Jens Schippl

A problem‐oriented categorisation of FTA‐methods for transport planning

Purpose – As in other socio‐technical fields, future‐oriented technology analysis (FTA) methods are used in transport planning to provide knowledge for decision‐making. Potential effects of policy interventions should be assessed; risk and uncertainties should be reduced; unintended effects should be avoided. A variety of tools and methods of rather different character are applied, none of these methods are able to systematically reproduce a complete system; they all have their specific limits. It is not always clear, however, which method could be used for which purpose. In this paper, a transparent and problem‐oriented categorisation of FTA‐methods is suggested. It aims at supporting an appropriate usage of FTA‐methods in planning processes.Design/methodology/approach – A literature review carried out in context of the EU funded transport project OPTIC (see www.optic.toi.no) reveals that differentiating between different types of uncertainty is possible. This sets the basis for the problem‐oriented cate...

User Perceptions and Attitudes on Sustainable Urban Transport among Young Adults: Findings from Copenhagen, Budapest and Karlsruhe

Abstract This paper addresses the relevance of the demand side for the achievement of sustainable transport in urban areas. The underlying thesis is that a better understanding of user habits, perceptions and attitudes with its specific dynamics is essential for a successful design of targeted transport policies. In line with this, the paper at hand is based on research that aims at improving the knowledge of urban-transport-related habits and attitudes of young adults. The results of three interview meetings that were held in Karlsruhe, Budapest, and Copenhagen with participants aged between 20 and 30 are presented. Background of the interviews is a range of studies that indicate that young people in urban areas seem to be less interested in cars than the generation before. And indeed, the interview meetings reveal that participants had a rather pragmatic attitude towards transport modes. They wished a transport system that is flexible, convenient and cheap. Despite many differences, most participants showed rather positive attitudes towards policies supporting alternatives to car-based transport. However, it will be crucial for policy shaping to what extent the observed behaviour patterns and attitudes will persist over time.

Assessing the desirability and feasibility of scenarios on eco-efficient transport: a heuristic for efficient stakeholder involvement during foresight processes

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to illustrate and discuss how stakeholder assessment of scenarios can be used to trigger a structured and, therefore, more efficient debate amongst stakeholders about future options for achieving a more eco-efficient transport system in Europe. Particularly, it wants to explore the extent to which a distinction between the desirability and the feasibility of a potential future development can render such debates more rational and transparent. Design/methodology/approach – The paper is based on a project on eco-efficient transport for the Science and Technology Option Assessment panel of the European Parliament (STOA). Key elements of the methods used in the STOA project were easily understandable scenarios and a survey of the main assumptions underlying the scenarios. Both the scenarios and the survey were used in a stakeholder workshop to assess the desirability and the feasibility of approaches towards establishing a more eco-efficient transport system. Findings – ...

The future of the transport industry

This publication aims to bridge the gap between the analysis of the trends in the European transport system and the evaluation of their impacts on competitiveness. Specifically, this report presents the future challenges, demand drivers and upcoming innovations which can have a considerable impact on the global demand patterns for the passenger and freight transport and how this might affect the competitiveness of related industries and service providers. Emphasis is given to targeted research strategies. The goal is to investigate the challenges for the European transport sector in the long term, in order to develop the suitable strategic options for European transport research policy.

A Roadmap for the EU White Paper Goal on Urban Transport

In its 2011 Transport Policy White Paper, the European Commission introduced ten targets to be met in order to reach a more competitive and resource efficient transport system. The following dual goal focused on urban transport and commuting: “To halve the use of ‘conventionally-fuelled’ cars in urban transport by 2030; and to phase them out by 2050; and to achieve “essentially CO₂-free city logistics in major urban centres by 2030.” The question driving the research behind this paper is how to realise this dual urban transport goal for 2030, taking into consideration existing trends, available policy options, the diverse interests of stakeholders involved in urban mobility in Europe. The paper draws on data gathered in the EU FP7 TRANSFORuM project, including workshop dialogues with stakeholders representing different interests in and perspectives on urban transport and mobility. The main result is a roadmap that proposes a broad strategy to answer the question “Who has to do what, by when” to achieve the urban transport goal. The roadmap includes detailed proposals for action and milestones at different levels of decision making. This paper will describe the process of consultations and the outcomes of the roadmap process and will also discuss the perspectives for implementation.

Automatisiertes Fahren. Fluch oder Segen für nachhaltige Mobilität

Dieses TATuP-Thema prasentiert erste Perspektiven, Indiziensammlungen und Diskussionsbeitrage zum Themenfeld des automatisierten Fahrens, das seit einigen Jahren ein wichtiger Gegenstand der Mobilitatsforschung geworden ist. Auch wenn in der Offentlichkeit weiterhin verbreitet Skepsis hinsichtlich der technischen und organisatorischen Reife herrscht, dominiert in der Fachwelt die Erwartung, dass hochoder vollautomatisierte Fahrzeuge in absehbarer Zeit zugelassen werden. Aber wird sich die Automatisierung des Strasenverkehrs als Fluch oder als Segen fur Konzepte nachhaltiger Mobilitat erweisen? Die Technikfolgenabschatzung (TA) sieht sich dabei mit einem fur die Disziplin nicht untypischen Dilemma konfrontiert: Einerseits lasst sich angesichts der vielen Unwagbarkeiten noch wenig Belastbares uber mogliche Technikfolgen sagen. Andererseits hat die Technologie erhebliches Transformationspotenzial, sodass ein „rechtzeitiges“ Gestalten ihrer Entwicklung gesellschaftlich wunschenswert scheint.

Die Energiewende verstehen – orientieren – gestalten: der Ansatz der Helmholtz-Allianz ENERGY-TRANS

Die Helmholtz-Allianz ENERGY-TRANS1 wurde im Jahr 2011 kurz nach den Ereignissen in Fukushima und den darauf folgenden Entscheidungen uber die deutsche Energiewende gegrundet und endete fristgerecht in 2016. Die Allianz war von der Ausgangsdiagnose getragen, dass die Energiewende – der rasche Ausstieg aus der Kernenergie und der langfristige Ausstieg aus den fossilen Energietragern – weit mehr ist als ein technisches Projekt. Vielmehr bedeutet die Energiewende eine soziotechnische Transformation, in der dem gesellschaftlichen Anteil eine erhebliche, vielleicht entscheidende Bedeutung zukommt (dazu Abschnitt 2).

Modelling and Tools Supporting the Transition to a Bioeconomy

The strategy of using biogenic resources in a bioeconomy could be seen as one answer to the geopolitical challenges the world is facing in the twenty-first century. One of those challenges is the closing of the prosperity gap between rich and poor countries. However, considering the current global population growth and anthropogenically induced climate change, it is expected that efforts to achieve this goal will be accompanied by an increasing demand for food, feed, products, and energy, which cannot be satisfied by the expected supply of non-biogenic raw materials and resources.