Tina Burton

A Simple Score That Predicts Paroxysmal Atrial Fibrillation on Outpatient Cardiac Monitoring after Embolic Stroke of Unknown Source

BACKGROUNDnOccult paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (AF) is detected in 16%-30% of patients with embolic stroke of unknown source (ESUS). The identification of AF predictors on outpatient cardiac monitoring can help guide clinicians decide on a duration or method of cardiac monitoring after ESUS.nnnMETHODSnWe included all patients with ESUS who underwent an inpatient diagnostic evaluation and outpatient cardiac monitoring between January 1, 2013, and December 31, 2016. Patients were divided into 2 groups based on detection of AF or atrial flutter during monitoring. We compared demographic data, clinical risk factors, and cardiac biomarkers between the 2 groups. Multivariable logistic regression was used to determine predictors of AF.nnnRESULTSnWe identified 296 consecutive patients during the study period; 38 (12.8%) patients had AF detected on outpatient cardiac monitoring. In a multivariable regression analysis, advanced age (ages 65-74: odds ratio [OR] 2.36, 95% confidence interval [CI] .85-6.52; ages 75 or older: OR 4.08, 95% CI 1.58-10.52) and moderate-to-severe left atrial enlargement (OR 4.66, 95% CI 1.79-12.12) were predictors of AF on outpatient monitoring. We developed the Brown ESUS-AF score: age (65-74 years: 1 point, 75 years or older: 2 points) and left atrial enlargement (moderate or severe: 2 points) with good prediction of AF (area under the curve .725) and was internally validated using bootstrapping. The percentage of patients with AF detected in each score category were as follows: 0: 4.2%; 1: 14.8%; 2: 20.8%; 3: 22.2%; 4: 55.6%.nnnCONCLUSIONSnThe Brown ESUS-AF score predicts AF on prolonged outpatient monitoring after ESUS. More studies are needed to externally validate our findings.

Predictors of symptomatic intracranial haemorrhage in patients with an ischaemic stroke with neurological deterioration after intravenous thrombolysis

Objectives Early neurological deterioration prompting urgent brain imaging occurs in nearly 15% of patients with ischaemic stroke receiving intravenous tissue plasminogen activator (tPA). We aim to determine risk factors associated with symptomatic intracranial haemorrhage (sICH) in patients with ischaemic stroke undergoing emergent brain imaging for early neurological deterioration after receiving tPA. Methods We abstracted data from our prospective stroke database and included all patients receiving tPA for ischaemic stroke between 1 March 2015 and 1 March 2017. We then identified patients with neurological deterioration who underwent urgent brain imaging prior to their per-protocol surveillance imaging and divided patients into two groups: those with and without sICH. We compared baseline demographics, clinical variables, in-hospital treatments and functional outcomes at 90 days between the two groups. Results We identified 511 patients who received tPA, of whom 108 (21.1%) had an emergent brain CT. Of these patients, 17.5% (19/108) had sICH; 21.3% (23/108) of emergent scans occurred while tPA was infusing, though only 4.3% of these scans (1/23) revealed sICH. On multivariable analyses, the only predictor of sICH was a change in level of consciousness (OR 6.62, 95%u2009CI 1.64 to 26.70, P=0.008). Conclusion Change in level of consciousness is associated with sICH among patients undergoing emergent brain imaging after receiving tPA. In this group of patients, preparation of tPA reversal agents while awaiting brain imaging may reduce reversal times. Future studies are needed to study the cost-effectiveness of this approach.

