95% CI 49-105]). NYHA functional class improved in 77% of patients (baseline to 6 months). CONCLUSIONS Chronic open-loop ART via left- or right-side VNS is feasible and well tolerated in HFrEF patients. Safety and efficacy measures are encouraging and warrant further study.