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Featured researches published by Alex Bush.


Proceedings of the Royal Society of London B: Biological Sciences | 2008

Function of bright coloration in the wasp spider Argiope bruennichi (Araneae: Araneidae)

Alex Bush; Douglas W. Yu; Marie E Herberstein

There are two major competing explanations for the counter-intuitive presence of bright coloration in certain orb-web spiders. Bright coloration could lure insect prey to the web vicinity, increasing the spiders foraging success. Alternatively, the markings could function as disruptive camouflage, making it difficult for the insect prey to distinguish spiders from background colour variation. We measured the prey capture rates of wasp spiders, Argiope bruennichi, that were blacked out, shielded from view using a leaf fragment, or left naturally coloured. Naturally coloured spiders caught over twice the number of prey as did either blacked-out or leaf-shielded spiders, and almost three times as many orthopteran prey. Spectrophotometer measurements suggest that the bright yellow bands on the spiders abdomen are visible to insect prey, but not the banding on the legs, which could disguise the spiders outline. Thus, our results provide strong support for the hypothesis that bright coloration in the wasp spider acts as a visual lure for insect prey and weak support for the hypothesis that the arrangement of the banding pattern across the spiders body disguises the presence of the spider on the web.


PLOS ONE | 2014

Continental-scale assessment of risk to the Australian Odonata from climate change

Alex Bush; David A. Nipperess; Daisy Englert Duursma; Gunther Theischinger; Eren Turak; Lesley Hughes

Climate change is expected to have substantial impacts on the composition of freshwater communities, and many species are threatened by the loss of climatically suitable habitat. In this study we identify Australian Odonata (dragonflies and damselflies) vulnerable to the effects of climate change on the basis of exposure, sensitivity and pressure to disperse in the future. We used an ensemble of species distribution models to predict the distribution of 270 (85%) species of Australian Odonata, continent-wide at the subcatchment scale, and for both current and future climates using two emissions scenarios each for 2055 and 2085. Exposure was scored according to the departure of temperature, precipitation and hydrology from current conditions. Sensitivity accounted for change in the area and suitability of projected climatic habitat, and pressure to disperse combined measurements of average habitat shifts and the loss experienced with lower dispersal rates. Streams and rivers important to future conservation efforts were identified based on the sensitivity-weighted sum of habitat suitability for the most vulnerable species. The overall extent of suitable habitat declined for 56–69% of the species modelled by 2085 depending on emissions scenario. The proportion of species at risk across all components (exposure, sensitivity, pressure to disperse) varied between 7 and 17% from 2055 to 2085 and a further 3–17% of species were also projected to be at high risk due to declines that did not require range shifts. If dispersal to Tasmania was limited, many south-eastern species are at significantly increased risk. Conservation efforts will need to focus on creating and preserving freshwater refugia as part of a broader conservation strategy that improves connectivity and promotes adaptive range shifts. The significant predicted shifts in suitable habitat could potentially exceed the dispersal capacity of Odonata and highlights the challenge faced by other freshwater species.


Nature Ecology and Evolution | 2017

Connecting Earth observation to high-throughput biodiversity data

Alex Bush; Rahel Sollmann; Andreas Wilting; Kristine Bohmann; Beth Cole; Heiko Balzter; Christopher Martius; András Zlinszky; Sébastien Calvignac-Spencer; Christina A. Cobbold; Terence P. Dawson; Brent C. Emerson; Simon Ferrier; M. Thomas P. Gilbert; Martin Herold; Laurence Jones; Fabian H. Leendertz; Louise Matthews; James D. A. Millington; John R. Olson; Otso Ovaskainen; Dave Raffaelli; Richard Reeve; Mark Oliver Rödel; Torrey W. Rodgers; Stewart Snape; Ingrid J. Visseren-Hamakers; Alfried P. Vogler; Piran C. L. White; Martin J. Wooster

Understandably, given the fast pace of biodiversity loss, there is much interest in using Earth observation technology to track biodiversity, ecosystem functions and ecosystem services. However, because most biodiversity is invisible to Earth observation, indicators based on Earth observation could be misleading and reduce the effectiveness of nature conservation and even unintentionally decrease conservation effort. We describe an approach that combines automated recording devices, high-throughput DNA sequencing and modern ecological modelling to extract much more of the information available in Earth observation data. This approach is achievable now, offering efficient and near-real-time monitoring of management impacts on biodiversity and its functions and services.