Level of consciousness at discharge and associations with outcome after ischemic stroke

BACKGROUNDnMany factors may potentially complicate the stroke recovery process, including persistently impaired level of consciousness (LOC)-whether from residual stroke effects or from superimposed delirium. We aimed to determine the degree to which impaired LOC at hospital discharge is associated with outcomes after ischemic stroke.nnnMETHODSnWe conducted a single-center retrospective cohort study using prospectively-collected data from 2015 to 2017, collecting total NIHSS-LOC score at discharge as well as subscores for responsiveness (LOC-R), orientation questions (LOC-Q), and command-following (LOC-C). We determined associations between LOC scores and 3-month outcome using logistic regression, with discharge location (skilled nursing facility [SNF] vs. inpatient rehabilitation) representing a pre-specified secondary outcome.nnnRESULTSnWe identified 1003 consecutive patients with ischemic stroke who survived to discharge, of whom 32% had any LOC scoreu202f>u202f0. Total LOC score at discharge was associated with unfavorable 3-month outcome (OR 4.9 [95% CI 2.4-9.8] for LOCu202f=u202f1; OR 8.0 [2.7-23.9] for LOCu202f=u202f2-3; OR 6.3 [2.1-18.5] for LOCu202f=u202f4-5; all patients with LOCu202f=u202f6-7 had poor outcomes), as were subscores for LOC-R (OR 5.3 [1.3-21.2] for LOC-Ru202f=u202f1; all patients with LOC-Ru202f=u202f2-3 had poor outcomes) and LOC-Q (OR 4.1 [2.1-8.3] for LOC-Qu202f=u202f1; OR 4.9 [1.8-13.5] for LOC-Qu202f=u202f2). Total LOC score (OR 2.6 [1.3-5.3] for LOCu202f=u202f1; OR 3.1 [1.2-8.2] for LOCu202f=u202f2-3) and LOC-Q (OR 3.3 [1.6-6.6] for LOC-Qu202f=u202f1; OR 3.4 [1.3-9.0] for LOC-Qu202f=u202f2) were also associated with discharge to SNF rather than to inpatient rehabilitation.nnnCONCLUSIONSnThe presence of impaired consciousness or disorientation at discharge is associated with markedly worse outcomes after ischemic stroke. Further studies are necessary to determine the separate effects of residual stroke-related LOC changes and those caused by superimposed delirium.

Association between age and outcomes following thrombectomy for anterior circulation emergent large vessel occlusion is determined by degree of recanalisation

Background Older patients undergoing thrombectomy for emergent large vessel occlusion have worse outcomes. However, complete or near-complete reperfusion (modified Thrombolysis in Cerebral Ischemia (mTICI) score of 2 c/3) is associated with improved outcomes compared with partial recanalisation (mTICI 2b). Objective To examine the relationship between outcomes and age separately for the mTICI 2c/3, 2b and 0-2a groups in patients undergoing thrombectomy for anterior circulation emergent large vessel occlusion. Methods Retrospective review of 157 consecutive patients undergoing thrombectomy at a single centre with an occlusion of the internal carotid artery (ICA), M1 or proximal M2 segments of the middle cerebral artery (MCA). Angiograms were graded in a blinded fashion. Patients were divided into three groups: mTICI 0-2a, mTICI 2b, and mTICI 2c/3. Demographics and workflow parameters were compared. Outcomes at 90 days were compared as a function of age, using both the conventional modified Rankin scale (mRs) and utility weighted mRs (UWmRs). Results There were 72, 61 and 24 patients in the mTICI 2c/3, 2b and 0-2a groups, respectively. Outcomes were significantly worse with increasing age for the mTICI 2b group, but not for the mTICI 0-2a and 2c/3 groups (P=0.0002). With increasing age, outcomes of the mTICI 2b group approached those of the mTICI 0-2a group. However, outcomes of the mTICI 2c/3 groups were similar for all ages. This association was present for both the original mRs and UWmRs. Conclusion Increasing age was associated with worse outcomes for those with partial (mTICI 2b) recanalisation, not in patients with complete (mTICI 2c/3) recanalisation.

