Andreas Justen

Santiago 2030: Perspectives on the urban transport system

This chapter summarizes recent developments in Santiago’s urban public and private transport system and outlines perspectives for the year 2030. The analysis is conducted with a set of indicators: motorization rate, current and expected congestion levels, level of service, modal split and accessibility levels. For each indicator the expected values for 2030 are estimated and analysed to determine the feasibility of a more sustainable urban transport system in Santiago. Assumptions regarding economic and demographic growth for the Metropolitan Area of Santiago, as well as infrastructural projects and operational adjustments are considered. Indicator quantification is achieved with mathematical economic models for transport and land use. Based on the indicator values, conclusions are drawn about the perspectives on Santiago’s urban transport system. Finally, recommendations for further policy action in the field are discussed.