Ecology and Evolution | 2016

Downscaling land‐use data to provide global 30″ estimates of five land‐use classes

Andrew J. Hoskins; Alex Bush; James Gilmore; Tom Harwood; Lawrence N. Hudson; Chris Ware; Kristen J. Williams; Simon Ferrier

Abstract Land‐use change is one of the biggest threats to biodiversity globally. The effects of land use on biodiversity manifest primarily at local scales which are not captured by the coarse spatial grain of current global land‐use mapping. Assessments of land‐use impacts on biodiversity across large spatial extents require data at a similar spatial grain to the ecological processes they are assessing. Here, we develop a method for statistically downscaling mapped land‐use data that combines generalized additive modeling and constrained optimization. This method was applied to the 0.5° Land‐use Harmonization data for the year 2005 to produce global 30″ (approx. 1 km2) estimates of five land‐use classes: primary habitat, secondary habitat, cropland, pasture, and urban. The original dataset was partitioned into 61 bio‐realms (unique combinations of biome and biogeographical realm) and downscaled using relationships with fine‐grained climate, land cover, landform, and anthropogenic influence layers. The downscaled land‐use data were validated using the PREDICTS database and the geoWiki global cropland dataset. Application of the new method to all 61 bio‐realms produced global fine‐grained layers from the 2005 time step of the Land‐use Harmonization dataset. Coarse‐scaled proportions of land use estimated from these data compared well with those estimated in the original datasets (mean R 2: 0.68 ± 0.19). Validation with the PREDICTS database showed the new downscaled land‐use layers improved discrimination of all five classes at PREDICTS sites (P < 0.0001 in all cases). Additional validation of the downscaled cropping layer with the geoWiki layer showed an R 2 improvement of 0.12 compared with the Land‐use Harmonization data. The downscaling method presented here produced the first global land‐use dataset at a spatial grain relevant to ecological processes that drive changes in biodiversity over space and time. Integrating these data with biodiversity measures will enable the reporting of land‐use impacts on biodiversity at a finer resolution than previously possible. Furthermore, the general method presented here could be useful to others wishing to downscale similarly constrained coarse‐resolution data for other environmental variables.


Trends in Ecology and Evolution | 2016

Current Uses of Beta-Diversity in Biodiversity Conservation: A response to Socolar et al.

Alex Bush; Tom Harwood; Andrew J. Hoskins; Karel Mokany; Simon Ferrier

Recently, there has been a surge in interest in how beta-diversity is defined and applied (e.g., [1]). Socolar et al. [2] have rightly recognised the fundamental importance of considering beta-diversity for conserving biodiversity, and clearly explain the various ways in which beta-diversity may respond to contrasting ecological and anthropogenic forces. However, there are many ways in which beta-diversity already underpins much of modern conservation science and practice, although differences in terminology means that this may not always be explicit.


Freshwater Biology | 2015

Ecological effects of extreme climatic events on riverine ecosystems: insights from Australia

Catherine Leigh; Alex Bush; Evan Harrison; Susie Siew Yuen Ho; Laurisse Luke; Robert J. Rolls; Mark E. Ledger


Ecology Letters | 2016

Incorporating evolutionary adaptation in species distribution modelling reduces projected vulnerability to climate change

Alex Bush; Karel Mokany; Renee A. Catullo; Ary A. Hoffmann; Vanessa Kellermann; Carla M. Sgrò; Shane McEvey; Simon Ferrier


Freshwater Biology | 2012

Determining vulnerability of stream communities to climate change at the landscape scale

Alex Bush; David A. Nipperess; Eren Turak; Lesley Hughes


Diversity and Distributions | 2013

Dragonflies: climate canaries for river management

Alex Bush; Gunther Theischinger; David A. Nipperess; Eren Turak; Lesley Hughes


Journal of Applied Ecology | 2014

Freshwater conservation planning under climate change: demonstrating proactive approaches for Australian Odonata

Alex Bush; Virgilio Hermoso; Simon Linke; David A. Nipperess; Eren Turak; Lesley Hughes

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Eren Turak

Office of Environment and Heritage

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Simon Ferrier

Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation

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Gunther Theischinger

Office of Environment and Heritage

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Andrew J. Hoskins

Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation

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Karel Mokany

Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation

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