Baseline NIH Stroke Scale is an inferior predictor of functional outcome in the era of acute stroke intervention

Background and aims Baseline National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) scores have frequently been used for prognostication after ischemic stroke. With the increasing utilization of acute stroke interventions, we aimed to determine whether baseline NIHSS scores are still able to reliably predict post-stroke functional outcome. Methods We retrospectively analyzed prospectively collected data from a high-volume tertiary-care center. We tested strength of association between NIHSS scores at baseline and 24u2009h with discharge NIHSS using Spearman correlation, and diagnostic accuracy of NIHSS scores in predicting favorable outcome at three months (defined as modified Rankin Scale 0–2) using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis with area under the curve. Results There were 1183 patients in our cohort, with median baseline NIHSS 8 (IQR 3–17), 24-h NIHSS 4 (IQR 1–11), and discharge NIHSS 2 (IQR 1–8). Correlation with discharge NIHSS was ru2009=u20090.60 for baseline NIHSS and ru2009=u20090.88 for 24-h NIHSS. Of all patients with follow-up data, 425/1037 (41%) had favorable functional outcome at three months. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis for predicting favorable outcome showed area under the curve 0.698 (95% CI 0.664–0.732) for baseline NIHSS, 0.800 (95% CI 0.772–0.827) for 24-h NIHSS, and 0.819 (95% CI 0.793–0.845) for discharge NIHSS; 24u2009h and discharge NIHSS maintained robust predictive accuracy for patients receiving mechanical thrombectomy (AUC 0.846, 95% CI 0.798–0.895; AUC 0.873, 95% CI 0.832–0.914, respectively), while accuracy for baseline NIHSS decreased (AUC 0.635, 95% CI 0.566–0.704). Conclusion Baseline NIHSS scores are inferior to 24u2009h and discharge scores in predicting post-stroke functional outcomes, especially in patients receiving mechanical thrombectomy.

Perfusion imaging and recurrent cerebrovascular events in intracranial atherosclerotic disease or carotid occlusion

Background Large vessel disease stroke subtype carries the highest risk of early recurrent stroke. In this study we aim to look at the association between impaired perfusion and early stroke recurrence in patients with intracranial atherosclerotic disease or total cervical carotid occlusion. Methods This is a retrospective study from a comprehensive stroke center where we included consecutive patients 18 years or older with intracranial atherosclerotic disease or total cervical carotid occlusion admitted with a diagnosis of ischemic stroke within 24u2009h from symptom onset with National Institute Health Stroke Scaleu2009<u200915, between 1 December 2016 and 30 June 2017. Patients with (1) evidence ofu2009≥u200950% stenosis of a large intracranial artery or total carotid artery occlusion, (2) symptoms referable to the territory of the affected artery, and (3) perfusion imaging data using the RAPID processing software were included. The primary predictor was unfavorable perfusion imaging defined as Tmaxu2009>u20096u2009s mismatch volume (penumbra volume–infarct volume) of 15u2009ml or more. The outcome was recurrent cerebrovascular events at 90 days defined as worsening or new neurological symptoms in the absence of a nonvascular cause attributable to the decline, or new infarct or infarct extension in the territory of the affected artery. We used Cox proportional hazards models to determine the association between impaired perfusion and recurrent cerebrovascular events. Results Sixty-two patients met our inclusion criteria; mean age 66.4u2009±u200913.1 years, 64.5% male (40/62) and 50.0% (31/62) with intracranial atherosclerotic disease. When compared to patients with favorable perfusion pattern, patients with unfavorable perfusion pattern were more likely to have recurrent cerebrovascular events (55.6% (10/18) versus 9.1% (4/44), pu2009<u20090.001). This association persisted after adjusting for potential confounders (adjusted hazard ratio 10.44, 95% confidence interval 2.30–47.42, pu2009=u20090.002). Conclusion Perfusion mismatch predicts recurrent cerebrovascular events in patients with ischemic stroke due to intracranial atherosclerotic disease or total cervical carotid occlusion. Studies are needed to determine the utility of revascularization strategies in this patient population.